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Utilization of machine learning for identifying symptom severity military-related PTSD subtypes and their biological correlates

Siegel, Carole E; Laska, Eugene M; Lin, Ziqiang; Xu, Mu; Abu-Amara, Duna; Jeffers, Michelle K; Qian, Meng; Milton, Nicholas; Flory, Janine D; Hammamieh, Rasha; Daigle, Bernie J; Gautam, Aarti; Dean, Kelsey R; Reus, Victor I; Wolkowitz, Owen M; Mellon, Synthia H; Ressler, Kerry J; Yehuda, Rachel; Wang, Kai; Hood, Leroy; Doyle, Francis J; Jett, Marti; Marmar, Charles R
We sought to find clinical subtypes of posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) in veterans 6-10 years post-trauma exposure based on current symptom assessments and to examine whether blood biomarkers could differentiate them. Samples were males deployed to Iraq and Afghanistan studied by the PTSD Systems Biology Consortium: a discovery sample of 74 PTSD cases and 71 healthy controls (HC), and a validation sample of 26 PTSD cases and 36 HC. A machine learning method, random forests (RF), in conjunction with a clustering method, partitioning around medoids, were used to identify subtypes derived from 16 self-report and clinician assessment scales, including the clinician-administered PTSD scale for DSM-IV (CAPS). Two subtypes were identified, designated S1 and S2, differing on mean current CAPS total scores: S2 = 75.6 (sd 14.6) and S1 = 54.3 (sd 6.6). S2 had greater symptom severity scores than both S1 and HC on all scale items. The mean first principal component score derived from clinical summary scales was three times higher in S2 than in S1. Distinct RFs were grown to classify S1 and S2 vs. HCs and vs. each other on multi-omic blood markers feature classes of current medical comorbidities, neurocognitive functioning, demographics, pre-military trauma, and psychiatric history. Among these classes, in each RF intergroup comparison of S1, S2, and HC, multi-omic biomarkers yielded the highest AUC-ROCs (0.819-0.922); other classes added little to further discrimination of the subtypes. Among the top five biomarkers in each of these RFs were methylation, micro RNA, and lactate markers, suggesting their biological role in symptom severity.
PMID: 33879773
ISSN: 2158-3188
CID: 4847112

Identification of psychiatric disorder subtypes from functional connectivity patterns in resting-state electroencephalography

Zhang, Yu; Wu, Wei; Toll, Russell T; Naparstek, Sharon; Maron-Katz, Adi; Watts, Mallissa; Gordon, Joseph; Jeong, Jisoo; Astolfi, Laura; Shpigel, Emmanuel; Longwell, Parker; Sarhadi, Kamron; El-Said, Dawlat; Li, Yuanqing; Cooper, Crystal; Chin-Fatt, Cherise; Arns, Martijn; Goodkind, Madeleine S; Trivedi, Madhukar H; Marmar, Charles R; Etkin, Amit
The understanding and treatment of psychiatric disorders, which are known to be neurobiologically and clinically heterogeneous, could benefit from the data-driven identification of disease subtypes. Here, we report the identification of two clinically relevant subtypes of post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) and major depressive disorder (MDD) on the basis of robust and distinct functional connectivity patterns, prominently within the frontoparietal control network and the default mode network. We identified the disease subtypes by analysing, via unsupervised and supervised machine learning, the power-envelope-based connectivity of signals reconstructed from high-density resting-state electroencephalography in four datasets of patients with PTSD and MDD, and show that the subtypes are transferable across independent datasets recorded under different conditions. The subtype whose functional connectivity differed most from those of healthy controls was less responsive to psychotherapy treatment for PTSD and failed to respond to an antidepressant medication for MDD. By contrast, both subtypes responded equally well to two different forms of repetitive transcranial magnetic stimulation therapy for MDD. Our data-driven approach may constitute a generalizable solution for connectome-based diagnosis.
PMID: 33077939
ISSN: 2157-846x
CID: 4642092

CRF serum levels differentiate PTSD from healthy controls and TBI in military veterans

Ramos-Cejudo, Jaime; Genfi, Afia; Abu-Amara, Duna; Debure, Ludovic; Qian, Meng; Laska, Eugene; Siegel, Carole; Milton, Nicholas; Newman, Jennifer; Blessing, Esther; Li, Meng; Etkin, Amit; Marmar, Charles R; Fossati, Silvia
Background and Objective/UNASSIGNED:Posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) is a serious and frequently debilitating psychiatric condition that can occur in people who have experienced traumatic stessors, such as war, violence, sexual assault and other life-threatening events. Treatment of PTSD and traumatic brain injury (TBI) in veterans is challenged by diagnostic complexity, partially due to PTSD and TBI symptom overlap and to the fact that subjective self-report assessments may be influenced by a patient's willingness to share their traumatic experiences and resulting symptoms. Corticotropin-releasing factor (CRF) is one of the main mediators of hypothalamic pituitary adrenal (HPA)-axis responses in stress and anxiety. Methods and Results/UNASSIGNED:We analyzed serum CRF levels in 230 participants including heathy controls (64), and individuals with PTSD (53), TBI (70) or PTSD+TBI (43) by enzyme immunoassay (EIA). Significantly lower CRF levels were found in both the PTSD and PTSD+TBI groups compared to healthy control (PTSD vs Controls: P=0.0014, PTSD + TBI vs Controls: P=0.0011) and chronic TBI participants (PTSD vs TBI: P<0.0001PTSD + TBI vs TBI: P<0.0001) , suggesting a PTSD-related mechanism independent from TBI and associated with CRF reduction. CRF levels negatively correlated with PTSD severity on the CAPS-5 scale in the whole study group. Conclusions/UNASSIGNED:Hyperactivation of the HPA axis has been classically identified in acute stress. However, the recognized enhanced feedback inhibition of the HPA axis in chronic stress supports our findings of lower CRF in PTSD patients. This study suggests that reduced serum CRF in PTSD should be further investigated. Future validation studies will establish if CRF is a possible blood biomarker for PTSD and/or for differentiating PTSD and chronic TBI symptomatology.
PMCID:8764614
PMID: 35211666
ISSN: 2575-5609
CID: 5165012

Multi-omic biomarker identification and validation for diagnosing warzone-related post-traumatic stress disorder

Dean, Kelsey R; Hammamieh, Rasha; Mellon, Synthia H; Abu-Amara, Duna; Flory, Janine D; Guffanti, Guia; Wang, Kai; Daigle, Bernie J; Gautam, Aarti; Lee, Inyoul; Yang, Ruoting; Almli, Lynn M; Bersani, F Saverio; Chakraborty, Nabarun; Donohue, Duncan; Kerley, Kimberly; Kim, Taek-Kyun; Laska, Eugene; Young Lee, Min; Lindqvist, Daniel; Lori, Adriana; Lu, Liangqun; Misganaw, Burook; Muhie, Seid; Newman, Jennifer; Price, Nathan D; Qin, Shizhen; Reus, Victor I; Siegel, Carole; Somvanshi, Pramod R; Thakur, Gunjan S; Zhou, Yong; Hood, Leroy; Ressler, Kerry J; Wolkowitz, Owen M; Yehuda, Rachel; Jett, Marti; Doyle, Francis J; Marmar, Charles
Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) impacts many veterans and active duty soldiers, but diagnosis can be problematic due to biases in self-disclosure of symptoms, stigma within military populations, and limitations identifying those at risk. Prior studies suggest that PTSD may be a systemic illness, affecting not just the brain, but the entire body. Therefore, disease signals likely span multiple biological domains, including genes, proteins, cells, tissues, and organism-level physiological changes. Identification of these signals could aid in diagnostics, treatment decision-making, and risk evaluation. In the search for PTSD diagnostic biomarkers, we ascertained over one million molecular, cellular, physiological, and clinical features from three cohorts of male veterans. In a discovery cohort of 83 warzone-related PTSD cases and 82 warzone-exposed controls, we identified a set of 343 candidate biomarkers. These candidate biomarkers were selected from an integrated approach using (1) data-driven methods, including Support Vector Machine with Recursive Feature Elimination and other standard or published methodologies, and (2) hypothesis-driven approaches, using previous genetic studies for polygenic risk, or other PTSD-related literature. After reassessment of ~30% of these participants, we refined this set of markers from 343 to 28, based on their performance and ability to track changes in phenotype over time. The final diagnostic panel of 28 features was validated in an independent cohort (26 cases, 26 controls) with good performance (AUC = 0.80, 81% accuracy, 85% sensitivity, and 77% specificity). The identification and validation of this diverse diagnostic panel represents a powerful and novel approach to improve accuracy and reduce bias in diagnosing combat-related PTSD.
PMID: 31501510
ISSN: 1476-5578
CID: 4071472

Mental Health Disorders Related to COVID-19-Related Deaths

Simon, Naomi M; Saxe, Glenn N; Marmar, Charles R
PMID: 33044510
ISSN: 1538-3598
CID: 4632452

Gabapentin Enacarbil Extended-Release Versus Placebo: A Likely Responder Reanalysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

Laska, Eugene M; Siegel, Carole E; Lin, Ziqiang; Bogenschutz, Michael; Marmar, Charles R
BACKGROUND:We reanalyzed a multisite 26-week randomized double-blind placebo-controlled clinical trial of 600 mg twice-a-day Gabapentin Enacarbil Extended-Release (GE-XR), a gabapentin prodrug, designed to evaluate safety and efficacy for treating alcohol use disorder. In the original analysis (n = 338), published in 2019, GE-XR did not differ from placebo. Our aim is to advance precision medicine by identifying likely responders to GE-XR from the trial data and to determine for likely responders if GE-XR is causally superior to placebo. METHODS:The primary outcome measure in the reanalysis is the reduction from baseline of the number of heavy drinking days (ΔHDD). Baseline features including measures of alcohol use, anxiety, depression, mood states, sleep, and impulsivity were used in a random forest (RF) model to predict ΔHDD to treatment with GE-XR based on those assigned to GE-XR. The resulting RF model was used to obtain predicted outcomes for those randomized to GE-XR and counterfactually to those randomized to placebo. Likely responders to GE-XR were defined as those predicted to have a reduction of 14 days or more. Tests of causal superiority of GE-XR to placebo were obtained for likely responders and for the whole sample. RESULTS:For likely responders, GE-XR was causally superior to placebo (p < 0.0033), while for the whole sample, there was no difference. Likely responders exhibited improved outcomes for the related outcomes of percent HDD and drinks per week. Compared with unlikely responders, at baseline likely responders had higher HDDs; lower levels of anxiety, depression, and general mood disturbances; and higher levels of cognitive and motor impulsivity. CONCLUSIONS:There are substantial causal benefits of treatment with GE-XR for a subset of patients predicted to be likely responders. The likely responder statistical paradigm is a promising approach for analyzing randomized clinical trials to advance personalized treatment.
PMCID:7540534
PMID: 33460198
ISSN: 1530-0277
CID: 4760242

Computational causal discovery for post-traumatic stress in police officers

Saxe, Glenn N; Ma, Sisi; Morales, Leah J; Galatzer-Levy, Isaac R; Aliferis, Constantin; Marmar, Charles R
This article reports on a study aimed to elucidate the complex etiology of post-traumatic stress (PTS) in a longitudinal cohort of police officers, by applying rigorous computational causal discovery (CCD) methods with observational data. An existing observational data set was used, which comprised a sample of 207 police officers who were recruited upon entry to police academy training. Participants were evaluated on a comprehensive set of clinical, self-report, genetic, neuroendocrine and physiological measures at baseline during academy training and then were re-evaluated at 12 months after training was completed. A data-processing pipeline-the Protocol for Computational Causal Discovery in Psychiatry (PCCDP)-was applied to this data set to determine a causal model for PTS severity. A causal model of 146 variables and 345 bivariate relations was discovered. This model revealed 5 direct causes and 83 causal pathways (of four steps or less) to PTS at 12 months of police service. Direct causes included single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) for the Histidine Decarboxylase (HDC) and Mineralocorticoid Receptor (MR) genes, acoustic startle in the context of low perceived threat during training, peritraumatic distress to incident exposure during first year of service, and general symptom severity during training at 1 year of service. The application of CCD methods can determine variables and pathways related to the complex etiology of PTS in a cohort of police officers. This knowledge may inform new approaches to treatment and prevention of critical incident related PTS.
PMID: 32778671
ISSN: 2158-3188
CID: 4556122

PTSD Treatments for Veterans-Reply [Comment]

Steenkamp, Maria M; Litz, Brett T; Marmar, Charles R
PMID: 32692384
ISSN: 1538-3598
CID: 4532172

Effect of Combat Exposure and Posttraumatic Stress Disorder on Telomere Length and Amygdala Volume

Kang, Jee In; Mueller, Susanne G; Wu, Gwyneth W Y; Lin, Jue; Ng, Peter; Yehuda, Rachel; Flory, Janine D; Abu-Amara, Duna; Reus, Victor I; Gautam, Aarti; Hammamieh, Rasha; Doyle, Francis J; Jett, Marti; Marmar, Charles R; Mellon, Synthia H; Wolkowitz, Owen M
BACKGROUND:Traumatic stress can adversely affect physical and mental health through neurobiological stress response systems. We examined the effects of trauma exposure and posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD) on telomere length, a biomarker of cellular aging, and volume of the amygdala, a key structure of stress regulation, in combat-exposed veterans. In addition, the relationships of psychopathological symptoms and autonomic function with telomere length and amygdala volume were examined. METHODS:Male combat veterans were categorized as having PTSD diagnosis (n = 102) or no lifetime PTSD diagnosis (n = 111) based on the Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale. Subjects were assessed for stress-related psychopathology, trauma severity, autonomic function, and amygdala volumes by magnetic resonance imaging. RESULTS:A significant interaction was found between trauma severity and PTSD status for telomere length and amygdala volume after adjusting for multiple confounders. Subjects with PTSD showed shorter telomere length and larger amygdala volume than those without PTSD among veterans exposed to high trauma, while there was no significant group difference in these parameters among those exposed to low trauma. Among veterans exposed to high trauma, greater telomere shortening was significantly correlated with greater norepinephrine, and larger amygdala volume was correlated with more severe psychological symptoms and higher heart rates. CONCLUSIONS:These data suggest that the intensity of the index trauma event plays an important role in interacting with PTSD symptomatology and autonomic activity in predicting telomere length and amygdala volume. These results highlight the importance of trauma severity and PTSD status in predicting certain biological outcomes.
PMID: 32439402
ISSN: 2451-9030
CID: 4444652

A validated predictive algorithm of post-traumatic stress course following emergency department admission after a traumatic stressor

Schultebraucks, Katharina; Shalev, Arieh Y; Michopoulos, Vasiliki; Grudzen, Corita R; Shin, Soo-Min; Stevens, Jennifer S; Maples-Keller, Jessica L; Jovanovic, Tanja; Bonanno, George A; Rothbaum, Barbara O; Marmar, Charles R; Nemeroff, Charles B; Ressler, Kerry J; Galatzer-Levy, Isaac R
Annually, approximately 30 million patients are discharged from the emergency department (ED) after a traumatic event1. These patients are at substantial psychiatric risk, with approximately 10-20% developing one or more disorders, including anxiety, depression or post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD)2-4. At present, no accurate method exists to predict the development of PTSD symptoms upon ED admission after trauma5. Accurate risk identification at the point of treatment by ED services is necessary to inform the targeted deployment of existing treatment6-9 to mitigate subsequent psychopathology in high-risk populations10,11. This work reports the development and validation of an algorithm for prediction of post-traumatic stress course over 12 months using two independently collected prospective cohorts of trauma survivors from two level 1 emergency trauma centers, which uses routinely collectible data from electronic medical records, along with brief clinical assessments of the patient's immediate stress reaction. Results demonstrate externally validated accuracy to discriminate PTSD risk with high precision. While the predictive algorithm yields useful reproducible results on two independent prospective cohorts of ED patients, future research should extend the generalizability to the broad, clinically heterogeneous ED population under conditions of routine medical care.
PMID: 32632194
ISSN: 1546-170x
CID: 4518092