Faculty Bibliography

OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:We examined long-term outcomes in patients with surgically treated intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) to determine if any clinical or histologic features could predict risk of recurrent disease. METHODS:We reviewed 183 margin-negative surgical resections performed for IPMN between 1994 and 2011 with documented postoperative abdominal imaging. We calculated time to recurrent disease as indicated by radiographic change and created a multivariable Cox proportional hazards model to assess the relationship between patient characteristics and histopathologic tumor features and disease recurrence. RESULTS:Among patients with margin-negative resections and adequate imaging follow-up, we observed a recurrence rate of 13% over a median follow-up of 32.0 months. Individuals with invasive tumors on original pathology were more likely to recur (HR 5.2, 95% CI 2.2-12.2); however, original pathology did not predict disease severity on recurrence. Controlling for invasive pathology, no other histologic feature of the original tumor, including dysplasia at the surgical margin, predicted recurrence. Among non-invasive IPMN, pancreatitis was associated with disease recurrence (HR 3.6, 95% CI 1.2-10.7). CONCLUSIONS:The frequency of recurrent disease in this population and the inability to predict recurrence argues for universal and continuous surveillance after resection for IPMN. The relationship between pancreatitis and disease recurrence should be investigated further.

IMPORTANCE/OBJECTIVE:Research has been limited on the incidence, mechanisms, etiology, and treatment of symptoms that require palliation in patients with terminal cancer. Bowel obstruction (BO) is a common complication of advanced abdominal cancer, including colon cancer, for which small, single-institution studies have suggested an incidence rate of 15% to 29%. Large population-based studies examining the incidence or risk factors associated with BO in cancer are lacking. OBJECTIVE:To investigate the incidence and risk factors associated with BO in patients with stage IV colon cancer. DESIGN AND SETTING/METHODS:Retrospective cohort, population-based study of patients in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results and Medicare claims linked databases who were diagnosed as having stage IV colon cancer from January 1, 1991, through December 31, 2005. PATIENTS/METHODS:Patients 65 years or older with stage IV colon cancer (n = 12 553). MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES/METHODS:Time to BO, defined by inpatient hospitalization for BO. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to determine associations between BO and patient, prior treatment, and tumor features. RESULTS:We identified 1004 patients with stage IV colon cancer subsequently hospitalized with BO (8.0%). In multivariable analysis, proximal tumor site (hazard ratio, 1.22 [95% CI, 1.07-1.40]), high tumor grade (1.34 [1.16-1.55]), mucinous histological type (1.27 [1.08-1.50]), and nodal stage N2 (1.52 [1.26-1.84]) were associated with increased risk of BO, as was the presence of obstruction at cancer diagnosis (1.75 [1.47-2.04]). A more recent diagnosis was associated with decreased risk of subsequent obstruction (hazard ratio, 0.84 [95% CI, 0.72-0.98]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/CONCLUSIONS:In this large population of patients with stage IV colon cancer, BO after diagnosis was less common (8.0%) than previously reported. Risk was associated with site and histological type of the primary tumor. Future studies will explore management and outcomes in this serious, common complication.

BACKGROUND:Bowel obstruction is a common complication of late-stage abdominal cancer, especially colon cancer, which has been investigated predominantly in small, single-institution studies. OBJECTIVE:We used a large, population-based data set to explore the surgical treatment of bowel obstruction and its outcomes after hospitalization for obstruction among patients with stage IV colon cancer. DESIGN/METHODS:This was a retrospective cohort study. SETTING AND PATIENTS/METHODS:We identified 1004 patients aged 65 years or older in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results-Medicare database diagnosed with stage IV colon cancer January 1, 1991 to December 31, 2005, who were later hospitalized for bowel obstruction. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES/METHODS:We describe outcomes after hospitalization and analyzed the associations between surgical treatment of obstruction and outcomes. RESULTS:Hospitalization for bowel obstruction occurred a median of 7.4 months after colon cancer diagnosis, and median survival after obstruction was approximately 2.5 months. Median hospitalization for obstruction was about 1 week and in-hospital mortality was 12.7%. Between discharge and death, 25% of patients were readmitted to the hospital at least once for obstruction, and, on average, patients lived 5 days out of the hospital for every day in the hospital between obstruction diagnosis and death. Survival was 3 times longer in those whose obstruction claims suggested an adhesive obstruction origin. In multivariable models, surgical compared with nonsurgical management was not associated with prolonged survival (p = 0.134). LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS:Use of an administrative database did not allow determination of quality of life or relief of obstruction as an outcome, nor could nonsurgical interventions, eg, endoscopic stenting or octreotide, be assessed. CONCLUSIONS:In this population-based study of patients with stage IV colon cancer who had bowel obstruction, overall survival following obstruction was poor irrespective of treatment. Universally poor outcomes suggest that a diagnosis of obstruction in the setting of advanced colon cancer should be considered a preterminal event.

BACKGROUND: Hospital readmission has been proposed as a metric for quality of medical and surgical care. We examined our institutional experience with readmission after pancreatic resection, and assessed factors predictive of readmission. METHODS: We reviewed 787 pancreatic resections performed at a single institution between 2006 and 2010. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were used to assess the relationships between preoperative and postoperative characteristics and readmission. Reasons for hospital readmission were examined in detail. RESULTS: We found the 30-day readmission rate after pancreatic resection to be 11.6 %. In univariate analysis, young age, pancreaticoduodenectomy versus other operations, open versus laparoscopic technique, fistula formation, the need for reoperation, and any complication during the index hospitalization were predictive of readmission. In multivariate analysis, only young age and postoperative complication were predictive of readmission. Vascular resection, postoperative ICU care, length of stay, and discharge disposition were not associated with readmission. The most common reasons for readmission were leaks, fistulas, abscesses, and wound infections (45.1 %), delayed gastric emptying (12.1 %), venous thrombosis (7.7 %), and GI bleeding (7.7 %). CONCLUSIONS: We found the vast majority of readmissions after pancreatic resection were to manage complications related to the operation and were not due to poor coordination of care or poor discharge planning. Because evidence-based measures to prevent these surgical complications do not exist, we cannot support the use of readmission rates themselves as a quality indicator after pancreatic surgery.

BACKGROUND:Few formal cost-effectiveness analyses simultaneously evaluate radiographic, endoscopic, and surgical approaches to the management of choledocholithiasis. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Using the decision analytic software TreeAge, we modeled the initial clinical management of a patient presenting with symptomatic cholelithiasis without overt signs of choledocholithiasis. In this base case, we assumed a 10 % probability of concurrent asymptomatic choledocholithiasis. Our model evaluated four diagnostic/therapeutic strategies: universal magnetic resonance cholangiopancreatography (MRCP), universal endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), laparoscopic cholecystectomy (LC), or laparoscopic cholecystectomy with universal intraoperative cholangiogram (LCIOC). All probabilities were estimated from a review of published literature. Procedure and intervention costs were equated with Medicare reimbursements. Costs of hospitalizations were derived from median hospitalization reimbursement for New York State using diagnosis-related groups (DRG). Sensitivity analyses were performed on all cost and probability variables. RESULTS:The most cost-effective strategy in the diagnosis and management of symptomatic cholelithiasis with a 10 % risk of asymptomatic choledocholithiasis was LCIOC. This was followed by LC alone, MRCP, and ERCP. LC was preferred only when the probability that a retained CBD stone would eventually become symptomatic fell below 15 % or if the probability of technical success of an intraoperative cholangiogram (IOC) was less than 35 %. Universal MRCP and ERCP were both more costly and less effective than surgical strategies, even at a high probability of asymptomatic choledocholithiasis. Within the tested range for both procedural and hospitalization-related costs for any of the surgical or endoscopic interventions, LCIOC and LC were always more cost-effective than universal MRCP or ERCP, irrespective of the presence or absence of complications. Varying the cost, sensitivity, and specificity of MRCP had no effect on this outcome. CONCLUSIONS:LC with routine IOC is the preferred strategy in a cost-effectiveness analysis of the management of symptomatic cholelithiasis with asymptomatic choledocholithiasis. MRCP was both more costly and less effective under all tested scenarios.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:Bowel obstruction is a common pre-terminal event in abdominal/pelvic cancer that has mainly been described in small single-institution studies. We used a large, population-based database to investigate the incidence, management, and outcomes of obstruction in ovarian cancer patients. PATIENTS AND METHODS/METHODS:We identified patients with stages IC-IV ovarian cancer, aged 65 years or older, in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER)-Medicare database diagnosed between January 1, 1991 and December 31, 2005. We modeled predictors of inpatient hospitalization for bowel obstruction after cancer diagnosis, categorized management of obstruction, and analyzed the associations between treatment for obstruction and outcomes. RESULTS:Of 8607 women with ovarian cancer, 1518 (17.6%) were hospitalized for obstruction subsequent to cancer diagnosis. Obstruction at cancer diagnosis (HR=2.17, 95%CI: 1.86-2.52) and mucinous tumor histology (HR=1.45, 95%CI: 1.15-1.83) were associated with increased risk of subsequent obstruction. Surgical management of obstruction was associated with lower 30-day mortality (13.4% in women managed surgically vs. 20.2% in women managed non-surgically), but equivalent survival after 30 days and equivalent rates of post-obstruction chemotherapy. Median post-obstruction survival was 382 days in women with obstructions of adhesive origin and 93 days in others. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:In this large-scale, population-based assessment of patients with advanced ovarian cancer, nearly 20% of women developed bowel obstruction after cancer diagnosis. While obstruction due to adhesions did not signal the end of life, all other obstructions were pre-terminal events for the majority of patients regardless of treatment.