Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND: On August 14, 2003, the United States and Canada suffered the largest power failure in history. We report the effects of this blackout on New York City's healthcare system by examining the following: 1) citywide 911 emergency medical service (EMS) calls and ambulance responses; and 2) emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions to one of New York City's largest hospitals. METHODS: Citywide EMS calls and ambulance responses were categorized by 911 call type. Montefiore Medical Center (MMC) ED visits and hospital admissions were categorized by diagnosis and physician-reviewed for relationship to the blackout. Comparisons were made to the week pre- and postblackout. RESULTS: Citywide EMS calls numbered 5,299 on August 14, 2003, and 5,021 on August 15, 2003, a 58% increase (p < .001). During the blackout, there were increases in "respiratory" (189%; p < .001), "cardiac" (68%; p = .016), and "other" (40%; p < .001) EMS call categories, but when expressed as a percent of daily totals, "cardiac" was no longer significant. The MMC-ED reflected this surge with only "respiratory" visits significantly increased (expressed as percent of daily total visits; p < .001). Respiratory device failure (mechanical ventilators, positive pressure breathing assist devices, nebulizers, and oxygen compressors) was responsible for the greatest burden (65 MMC-ED visits, with 37 admissions) as compared with 0 pre- and postblackout. CONCLUSIONS: The blackout dramatically increased EMS and hospital activity, with unexpected increases resulting from respiratory device failures in community-based patients. Our findings suggest that current capacity to respond to public health emergencies could be easily overwhelmed by widespread/prolonged power failure(s). Disaster preparedness planning would be greatly enhanced if fully operational, backup power systems were mandated, not only for acute care facilities, but also for community-based patients dependent on electrically powered lifesaving devices.

To control the upward spiral of healthcare costs, hospitals seek to implement efficiency interventions whose benefits are frequently assessed by reductions in average inpatient length of stay (LOS). However, average hospital LOS is a crude metric when trying to assess the utility of an intervention focussed on a particular service or over a specific time window. It cannot isolate the time or place of the intervention from the full duration of a patient's hospital visit, which may include more than 1 hospital service or extend beyond the intervention's time window. At Montefiore Medical Center, a new analytic method was used to describe a month-long effort to improve care efficiency in a hospital teaching service. Using an extension of the Cox proportional hazard model (S-plus), we were able to analyze the contribution of only those patient-days that took place during the time window of interest on the service of interest, eliminating the contamination of the "non intervention days." Having built the appropriate model, we were then able to graph the behavior of the groups with and without the intervention and calculate the model's expected average LOS, controlling for the appropriate variables. By comparing this method with a conventional average LOS analysis, we demonstrate the superiority of using this "time slice" method over the conventional analysis of LOS.

Current guidelines call for Papanicolaou (Pap) smear screening of HIV-infected women at least annually. After the initiation of a weekly computer based Pap smear reminder list in an HIV care clinic, the prevalence of scheduled women with up-to-date Pap smears was calculated for the one-year project period and was compared to the prevalence preceding the project. The prevalence of scheduled women with up-to-date Pap smears increased from 61.4% to 73.2% (P <0.001) during the project period. Including Pap smears that were performed elsewhere, the final up-to-date Pap smear rate was 82.7%. The improved rate of up-to-date Pap smears showed no sign of attenuation over time. A computerized report generated from data in the hospital information system increased rates of compliance with Pap smear screening recommendations. Creative utilization of hospital data environments may be an inexpensive route to improved compliance with practice guidelines.

The widespread use of highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART) since 1996 has led to a substantial decline in morbidity and mortality in patients infected with HIV, although its effect on the incidence of HIV-associated malignancies is unknown. We retrospectively reviewed the annual number of outpatient visits to our HIV clinic, inpatient admissions for HIV disease, and first admissions for patients with cancer and HIV disease at our center between 1990 and 1997. Between 1990 and 1995, there was a progressive increase in the annual number of admissions for HIV disease and HIV-associated cancers that paralleled the increasing HIV clinic volume. In 1997, however, the annual number of first admissions for Kaposi's sarcoma (KS) and non-Hodgkin's lymphoma compared with 1995 decreased by 36% and 63%, respectively, despite a continued increase in the annual number of HIV clinic visits. Similar declines were also noted in the number of new cases of biopsy-confirmed KS and primary central nervous system (CNS) lymphoma. In contrast, there was no decrease in the number of first admissions for patients with HIV infection and other cancers not typically associated with HIV infection. These findings suggest a declining incidence of HIV-associated malignancies since the introduction of HAART

The incidence of tuberculosis--and, more important, that of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis--have risen drastically in the past decade. Nosocomial outbreaks have alerted health-care workers to the hazards of the spread of tuberculosis. The use of environmental control modalities (e.g., ventilation, air filtration, and ultraviolet irradiation) and personal protective devices has been explored in the medical, legislative, and public forums. New regulations and legislation have created controversy over the recommendations and their interpretation. In this review we present the theory behind the rational selection of environmental-control modalities and personal protective devices. We also offer suggestions about the application of specific control techniques and the revision of existing facilities to comply with new standards.

BACKGROUND: The incidence of tuberculosis and drug resistance is increasing in the United States, but it is not clear how much of the increase is due to reactivation of latent infection and how much to recent transmission. METHODS: We performed DNA fingerprinting using restriction-fragment-length polymorphism (RFLP) analysis of at least one isolate from every patient with confirmed tuberculosis at a major hospital in the Bronx, New York, from December 1, 1989, through December 31, 1992. Medical records and census-tract data were reviewed for relevant clinical, social, and demographic data. RESULTS: Of 130 patients with tuberculosis, 104 adults (80 percent) had complete medical records and isolates whose DNA fingerprints could be evaluated. Isolates from 65 patients (62.5 percent) had unique RFLP patterns, whereas isolates from 39 patients (37.5 percent) had RFLP patterns that were identical to those of an isolate from at least 1 other study patient; the isolates in the latter group were classified into 12 clusters. Patients whose isolates were included in one of the clusters were inferred to have recently transmitted disease. Independent risk factors for having a clustered isolate included seropositivity for the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) (odds ratio for Hispanic patients, 4.31; P = 0.02; for non-Hispanic patients, 3.12; P = 0.07), Hispanic ethnicity combined with HIV seronegativity (odds ratio, 5.13; P = 0.05), infection with drug-resistant tuberculosis (odds ratio, 4.52; P = 0.005), and younger age (odds ratio, 1.59; P = 0.02). Residence in sections of the Bronx with a median household income below $20,000 was also associated with having a clustered isolate (odds ratio, 3.22; P = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS: In the inner-city community we studied, recently transmitted tuberculosis accounts for approximately 40 percent of the incident cases and almost two thirds of drug-resistant cases. Recent transmission of tuberculosis, and not only reactivation of latent disease, contributes substantially to the increase in tuberculosis.