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Transforming Healthcare from Volume-to-Value: Leveraging Care Coordination Across the Continuum

Klein, Sharon; Eaton, Kevin P; Bodnar, Benjamin E; Keller, Sara; Helgerson, Paul; Parsons, Andrew S
The care continuum represents a longitudinal, patient-centered view of clinical care within an integrated health system, providing patients consistency in discrete healthcare encounters, while accounting for their medical needs and personal context. Failure of effective care coordination occurs when patient transitions between care settings are disjointed or fragmented. These failures account for a substantial portion of the waste in the United States healthcare system. In this article, we propose target areas for care coordination interventions and describe potential cost savings. We focus on maximizing the appropriate utilization of the Emergency Department by promoting urgent cares, primary care providers, community healthcare workers, targeted interventions for high utilizers, observation units, and hospital-at-home programs. We describe strategies for working across the care continuum to build multimodal post-discharge care programs and partnerships, such as nurse discharge navigators, early clinician follow-up, specialty post-acute care clinic visits, community partnerships, and collaborations with post-acute care settings. To help drive improvement across other hospital systems, we propose a tangible blueprint for interventions to address failures of care coordination across the care continuum.
PMID: 37481020
ISSN: 1555-7162
CID: 5536292

Evaluating Whether an Inpatient Initiative to Time Lab Draws in the Evening Reduces Anemia

Zaretsky, Jonah; Eaton, Kevin P; Sonne, Christopher; Zhao, Yunan; Jones, Simon; Hochman, Katherine; Blecker, Saul
BACKGROUND:Hospital acquired anemia is common during admission and can result in increased transfusion and length of stay. Recumbent posture is known to lead to lower hemoglobin measurements. We tested to see if an initiative promoting evening lab draws would lead to higher hemoglobin measurements due to more time in upright posture during the day and evening. METHODS:We included patients hospitalized on 2 medical units, beginning March 26, 2020 and discharged prior to January 25, 2021. On one of the units, we implemented an initiative to have routine laboratory draws in the evening rather than the morning starting on August 26, 2020. There were 1217 patients on the control unit and 1265 on the intervention unit during the entire study period. First we used a linear mixed-effects model to see if timing of blood draw was associated with hemoglobin level in the pre-intervention period. We then compared levels of hemoglobin before and after the intervention using a difference-in-difference analysis. RESULTS:In the pre-intervention period, evening blood draws were associated with higher hemoglobin compared to morning (0.28; 95% CI, 0.22-0.35). Evening blood draws increased with the intervention (10.3% vs 47.9%, P > 0.001). However, the intervention floor was not associated with hemoglobin levels in difference-in-difference analysis (coefficient of -0.15; 95% CI, -0.51-0.21). CONCLUSIONS:While evening blood draws were associated with higher hemoglobin levels, an intervention that successfully changed timing of routine labs to the evening did not lead to an increase in hemoglobin levels.
PMID: 37478815
ISSN: 2576-9456
CID: 5536212

Health system-scale language models are all-purpose prediction engines

Jiang, Lavender Yao; Liu, Xujin Chris; Nejatian, Nima Pour; Nasir-Moin, Mustafa; Wang, Duo; Abidin, Anas; Eaton, Kevin; Riina, Howard Antony; Laufer, Ilya; Punjabi, Paawan; Miceli, Madeline; Kim, Nora C; Orillac, Cordelia; Schnurman, Zane; Livia, Christopher; Weiss, Hannah; Kurland, David; Neifert, Sean; Dastagirzada, Yosef; Kondziolka, Douglas; Cheung, Alexander T M; Yang, Grace; Cao, Ming; Flores, Mona; Costa, Anthony B; Aphinyanaphongs, Yindalon; Cho, Kyunghyun; Oermann, Eric Karl
Physicians make critical time-constrained decisions every day. Clinical predictive models can help physicians and administrators make decisions by forecasting clinical and operational events. Existing structured data-based clinical predictive models have limited use in everyday practice owing to complexity in data processing, as well as model development and deployment1-3. Here we show that unstructured clinical notes from the electronic health record can enable the training of clinical language models, which can be used as all-purpose clinical predictive engines with low-resistance development and deployment. Our approach leverages recent advances in natural language processing4,5 to train a large language model for medical language (NYUTron) and subsequently fine-tune it across a wide range of clinical and operational predictive tasks. We evaluated our approach within our health system for five such tasks: 30-day all-cause readmission prediction, in-hospital mortality prediction, comorbidity index prediction, length of stay prediction, and insurance denial prediction. We show that NYUTron has an area under the curve (AUC) of 78.7-94.9%, with an improvement of 5.36-14.7% in the AUC compared with traditional models. We additionally demonstrate the benefits of pretraining with clinical text, the potential for increasing generalizability to different sites through fine-tuning and the full deployment of our system in a prospective, single-arm trial. These results show the potential for using clinical language models in medicine to read alongside physicians and provide guidance at the point of care.
PMCID:10338337
PMID: 37286606
ISSN: 1476-4687
CID: 5536672

Impact of nonintrusive clinical decision support systems on laboratory test utilization in a large academic centre

Eaton, Kevin P; Chida, Natasha; Apfel, Ariella; Feldman, Leonard; Greenbaum, Adena; Tuddenham, Susan; Kendall, Emily A; Pahwa, Amit
BACKGROUND:The near-universal prevalence of electronic health records (EHRs) has made the utilization of clinical decision support systems (CDSS) an integral strategy for improving the value of laboratory ordering. Few studies have examined the effectiveness of nonintrusive CDSS on inpatient laboratory utilization in large academic centres. METHODS:Red blood cell folate, hepatitis C virus viral loads and genotypes, and type and screens were selected for study. We incorporated the appropriate indications for these labs into text that accompanied the laboratory orders in our hospital's EHR. Providers could proceed with the order without additional clicks. An interrupted time-series analysis was performed, and the primary outcome was the rate of tests ordered on all inpatient medicine floors. RESULTS:The rate of folate tests ordered per monthly admissions showed no significant level change at the time of the intervention with only a slight decrease in rate of 0.0109 (P = .07). There was a 43% decrease in the rate of hepatitis C virus tests per monthly admissions immediately after the intervention with a decrease of 0.0135 tests per monthly admissions (P = .02). The rate of type and screens orders per patient days each month had a significant downward trend by 0.114 before the intervention (P = .04) but no significant level change at the time of the intervention or significant change in rate after the intervention. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS:Our study suggests that nonintrusive CDSS should be evaluated for individual laboratory tests to ensure only effective alerts continue to be used so as to avoid increasing EHR fatigue.
PMCID:6050580
PMID: 29446193
ISSN: 1365-2753
CID: 3129012

Evidence-Based Guidelines to Eliminate Repetitive Laboratory Testing

Eaton, Kevin P; Levy, Kathryn; Soong, Christine; Pahwa, Amit K; Petrilli, Christopher; Ziemba, Justin B; Cho, Hyung J; Alban, Rodrigo; Blanck, Jaime F; Parsons, Andrew S
Routine daily laboratory testing of hospitalized patients reflects a wasteful clinical practice that threatens the value of health care. Choosing Wisely initiatives from numerous professional societies have identified repetitive laboratory testing in the face of clinical stability as low value care. Although laboratory expenditure often represents less than 5% of most hospital budgets, the impact is far-reaching given that laboratory tests influence nearly 60% to 70% of all medical decisions. Excessive phlebotomy can lead to hospital-acquired anemia, increased costs, and unnecessary downstream testing and procedures. Efforts to reduce the frequency of laboratory orders can improve patient satisfaction and reduce cost without negatively affecting patient outcomes. To date, numerous interventions have been deployed across multiple institutions without a standardized approach. Health care professionals and administrative leaders should carefully strategize and optimize efforts to reduce daily laboratory testing. This review presents an evidence-based implementation blueprint to guide teams aimed at improving appropriate routine laboratory testing among hospitalized patients.
PMID: 29049500
ISSN: 2168-6114
CID: 3085092

Skybridge

Eaton, Kevin P
PMID: 24958832
ISSN: 1527-7755
CID: 3129002

Human papillomavirus clearance among males is associated with HIV acquisition and increased dendritic cell density in the foreskin

Tobian, Aaron A R; Grabowski, Mary K; Kigozi, Godfrey; Redd, Andrew D; Eaton, Kevin P; Serwadda, David; Cornish, Toby C; Nalugoda, Fred; Watya, Stephen; Buwembo, Denis; Nkale, James; Wawer, Maria J; Quinn, Thomas C; Gray, Ronald H
BACKGROUND:The association between human papillomavirus (HPV) infection and the risk of human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) seroconversion is unclear, and the genital cellular immunology has not been evaluated. METHODS:A case-control analysis nested within a male circumcision trial was conducted. Cases consisted of 44 male HIV seroconverters, and controls were 787 males who were persistently negative for HIV. The Roche HPV Linear Array Genotype Test detected high-risk HPV (HR-HPV) and low-risk HPV (LR-HPV) genotypes. Generalized estimating equations logistic regression was used to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) of HIV seroconversion. In addition, densities of CD1a(+) dendritic cells, CD4(+) T cells, and CD8(+) T cells were measured using immunohistochemistry analysis in foreskins of 79 males randomly selected from participants in the circumcision trial. RESULTS:HR-HPV or LR-HPV acquisition was not significantly associated with HIV seroconversion, after adjustment for sexual behaviors. However, HR-HPV and LR-HPV clearance was significantly associated with HIV seroconversion (aOR, 3.25 [95% confidence interval {CI}, 1.11-9.55] and 3.18 [95% CI, 1.14-8.90], respectively). The odds of HIV seroconversion increased with increasing number of HPV genotypes cleared (P < .001, by the test for trend). The median CD1a(+) dendritic cell density in the foreskin epidermis was significantly higher among males who cleared HPV (72.0 cells/mm(2) [interquartile range {IQR}, 29.4-138.3 cells/mm(2)]), compared with males who were persistently negative for HPV (32.1 cells/mm(2) [IQR, 3.1-96.2 cells/mm(2)]; P = .047), and increased progressively with the number of HPV genotypes cleared (P = .05). CONCLUSIONS:HPV clearance was associated with subsequent HIV seroconversion and also with increased epidermal dendritic cell density, which potentially mediates HIV seroconversion.
PMCID:3636782
PMID: 23345339
ISSN: 1537-6613
CID: 3128992

High-risk human papillomavirus prevalence is associated with HIV infection among heterosexual men in Rakai, Uganda

Tobian, Aaron A R; Grabowski, Mary K; Kigozi, Godfrey; Gravitt, Patti E; Eaton, Kevin P; Serwadda, David; Nalugoda, Fred; Wawer, Maria J; Quinn, Thomas C; Gray, Ronald H
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:Human papillomavirus (HPV) infection causes genital warts, penile cancer and cervical cancer. Africa has one of the highest rates of penile and cervical cancers, but there are little data on high-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) prevalence in heterosexual men. Knowledge of HR-HPV prevalence, risk factors and genotype distribution among heterosexual men is important to establish risk-reduction prevention strategies. METHODS:1578 uncircumcised men aged 15-49 years who enrolled in male circumcision trials in Rakai, Uganda, were evaluated for HR-HPV from swabs of the coronal sulcus/glans using Roche HPV Linear Array. Adjusted prevalence risk ratios (adjPRRs) were estimated using modified Poisson multivariable regression. RESULTS:HPV prevalence (either high risk or low risk) was 90.7% (382/421) among HIV-positive men and 60.9% (596/978) among HIV-negative men (PRR 1.49, 95% CI 1.40 to 1.58). HIV-positive men had a significantly higher risk of infection with three or more HR-HPV genotypes (PRR=5.76, 95% CI 4.27 to 7.79). Among HIV-positive men, high-risk sexual behaviours were not associated with increased HR-HPV prevalence. Among HIV-negative men, HR-HPV prevalence was associated with self-reported genital warts (adjPRR 1.57, 95% CI 1.07 to 2.31). Among all men (both HIV negative and HIV positive), HR-HPV prevalence was associated with more than 10 lifetime sexual partners (adjPRR 1.30, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.66), consistent condom use (adjPRR 1.31, 95% CI 1.08 to 1.60) and HIV infection (adjPRR 1.80, 95% CI 1.60 to 2.02). HR-HPV prevalence was lower among men who reported no sexual partners during the past year (adjPRR 0.47, 95% CI 0.23 to 0.94). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The burden of HR-HPV infection is high among heterosexual men in sub-Saharan Africa and most pronounced among the HIV-infected individuals.
PMCID:3640492
PMID: 22628661
ISSN: 1472-3263
CID: 3128982

Factors associated with incorrect identification of recent HIV infection using the BED capture immunoassay

Laeyendecker, Oliver; Brookmeyer, Ron; Oliver, Amy E; Mullis, Caroline E; Eaton, Kevin P; Mueller, Amy C; Jacobson, Lisa P; Margolick, Joseph B; Brown, Joelle; Rinaldo, Charles R; Quinn, Thomas C; Eshleman, Susan H
The BED capture enzyme immunoassay (BED-CEIA) was developed for estimating HIV incidence from cross-sectional data. This assay misclassifies some individuals with nonrecent HIV infection as recently infected, leading to overestimation of HIV incidence. We analyzed factors associated with misclassification by the BED-CEIA. We analyzed samples from 383 men who were diagnosed with HIV infection less than 1 year after a negative HIV test (Multicenter AIDS Cohort Study). Samples were collected 2-8 years after HIV seroconversion, which was defined as the midpoint between the last negative and first positive HIV test. Samples were analyzed using the BED-CEIA with a cutoff of OD-n ≤ 0.8 for recent infection. Logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with misclassification. Ninety-one (15.1%) of 603 samples were misclassified. In multivariate models, misclassification was independently associated with highly active antiretroviral treatment (HAART) for >2 years, HIV RNA <400 copies/ml, and CD4 cell count <50 or <200 cells/mm(3); adjusted odds ratios (OR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were 4.72 (1.35-16.5), 3.96 (1.53-10.3), 6.85 (2.71-17.4), and 11.5 (3.64-36.0), respectively. Among 220 men with paired samples, misclassification 2-4 years after seroconversion was significantly associated with misclassification 6-8 years after seroconversion [adjusted OR: 25.8 (95% CI: 8.17-81.5), p<0.001] after adjusting for race, CD4 cell count, HIV viral load, and HAART use. Low HIV viral load, low CD4 cell count, and >2 years of HAART were significantly associated with misclassification using the BED-CEIA. Some men were persistently misclassified as recently infected up to 8 years after HIV seroconversion.
PMCID:3399553
PMID: 22014036
ISSN: 1931-8405
CID: 3128962

Human papillomavirus incidence and clearance among HIV-positive and HIV-negative men in sub-Saharan Africa

Tobian, Aaron A R; Kigozi, Godfrey; Gravitt, Patti E; Xiao, Changchang; Serwadda, David; Eaton, Kevin P; Kong, Xiangrong; Wawer, Maria J; Nalugoda, Fred; Quinn, Thomas C; Gray, Ronald H
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:High-risk human papillomavirus (HR-HPV) infection is the most common sexually transmitted infection. Penile and cervical cancer rates are highest in sub-Saharan Africa. However, little is known about the impact of HIV infection on HR-HPV acquisition and clearance among heterosexual men. DESIGN/METHODS:HR-HPV incidence and clearance were evaluated in 999 men (776 HIV-negative and 223 HIV-positive) aged 15-49 years who participated in male circumcision trials in Rakai, Uganda. METHODS:Penile swabs were tested for HR-HPV by Roche HPV Linear Array. A Poisson multivariable model was used to estimate adjusted incidence rate ratios (adjIRRs) and clearance risk ratios (adjRRs). RESULTS:HR-HPV incidence was 66.5/100 person-years in HIV-positive men and 32.9/100 person-years among HIV-negative men [IRR=2.02, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.67-2.44]. Incidence was higher in the unmarried men (adjIRR=1.73, 95% CI 1.19-2.52), and decreased with age (adjIRR for men >35 years=0.64, 95% CI 0.43-0.94) and male circumcision (adjIRR=0.70, 95% CI 0.55-0.89). HR-HPV clearance was 114.7/100 person-years for HIV-positive men and 170.2/100 person-years for HIV-negative men (risk ratio=0.67, 95% CI 0.59-0.77). HR-HPV clearance in HIV-negative men increased with circumcision (adjRR=1.48, 95% CI 1.26-1.74), HSV-2 infection (adjRR=1.20, 95% CI 1.01-1.44), and symptoms of urethral discharge (adjRR=1.35, 95% CI 1.06-1.73). Clearance of HR-HPV was significantly lower for unmarried men (adjRR 0.76, 95% CI 0.59-0.98). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:HR-HPV is common among heterosexual Ugandan men, particularly the HIV-infected. HIV infection increases HR-HPV acquisition and reduces HR-HPV clearance. Promotion of male circumcision and additional prevention measures, such as HPV vaccination, is critical in sub-Saharan Africa.
PMCID:3442933
PMID: 22441255
ISSN: 1473-5571
CID: 3128972