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Invited commentary

Culliford, Alfred
PMID: 24484790
ISSN: 0003-4975
CID: 800082

Long-term mortality of coronary artery bypass graft surgery and stenting with drug-eluting stents

Wu, Chuntao; Camacho, Fabian T; Zhao, Songyang; Wechsler, Andrew S; Culliford, Alfred T; Lahey, Stephen J; King, Spencer B 3rd; Walford, Gary; Gold, Jeffrey P; Smith, Craig R; Jordan, Desmond; Higgins, Robert S D; Hannan, Edward L
BACKGROUND: Few studies have examined differences in long-term mortality between coronary artery bypass graft surgery and stenting with drug-eluting stents (DES) for multivessel disease without left main coronary artery stenosis. This study compares the risks of long-term mortality between these 2 procedures during a follow-up of up to 5 years. METHODS: Patients who underwent isolated bypass surgery (n = 13,212) and stenting with DES (n = 20,161) between October 2003 and December 2005 in New York State were followed for their vital status through 2008. To control for treatment selection bias, bypass and stenting patients were matched on age, number of diseased coronary vessels, presence of proximal or nonproximal left anterior descending (LAD) artery disease, and propensity of undergoing bypass surgery. Five-year survival rates for the 2 procedures were compared and hazard ratios for death of bypass surgery compared with stenting were obtained. RESULTS: The respective 5-year survival rates in the 8,121 pairs of matched bypass and stenting patients were 80.4% and 73.6% (p < 0.001), and the risk of death after bypass surgery was 29% lower than for stenting (hazard ratio = 0.71, 95% confidence interval: 0.67 to 0.77, p < 0.001). Significantly lower risks of death for bypass surgery were observed in patients with LAD artery disease but not in patients without LAD artery disease. Significantly lower risks of death for bypass surgery were also found in all patient subgroups defined by the presence of selected baseline risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Bypass surgery is associated with lower risk of death than stenting with DES for multivessel disease without left main stenosis.
PMCID:3756666
PMID: 23391171
ISSN: 0003-4975
CID: 287662

Risk score for predicting in-hospital/30-day mortality for patients undergoing valve and valve/coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Hannan, Edward L; Racz, Michael; Culliford, Alfred T; Lahey, Stephen J; Wechsler, Andrew; Jordan, Desmond; Gold, Jeffrey P; Higgins, Robert S D; Smith, Craig R
BACKGROUND: Risk scores are simplified linear formulas for predicting mortality or other adverse outcomes at the bedside without personal digital assistants or calculators. Although risk scores are available for valve surgery, they do not predict short-term mortality (within 30 days of surgery) after hospital discharge. METHODS: New York's Cardiac Surgery Reporting System 2007 to 2009 data were matched to vital statistics data to identify valve surgery with and without concomitant coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery deaths occurring in the index admission or within 30 days after the procedure in any location. Risk scores were created to easily predict these outcomes by modifying more complicated logistic regression models. RESULTS: There were 13,455 isolated valve surgery patients and 8,373 valve/CABG surgery patients in the study. The respective in-hospital/30-day mortality rates were 4.03% and 6.60%. There are 11 risk factors comprising the isolated valve surgery score, with risk factor scores ranging from 1 to 8, and the highest observed total score is 28. There are 14 risk factors comprising the valve/CABG surgery score, with risk factor scores ranging from 1 to 6, and the highest observed total score is 19. The scores accurately predicted mortality in 2007 to 2009 as well as in 2004 to 2006, and were strongly correlated with complications and length of stay. CONCLUSIONS: The risk scores that were developed provide quick and accurate estimates of patients' chances of short-term mortality after cardiac valve surgery.
PMID: 23357609
ISSN: 0003-4975
CID: 287672

The New York risk score for in-hospital and 30-day mortality for coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Hannan, Edward L; Farrell, Louise Szypulski; Wechsler, Andrew; Jordan, Desmond; Lahey, Stephen J; Culliford, Alfred T; Gold, Jeffrey P; Higgins, Robert S D; Smith, Craig R
BACKGROUND: Simplified risk scores for coronary artery bypass graft surgery are frequently in lieu of more complicated statistical models and are valuable for informed consent and choice of intervention. Previous risk scores have been based on in-hospital mortality, but a substantial number of patients die within 30 days of the procedure. These deaths should also be accounted for, so we have developed a risk score based on in-hospital and 30-day mortality. METHODS: New York's Cardiac Surgery Reporting System was used to develop an in-hospital and 30-day logistic regression model for patients undergoing coronary artery bypass graft surgery in 2009, and this model was converted into a simple linear risk score that provides estimated in-hospital and 30-day mortality rates for different values of the score. The accuracy of the risk score in predicting mortality was tested. This score was also validated by applying it to 2008 New York coronary artery bypass graft data. Subsequent analyses evaluated the ability of the risk score to predict complications and length of stay. RESULTS: The overall in-hospital and 30-day mortality rate for the 10,148 patients in the study was 1.79%. There are seven risk factors comprising the score, with risk factor scores ranging from 1 to 5, and the highest possible total score is 23. The score accurately predicted mortality in 2009 as well as in 2008, and was strongly correlated with complications and length of stay. CONCLUSIONS: The risk score is a simple way of estimating short-term mortality that accurately predicts mortality in the year the model was developed as well as in the previous year. Perioperative complications and length of stay are also well predicted by the risk score.
PMID: 23200237
ISSN: 0003-4975
CID: 216672

Risk score for predicting long-term mortality after coronary artery bypass graft surgery

Wu, Chuntao; Camacho, Fabian T; Wechsler, Andrew S; Lahey, Stephen; Culliford, Alfred T; Jordan, Desmond; Gold, Jeffrey P; Higgins, Robert S D; Smith, Craig R; Hannan, Edward L
BACKGROUND: No simplified bedside risk scores have been created to predict long-term mortality after coronary artery bypass graft surgery. METHODS AND RESULTS: The New York State Cardiac Surgery Reporting System was used to identify 8597 patients who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery in July through December 2000. The National Death Index was used to ascertain patients' vital statuses through December 31, 2007. A Cox proportional hazards model was fit to predict death after CABG surgery using preprocedural risk factors. Then, points were assigned to significant predictors of death on the basis of the values of their regression coefficients. For each possible point total, the predicted risks of death at years 1, 3, 5, and 7 were calculated. It was found that the 7-year mortality rate was 24.2 in the study population. Significant predictors of death included age, body mass index, ejection fraction, unstable hemodynamic state or shock, left main coronary artery disease, cerebrovascular disease, peripheral arterial disease, congestive heart failure, malignant ventricular arrhythmia, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes mellitus, renal failure, and history of open heart surgery. The points assigned to these risk factors ranged from 1 to 7; possible point totals for each patient ranged from 0 to 28. The observed and predicted risks of death at years 1, 3, 5, and 7 across patient groups stratified by point totals were highly correlated. CONCLUSION: The simplified risk score accurately predicted the risk of mortality after coronary artery bypass graft surgery and can be used for informed consent and as an aid in determining treatment choice.
PMCID:3422677
PMID: 22547673
ISSN: 0009-7322
CID: 167843

Invited commentary

Culliford, Alfred
PMID: 22269716
ISSN: 1552-6259
CID: 150574

A Comparison of Long-Term Mortality for Off-Pump and On-Pump Coronary Artery Bypass Graft Surgery

Wu, C; Camacho, FT; Culliford, AT; Gold, JP; Wechsler, AS; Higgins, RS; Lahey, SJ; Smith, CR; Jordan, D; Hannan, EL
Background- The survival difference between off-pump and on-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery for follow-up longer than 5 years is not well-understood. The objective of this study is to examine the difference in 7-year mortality after these 2 procedures. Methods and Results- The state of New York's Cardiac Surgery Reporting System was used to identify the 2640 off-pump and 5940 on-pump patients discharged from July through December 2000. The National Death Index was used to ascertain patients' vital statuses through 2007. A logistic regression model was fit to predict the probability of receiving an off-pump procedure using baseline patient characteristics. Off-pump and on-pump patients were matched with a 1:1 ratio based on the probability of receiving an off-pump procedure. Kaplan-Meier survival curves for the 2 procedures were compared using the propensity-matched data, and the hazard ratio for death for off-pump in comparison with on-pump procedures was obtained. In subgroup analyses, the significance of interactions between type of surgery and baseline risk factors was tested. In this study, 2631 pairs of off-pump and on-pump patients were propensity matched. The 7-year Kaplan-Meier survival rates were 71.2% and 73.4% (P=0.07) for off-pump and on-pump surgery, respectively. The hazard ratio for death (off-pump versus on-pump) was 1.10 (95% confidence interval: 0.99 to 1.21, P=0.07). No statistical significance was detected for the interaction terms between the type of surgery and a number of different baseline risk factors. Conclusions- The difference in long-term mortality between on-pump and off-pump coronary artery bypass graft surgery is not statistically significant.
PMCID:3277259
PMID: 22235063
ISSN: 1941-7713
CID: 155937

Long-term mortality of coronary artery bypass grafting and bare-metal stenting

Wu, Chuntao; Zhao, Songyang; Wechsler, Andrew S; Lahey, Stephen; Walford, Gary; Culliford, Alfred T; Gold, Jeffrey P; Smith, Craig R; Holmes, David R Jr; King, Spencer B 3rd; Higgins, Robert S D; Jordan, Desmond; Hannan, Edward L
BACKGROUND: There is little information on relative survival with follow-up longer than 5 years in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) with stenting. This study tested the hypothesis that CABG is associated with a lower risk of long-term (8-year) mortality than is stenting with bare-metal stents for multivessel coronary disease. METHODS: We identified 18,359 patients with multivessel disease who underwent isolated CABG and 13,377 patients who received bare-metal stenting in 1999 to 2000 in New York and followed their vital status through 2007 using the National Death Index (NDI). We matched CABG and stent patients on the number of diseased coronary vessels, proximal left anterior descending (LAD) artery disease, and propensity of undergoing CABG based on numerous patient characteristics and compared survival after the 2 procedures. RESULTS: In the 7,235 pairs of matched patients, the overall 8-year survival rates were 78.0% for CABG and 71.2% for stenting (hazard ratio [HR], 0.68; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.64 to 0.74; p < 0.001). For anatomic groups classified by the number of diseased vessels and proximal LAD involvement, the HRs ranged from 0.53 (p < 0.001) for patients with 3-vessel disease involving proximal LAD artery disease to 0.78 (p = 0.05) for patients with 2-vessel disease but no disease in the LAD artery. A lower risk of death after CABG was observed in all subgroups stratified by a number of baseline risk factors. CONCLUSIONS: Coronary artery bypass grafting is associated with a lower risk of death than is stenting with bare metal stents for multivessel coronary disease
PMCID:3271851
PMID: 22014747
ISSN: 1552-6259
CID: 145777

Minimally invasive valve surgery with antegrade perfusion strategy is not associated with increased neurologic complications

Grossi, Eugene A; Loulmet, Didier F; Schwartz, Charles F; Solomon, Brian; Dellis, Sophia L; Culliford, Alfred T; Zias, Elias; Galloway, Aubrey C
BACKGROUND: A Society of Thoracic Surgeons' publication recently associated 'minimally invasive' approaches with increased neurologic complications; this proposed association was questionable due to imprecise definitions. To critically reevaluate this issue, we reviewed a large minimally invasive valve experience with robust definitions. METHODS: From November 1995 to January 2007, 3,180 isolated, non-reoperative valve operations were performed; 1,452 (45.7%) were aortic replacements and 1,728 (54.3%) were mitral valve procedures. Surgical approach was standard sternotomy (28%) or minimally invasive technique (72%). Antegrade arterial perfusion was used in 2,646 (83.2%) patients and retrograde perfusion in 534 (16.8%). Aortic clamping was direct in 83.4%, with endoclamp in 16.4% and no clamp in 0.2%. Patients were prospectively followed in a proprietary database and the New York State Cardiac Surgery Reporting System (mandatory, government audited). A neurologic event was defined as a permanent deficit, a transient deficit greater than 24 hours, or a new lesion on cerebral imaging. RESULTS: Hospital mortality for aortic valve replacement was 4.0% (sternotomy [5.1%] versus minimally invasive [3.4%] p = 0.13); for mitral procedures it was 2.4% (sternotomy [4.8%] versus minimally invasive [1.8%] p = 0.001). Multivariate analysis revealed that age, female gender, renal disease, ejection fraction less than 0.30, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and emergent operation were risk factors for mortality. Stroke occurred in 71 patients (2.2%) (sternotomy [2.1%] versus minimally invasive [2.3%] p = 0.82). Multivariate analysis of neurologic events revealed that cerebrovascular disease, emergency procedure, no-clamp, and retrograde perfusion were risk factors. In patients 50 years old or younger (n = 662), retrograde perfusion had no significant impact on neurologic events (1.6% vs 1.1%, p = 0.57). CONCLUSIONS: A minimally invasive approach with antegrade perfusion does not result in increased neurologic complications. Retrograde perfusion, however, is associated with increased neurologic risk in older patients
PMID: 21958781
ISSN: 1552-6259
CID: 138113

Long-term myocardial recovery after mitral valve replacement in noncompaction cardiomyopathy

Bhat, Tariq; Costantino, Thomas; Bhat, Hilal; Olkovsky, Yefim; Akhtar, Muhammad; Teli, Sumaya; Culliford, Alfred
ABSTRACT: Isolated noncompaction of the left ventricle is a congenital cardiomyopathy, which has been described recently, with literature limited to case reports and case series. Even though various complications have been reported with noncompaction cardiomyopathy, among them severe mitral regurgitation has been reported recently in a few cases. There is no great evidence in the literature about its management, apart from some cases of mitral valve repair and replacement in young patients. We are reporting a case of an elderly lady with isolated left ventricular noncompaction cardiomyopathy associated with severe mitral regurgitation treated with mitral valve replacement with one and half year of follow up demonstrating significant myocardial recovery
PMCID:3193815
PMID: 21958914
ISSN: 1749-8090
CID: 140499