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PET-CR as a potential surrogate endpoint in untreated DLBCL: meta-analysis and implications for clinical trial design

Broglio, Kristine; Kostakoglu, Lale; Ward, Carol; Mattiello, Federico; Sahin, Denis; Nielsen, Tina; McGlothlin, Anna; Elliott, Corrine F; Witzig, Thomas; Sehn, Laurie H; Trnĕný, Marek; Vitolo, Umberto; Martelli, Maurizio; Foster, Margaret; Wendelberger, Barbara; Nowakowski, Grzegorz; Berry, Donald A
This study's focus is the association of end-of-therapy (EOT) PET results with progression-free (PFS) and overall survival (OS) in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma receiving first-line chemoimmunotherapy. We develop a Bayesian hierarchical model for predicting PFS and OS from EOT PET-complete response (PET-CR) using a literature-based meta-analysis of 20 treatment arms and a substudy of 4 treatment arms in 3 clinical trials for which we have patient-level data. The PET-CR rate in our substudy was 72%. The modeled estimates for hazard ratio (PET-CR/non-PET-CR) were 0.13 for PFS (95% CI 0.10, 0.16) and 0.10 for OS (CI 0.07, 0.12). Hazard ratios varied little by patient subtype and were confirmed by the overall meta-analysis. We link these findings to designing future clinical trials and show how our model can be used in adapting the sample size of a trial to accumulating results regarding treatment benefits on PET-CR and a survival endpoint.
PMID: 35815677
ISSN: 1029-2403
CID: 5686122

A prognostic model integrating PET-derived metrics and image texture analyses with clinical risk factors from GOYA

Kostakoglu, Lale; Dalmasso, Federico; Berchialla, Paola; Pierce, Larry A; Vitolo, Umberto; Martelli, Maurizio; Sehn, Laurie H; Trněný, Marek; Nielsen, Tina G; Bolen, Christopher R; Sahin, Deniz; Lee, Calvin; El-Galaly, Tarec Christoffer; Mattiello, Federico; Kinahan, Paul E; Chauvie, Stephane
Image texture analysis (radiomics) uses radiographic images to quantify characteristics that may identify tumour heterogeneity and associated patient outcomes. Using fluoro-deoxy-glucose positron emission tomography/computed tomography (FDG-PET/CT)-derived data, including quantitative metrics, image texture analysis and other clinical risk factors, we aimed to develop a prognostic model that predicts survival in patients with previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) from GOYA (NCT01287741). Image texture features and clinical risk factors were combined into a random forest model and compared with the international prognostic index (IPI) for DLBCL based on progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) predictions. Baseline FDG-PET scans were available for 1263 patients, 832 patients of these were cell-of-origin (COO)-evaluable. Patients were stratified by IPI or radiomics features plus clinical risk factors into low-, intermediate- and high-risk groups. The random forest model with COO subgroups identified a clearer high-risk population (45% 2-year PFS [95% confidence interval (CI) 40%-52%]; 65% 2-year OS [95% CI 59%-71%]) than the IPI (58% 2-year PFS [95% CI 50%-67%]; 69% 2-year OS [95% CI 62%-77%]). This study confirms that standard clinical risk factors can be combined with PET-derived image texture features to provide an improved prognostic model predicting survival in untreated DLBCL.
PMCID:9175666
PMID: 35846039
ISSN: 2688-6146
CID: 5686132

A tumor volume and performance status model to predict outcome before treatment in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

Thieblemont, Catherine; Chartier, Loic; Dührsen, Ulrich; Vitolo, Umberto; Barrington, Sally F; Zaucha, Jan M; Vercellino, Laetitia; Gomes Silva, Maria; Patrocinio-Carvalho, Ines; Decazes, Pierre; Viailly, Pierre-Julien; Tilly, Herve; Berriolo-Riedinger, Alina; Casasnovas, Oliver; Hüttmann, Andreas; Ilyas, Hajira; Mikhaeel, N George; Dunn, Joel; Cottereau, Anne-Ségolène; Schmitz, Christine; Kostakoglu, Lale; Paulson, Joseph N; Nielsen, Tina; Meignan, Michael
Aggressive large B-cell lymphoma (LBCL) has variable outcomes. Current prognostic tools use factors for risk stratification that inadequately identify patients at high risk of refractory disease or relapse before initial treatment. A model associating 2 risk factors, total metabolic tumor volume (TMTV) >220 cm3 (determined by fluorine-18 fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography coupled with computed tomography) and performance status (PS) ≥2, identified as prognostic in 301 older patients in the REMARC trial (#NCT01122472), was validated in 2174 patients of all ages treated in 2 clinical trials, PETAL (Positron Emission Tomography-Guided Therapy of Aggressive Non-Hodgkin Lymphomas; N = 510) and GOYA (N = 1315), and in real-world clinics (N = 349) across Europe and the United States. Three risk categories, low (no factors), intermediate (1 risk factor), and high (2 risk factors), significantly discriminated outcome in most of the series. Patients with 2 risk factors had worse outcomes than patients with no risk factors in the PETAL, GOYA, and real-world series. Patients with intermediate risk also had significantly worse outcomes than patients with no risk factors. The TMTV/Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group-PS combination outperformed the International Prognostic Index with a positive C-index for progression-free survival and overall survival in most series. The combination of high TMTV > 220 cm3 and ECOG-PS ≥ 2 is a simple clinical model to identify aggressive LBCL risk categories before treatment. This combination addresses the unmet need to better predict before treatment initiation for aggressive LBCL the patients likely to benefit the most or not at all from therapy.
PMCID:9691911
PMID: 36044385
ISSN: 2473-9537
CID: 5686152

Full automation of total metabolic tumor volume from FDG-PET/CT in DLBCL for baseline risk assessments

Jemaa, S; Paulson, J N; Hutchings, M; Kostakoglu, L; Trotman, J; Tracy, S; de Crespigny, A; Carano, R A D; El-Galaly, T C; Nielsen, T G; Bengtsson, T
BACKGROUND:fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) imaging data in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) can be time consuming, do not yield real-time information regarding disease burden and organ involvement, and hinder the use of FDG-PET to potentially limit the reliance on invasive procedures (e.g. bone marrow biopsy) for risk assessment. METHODS:Our aim is to enable real-time assessment of imaging-based risk factors at a large scale and we propose a fully automatic artificial intelligence (AI)-based tool to rapidly extract FDG-PET imaging metrics in DLBCL. On availability of a scan, in combination with clinical data, our approach generates clinically informative risk scores with minimal resource requirements. Overall, 1268 patients with previously untreated DLBCL from the phase III GOYA trial (NCT01287741) were included in the analysis (training: n = 846; hold-out: n = 422). RESULTS:Our AI-based model comprising imaging and clinical variables yielded a tangible prognostic improvement compared to clinical models without imaging metrics. We observed a risk increase for progression-free survival (PFS) with hazard ratios [HR] of 1.87 (95% CI: 1.31-2.67) vs 1.38 (95% CI: 0.98-1.96) (C-index: 0.59 vs 0.55), and a risk increase for overall survival (OS) (HR: 2.16 (95% CI: 1.37-3.40) vs 1.40 (95% CI: 0.90-2.17); C-index: 0.59 vs 0.55). The combined model defined a high-risk population with 35% and 42% increased odds of a 4-year PFS and OS event, respectively, versus the International Prognostic Index components alone. The method also identified a subpopulation with a 2-year Central Nervous System (CNS)-relapse probability of 17.1%. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Our tool enables an enhanced risk stratification compared with IPI, and the results indicate that imaging can be used to improve the prediction of central nervous system relapse in DLBCL. These findings support integration of clinically informative AI-generated imaging metrics into clinical workflows to improve identification of high-risk DLBCL patients. TRIAL REGISTRATION/BACKGROUND:Registered clinicaltrials.gov number: NCT01287741.
PMCID:9373298
PMID: 35962459
ISSN: 1470-7330
CID: 5686142

Total metabolic tumor volume as a survival predictor for patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in the GOYA study

Kostakoglu, Lale; Mattiello, Federico; Martelli, Maurizio; Sehn, Laurie H; Belada, David; Ghiggi, Chiara; Chua, Neil; González-Barca, Eva; Hong, Xiaonan; Pinto, Antonio; Shi, Yuankai; Tatsumi, Yoichi; Bolen, Christopher; Knapp, Andrea; Sellam, Gila; Nielsen, Tina; Sahin, Deniz; Vitolo, Umberto; Trněný, Marek
This retrospective analysis of the phase III GOYA study investigated the prognostic value of baseline metabolic tumor volume parameters and maximum standardized uptake values for overall and progression-free survival (PFS) in treatment-naïve diffuse large B-cell lymphoma. Baseline total metabolic tumor volume (determined for tumors >1 mL using a threshold of 1.5 times the mean liver standardized uptake value +2 standard deviations), total lesion glycolysis, and maximum standardized uptake value positron emission tomography data were dichotomized based on receiver operating characteristic analysis and divided into quartiles by baseline population distribution. Of 1,418 enrolled patients, 1,305 had a baseline positron emission tomography scan with detectable lesions. Optimal cut-offs were 366 cm3 for total metabolic tumor volume and 3,004 g for total lesion glycolysis. High total metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis predicted poorer PFS, with associations retained after adjustment for baseline and disease characteristics (high total metabolic tumor volume hazard ratio: 1.71, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.35- 2.18; total lesion glycolysis hazard ratio: 1.46; 95% CI: 1.15-1.86). Total metabolic tumor volume was prognostic for PFS in subgroups with International Prognostic Index scores 0-2 and 3-5, and those with different cell-of-origin subtypes. Maximum standardized uptake value had no prognostic value in this setting. High total metabolic tumor volume associated with high International Prognostic Index or non-germinal center B-cell classification identified the highest-risk cohort for unfavorable prognosis. In conclusion, baseline total metabolic tumor volume and total lesion glycolysis are independent predictors of PFS in patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma after first-line immunochemotherapy.
PMCID:9244811
PMID: 34407602
ISSN: 1592-8721
CID: 5686082

Optimal timing and criteria of interim PET in DLBCL: a comparative study of 1692 patients

Eertink, J J; Burggraaff, C N; Heymans, M W; Dührsen, U; Hüttmann, A; Schmitz, C; Müller, S; Lugtenburg, P J; Barrington, S F; Mikhaeel, N G; Carr, R; Czibor, S; Györke, T; Ceriani, L; Zucca, E; Hutchings, M; Kostakoglu, L; Loft, A; Fanti, S; Wiegers, S E; Pieplenbosch, S; Boellaard, R; Hoekstra, O S; Zijlstra, J M; de Vet, H C W
Interim 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (Interim-18F-FDG-PET, hereafter I-PET) has the potential to guide treatment of patients with diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) if the prognostic value is known. The aim of this study was to determine the optimal timing and response criteria for evaluating prognosis with I-PET in DLBCL. Individual patient data from 1692 patients with de novo DLBCL were combined and scans were harmonized. I-PET was performed at various time points during treatment with rituximab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (R-CHOP) therapy. Scans were interpreted using the Deauville score (DS) and change in maximum standardized uptake value (ΔSUVmax). Multilevel Cox proportional hazards models corrected for International Prognostic Index (IPI) score were used to study the effects of timing and response criteria on 2-year progression-free survival (PFS). I-PET after 2 cycles (I-PET2) and I-PET4 significantly discriminated good responders from poor responders, with the highest hazard ratios (HRs) for I-PET4. Multivariable HRs for a PET-positive result at I-PET2 and I-PET4 were 1.71 and 2.95 using DS4-5, 4.91 and 6.20 using DS5, and 2.93 and 4.65 using ΔSUVmax, respectively. ΔSUVmax identified a larger proportion of poor responders than DS5 did. For all criteria, the negative predictive value was >80%, and positive predictive values ranged from 30% to 70% at I-PET2 and I-PET4. Unlike I-PET1, I-PET3 discriminated good responders from poor responders using DS4-5 and DS5 thresholds (HRs, 2.94 and 4.67, respectively). I-PET2 and I-PET4 predict good response equally during R-CHOP therapy in DLBCL. Optimal timing and response criteria depend on the clinical context. Good response at I-PET2 is suggested for de-escalation trials, and poor response using ΔSUVmax at I-PET4 is suggested for randomized trials that are evaluating new therapies.
PMCID:8114547
PMID: 33944897
ISSN: 2473-9537
CID: 5686072

End-of-treatment PET/CT predicts PFS and OS in DLBCL after first-line treatment: results from GOYA

Kostakoglu, Lale; Martelli, Maurizio; Sehn, Laurie H; Belada, David; Carella, Angelo-Michele; Chua, Neil; Gonzalez-Barca, Eva; Hong, Xiaonan; Pinto, Antonio; Shi, Yuankai; Tatsumi, Yoichi; Knapp, Andrea; Mattiello, Federico; Nielsen, Tina; Sahin, Deniz; Sellam, Gila; Oestergaard, Mikkel Z; Vitolo, Umberto; Trněný, Marek
GOYA was a randomized phase 3 study comparing obinutuzumab plus cyclophosphamide, doxorubicin, vincristine, and prednisone (CHOP) vs standard-of-care rituximab plus CHOP in patients with previously untreated diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL). This retrospective analysis of GOYA aimed to assess the association between progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) with positron emission tomography (PET)-based complete response (CR) status. Overall, 1418 patients were randomly assigned to receive 8 21-day cycles of obinutuzumab (n = 706) or rituximab (n = 712) plus 6 or 8 cycles of CHOP. Patients received a mandatory fluoro-2-deoxy-d-glucose-PET/computed tomography scan at baseline and end of treatment. After a median follow-up of 29 months, the numbers of independent review committee-assessed PFS and OS events in the entire cohort were 416 (29.3%) and 252 (17.8%), respectively. End-of-treatment PET CR was highly prognostic for PFS and OS according to Lugano 2014 criteria (PFS: hazard ratio [HR], 0.26; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.19-0.38; P < .0001; OS: HR, 0.12; 95% CI, 0.08-0.17; P < .0001), irrespective of international prognostic index score and cell of origin. In conclusion, the results from this prospectively acquired large cohort corroborated previously published data from smaller sample sizes showing that end-of-treatment PET CR is an independent predictor of PFS and OS and a promising prognostic marker in DLBCL. Long-term survival analysis confirmed the robustness of these data over time. Additional meta-analyses including other prospective studies are necessary to support the substitution of PET CR for PFS as an effective and practical surrogate end point. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT01287741.
PMCID:7948296
PMID: 33651099
ISSN: 2473-9537
CID: 5686052

Brain and blood biomarkers of tauopathy and neuronal injury in humans and rats with neurobehavioral syndromes following blast exposure

Dickstein, Dara L; De Gasperi, Rita; Gama Sosa, Miguel A; Perez-Garcia, Georgina; Short, Jennifer A; Sosa, Heidi; Perez, Gissel M; Tschiffely, Anna E; Dams-O'Connor, Kristen; Pullman, Mariel Y; Knesaurek, Karin; Knutsen, Andrew; Pham, Dzung L; Soleimani, Lale; Jordan, Barry D; Gordon, Wayne A; Delman, Bradley N; Shumyatsky, Gleb; Shahim, Pashtun-Poh; DeKosky, Steven T; Stone, James R; Peskind, Elaine; Blennow, Kaj; Zetterberg, Henrik; Chance, Steven A; Torso, Mario; Kostakoglu, Lale; Sano, Mary; Hof, Patrick R; Ahlers, Stephen T; Gandy, Sam; Elder, Gregory A
Traumatic brain injury (TBI) is a risk factor for the later development of neurodegenerative diseases that may have various underlying pathologies. Chronic traumatic encephalopathy (CTE) in particular is associated with repetitive mild TBI (mTBI) and is characterized pathologically by aggregation of hyperphosphorylated tau into neurofibrillary tangles (NFTs). CTE may be suspected when behavior, cognition, and/or memory deteriorate following repetitive mTBI. Exposure to blast overpressure from improvised explosive devices (IEDs) has been implicated as a potential antecedent for CTE amongst Iraq and Afghanistan Warfighters. In this study, we identified biomarker signatures in rats exposed to repetitive low-level blast that develop chronic anxiety-related traits and in human veterans exposed to IED blasts in theater with behavioral, cognitive, and/or memory complaints. Rats exposed to repetitive low-level blasts accumulated abnormal hyperphosphorylated tau in neuronal perikarya and perivascular astroglial processes. Using positron emission tomography (PET) and the [18F]AV1451 (flortaucipir) tau ligand, we found that five of 10 veterans exhibited excessive retention of [18F]AV1451 at the white/gray matter junction in frontal, parietal, and temporal brain regions, a typical localization of CTE tauopathy. We also observed elevated levels of neurofilament light (NfL) chain protein in the plasma of veterans displaying excess [18F]AV1451 retention. These findings suggest an association linking blast injury, tauopathy, and neuronal injury. Further study is required to determine whether clinical, neuroimaging, and/or fluid biomarker signatures can improve the diagnosis of long-term neuropsychiatric sequelae of mTBI.
PMID: 32094584
ISSN: 1476-5578
CID: 4323242

Convolutional Neural Networks for Automated PET/CT Detection of Diseased Lymph Node Burden in Patients with Lymphoma

Weisman, Amy J; Kieler, Minnie W; Perlman, Scott B; Hutchings, Martin; Jeraj, Robert; Kostakoglu, Lale; Bradshaw, Tyler J
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:F) fluorodeoxyglucose (FDG) PET/CT images using convolutional neural networks (CNNs). MATERIALS AND METHODS/METHODS:F-FDG PET/CT images (acquired between 2005 and 2011) by a nuclear medicine physician. An ensemble of three-dimensional patch-based, multiresolution pathway CNNs was trained using fivefold cross-validation. Performance was assessed using the true-positive rate (TPR) and number of false-positive (FP) findings. CNN performance was compared with agreement between physicians by comparing the annotations of a second nuclear medicine physician to the first reader in 20 of the patients. Patient TPR was compared using Wilcoxon signed rank tests. RESULTS:Across all 90 patients, a range of 0-61 nodes per patient was detected. At an average of four FP findings per patient, the method achieved a TPR of 85% (923 of 1087 nodes). Performance varied widely across patients (TPR range, 33%-100%; FP range, 0-21 findings). In the 20 patients labeled by both physicians, a range of 1-49 nodes per patient was detected and labeled. The second reader identified 96% (210 of 219) of nodes with an additional 3.7 per patient compared with the first reader. In the same 20 patients, the CNN achieved a 90% (197 of 219) TPR at 3.7 FP findings per patient. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:An ensemble of three-dimensional CNNs detected lymph nodes at a performance nearly comparable to differences between two physicians' annotations. This preliminary study is a first step toward automated PET/CT assessment for lymphoma.© RSNA, 2020.
PMCID:8082306
PMID: 33937842
ISSN: 2638-6100
CID: 5686062

Prognostic value of interim FDG-PET in diffuse large cell lymphoma: results from the CALGB 50303 Clinical Trial

Schöder, Heiko; Polley, Mei-Yin C; Knopp, Michael V; Hall, Nathan; Kostakoglu, Lale; Zhang, Jun; Higley, Howard R; Kelloff, Gary; Liu, Heshan; Zelenetz, Andrew D; Cheson, Bruce D; Wagner-Johnston, Nina; Kahl, Brad S; Friedberg, Jonathan W; Hsi, Eric D; Leonard, John P; Schwartz, Lawrence H; Wilson, Wyndham H; Bartlett, Nancy L
As part of a randomized, prospective clinical trial in large cell lymphoma, we conducted serial fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) at baseline, after 2 cycles of chemotherapy (interim PET [i-PET]), and at end of treatment (EoT) to identify biomarkers of response that are predictive of remission and survival. Scans were interpreted in a core laboratory by 2 imaging experts, using the visual Deauville 5-point scale (5-PS), and by calculating percent change in FDG uptake (change in standardized uptake value [ΔSUV]). Visual scores of 1 through 3 and ΔSUV ≥66% were prospectively defined as negative. Of 524 patients enrolled in the parent trial, 169 agreed to enroll in the PET substudy and 158 were eligible for final analysis. In this selected population, all had FDG-avid disease at baseline; by 5-PS, 55 (35%) remained positive on i-PET and 28 (18%) on EoT PET. Median ΔSUV on i-PET was 86.2%. With a median follow-up of 5 years, ΔSUV, as continuous variable, was associated with progression-free survival (PFS) (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.97-1.00; P = .02) and overall survival (OS) (HR, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.97-0.99; P = .03). ΔSUV ≥66% was predictive of OS (HR, 0.31; 95% CI, 0.11-0.85; P = .02) but not PFS (HR, 0.47; 95% CI, 0.19-1.13; P = .09). Visual 5-PS on i-PET did not predict outcome. ΔSUV, but not visual analysis, on i-PET predicted OS in DLBCL, although the low number of events limited the statistical analysis. These data may help guide future clinical trials using PET response-adapted therapy. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as #NCT00118209.
PMID: 32232481
ISSN: 1528-0020
CID: 5686002