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Towards a subsiding diabetes epidemic: trends from a large population-based study in Israel

Karpati, Tomas; Cohen-Stavi, Chandra J; Leibowitz, Morton; Hoshen, Moshe; Feldman, Becca S; Balicer, Ran D
BACKGROUND: With increasing diabetes prevalence worldwide, an impending diabetes "pandemic" has been reported. However, definitions of incident cases and the population at risk remain varied and ambiguous. This study analyzed trends in mortality and screening that contribute to diabetes prevalence and incidence, distinguishing between new incident cases and newly detected cases. METHODS: In an integrated provider-and-payer-system covering 53% of Israel's population, a composite diabetes case-finding algorithm was built using diagnoses, lab tests, and antidiabetic medication purchases from the organization's electronic medical record database. Data were extracted on adult members aged 26+ each year from January 1, 2004 through December 31, 2012. Rates of diabetes prevalence, incidence, screening, and mortality were reported, with incidence rates evaluated among the total, "previously-screened," and "previously-unscreened" at-risk populations. RESULTS: There were 343,554 diabetes cases in 2012 (14.4%) out of 2,379,712 members aged 26+. A consistent but decelerating upward trend in diabetes prevalence was observed from 2004-2012. Annual mortality rates among diabetics decreased from 13.8/1000 to 10.7/1000 (p = 0.0002). Total population incidence rates declined from 13.3/1000 in 2006 to 10.8/1000 in 2012 (p < 0.0001), with similar incidence trends (13.2/1000 to 10.2/1000; p = 0.0007) among previously-screened at-risk members, and a rise in testing rates from 53.0% to 66.7% (p = 0.0004). The previously-unscreened group decreased 28.6%, and the incidence rates within this group remained stable. CONCLUSIONS: The increase in diabetes prevalence is decelerating despite declining mortality and increasing testing rates. A decline in previously-screened incident cases and a shrinking pool of previously-unscreened members suggests that diabetes trends in Israel are moving toward equilibrium, rather than a growing epidemic.
PMCID:4233034
PMID: 25400512
ISSN: 1478-7954
CID: 1443722

Identifying barriers to participation in cardiac prevention and rehabilitation programmes via decision tree analysis: establishing targets for remedial interventions

Reges, Orna; Vilchinsky, Noa; Leibowitz, Morton; Khaskia, Abdulrahem; Mosseri, Morris; Kark, Jeremy D
BACKGROUND:Participation rates of patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS) in efficacious cardiac prevention and rehabilitation programmes (CPRPs) are low, particularly in ethnic minorities. Few studies have evaluated the full array of potential barriers to participation in a multiethnic cohort with identical insurance coverage. OBJECTIVE:To assess the hierarchy of multiple barriers (ie, sociodemographic, systemic, illness related, psychological and cultural) to participation in CPRP of Jewish and Arab patients served by a regional hospital in Israel. METHODS:Patients with ACS (N=420) were interviewed during hospitalisation about potential barriers and subsequently about participation in CPRP. Decision tree analysis determined, hierarchically, the best predictors of participation in CPRP. RESULTS:Ethnicity was the salient predictor of participation in CPRP (61.1% (95% CI 55.6% to 66.5%) of Jewish patients versus 17.2% (95% CI 11.2% to 24.9%) of Arab patients). Among Jewish patients the dominant determinant was a recommendation for CPRP in the hospital discharge letter (32.5% (95% CI 23.1% to 43.1%) vs 71.9% (95% CI 65.8% to 77.6%) participation without and with a recommendation, respectively). Other major hierarchical determinants included age, discharge diagnosis, socioeconomic position and perceived benefits of exercise. Among Arab patients, anxiety was the main predictor (5.5% (95% CI 1.1% to 14.1%) vs 27.9% (95% CI 17.7% to 40.0%) participation among those with high vs lower anxiety levels). Additional contributors were a predischarge visit to the rehabilitation centre (familiarisation) and car ownership (access). CONCLUSIONS:Utilisation of decision tree analysis enables us to identify the key barriers to participation in CPRP in an ethnic-specific mode. Interventions to improve participation can then be designed to address each group's specific barriers.
PMCID:4189323
PMID: 25332811
ISSN: 2053-3624
CID: 3663322

Systemic determinants as barriers to participation in cardiac prevention and rehabilitation services after Acute Coronary Syndrome

Reges, Orna; Vilchinsky, Noa; Leibowitz, Morton; Khaskia, Abdulrahem; Mosseri, Morris; Kark, Jeremy D
PMID: 23896544
ISSN: 0167-5273
CID: 656872

Illness cognition as a predictor of exercise habits and participation in cardiac prevention and rehabilitation programs after acute coronary syndrome

Reges, Orna; Vilchinsky, Noa; Leibowitz, Morton; Khaskia, Abdulrahem; Mosseri, Morris; Kark, Jeremy D
BACKGROUND: Despite well-established medical recommendations, many cardiac patients do not exercise regularly either independently or through formal cardiac prevention and rehabilitation programs (CPRP). This non-adherence is even more pronounced among minority ethnic groups. Illness cognition (IC), i.e. the way people perceive the situation they encounter, has been recognized as a crucial determinant of health-promoting behavior. Few studies have applied a cognitive perspective to explain the disparity in exercising and CPRP attendance between cardiac patients from different ethnic backgrounds. Based on the Health Belief Model (HBM) and the Common Sense Model (CSM), the objective was to assess the association of IC with exercising and with participation in CPRP among Jewish/majority and Arab/minority patients hospitalized with acute coronary syndrome. METHODS: Patients (N = 420) were interviewed during hospitalization (January-2009 until August- 2010) about IC, with 6-month follow-up interviews about exercise habits and participation in CPRP. Determinants that predict active lifestyle and participation in CPRP were assessed using backward stepwise logistic regression. RESULTS: Perceived susceptibility to heart disease and sense and personal control were independently associated with exercising 6 months after the acute event (OR = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.42-0.80 and OR = 1.09, 95% CI: 1.02-1.17, per unit on a 5-point scale). Perceived benefits of regular exercise and a sense of personal control were independently associated with participation in CPRP (OR = 1.56, 95% CI: 1.12-2.16 and OR = 1.08, 95% CI: 1.01-1.15, per unit on a 5-point scale). None of the IC variables assessed could explain the large differences in health promoting behaviors between the majority and minority ethnic groups. CONCLUSIONS: IC should be taken into account in future interventions to promote physical activity and participation in CPRP for both ethnic groups. Yet, because IC failed to explain the gap between Arab and Jewish patients in those behaviors, other explanatory pathways such as psychological state or cultural views should be considered as potential areas for further research.
PMCID:3852800
PMID: 24119027
ISSN: 1471-2458
CID: 722382

Arab-Jewish differences in attending cardiac rehabilitation programs following acute coronary syndrome [Letter]

Reges, Orna; Vilchinsky, Noa; Leibowitz, Morton; Khaskia, Abdulrahem; Mosseri, Morris; Kark, Jeremy D
PMID: 22805555
ISSN: 0167-5273
CID: 722412

The role of illness perceptions in the attachment-related process of affect regulation

Vilchinsky, Noa; Dekel, Rachel; Asher, Zvia; Leibowitz, Morton; Mosseri, Morris
Based on the predictions of the attachment theory and the Common Sense Model of illness perceptions, the current study focused on the role played by illness perceptions in explaining the path linking attachment orientations to negative affect during recovery from cardiac illness. We predicted two putative mechanisms: (1) illness perceptions would mediate the direct association between attachment-related insecurity (especially attachment anxiety) and levels of distress at follow-up and (2) illness perceptions would interact with attachment orientations (attachment avoidance in particular) in explaining patients' distress. The sample consisted of 111 male patients admitted to the Cardiac Care Unit of the Meir Medical Center, located in the central region of Israel. Patients completed a measure of attachment orientations during hospitalization (baseline). One month later, patients' illness perceptions were measured. Patients' depression and anxiety symptoms were measured at baseline and at the six-month follow-up. The associations between attachment-related anxiety and anxiety symptoms at follow-up were fully mediated by illness perceptions. Attachment-related avoidance was found to interact with illness perceptions in the prediction of depressive symptoms at follow-up. The findings shed light on the possible dynamics among personality, cognitive appraisals, and affect regulation efforts when coping with illness.
PMID: 22607155
ISSN: 1061-5806
CID: 722422

EMR-based medication adherence metric markedly enhances identification of nonadherent patients

Singer, Shepherd Roee; Hoshen, Moshe; Shadmi, Efrat; Leibowitz, Morton; Flaks-Manov, Natalie; Bitterman, Haim; Balicer, Ran D
OBJECTIVES: To determine whether addition of written-prescription data to existing adherence measures improves identification of nonadherent patients and prediction of changes in low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective database analysis of all health plan members prescribed a statin in 2008 and followed through 2010. METHODS: We examined statin use in a 4-millionmember health plan with 100% electronic medical record coverage. A novel type of medication possession ratio (MPR), integrating prescribed with dispensed medication data, was developed. This measure, MPRp, was compared with a standard dispensed-only adherence measure, MPRd. Adherence below 20% was considered nonadherence. The 2 adherence measures were compared regarding (1) the number of patients identified as nonadherent, (2) percent changes in LDL from study enrollment to study termination, and (3) receiver-operator curves assessing the association between adherence and a 24% decrease in LDL. RESULTS: A total of 67,517 patients received 1,386,270 written prescriptions over the 3-year period. MPRp identified 93% more patients as nonadherent than did MPRd (P <.001). These newly identified patients exhibited minimal LDL decreases over the course of the study. Adherence by MPRp was more strongly associated with decreases in LDL than was adherence by MPRd (area under the curve 0.815 vs 0.770; P <.001). During the study period, 18.2% of patients did not fill any prescriptions and were thus unidentifiable by dispensed-only measures. CONCLUSIONS: Addition of written-prescription data to adherence measures identified nearly twice the number of nonadherent patients and markedly improved prediction of changes in LDL.
PMID: 23145845
ISSN: 1088-0224
CID: 722402

Preliminary evidence for the construct and concurrent validity of the DS14 in Hebrew

Vilchinsky, Noa; Yaakov, Meytal; Sigawi, Lilach; Leibowitz, Morton; Reges, Orna; Levit, Orna; Khaskia, Abdelrahim; Mosseri, Morris
BACKGROUND: Type D personality is a risk indicator in cardiac patients. While both the validity and reliability of the Type D scale (DS14) have been confirmed in Western Europe, less attention has been paid to the subject in other nations. PURPOSE: The purpose of this study was to examine the validity of the Hebrew version of the DS14 among a sample of cardiac patients in Israel. METHOD: Male patients (N = 94) hospitalized for a first acute coronary syndrome (ACS) completed the DS14 1 month after their ACS. The Brief Symptoms Inventory (BSI) scales for depression and anxiety and the Buss-Durkee Hostility Inventory-Dutch for measuring covert and overt aggressions were administered during the initial hospitalization (baseline). The BSI was administered again at the 6-month follow-up. At follow-up, patients were also asked about their participation in a formal cardiac rehabilitation program. RESULTS: The two-factor structure of the DS14 was confirmed and the DS14 subscales were internally consistent (Cronbach's alpha = 0.79/0.80). Type D cardiac patients had a significantly higher mean score on anxiety, depression, and covert aggression at baseline compared to non-Type D patients. At the 6-month follow-up, Type D was associated with more anxiety, more depression, and less attendance at a formal cardiac rehabilitation program. The prevalence of Type D in the current sample (5.3%) was found to be significantly lower than elsewhere in Europe. CONCLUSION: Preliminary evidence suggests that it is possible to use the Hebrew version of the DS14 among Hebrew-speaking cardiac patients in future studies. However, the prevalence of the Type D personality in Israel should be further assessed.
PMID: 21298499
ISSN: 1070-5503
CID: 722442

Perceptions of cause of illness in acute myocardial infarction patients: A longitudinal study

Reges, Orna; Vilchinsky, Noa; Leibowitz, Morton; Manor, Dafna; Mosseri, Morris; Kark, Jeremy D
OBJECTIVE: To assess change in patient's attributions of illness over the long term in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). METHODS: 178 patients were asked during the index hospitalization and 2-2.5 years after discharge whether they thought each of 13 possible factors may have contributed to their illness. Two dichotomous variables, conventional attribution (attribution to traditional risk factors, CA) and psychosocial attribution (PA), were defined and assessed for each patient. RESULTS: General stress, cigarette smoking, and heredity were the most commonly mentioned attribution for the AMI. The proportion of individuals with positive CA increased at follow up. There was little congruence between patients' attributions and actual self-reported risk factors, either at baseline or at follow up. Age, education, country of birth, and anxiety were found as independent predictors of illness attribution. The participation in a cardiac prevention and rehabilitation program (CPRP) did not contribute to a significant change in CA attributions. CONCLUSION: Substantial proportions of patients have a poor understanding of the causes of their AMI both at onset of the illness and 2-2.5 years later, notwithstanding CPRP. PRACTICE IMPLICATIONS: The health care system can ill afford complacency with regards patient education and understanding
PMID: 21310582
ISSN: 1873-5134
CID: 139923

Dynamics of support perceptions among couples coping with cardiac illness: the effect on recovery outcomes

Vilchinsky, Noa; Dekel, Rachel; Leibowitz, Morton; Reges, Orna; Khaskia, Abid; Mosseri, Morris
OBJECTIVE: The current prospective study explored how male cardiac patients' perceptions of received support (i.e., active engagement, protective buffering, and overprotection) moderated the associations between female partners' perceptions of provided support and patients' recovery outcomes: psychological well-being, cholesterol levels, and smoking cessation. METHODS: Couples (N = 86) completed surveys at the initial hospitalization after patients' Acute Coronary Syndrome (ACS), and 1 and 6 months later. Partners' ways of providing support and patients' concurrent perceptions of these ways were measured using the Ways of Giving Support Questionnaire; patients' depressive and anxiety symptoms were measured using the Brief Symptom Inventory (BSI). Patients' cholesterol levels were assessed during hospitalization and 6 months later, and smoking habits were reported by the patients. RESULTS: Female partners' protective buffering was positively associated with male patients' depressive symptoms at follow-up only when male patients' own perceptions of partners' protective buffering were low. Female partners' active engagement was positively associated with better odds for male patients' cessation of smoking only when patients' own perceptions of partners' active engagement were high. Finally, female partners' overprotection was associated with higher levels of male patients' harmful blood lipids at follow-up, but only when patients' own perceptions of partners' overprotection were high. CONCLUSIONS: As hypothesized, the effect of partners' perceptions of support provided on patients' recovery was moderated by patients' own perceptions of the support received. The effect of this interaction was determined by the specific types of support provided or received and by the specific recovery outcome that was measured. The clinical and theoretical implications of the findings are discussed.
PMID: 21480711
ISSN: 0278-6133
CID: 722432