Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS/OBJECTIVE:Early steroid withdrawal (ESW) is often preferred over conventional steroid maintenance (CSM) therapy for kidney transplant recipients with low immunological risks because it may minimize immunosuppression-related adverse events while achieving similar transplant outcomes. However, the risk-benefit balance of ESW could be less favorable in retransplant recipients given their unique immunological risk profile. We hypothesized that the association of ESW with transplant outcomes would differ between first-transplant and retransplant recipients. METHODS:To assess whether the impact of ESW differs between first and retransplant recipients, we studied 210 086 adult deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. Recipients who discontinued maintenance steroids before discharge from transplant admission were classified with ESW; all others were classified with CSM. We quantified the association of ESW (vs. CSM) with acute rejection, death-censored graft failure, and death, addressing retransplant as an effect modifier, using logistic/Cox regression with inverse probability weights to control for confounders. RESULTS:In our cohort, 26 248 (12%) were retransplant recipients. ESW was used in 30% of first-transplant and 20% of retransplant recipients. Among first-transplant recipients, ESW was associated with no significant difference in acute rejection (aOR = 1.04 [95% CI = 1.00-1.09]), slightly higher hazard of graft failure (HR = 1.09 [95% CI = 1.05-1.12]), and slightly lower mortality (HR = 0.93 [95% CI = 0.91-0.95]) compared to CSM. Nonetheless, among retransplant recipients, ESW was associated with notably higher risk of acute rejection (OR = 1.42 [95% CI = 1.29-1.57]; interaction p < 0.001) and graft failure (HR = 1.24 [95% CI = 1.14-1.34]; interaction p = 0.003), and similar mortality (HR = 1.01 [95% CI = 0.94-1.08]; interaction p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS:In retransplant recipients, the negative impacts of ESW on transplant outcomes appear to be non-negligible. A more conservatively tailored approach to ESW might be necessary for retransplant recipients.

Since 2021, the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network has reported a nearly 10-fold rise in out-of-sequence (OOS) kidney allocation, generating concern and halting development of continuous distribution policies. We report contemporary (2022-2023) practice patterns in OOS allocation using Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network data. We examined in sequence vs OOS donors with multivariable logistic regression and skipped vs OOS-accepting recipients with conditional logistic regression. Nearly 20% of kidney placements were OOS, varying from 0% to 43% acsoss organ procurement organizations; the 5 highest OOS-organ procurement organizations accounted for 29% of all OOS. Of OOS kidneys, 33% were declined ≥100 times in the standard allocation sequence and 51% were declined by ≥10 centers before OOS allocation began; 4.5% were made without any in-sequence declines. Nearly, all OOS offers were open offers. OOS kidneys were more likely to be from female, Black, older, donation after cardiac death, hypertensive, diabetic, and elevated creatinine donors. Candidates receiving OOS kidneys were more likely female, Asian, and older than skipped candidates. Higher-volume centers and centers with more White, fewer Hispanic, and more educated waiting list patients underwent transplantation disproportionately with more OOS kidneys. These findings suggest that the current, highly variable, discretionary use of OOS might exacerbate disparities, yet the impact of OOS on organ utilization cannot be determined with data now collected.

Graft failure and recipient death with functioning graft are important competing outcomes after kidney transplantation. Risk prediction models typically censor for the competing outcome thereby overestimating the cumulative incidence. The magnitude of this overestimation is not well described in real-world transplant data. This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from the European Collaborative Transplant Study (n = 125 250) and from the American Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (n = 190 258). Separate cause-specific hazard models using donor and recipient age as continuous predictors were developed for graft failure and recipient death. The hazard of graft failure increased quadratically with increasing donor age and decreased decaying with increasing recipient age. The hazard of recipient death increased linearly with increasing donor and recipient age. The cumulative incidence overestimation due to competing risk-censoring was largest in high-risk populations for both outcomes (old donors/recipients), sometimes amounting to 8.4 and 18.8 percentage points for graft failure and recipient death, respectively. In our illustrative model for posttransplant risk prediction, the absolute risk of graft failure and death is overestimated when censoring for the competing event, mainly in older donors and recipients. Prediction models for absolute risks should treat graft failure and death as competing events.

Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) have heightened risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes due to immunosuppression and medical comorbidity. We quantified the burden of COVID-19 mortality in US SOTRs. A sample of deaths documented in the US solid organ transplant registry from June 2020 through December 2022 were linked to the National Death Index to identify COVID-19 deaths and weighted to represent all SOTR deaths during the study period. Among 505,757 SOTRs, 57,575 deaths occurred and based on the linkage, 12,396 (21.5%) were due to COVID-19. COVID-19 mortality was higher in males (mortality rate ratio [MRR]: 1.13), SOTRs aged 65 and older (MRR: 1.50 in ages 65-74 vs. ages 55-64), and non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic SOTRs (MRRs: 1.55 and 1.79 vs. non-Hispanic White SOTRs). Kidney and lung recipients had the highest COVID-19 mortality, followed by heart, then liver recipients. COVID-19 mortality also varied over time and across US states. Overall, SOTRs had 7-fold increased risk of COVID-19 death compared to the US general population. SOTRs comprised 0.13% of the US population but accounted for 1.46% of all US COVID-19 deaths. SOTRs experience greatly elevated COVID-19 mortality. Clinicians should continue to prioritize COVID-19 prevention and treatment in this high-risk population.

BACKGROUND:Despite excellent outcomes of heart transplants from hepatitis C virus (HCV)-positive donors (D+), many candidates are not listed to even consider HCV D+ offers. METHODS:Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we identified adult (age ≥18 years) heart transplant candidates prevalent on the waitlist between 2018 and March 2023. We compared the likelihood of waitlist mortality or heart transplant by candidate willingness to consider HCV D+ offers using competing risk regression. RESULTS:We identified 19,415 heart transplant candidates, 68.9% of whom were willing to consider HCV D+ offers. Candidates willing to consider HCV D+ offers had a 37% lower risk of waitlist mortality (subhazard ratio [SHR], 0.63; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.56-0.70; P < .001) than candidates not willing to consider HCV D+ offers, after adjustment for covariates and center-level clustering. Over the same period, heart transplant candidates willing to consider HCV D+ offers had a 21% higher likelihood of receiving a transplant (SHR, 1.21; 95% CI, 1.7-1.26; P < .001). As a result, among candidates willing to consider HCV D+ offers, 74.9% received a transplant and 6.1% died/deteriorated after 3 years, compared to 68.3% and 9.1%, respectively, of candidates not willing to consider HCV D+ offers. Lower waitlist mortality also was observed on subgroup analyses of candidates on temporary and durable mechanical circulatory support. CONCLUSIONS:Willingness to consider HCV D+ heart offers was associated with a 37% lower risk of waitlist mortality and a 21% higher likelihood of receiving a transplant. We urge providers to encourage candidates to list as being willing to consider offers from donors with hepatitis C to optimize their waitlist outcomes and access to transplantation.

BACKGROUND:In recent years, changes to US organ allocation have aimed to improve equity and accessibility across regions. The Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network plans to adopt continuous liver distribution, prioritizing candidates based on a weighted composite allocation score (CAS) incorporating proximity, ABO types, medical urgency, and pediatric priority. The Liver Committee has requested research on CAS variations that account for geographical heterogenicity. METHODS:We describe a method for designing a geographically heterogeneous CAS with targeted broader sharing (CAS-TBS) to balance the highly variable geographic distributions of liver transplant listings and liver donations. CAS-TBS assigns each donor hospital to either broader sharing or nearby sharing, adjusting donor-candidate distance allocation points accordingly. RESULTS:We found that to reduce geographic disparity in the median Model for End-stage Liver Disease at transplant (MMaT), >75% of livers recovered in regions 2 and 10 should be distributed with broader sharing, whereas 95% of livers recovered in regions 5 and 1 should be distributed with nearby sharing. In a 3-y simulation of liver allocation, CAS-TBS decreased MMaT by 2.1 points in high-MMaT areas such as region 5 while increasing MMaT only by 0.65 points in low-MMaT areas such as region 3. CAS-TBS significantly decreased median transport distance from 202 to 167 nautical miles under acuity circles and decreased waitlist deaths. CONCLUSIONS:Our CAS-TBS design methodology could be applied to design geographically heterogeneous allocation scores that reflect transplant community values and priorities within the continuous distribution project of the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network. In our simulations, the incremental benefit of CAS-TBS over CAS was modest.

BACKGROUND:HLA-DQ mismatch has been identified as a predictor of de novo donor-specific HLA antibody formation and antibody-mediated rejection. There are insufficient data to guide the incorporation of DQ mismatch into organ allocation decisions. METHODS:We used a retrospective longitudinal cohort of adult living donor kidney transplant recipients from 11 centers across the United States for whom high-resolution class II typing was available. HLA-DQαβ heterodimer allele mismatch was quantified for all donor-recipient pairs, and outcome data were obtained through linkage with the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. RESULTS:We studied 3916 donor-recipient pairs. Recipient characteristics were notable for a median age of 51 (38-61) y, primarily unsensitized, with 74.5% of the cohort having 0% calculated panel-reactive antibody, and 60.4% with private insurance, for a median follow-up time of 5.86 y. We found that the HLA-DQαβ allele and HLA-DR antigen mismatch were each individually associated with an increased hazard of all-cause graft failure (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] DQ = 1.03 1.14 1.28; aHR DR = 1.03 1.15 1.328), death-censored graft failure (aHR DQ =1.01 1.19 1.40; aHR DR = 0.099 1.18 1.39), and rejection. Having 2 HLA-DQαβ allele mismatches further increased the hazard of rejection even when controlling for HLA-DR mismatch (aHR 1.03 1.68 2.74). CONCLUSIONS:HLA-DQαβ allele mismatch predicted allograft rejection even when controlling for HLA-DR antigen mismatch and were both independently associated with increased risk of graft failure or rejection in adult living kidney transplant recipients. Given the strong burden of disease arising from the HLA-DQ antibody formation, we suggest that HLA-DQαβ should be prioritized over HLA-DR in donor selection.

BACKGROUND:As the inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) patient population is aging, the prevalence of polypharmacy is rising. However, data exploring the prevalence, risk factors, and clinical outcomes associated with polypharmacy among older adults with IBD are limited. AIMS/OBJECTIVE:To determine (i) prevalence of polypharmacy (≥5 medications) and potentially inappropriate medication (PIM) utilization in older adults with IBD, (ii) changes in medications over time (iii) predictors of polypharmacy, and (iv) the impact of polypharmacy/PIMs on one-year hospitalization rates. METHODS:We conducted a retrospective single-center study of older adults with IBD from September 1st 2011 to December 31st 2022. Wilcoxon-signed rank and McNemar's tests were used to assess changes in polypharmacy between visits, with ordinal logistic regression and Cox proportional hazards models used to determine risk factors for polypharmacy and time to hospitalization, respectively. RESULTS:Among 512 older adults with IBD, 74.0% experienced polypharmacy at initial visit, with 42.6% receiving at least one PIM. Additionally, severe polypharmacy (≥10 medications) was present among 28.6% individuals at index visit and increased to 38.6% by last visit (p<0.01). Multivariable analysis revealed that age ≥70 years, BMI ≥30.0 kg/m2, prior IBD-related surgery, and the presence of comorbidities were associated with polypharmacy. Moreover, severe polypharmacy (adjHR 1.95, 95%CI 1.29-2.92), as well as PIM use (adjHR 2.16, 95%CI 1.37-3.43) among those with polypharmacy, were significantly associated with all-cause hospitalization within a year of index visit. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS:Severe polypharmacy was initially present in more than 25% of older adults with IBD and increased to 34% within 4 years of index visit. Severe polypharmacy, as well as PIM utilization among those with polypharmacy, were also associated with an increased risk of hospitalization at one-year, highlighting the need for deprescribing efforts in this population.

BACKGROUND:Sarcopenia has been associated with adverse postoperative outcomes in older age cohorts, but has not been assessed in older adults with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD). Further, current assessments of sarcopenia among all aged individuals with IBD have used various measures of muscle mass as well as cutoffs to define its presence, leading to heterogeneous findings. METHODS:In this single-institution, multihospital retrospective study, we identified all patients aged 60 years and older with IBD who underwent disease-related intestinal resection between 2012 and 2022. Skeletal Muscle Index (SMI) and Total Psoas Index (TPI) were measured at the superior L3 endplate on preoperative computed tomography scans and compared through receiver operating characteristic curve. We then performed multivariable logistic regression to assess risk factors associated with an adverse 30-day postoperative outcome. Our primary outcome included a 30-day composite of postoperative mortality and complications, including infection, bleeding, cardiac event, cerebrovascular accident, acute kidney injury, venous thromboembolism, reoperation, all-cause rehospitalization, and need for intensive care unit-level care. RESULTS:A total of 120 individuals were included. Overall, 52% were female, 40% had ulcerative colitis, 60% had Crohn's disease, and median age at time of surgery was 70 years (interquartile range: 65-75). Forty percent of older adults had an adverse 30-day postoperative outcome, including infection (23%), readmission (17%), acute kidney injury (13%), bleeding (13%), intensive care unit admission (10%), cardiac event (8%), venous thromboembolism (7%), reoperation (6%), mortality (5%), and cerebrovascular accident (2%). When evaluating the predictive performance of SMI vs TPI for an adverse 30-day postoperative event, SMI had a significantly higher area under the curve of 0.66 (95% CI, 0.56-0.76) as compared to 0.58 (95% CI, 0.48-0.69) for TPI (P = .02). On multivariable logistic regression, prior IBD-related surgery (adjusted odds ratio [adjOR] 6.46, 95% CI, 1.85-22.51) and preoperative sepsis (adjOR 5.74, 95% CI, 1.36-24.17) significantly increased the odds of adverse postoperative outcomes, whereas increasing SMI was associated with a decreased risk of an adverse postoperative outcome (adjOR 0.88, 95% CI, 0.82-0.94). CONCLUSIONS:Sarcopenia, as measured by SMI, is associated with an increased risk of postoperative complications among older adults with IBD. Measurement of SMI from preoperative imaging can help risk stratify older adults with IBD undergoing intestinal resection.

The rise in the mean age of the global population has led to an increase in older kidney transplant (KT) patients. This demographic shift, coupled with the ongoing organ shortage, requires a nuanced understanding of which older adults are most suitable for KT. Recognizing the increased heterogeneity among older adults and the limitations of solely relying on chronological age, there is a need to explore alternative aging metrics beyond chronological age. In this review, we discuss the impact of older age on access to KT and postoperative outcomes. Emphasizing the need for a comprehensive evaluation that extends beyond chronological age, we explore alternative aging metrics such as frailty, sarcopenia, and cognitive function, underscoring their potential role in enhancing the KT evaluation process. Most importantly, we aim to contribute to the ongoing discourse, fostering an optimized approach to KT for the rapidly growing population of older adults.