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State-Level Firearm Laws and Firearm Homicide in US Cities: Heterogenous Associations by City Characteristics

Kim, Byoungjun; Thorpe, Lorna E; Spoer, Ben R; Titus, Andrea R; Santaella-Tenorio, Julian; Cerdá, Magdalena; Gourevitch, Marc N; Matthay, Ellicott C
Despite well-studied associations of state firearm laws with lower state- and county-level firearm homicide, there is a shortage of studies investigating differences in the effects of distinct state firearm law categories on various cities within the same state using identical methods. We examined associations of 5 categories of state firearm laws-pertaining to buyers, dealers, domestic violence, gun type/trafficking, and possession-with city-level firearm homicide, and then tested differential associations by city characteristics. City-level panel data on firearm homicide cases of 78 major cities from 2010 to 2020 was assessed from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's National Vital Statistics System. We modeled log-transformed firearm homicide rates as a function of firearm law scores, city, state, and year fixed effects, along with time-varying city-level confounders. We considered effect measure modification by poverty, unemployment, vacant housing, and income inequality. A one z-score increase in state gun type/trafficking, possession, and dealer law scores was associated with 25% (95% confidence interval [CI]:-0.37,-0.1), 19% (95% CI:-0.29,-0.07), and 17% (95% CI:-0.28, -0.4) lower firearm homicide rates, respectively. Protective associations were less pronounced in cities with high unemployment and high housing vacancy, but more pronounced in cities with high income inequality. In large US cities, state-level gun type/trafficking, possession, and dealer laws were associated with lower firearm homicide rates, but buyers and domestic violence laws were not. State firearm laws may have differential effects on firearm homicides based on city characteristics, and city-wide policies to enhance socioeconomic drivers may add benefits of firearm laws.
PMID: 38536598
ISSN: 1468-2869
CID: 5644932

Influence of the food environment on obesity risk in a large cohort of US veterans by community type

Rummo, Pasquale E; Kanchi, Rania; Adhikari, Samrachana; Titus, Andrea R; Lee, David C; McAlexander, Tara; Thorpe, Lorna E; Elbel, Brian
OBJECTIVE:The aim of this study was to examine relationships between the food environment and obesity by community type. METHODS:Using electronic health record data from the US Veterans Administration Diabetes Risk (VADR) cohort, we examined associations between the percentage of supermarkets and fast-food restaurants with obesity prevalence from 2008 to 2018. We constructed multivariable logistic regression models with random effects and interaction terms for year and food environment variables. We stratified models by community type. RESULTS:Mean age at baseline was 59.8 (SD = 16.1) years; 93.3% identified as men; and 2,102,542 (41.8%) were classified as having obesity. The association between the percentage of fast-food restaurants and obesity was positive in high-density urban areas (odds ratio [OR] = 1.033; 95% CI: 1.028-1.037), with no interaction by time (p = 0.83). The interaction with year was significant in other community types (p < 0.001), with increasing odds of obesity in each follow-up year. The associations between the percentage of supermarkets and obesity were null in high-density and low-density urban areas and positive in suburban (OR = 1.033; 95% CI: 1.027-1.039) and rural (OR = 1.007; 95% CI: 1.002-1.012) areas, with no interactions by time. CONCLUSIONS:Many healthy eating policies have been passed in urban areas; our results suggest such policies might also mitigate obesity risk in nonurban areas.
PMID: 38298108
ISSN: 1930-739x
CID: 5627212

Using electronic health records to enhance surveillance of diabetes in children, adolescents and young adults: a study protocol for the DiCAYA Network

Hirsch, Annemarie G; Conderino, Sarah; Crume, Tessa L; Liese, Angela D; Bellatorre, Anna; Bendik, Stefanie; Divers, Jasmin; Anthopolos, Rebecca; Dixon, Brian E; Guo, Yi; Imperatore, Giuseppina; Lee, David C; Reynolds, Kristi; Rosenman, Marc; Shao, Hui; Utidjian, Levon; Thorpe, Lorna E; ,
INTRODUCTION:Traditional survey-based surveillance is costly, limited in its ability to distinguish diabetes types and time-consuming, resulting in reporting delays. The Diabetes in Children, Adolescents and Young Adults (DiCAYA) Network seeks to advance diabetes surveillance efforts in youth and young adults through the use of large-volume electronic health record (EHR) data. The network has two primary aims, namely: (1) to refine and validate EHR-based computable phenotype algorithms for accurate identification of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youth and young adults and (2) to estimate the incidence and prevalence of type 1 and type 2 diabetes among youth and young adults and trends therein. The network aims to augment diabetes surveillance capacity in the USA and assess performance of EHR-based surveillance. This paper describes the DiCAYA Network and how these aims will be achieved. METHODS AND ANALYSIS:The DiCAYA Network is spread across eight geographically diverse US-based centres and a coordinating centre. Three centres conduct diabetes surveillance in youth aged 0-17 years only (component A), three centres conduct surveillance in young adults aged 18-44 years only (component B) and two centres conduct surveillance in components A and B. The network will assess the validity of computable phenotype definitions to determine diabetes status and type based on sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the phenotypes against the gold standard of manually abstracted medical charts. Prevalence and incidence rates will be presented as unadjusted estimates and as race/ethnicity, sex and age-adjusted estimates using Poisson regression. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION:The DiCAYA Network is well positioned to advance diabetes surveillance methods. The network will disseminate EHR-based surveillance methodology that can be broadly adopted and will report diabetes prevalence and incidence for key demographic subgroups of youth and young adults in a large set of regions across the USA.
PMCID:10806714
PMID: 38233060
ISSN: 2044-6055
CID: 5626662

Beyond traffic jam alleviation: evaluating the health and health equity impacts of New York City's congestion pricing plan

Ghassabian, Akhgar; Titus, Andrea R; Conderino, Sarah; Azan, Alexander; Weinberger, Rachel; Thorpe, Lorna E
New York City (NYC) is slated to be the first jurisdiction in the USA to implement a cordon-based congestion tax, which will be levied on vehicles entering its Central Business District. Several cities around the world, for example, London and Stockholm, have had similar cordon-based pricing programmes, defined as road pricing that charges drivers a fee for entering a specified area (typically a congested urban centre). In addition to reducing congestion and creating revenue, projections suggest the NYC congestion pricing plan may yield meaningful traffic-related air quality improvements that could result in health benefits. NYC is a large city with high air pollution and substantial racial/ethnic and socioeconomic health inequities. The distinct geography and meteorological conditions of the city also suggest that the policy's impact on air quality may extend beyond the NYC metropolitan area. As such, the potential breadth, directionality and magnitude of health impacts on communities who might be heavily affected by the nation's first congestion pricing plan should be empirically investigated. We briefly review evaluation studies of other cordon-based congestion pricing policies and argue that implementation of this policy provides an excellent opportunity to employ a quasi-experimental study design to evaluate the policy's impacts on air quality and health outcomes across population subgroups using a health equity lens. We discuss why real-time evaluations of the NYC congestion pricing plan can potentially help optimise benefits for communities historically negatively affected by traffic-related air pollution. Assessing intended and unintended impacts on health equity is key to achieving these goals.
PMID: 38195634
ISSN: 1470-2738
CID: 5624072

Associations Between Incarceration History and Risk of Hypertension and Hyperglycemia: Consideration of Differences among Black, Hispanic, Asian and White Subgroups

Engelberg, Rachel S; Scheidell, Joy D; Islam, Nadia; Thorpe, Lorna; Khan, Maria R
BACKGROUND:Studies have shown that adults with a history of incarceration have elevated cardiovascular (CVD) risk. Research on racial/ethnic group differences in the association between incarceration and CVD risk factors of hypertension and hyperglycemia is limited. OBJECTIVE:To assess racial/ethnic group differences in the association between incarceration and hypertension and hyperglycemia. DESIGN/METHODS:We performed a secondary data analysis using the National Longitudinal Survey of Adolescent to Adult Health (Add Health). Using modified Poisson regression, we estimated the associations between lifetime history of incarceration reported during early adulthood with hypertension and hyperglycemia outcomes measured in mid-adulthood, including incident diagnosis. We evaluated whether associations varied by self-reported race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and Asian). PARTICIPANTS/METHODS:The analytic sample included 4,015 Add Health respondents who self-identified as non-Hispanic White, Non-Hispanic Black, Hispanic, and Asian, and provided incarceration history and outcome data. MAIN MEASURES/METHODS:Outcome measures included (1) hypertension (2) systolic blood pressure  ≥ 130 mmHg, and (3) hyperglycemia. KEY RESULTS/RESULTS:In non-Hispanic Black and non-Hispanic White participants, there was not evidence of an association between incarceration and measured health outcomes. Among Hispanic participants, incarceration was associated with hyperglycemia (Adjusted Risk Ratio (ARR): 2.1, 95% Confidence Interval (CI): 1.1-3.7), but not with hypertension risk. Incarceration was associated with elevated systolic blood pressure (ARR: 3.1, CI: 1.2-8.5) and hypertension (ARR: 1.7, CI: 1.0-2.8, p = 0.03) among Asian participants, but not with hyperglycemia risk. Incarceration was associated with incident hypertension (ARR 2.5, CI 1.2-5.3) among Asian subgroups. CONCLUSIONS:Our findings add to a growing body of evidence suggesting that incarceration may be linked to chronic disease outcomes. Race/ethnic-specific results, while limited by small sample size, highlight the need for long-term studies on incarceration's influence among distinct US groups.
PMCID:10817868
PMID: 37507551
ISSN: 1525-1497
CID: 5627952

Associations between PM2.5 and O3 exposures and new onset type 2 diabetes in regional and national samples in the United States

McAlexander, Tara P; Ryan, Victoria; Uddin, Jalal; Kanchi, Rania; Thorpe, Lorna; Schwartz, Brian S; Carson, April; Rolka, Deborah B; Adhikari, Samrachana; Pollak, Jonathan; Lopez, Priscilla; Smith, Megan; Meeker, Melissa; McClure, Leslie A
BACKGROUND:across three large samples in the US using a harmonized approach for exposure assignment and covariate adjustment. METHODS:. RESULTS:. Results in the Geisinger sample were null. VADR sample results evidenced nonlinear associations for both pollutants; the shape of the association was dependent on community type. CONCLUSIONS:and new onset T2D differed across three large study samples in the US. None of the results from any of the three study populations found strong and clear positive associations.
PMID: 37827369
ISSN: 1096-0953
CID: 5604692

Age and sex differences in the association between neighborhood socioeconomic environment and incident diabetes: Results from the diabetes location, environmental attributes and disparities (LEAD) network

Uddin, Jalal; Zhu, Sha; Adhikari, Samrachana; Nordberg, Cara M; Howell, Carrie R; Malla, Gargya; Judd, Suzanne E; Cherrington, Andrea L; Rummo, Pasquale E; Lopez, Priscilla; Kanchi, Rania; Siegel, Karen; De Silva, Shanika A; Algur, Yasemin; Lovasi, Gina S; Lee, Nora L; Carson, April P; Hirsch, Annemarie G; Thorpe, Lorna E; Long, D Leann
OBJECTIVE/UNASSIGNED:Worse neighborhood socioeconomic environment (NSEE) may contribute to an increased risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D). We examined whether the relationship between NSEE and T2D differs by sex and age in three study populations. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS/UNASSIGNED:We conducted a harmonized analysis using data from three independent longitudinal study samples in the US: 1) the Veteran Administration Diabetes Risk (VADR) cohort, 2) the REasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) cohort, and 3) a case-control study of Geisinger electronic health records in Pennsylvania. We measured NSEE with a z-score sum of six census tract indicators within strata of community type (higher density urban, lower density urban, suburban/small town, and rural). Community type-stratified models evaluated the likelihood of new diagnoses of T2D in each study sample using restricted cubic splines and quartiles of NSEE. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:Across study samples, worse NSEE was associated with higher risk of T2D. We observed significant effect modification by sex and age, though evidence of effect modification varied by site and community type. Largely, stronger associations between worse NSEE and diabetes risk were found among women relative to men and among those less than age 45 in the VADR cohort. Similar modification by age group results were observed in the Geisinger sample in small town/suburban communities only and similar modification by sex was observed in REGARDS in lower density urban communities. CONCLUSIONS/UNASSIGNED:The impact of NSEE on T2D risk may differ for males and females and by age group within different community types.
PMCID:10665656
PMID: 38021462
ISSN: 2352-8273
CID: 5617172

Associations between a Novel Measure of Census Tract-Level Credit Insecurity and Frequent Mental Distress in US Urban Areas, 2020

Titus, Andrea R; Li, Yuruo; Mills, Claire Kramer; Spoer, Benjamin; Lampe, Taylor; Kim, Byoungjun; Gourevitch, Marc N; Thorpe, Lorna E
Access to and utilization of consumer credit remains an understudied social determinant of health. We examined associations between a novel, small-area, multidimensional credit insecurity index (CII), and the prevalence of self-reported frequent mental distress across US cities in 2020. The census tract-level CII was developed by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York using Census population information and a nationally representative sample of anonymized Equifax credit report data. The CII was calculated for tracts in 766 cities displayed on the City Health Dashboard at the time of analysis, predominantly representing cities with over 50,000 residents. The CII combined data on tract-level participation in the formal credit economy with information on the percent of individuals without revolving credit, percent with high credit utilization, and percent with deep subprime credit scores. Tracts were classified as credit-assured, credit-likely, mid-tier, at-risk, or credit-insecure. We used linear regression to examine associations between the CII and a modeled tract-level measure of frequent mental distress, obtained from the CDC PLACES project. Regression models were adjusted for neighborhood economic and demographic characteristics. We examined effect modification by US region by including two-way interaction terms in regression models. In adjusted models, credit-insecure tracts had a modestly higher prevalence of frequent mental distress (prevalence difference = 0.38 percentage points; 95% CI = 0.32, 0.44), compared to credit-assured tracts. Associations were most pronounced in the Midwest. Local factors impacting credit access and utilization are often modifiable. The CII, a novel indicator of community financial well-being, may be an independent predictor of neighborhood health in US cities and could illuminate policy targets to improve access to desirable credit products and downstream health outcomes.
PMCID:10728417
PMID: 38012504
ISSN: 1468-2869
CID: 5612662

Validation of a geospatial aggregation method for congressional districts and other US administrative geographies

Spoer, Ben R; Chen, Alexander S; Lampe, Taylor M; Nelson, Isabel S; Vierse, Anne; Zazanis, Noah V; Kim, Byoungjun; Thorpe, Lorna E; Subramanian, Subu V; Gourevitch, Marc N
Stakeholders need data on health and drivers of health parsed to the boundaries of essential policy-relevant geographies. US Congressional Districts are an example of a policy-relevant geography which generally lack health data. One strategy to generate Congressional District heath data metric estimates is to aggregate estimates from other geographies, for example, from counties or census tracts to Congressional Districts. Doing so requires several methodological decisions. We refine a method to aggregate health metric estimates from one geography to another, using a population weighted approach. The method's accuracy is evaluated by comparing three aggregated metric estimates to metric estimates from the US Census American Community Survey for the same years: Broadband Access, High School Completion, and Unemployment. We then conducted four sensitivity analyses testing: the effect of aggregating counts vs. percentages; impacts of component geography size and data missingness; and extent of population overlap between component and target geographies. Aggregated estimates were very similar to estimates for identical metrics drawn directly from the data source. Sensitivity analyses suggest the following best practices for Congressional district-based metrics: utilizing smaller, more plentiful geographies like census tracts as opposed to larger, less plentiful geographies like counties, despite potential for less stable estimates in smaller geographies; favoring geographies with higher percentage population overlap.
PMCID:10498302
PMID: 37711359
ISSN: 2352-8273
CID: 5593552

Association between racial residential segregation and walkability in 745 U.S. cities

Spoer, Ben R; Conderino, Sarah E; Lampe, Taylor M; Ofrane, Rebecca H; De Leon, Elaine; Thorpe, Lorna E; Chang, Virginia W; Elbel, Brian
Despite higher chronic disease prevalence, minoritized populations live in highly walkable neighborhoods in US cities more frequently than non-minoritized populations. We investigated whether city-level racial residential segregation (RRS) was associated with city-level walkability, stratified by population density, possibly explaining this counterintuitive association. RRS for Black-White and Latino-White segregation in large US cities was calculated using the Index of Dissimilarity (ID), and walkability was measured using WalkScore. Median walkability increased across increasing quartiles of population density, as expected. Higher ID was associated with higher walkability; associations varied in strength across strata of population density. RRS undergirds the observed association between walkability and minoritized populations, especially in higher population density cities.
PMID: 37774640
ISSN: 1873-2054
CID: 5602802