Faculty Bibliography

A group of 122 consecutively treated pathologic Stage 1 (TINOMO) patients with cancer of the breast were studied to define histopathologic predictors of recurrence. Lymphatic invasion was the most significant predictor of recurrence; recurrence was present in 32% (8/25) of patients who had lymphatic invasion and in 10.3% (10/97) of patients who did not (P = 0.006). Histologic type was also predictive of recurrent disease. Eighteen per cent (18/101) of patients with invasive ductal or lobular carcinoma developed recurrent disease, while none of the group of 21 patients with medullary carcinoma, tubular carcinoma, colloid carcinoma, Paget's disease, and intraductal carcinoma with minimal invasion suffered a recurrence (P = 0.036). Vascular invasion, grade of malignancy, cellularity, presence or absence of circumscription, cellular infiltrate, fibroblastic response, neural invasion, and necrosis were not significant predictors of recurrence. Multiple logistic regression analysis of patients with invasive ductal or lobular carcinoma confirmed the results for individual factors, that only patients with lymphatic invasion were at higher risk of recurrence

We studied 119 patients with stage I primary cutaneous malignant melanoma, who were undergoing regional lymph node dissection, to determine the relationship of lymph node metastases to thickness of the primary lesion. The lymph nodes in the dissection specimen were each evaluated by serial sections. None of the patients with lesions less than 1.0 mm thick had nodal micrometastases. When lesions exceeded 1.0 mm in thickness, there was no appreciable increase in the incidence of nodal metastases until a thickness greater than 4.0 mm was reached, in which cases the incidence of metastases was 50%. Predictive variables were determined by multiple logistic regression analysis. Only lesions that were at least 4.0 mm thick and were not located on the upper extremities were significant predictors of lymph node metastases; within this category there was a 64% incidence of lymph node metastases

Fourteen prognostic factors were examined in 79 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma greater than or equal to 3.65 mm in thickness. All nine patients with melanoma of the hands or feet died of melanoma. A Cox proportional hazards (multivariate) analysis of the remaining 70 patients showed that a combination of the following four variables best predicted bony or visceral metastases: 1) a nearly absent or minimal lymphocyte response at the base of the tumor, 2) histologic type other than superficial spreading melanoma, 3) location on the trunk, and 4) positive nodes or no initial node dissection. Ulceration and/or ulceration width were not useful in predicting outcome either singly or in combination with other variables. Patients with negative lymph nodes and primary tumors of the trunk, hands, and feet did not do better than patients with positive nodes at those sites. Conversely, non of 16 patients with negative lymph nodes and extremity melanomas (excluding the hands and feet) or head and neck melanomas developed visceral or bony metastases (i.e., five-year disease-free survival rate 100%)

Fourteen variables were tested for their ability to predict visceral or bony metastases in 177 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma of intermediate thickness (1.51 - 3.39 mm). A Cox multivariate analysis yielded a combination of four variables that best predicted bony or visceral metastases for these patients: 1) mitoses greater than 6/min 2 (p = 0.0007), 2) location other than the forearm of leg) p = 0.009, 3) ulceration width greater than 3 mm (p = 0.04), 4) microscopic satellites (p = 0.05). The overall prognostic model chi square was 32.40 with 4 degrees of freedom (p less than 10 (-5). Combinations of the above variables were used to separate these patients into at least two risk groups. The high risk patients had at least a 35% or greater chance of developing visceral metastases within five years, while the low risk group had greater than an 85% chance of being disease free at five years. Criteria for the high risk group were as follows: 1) mitoses greater than 6/mm 2 in at least one area of the tumor, irrespective of primary tumor location, or 2) a melanoma located at some site other than the forearm or leg and histologic evidence in the primary tumor of either ulceration greater than 3 mm wide or microscopic satellites. The low risk group was defined as follows: 1) mitoses less than or equal to 6/mm 2 and a location on the leg or forearm, or 2) mitoses less than or equal to 6/mm 2 and the absence in histologic sections of the primary tumor of both microscopic satellites and ulceration greater then 3 mm wide. The number of patients in this series who did not undergo elective regional node dissection (N = 47) was probably too small to detect any benefit from this procedure. Based on survival rates from this and other studies, it is estimated that approximately 1500 patients with clinical Stage I melanoma of intermediate thickness in each arm of a randomized clinical trial would be needed to detect an increase in survival rates from elective regional node dissection