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What Did Not Work: The Drug or the Trial? [Editorial]

Merrill, Joan T
In this issue of Arthritis & Rheumatology, the paper by Isenberg et al, entitled Efficacy, Safety, and Pharmacodynamic Effects of the Bruton's Tyrosine Kinase Inhibitor, Fenebrutinib (GDC-0853), in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus reports results of a Phase 2 trial of fenebrutinib, an inhibitor of Bruton's tyrosine kinase (BTK). This treatment met expected pharmacodynamic targets, decreasing phosphorylated BTK, dampening plasmablast signals, and lowering anti-dsDNA and IgG. No concerning safety signal was observed.
PMID: 34042321
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 4895312

A Comparison of 2019 EULAR/ACR SLE Classification Criteria with Two Sets of Earlier SLE Classification Criteria

Petri, Michelle; Goldman, Daniel W; Alarcón, Graciela S; Gordon, Caroline; Merrill, Joan T; Fortin, Paul R; Bruce, Ian N; Isenberg, David; Wallace, Daniel; Nived, Ola; Ramsey-Goldman, Rosalind; Bae, Sang-Cheol; Hanly, John G; Sanchez-Guerrero, Jorge; Clarke, Ann E; Aranow, Cynthia; Manzi, Susan; Urowitz, Murray; Gladman, Dafna D; Kalunian, Ken; Werth, Victoria P; Zoma, Asad; Bernatsky, Sasha; Khamashta, Munther; Jacobsen, SØren; Buyon, Jill P; Dooley, Mary Anne; van Vollenhoven, Ronald; Ginzler, Ellen; Stoll, Thomas; Peschken, Christine; Jorizzo, Joseph L; Callen, Jeffery P; Lim, Sam; Inanç, Murat; Kamen, Diane L; Rahman, Anisur; Steinsson, Kristjan; Franks, Andrew G; Magder, Laurence S
OBJECTIVE:The Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) 2012 SLE classification criteria and the revised American College of Rheumatology (ACR) 1997 criteria are list-based, counting each SLE manifestation equally. We derived a classification rule based on giving variable weights to the SLICC criteria, and compared its performance to the revised ACR 1997, unweighted SLICC 2012 and the newly reported European League Against Rheumatism (EULAR)/ACR 2019 criteria. METHODS:The physician-rated patient scenarios used to develop the SLICC 2012 classification criteria were re-employed to devise a new weighted classification rule using multiple linear regression. The performance of the rule was evaluated on an independent set of expert-diagnosed patient scenarios and compared to the performance of the previously reported classification rules. RESULTS:Weighted SLICC criteria and the EULAR/ACR 2019 criteria had less sensitivity but better specificity compared to the list-based revised ACR 1997 and SLICC 2012 classification criteria. There were no statistically significant differences between any pair of rules with respect to overall agreement with the physician diagnosis. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The two new weighted classification rules did not perform better than the existing list-based rules in terms of overall agreement on a dataset originally generated to assess the SLICC criteria. Given the added complexity of summing weights, researchers may prefer the unweighted SLICC criteria. However, the performance of a classification rule will always depend on the populations from which the cases and non-cases are derived, and whether the goal is to prioritize sensitivity or specificity.
PMID: 32433832
ISSN: 2151-4658
CID: 4444392

Evaluating Change in Disease Activity Needed to Reflect Meaningful Improvement in Quality of Life for Clinical Trials in Cutaneous Lupus Erythematosus

Chakka, Srita; Krain, Rebecca L; Ahmed, Sarah; Concha, Josef Symon S; Feng, Rui; Merrill, Joan T; Werth, Victoria P
BACKGROUND:Outcome measures of clinical trials in cutaneous lupus erythematosus (CLE) should reflect clinically meaningful improvement in disease activity, as measured by the Cutaneous Lupus Disease Area and Severity Index activity score (CLASI-A). OBJECTIVE:We aim to define the degree of improvement in disease activity meaningful to a patient's quality of life (QoL). METHODS:The change in the CLASI-A in 126 patients needed to predict meaningful change in QoL, as defined by the Emotions and Symptoms subscales of Skindex-29, was evaluated by linear regression models. RESULTS:In patients with an initial CLASI-A ≥8, a 42.1% or ≥7-point and a 31.0% or ≥5-point decrease in CLASI-A predicts meaningful improvement in the Emotions and the Symptoms subscales, respectively. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS:This is a retrospective study of prospectively collected data at a single site. CONCLUSIONS:A CLASI-A score ≥8 for trial entry allows for inclusion of patients with milder disease where CLASI-A improvement by ≥50% is clinically significant and meaningful.
PMID: 32682879
ISSN: 1097-6787
CID: 4531832

Anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA in the SLICC classification criteria dataset

Elkhalifa, Marwa; Orbai, Ana-Maria; Magder, Laurence S; Petri, Michelle; Alarcón, Graciela S; Gordon, Caroline; Merrill, Joan; Fortin, Paul R; Bruce, Ian N; Isenberg, David; Wallace, Daniel; Nived, Ola; Ramsey-Goldman, Rosalind; Bae, Sang-Cheol; Hanly, John G; Sanchez-Guerrero, Jorge; Clarke, Ann E; Aranow, Cynthia; Manzi, Susan; Urowitz, Murray; Gladman, Dafna D; Kalunian, Ken; Werth, Victoria P; Zoma, Asad; Bernatsky, Sasha; Khamashta, Munther; Jacobsen, SØren; Buyon, Jill P; Dooley, Mary Anne; Vollenhoven, Ronald van; Ginzler, Ellen; Stoll, Thomas; Peschken, Christine; Jorizzo, Joseph L; Callen, Jeffery P; Lim, Sam; Inanc, Murat; Kamen, Diane L; Rahman, Anisur; Steinsson, Kristjan; Franks, Andrew G
OBJECTIVE:Anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA is a common isotype of anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I in SLE. Anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I was not included in the American College of Rheumatology (ACR) SLE classification criteria, but was included in the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) criteria. We aimed to evaluate the prevalence of anti-beta 2-glycoprotein I IgA in SLE versus other rheumatic diseases. In addition, we examined the association between anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA and disease manifestations in SLE. METHODS:The dataset consisted of 1384 patients, 657 with a consensus physician diagnosis of SLE and 727 controls with other rheumatic diseases. Anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I isotypes were measured by ELISA. Patients with a consensus diagnosis of SLE were compared to controls with respect to presence of anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I. Among patients with SLE, we assessed the association between anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA and clinical manifestations. RESULTS:The prevalence of anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA was 14% in SLE patients and 7% in rheumatic disease controls (odds ratio, OR 2.3, 95% CI: 1.6, 3.3). It was more common in SLE patients who were younger patients and of African descent (p = 0.019). Eleven percent of SLE patients had anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA alone (no anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgG or IgM). There was a significant association between anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA and anti-dsDNA (p = 0.001) and the other antiphospholipid antibodies (p = 0.0004). There was no significant correlation of anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA with any of the other ACR or SLICC clinical criteria for SLE. Those with anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA tended to have a history of thrombosis (12% vs 6%, p = 0.071), but the difference was not statistically significant. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:We found the anti-beta 2 glycoprotein I IgA isotype to be more common in patients with SLE and in particular, with African descent. It could occur alone without other isotypes.
PMID: 33957797
ISSN: 1477-0962
CID: 4866712

LLDAS (LOW LUPUS DISEASE ACTIVITY STATE), LOW DISEASE ACTIVITY (LDA) AND REMISSION (ON- OR OFF-TREATMENT) PREVENT DAMAGE ACCRUAL IN SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS (SLE) PATIENTS IN A MULTINATIONAL MULTICENTER COHORT [Meeting Abstract]

Ugarte-Gil, M. F.; Hanly, J.; Urowitz, M. B.; Gordon, C.; Bae, S. C.; Romero-Diaz, J.; Sanchez-Guerrero, J.; Bernatsky, S.; Clarke, A. E.; Wallace, D. J.; Isenberg, D.; Rahman, A.; Merrill, J. T.; Fortin, P.; Gladman, D. D.; Bruce, I. N.; Petri, M. A.; Ginzler, E. M.; Dooley, M. A.; Ramsey-Goldman, R.; Manzi, S.; Jonsen, A.; Van Vollenhoven, R.; Aranow, C.; Mackay, M.; Ruiz-Irastorza, G.; Lim, S. S.; Inanc, M.; Kalunian, K. C.; Jacobsen, S.; Peschken, C.; Kamen, D. L.; Askanase, A.; Pons-Estel, B.; Alarcon, G. S.
ISI:000692629300286
ISSN: 0003-4967
CID: 5017572

ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF HYDROXYCHLOROQUINE USE IN AN INTERNATIONAL INCEPTION COHORT [Meeting Abstract]

Barber, M R W; St, Pierre Y; Hanly, J G; Urowitz, M B; Gordon, C; Bae, S -C; Romero-Diaz, J; Sanchez-Guerrero, J; Bernatsky, S; Wallace, D J; Isenberg, D A; Rahman, A; Merrill, J T; Fortin, P R; Gladman, D D; Bruce, I N; Petri, M; Ginzler, E M; Dooley, M A; Ramsey-Goldman, R; Manzi, S; Jonsen, A; Alarcon, G S; Van, Vollenhoven R F; Aranow, C; Mackay, M; Ruiz-Irastorza, G; Sam, Lim S; Inanc, M; Kalunian, K C; Jacobsen, S; Peschken, C A; Kamen, D L; Askanase, A; Clarke, A E
Background While there is overwhelming evidence for the beneficial role of hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) in SLE, little is known about its economic impact. We estimated annual direct, indirect, and total costs (DC, IC, TC) associated with HCQ use. Methods A subset of patients from the Systemic Lupus Erythematosus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) inception cohort were assessed annually between 2014 and 2019 for health resource use, lost work-force/non-work-force productivity and concurrent HCQ use. Resource use was costed using 2021 Canadian prices and lost productivity using Statistics Canada age-and-sex specific wages. At each assessment, HCQ dose over the past year and weight were documented and patients were stratified into 1 of 3 HCQ dosage groups: nonusers (0 mg/kg/day), low-intensity users (<= 5 mg/kg/day), or high-intensity users (>5 mg/kg/day). Costs associated with HCQ dose were calculated by averaging all observations within each dosage group. Multiple random effects linear regressions adjusted for the possible confounding of age at diagnosis, sex, race/ethnicity, disease duration, geographic region, education, alcohol use, and smoking on the association between annual DC and IC and HCQ dose. A possible mediating effect of disease damage (SLICC/ACR DI) on these associations was also investigated. Results 661 patients (89.4% female, 59.3% non-Caucasian race/ethnicity, mean age and mean disease duration at the start of economic assessments was 42.1 years and 9.5 years, respectively) were followed over a mean of 2.8 years. Across 1536 annual assessments, 36.1% of observations were provided by HCQ non-users, 43.1% by low-intensity users (mean dosage 3.4 mg/kg/day), and 20.8% by high-intensity users (mean dosage 5.9 mg/kg/day). Annual adjusted DC were higher in nonusers ($9599) versus low-intensity users ($6344) and highintensity users ($6333) (table 1). When disease damage was included in the regression, there were no significant differences in DC between dosage groups. While unadjusted IC were higher in non-users ($37,610) versus low-intensity users ($32,480) and high-intensity users ($31,418), adjusted IC did not differ. Adjusted TC were higher in non-users ($46,157) versus low-intensity users ($39,257) and high-intensity users ($37,634). Conclusion SLE patients reported higher adjusted annual DC and TC during periods of HCQ non-use versus periods of use, regardless of the intensity of use. There was no additional cost savings in those using high intensity dosages. The cost-savings effect of HCQ could potentially be partially mediated through reduced damage. In addition to its well-established therapeutic potential, there may be an economic imperative for HCQ use in SLE patients
EMBASE:638287701
ISSN: 2053-8790
CID: 5292882

IDENTIFYING CLUSTERS OF LONGITUDINAL AUTOANTIBODY PROFILES ASSOCIATED WITH SYSTEMIC LUPUS ERYTHEMATOSUS DISEASEOUTCOMES [Meeting Abstract]

Choi, M Y; Chen, I; Clarke, A; Fritzler, M J; Buhler, K A; Urowitz, M; Hanly, J G; Gordon, C; St, Pierre Y; Bae, S -C; Romero, Diaz J; Sanchez-Guerrero, J; Bernatsky, S; Wallace, D; Isenberg, D; Rahman, A; Merrill, J T; Fortin, P R; Gladman, D D; Bruce, I; Petri, M A; Ginzler, E; Dooley, M A; Ramsey-Goldman, R; Manzi, S; Jonsen, A; Alarcon, G S; FVan, Vollenhoven R; Aranow, C; Mackay, M; Ruiz-Irastorza, G; Lim, S; Inanc, M; Kalunian, K C; Jacobsen, S; Peschken, C; Kamen, D; Askanase, A; Sontag, D; Buyon, J; Costenbader, K H
Background Prior studies of SLE clusters based on autoantibodies have utilized cross-sectional data from single centers. We applied clustering techniques to longitudinal and comprehensive autoantibody data from a large multinational, multiethnic inception cohort of well characterized SLE patients to identify clusters associated with disease outcomes. Methods We used demographic, clinical, and serological data at enrolment and follow-up visits years 3 and 5 from 805 patients who fulfilled the 1997 Updated ACR SLE criteria and were enrolled within 15 months of diagnosis. For each visit, ANA, dsDNA, Sm, U1-RNP, SSA/Ro60, SSB/La, Ro52/ TRIM21, histones, ribosomal P, Jo-1, centromere B, PCNA, anti-DFS70, lupus anticoagulant (LAC), IgG and IgM for anticardiolipin, anti-b2GP1, and aPS/PT, and IgG anti-b2GP1 D1 were performed at a single lab (except LAC). K-means clustering algorithm on principal component analysis (10 dimensions) transformed longitudinal ANA/autoantibody profiles was used. We compared cluster demographic/clinical outcomes, including longitudinal disease activity (total and adjusted mean SLEDAI- 2K), SLICC/ACR damage index and organ-specific domains, SLE therapies, and survival, using one-way ANOVA test and a Benjamini-Hochberg correction with false discovery rate alpha=0.05. Results were visualized using t-distributed stochastic neighbor embedding. Results Four unique patient clusters were identified (table 1). Cluster 1, characterized by high frequency of anti-Sm and anti-RNP over time, was the youngest group at disease onset with a high proportion of subjects of Asian and African ancestry. At year 5, they had the highest disease activity, were more likely to have active hematologic and mucocutaneous involvement, and to be on/exposed to immunosuppressants/ biologics. Cluster 2, the largest cluster, had low frequency of anti-dsDNA, were oldest at disease onset, and at year 5, had the lowest disease activity, and were least likely to have nephritis and be on/exposed to immunosuppressants/biologics. Cluster 3 had the highest frequency of antiphospholipid antibodies over time, were more likely to be of European ancestry, have an elevated BMI, be former smokers, and by year 5, to have nephritis, neuropsychiatric involvement, including strokes and seizures (SLICC/ACR damage index). Cluster 4 was characterized by anti-SSA/Ro60, SSB/La, Ro52/TRIM21, histone antibodies, and low complements at year 5. Overall, survival of the 805 subjects was 94% at 5 years, and none of the clusters predicted survival. Conclusions Four SLE patient clusters associated with disease activity, organ involvement, and treatment were identified in this analysis of longitudinal ANA/autoantibody profiles in relation to SLE outcomes, suggesting these subsets might be identifiable based on extended autoantibody profiles early in disease and carry prognostic information
EMBASE:638287699
ISSN: 2053-8790
CID: 5292892

ECONOMIC EVALUATION OF NEUROPSYCHIATRIC (NP) LUPUS IN AN INTERNATIONAL INCEPTION COHORT USING A MULTISTATE MODEL APPROACH [Meeting Abstract]

Clarke, A E; Hanly, J G; St, Pierre Y; Gordon, C; Bae, S -C; Romero-Diaz, J; Sanchez-Guerrero, J; Bernatsky, S; Wallace, D J; Isenberg, D A; Rahman, A; Merrill, J T; Fortin, P R; Gladman, D D; Urowitz, M B; Bruce, I N; Petri, M; Ginzler, E M; Dooley, M A; Ramsey-Goldman, R; Manzi, S; Jonsen, A; Alarcon, G S; Van, Vollenhoven R F; Aranow, C; Mackay, M; Ruiz-Irastorza, G; Sam, Lim S; Inanc, M; Kalunian, K C; Jacobsen, S; Peschken, C A; Kamen, D L; Askanase, A; Farewell, V
Background Little is known about the economic burden of NP lupus. We estimated direct and indirect costs (DC, IC) associated with NP events attributed to SLE and non-SLE causes using multistate modelling. Methods Patients fulfilling ACR classification criteria for SLE from 31 centres in 11 countries were enrolled within 15 months of diagnosis. NP events were documented annually using ACR NP definitions and attributed to SLE or non-SLE causes. At each assessment and for SLE and non-SLE events, patients were stratified into 1 of 3 NP states (no, resolved, or new/ongoing NP event). The change in NP status characterized by transition rates between states was analyzed using multistate modelling (doi:10.1002/art.41876). At each assessment, annual DC and IC were based on health resource use and lost work-force/non-work-force productivity over the preceding year. Resource use was costed using 2021 Canadian prices and lost productivity using Statistics Canada age-and-sex specific wages. Costs associated with SLE and non-SLE NP states were calculated by averaging all observations in each NP state. Multiple regressions adjusted for possible confounding of age at diagnosis, sex, race/ethnicity, disease duration, geographic region, education, and smoking on the association of annual DC and IC and NP state. 5 and 10-year cumulative costs for NP states were predicted by multiplying adjusted annual costs for each state by the expected state duration, forecasted using multistate modelling. Results 1697 patients (89% female, 51% non-Caucasian race/ ethnicity, mean age at enrolment 35.1 years) were followed a mean of 8.8 years. 1971 NP events occurred in 956 patients, 32% attributed to SLE. For SLE NP events, annual DC were higher in those with new/ongoing vs no events ($10,809 vs $6715) (table 1). Annual and 5-yr IC were higher in new/ ongoing vs no events and new/ongoing vs resolved events (5- yr: new/ongoing vs no: $172,674 vs $136,970). For non-SLE NP events, annual IC were higher in new/ongoing vs no events, new/ongoing vs resolved events, and resolved vs no events and 5 and 10-yr IC were higher in new/ongoing vs no events (10-yr: new/ongoing vs no: $342,434 vs $279,874). For all NP states, IC exceeded DC 2.8 to 4-fold. Conclusion IC are 1.3-fold higher in patients with new/ ongoing vs no NP events. While DC trended higher in new/ ongoing events, they were not significantly higher across all NP states and times. Impaired productivity associated with ongoing and resolved NP lupus is substantial, contributing to the previously documented reduced quality of life
EMBASE:638287636
ISSN: 2053-8790
CID: 5292922

Economic evaluation of damage accrual in an international SLE inception cohort using a multi-state model approach

Barber, Megan R W; Hanly, John G; Su, Li; Urowitz, Murray B; St Pierre, Yvan; Romero-Diaz, Juanita; Gordon, Caroline; Bae, Sang-Cheol; Bernatsky, Sasha; Wallace, Daniel J; Merrill, Joan T; Isenberg, David A; Rahman, Anisur; Ginzler, Ellen M; Petri, Michelle; Bruce, Ian N; Dooley, Mary A; Fortin, Paul R; Gladman, Dafna D; Sanchez-Guerrero, Jorge; Steinsson, Kristjan; Ramsey-Goldman, Rosalind; Khamashta, Munther A; Aranow, Cynthia; Mackay, Meggan; Alarcón, Graciela S; Manzi, Susan; Nived, Ola; Jönsen, Andreas; Zoma, Asad A; van Vollenhoven, Ronald F; Ramos-Casals, Manuel; Ruiz-Irastorza, Guillermo; Lim, S Sam; Kalunian, Kenneth C; Inanc, Murat; Kamen, Diane L; Peschken, Christine A; Jacobsen, Søren; Askanase, Anca; Farewell, Vernon; Stoll, Thomas; Buyon, Jill; Clarke, Ann E
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:There is a paucity of data regarding healthcare costs associated with damage accrual in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE). We describe costs associated with damage states across the disease course using multi-state modeling. METHODS:Patients from 33 centres in 11 countries were enrolled in the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) inception cohort within 15 months of diagnosis. Annual data on demographics, disease activity, damage (SLICC/American College of Rheumatology (ACR) Damage Index [SDI]), hospitalizations, medications, dialysis, and selected procedures were collected. Ten-year cumulative costs (Canadian dollars) were estimated by multiplying annual costs associated with each SDI state by the expected state duration using a multi-state model. RESULTS:1687 patients participated, 88.7% female, 49.0% of Caucasian race/ethnicity, mean age at diagnosis 34.6 years (SD 13.3), and mean follow up 8.9 years (range 0.6-18.5). Annual costs were higher in those with higher SDIs (SDI ≥ 5: $22 006 2019 CDN, 95% CI $16 662, $27 350 versus SDI=0: $1833, 95% CI $1134, $2532). Similarly, 10-year cumulative costs were higher in those with higher SDIs at the beginning of the 10-year interval (SDI ≥ 5: $189 073, 95% CI $142 318, $235 827 versus SDI=0: $21 713, 95% CI $13 639, $29 788). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Patients with the highest SDIs incur 10-year cumulative costs that are almost 9-fold higher than those with the lowest SDIs. By estimating the damage trajectory and incorporating annual costs, damage can be used to estimate future costs, critical knowledge for evaluating the cost-effectiveness of novel therapies.
PMID: 31609532
ISSN: 2151-4658
CID: 4139382

Autoantibody-positive healthy individuals with lower lupus risk display a unique immune endotype

Slight-Webb, Samantha; Smith, Miles; Bylinska, Aleksandra; Macwana, Susan; Guthridge, Carla; Lu, Rufei; Merrill, Joan T; Chakravarty, Eliza; Arriens, Cristina; Munroe, Melissa E; Maecker, Holden T; Utz, Paul J; Guthridge, Joel M; James, Judith A
BACKGROUND:Autoimmune diseases comprise a spectrum of illnesses and are on the rise worldwide. Although antinuclear antibodies (ANAs) are detected in many autoimmune diseases, up to 20% of healthy women are ANA-positive (ANA+) and most will never develop clinical symptoms. Furthermore, disease transition is higher among ANA+ African Americans compared with ANA+ European Americans. OBJECTIVE:We sought to determine the immune features that might define and prevent transition to clinical autoimmunity in ANA+ healthy individuals. METHODS:We comprehensively phenotyped immune profiles of African Americans and European Americans who are ANA-negative (ANA-) healthy, ANA+ healthy, or have SLE using single cell mass cytometry, next-generation RNA-sequencing, multiplex cytokine profiling, and phospho-signaling analyses. RESULTS:autoimmunity-associated B cells in healthy ANA+ European Americans that is absent in their SLE or even healthy ANA- counterparts, or among African American cohorts. In contrast, ANA+ healthy African Americans exhibited elevated expression of T-cell activation markers and higher plasma levels of IL-6 than did healthy ANA+ European Americans. CONCLUSIONS:We propose that this novel immune signature identified in ANA+ healthy European Americans may protect them from T-cell expansion, heightened activation of interferon pathways, and disease transition.
PMID: 32446964
ISSN: 1097-6825
CID: 4874902