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Development of Risk Stratification Predictive Models for Cervical Deformity Surgery

Passias, Peter G; Ahmad, Waleed; Oh, Cheongeun; Imbo, Bailey; Naessig, Sara; Pierce, Katherine; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Hamilton, D Kojo; Protopsaltis, Themistocles S; Klineberg, Eric O; Gum, Jeffrey; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; Line, Breton; Hart, Robert A; Burton, Douglas C; Bess, Shay; Schwab, Frank J; Smith, Justin S; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Ames, Christopher P
BACKGROUND:As corrective surgery for cervical deformity (CD) increases, so does the rate of complications and reoperations. To minimize suboptimal postoperative outcomes, it is important to develop a tool that allows for proper preoperative risk stratification. OBJECTIVE:To develop a prognostic utility for identification of risk factors that lead to the development of major complications and unplanned reoperations. METHODS:CD patients age 18 years or older were stratified into 2 groups based on the postoperative occurrence of a revision and/or major complication. Multivariable logistic regressions identified characteristics that were associated with revision or major complication. Decision tree analysis established cutoffs for predictive variables. Models predicting both outcomes were quantified using area under the curve (AUC) and receiver operating curve characteristics. RESULTS:A total of 109 patients with CD were included in this study. By 1 year postoperatively, 26 patients experienced a major complication and 17 patients underwent a revision. Predictive modeling incorporating preoperative and surgical factors identified development of a revision to include upper instrumented vertebrae > C5, lowermost instrumented vertebrae > T7, number of unfused lordotic cervical vertebrae > 1, baseline T1 slope > 25.3°, and number of vertebral levels in maximal kyphosis > 12 (AUC: 0.82). For developing a major complication, a model included a current smoking history, osteoporosis, upper instrumented vertebrae inclination angle < 0° or > 40°, anterior diskectomies > 3, and a posterior Smith Peterson osteotomy (AUC: 0.81). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Revisions were predicted using a predominance of radiographic parameters while the occurrence of major complications relied on baseline bone health, radiographic, and surgical characteristics.
PMID: 36250700
ISSN: 1524-4040
CID: 5360212

Assessing the influence of modifiable patient-related factors on complication rates after adult spinal deformity surgery

Williamson, Tyler K; Passfall, Lara; Ihejirika-Lomedico, Rivka; Espinosa, Annie; Owusu-Sarpong, Stephane; Lanre-Amos, Tomi; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; Passias, Peter G
AIMS/OBJECTIVE:Postoperative complication rates remain relatively high after adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery. The extent to which modifiable patient-related factors influence complication rates in patients with ASD has not been effectively evaluated. The aim of this retrospective cohort study was to evaluate the association between modifiable patient-related factors and complications after corrective surgery for ASD. METHODS:ASD patients with two-year data were included. Complications were categorized as follows: any complication, major, medical, surgical, major mechanical, major radiological, and reoperation. Modifiable risk factors included smoking, obesity, osteoporosis, alcohol use, depression, psychiatric diagnosis, and hypertension. Patients were stratified by the degree of baseline deformity (low degree of deformity (LowDef)/high degree of deformity (HighDef): below or above 20°) and age (Older/Younger: above or below 65 years). Complication rates were compared for modifiable risk factors in each age/deformity group, using multivariable logistic regression analysis to adjust for confounders. RESULTS:A total of 480 ASD patients met the inclusion criteria. By two years, complication rates were 72% ≥ one complication, 28% major, 21% medical, 27% surgical, 11% major radiological, 8% major mechanical, and 22% required reoperation. Younger LowDef patients with osteoporosis were more likely to suffer either a major mechanical (odds ratio (OR) 5.9 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1 to 36.9); p = 0.048) or radiological complication (OR 7.0 (95% CI 1.9 to 25.9); p = 0.003). Younger HighDef patients were much more likely to develop complications if obese, especially major mechanical complications (OR 2.8 (95% CI 1.1 to 8.6); p = 0.044). Older HighDef patients developed more complications when diagnosed with depression, including major radiological complications (OR 3.5 (95% CI 1.1 to 10.6); p = 0.033). Overall, a diagnosis of depression proved to be a risk factor for the development of major radiological complications (OR 2.4 (95% CI 1.3 to 4.5); p = 0.005). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS: 2022;104-B(11):1249-1255.
PMID: 36317345
ISSN: 2049-4408
CID: 5358242

Assessing the Effects of Prior History of Vertebral Osteomyelitis on Peri-Operative Factors and Post-Operative Recovery in Adult Spinal Deformity Patients

Tretiakov, Peter S; Joujon-Roche, Rachel; Williamson, Tyler; Imbo, Bailey; Bennett-Caso, Claudia; Dave, Pooja; McFarland, Kimberly; Mir, Jamshaid; Dinizo, Michael; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; Passias, Peter G
Vertebral osteomyelitis (VOM), which includes the clinical entities of spinal osteomyelitis, spondylodiscitis, or pyogenic spondylitis, describes a complex inflammatory reaction within the vertebral column in the setting of microbial infection [...].
PMID: 36362720
ISSN: 2077-0383
CID: 5357582

Patient satisfaction after multiple revision surgeries for adult spinal deformity

Durand, Wesley M; Daniels, Alan H; DiSilvestro, Kevin; Lafage, Renaud; Diebo, Bassel G; Passias, Peter G; Kim, Han Jo; Protopsaltis, Themistocles; Lafage, Virginie; Smith, Justin S; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Gupta, Munish C; Klineberg, Eric O; Schwab, Frank; Gum, Jeffrey L; Mundis, Gregory M; Eastlack, Robert K; Kebaish, Khaled; Soroceanu, Alex; Hostin, Richard A; Burton, Douglas; Bess, Shay; Ames, Christopher P; Hart, Robert A; Hamilton, D Kojo
OBJECTIVE:Revision surgery is often necessary for adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients. Satisfaction with management is an important component of health-related quality of life. The authors hypothesized that patients who underwent multiple revision surgeries following ASD correction would exhibit lower self-reported satisfaction scores. METHODS:This was a retrospective cohort study of 668 patients who underwent ASD surgery and were eligible for a minimum 2-year follow-up. Visits were stratified by occurrence prior to the index surgery (period 0), after the index surgery only (period 1), after the first revision only (period 2), and after the second revision only (period 3). Patients were further stratified by prior spine surgery before their index surgery. Scoliosis Research Society-22 (SRS-22r) health-related quality-of-life satisfaction subscore and total satisfaction scores were evaluated at all periods using multiple linear regression and adjustment for age, sex, and Charlson Comorbidity Index. RESULTS:In total, 46.6% of the study patients had undergone prior spine surgery before their index surgery. The overall revision rate was 21.3%. Among patients with no spine surgery prior to the index surgery, SRS-22r satisfaction scores increased from period 0 to 1 (from 2.8 to 4.3, p < 0.0001), decreased after one revision from period 1 to 2 (4.3 to 3.9, p = 0.0004), and decreased further after a second revision from period 2 to 3 (3.9 to 3.3, p = 0.0437). Among patients with spine surgery prior to the index procedure, SRS-22r satisfaction increased from period 0 to 1 (2.8 to 4.2, p < 0.0001) and decreased from period 1 to 2 (4.2 to 3.8, p = 0.0011). No differences in follow-up time from last surgery were observed (all p > 0.3). Among patients with multiple revisions, 40% experienced rod fracture, 40% proximal junctional kyphosis, and 33% pseudarthrosis. CONCLUSIONS:Among patients undergoing ASD surgery, revision surgery is associated with decreased satisfaction, and multiple revisions are associated with additive detriment to satisfaction among patients initially undergoing primary surgery. These findings have direct implications for preoperative patient counseling and establishment of postoperative expectations.
PMID: 36029263
ISSN: 1547-5646
CID: 5338512

Trends in Outcomes of a Prospective Consecutively Enrolled Single-Center Adult Cervical Deformity Series

Passias, Peter G; Passfall, Lara; Imbo, Bailey; Williamson, Tyler; Joujon-Roche, Rachel; Krol, Oscar; Tretiakov, Peter; Kummer, Nicholas A; Lanre-Amos, Tomi; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; De La Garza, Rafael; Janjua, Muhammad Burhan; Sagoo, Navraj; Vira, Shaleen; Diebo, Bassel; Lafage, Renaud; Protopsaltis, Themistocles; Lafage, Virginie
STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Retrospective cohort. OBJECTIVE:To describe the 2-year outcomes for patients undergoing surgical correction of cervical deformity. BACKGROUND:Adult cervical deformity (CD) has been shown to compromise health-related quality of life. While advances in spinal realignment have shown promising short-term clinical results in this parameter, the long-term outcomes of CD corrective surgery remain unclear. METHODS:Operative CD patients >18 years with 2-year (2Y) HRQL/radiographic data were included. Improvement in radiographic, neurologic and HRQL outcomes were reported. Patients with a prior cervical fusion and patients with the greatest and smallest change based on NDI, NRS neck, mJOA were compared using multivariable analysis controlling for age, and frailty, and invasiveness. RESULTS:158 patients were included in this study. By 2Y, 96.3% of patients improved in Ames cSVA modifier, 34.2% in TS-CL, 42.0% in Horizontal gaze modifier, and 40.9% in SVA modifier. Additionally, 65.5% of patients improved in Passias CL modifier, 53.3% in TS-CL modifier, 100% in C2-T3 modifier, 88.9% in C2S modifier, and 81.0% in MGS modifier severity by 2Y. The cohort significantly improved from BL to 2Y in NDI, NRS Neck, and mJOA, all P<0.05. 59.3% of patients met MCID for NDI, 62.3% for NRS Neck, and 37.3% for mJOA. 97 patients presented with at least one neurologic deficit at BL and 63.9% no longer reported that deficit at follow-up. There were 45 (34.6%) cases of DJK (∆DJKA>10° between LIV and LIV-2), of which 17 were distal junctional failure (DJF-DJK requiring reoperation). Patients with the greatest beneficial change were less likely to have had a complication in the 2-year follow-up period. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Correction of cervical deformity results in notable clinical and radiographic improvement with most patients achieving favorable outcomes after two years. However, complications including distal junctional kyphosis or failure remain prevalent.
PMID: 36007013
ISSN: 1528-1159
CID: 5338422

Highest Achievable Outcomes for Patients Undergoing Cervical Deformity Corrective Surgery by Frailty

Passias, Peter G; Kummer, Nicholas; Williamson, Tyler K; Moattari, Kevin; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Kim, Han Jo; Daniels, Alan H; Gum, Jeffrey L; Diebo, Bassel G; Protopsaltis, Themistocles S; Mundis, Gregory M; Eastlack, Robert K; Soroceanu, Alexandra; Scheer, Justin K; Hamilton, D Kojo; Klineberg, Eric O; Line, Breton; Hart, Robert A; Burton, Douglas C; Mummaneni, Praveen; Chou, Dean; Park, Paul; Schwab, Frank J; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Bess, Shay; Ames, Christopher P; Smith, Justin S
BACKGROUND:Frailty is influential in determining operative outcomes, including complications, in patients with cervical deformity (CD). OBJECTIVE:To assess whether frailty status limits the highest achievable outcomes of patients with CD. METHODS:Adult patients with CD with 2-year (2Y) data included. Frailty stratification: not frail (NF) <0.2, frail (F) 0.2 to 0.4, and severely frail (SF) >0.4. Analysis of covariance established estimated marginal means based on age, invasiveness, and baseline deformity, for improvement, deterioration, or maintenance in Neck Disability Index (NDI), Modified Japanese Orthopaedic Association (mJOA), and Numerical Rating Scale Neck Pain. RESULTS:One hundred twenty-six patients with CD included 29 NF, 83 F, and 14 SF. The NF group had the highest rates of deterioration and lowest rates of improvement in cervical Sagittal Vertical Axis and horizontal gaze modifiers. Two-year improvements in NDI by frailty: NF: -11.2, F: -16.9, and SF: -14.6 (P = .524). The top quartile of NF patients also had the lowest 1-year (1Y) NDI (7.0) compared with F (11.0) and SF (40.5). Between 1Y and 2Y, 7.9% of patients deteriorated in NDI, 71.1% maintained, and 21.1% improved. Between 1Y and 2Y, SF had the highest rate of improvement (42%), while NF had the highest rate of deterioration (18.5%). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Although frail patients improved more often by 1Y, SF patients achieve most of their clinical improvement between 1 and 2Y. Frailty is associated with factors such as osteoporosis, poor alignment, neurological status, sarcopenia, and other medical comorbidities. Similarly, clinical outcomes can be affected by many factors (fusion status, number of pain generators within treated levels, integrity of soft tissues and bone, and deformity correction). Although accounting for such factors will ultimately determine whether frailty alone is an independent risk factor, these preliminary findings may suggest that frailty status affects the clinical outcomes and improvement after CD surgery.
PMID: 36084195
ISSN: 1524-4040
CID: 5337312

An Economic Analysis of Early and Late Complications After Adult Spinal Deformity Correction

Williamson, Tyler K; Owusu-Sarpong, Stephane; Imbo, Bailey; Krol, Oscar; Tretiakov, Peter; Joujon-Roche, Rachel; Ahmad, Salman; Bennett-Caso, Claudia; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; Lebovic, Jordan; Vira, Shaleen; Diebo, Bassel; Lafage, Renaud; Lafage, Virginie; Passias, Peter G
STUDY DESIGN/SETTING/METHODS:Retrospective cohort. OBJECTIVE:Adult spinal deformity (ASD) corrective surgery is often a highly invasive procedure portending patients to both immediate and long-term complications. Therefore, we sought to compare the economic impact of certain complications before and after 2 years. METHODS:2 years postoperatively. Published methods converted ODI to SF-6D to QALYs. Cost was calculated using CMS.gov definitions. Marginalized means for utility gained and cost-per-QALY were calculated via ANCOVA controlling for significant confounders. RESULTS:2 years. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Mechanical complications had the single greatest impact on cost-utility after adult spinal deformity surgery, but less so after 2 years. Understanding the cost-utility of specific interventions at certain timepoints may mitigate economic burden and prophylactic efforts should strategically be made against early mechanical complications.
PMID: 36134677
ISSN: 2192-5682
CID: 5335532

The 5-factor modified frailty index (mFI-5) is predictive of 30-day postoperative complications and readmission in patients with adult spinal deformity (ASD)

Shah, Neil V; Kim, David J; Patel, Neil; Beyer, George A; Hollern, Douglas A; Wolfert, Adam J; Kim, Nathan; Suarez, Daniel E; Monessa, Dan; Zhou, Peter L; Eldib, Hassan M; Passias, Peter G; Schwab, Frank J; Lafage, Virginie; Paulino, Carl B; Diebo, Bassel G
BACKGROUND:There is limited research regarding the association between the mFI-5 and postoperative complications among adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients. METHODS:Using the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP) database, patients with Current Procedural Terminology (CPT) codes for > 7-level fusion or < 7-level fusion with International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) codes for ASD were identified between 2008 and 2016. Univariate analyses with post-hoc Bonferroni correction for demographics and preoperative factors were performed. Logistic regression assessed associations between mFI-5 scores and 30-day post-operative outcomes. RESULTS:2,120 patients met criteria. Patients with an mFI-5 score of 4 or 5 were excluded, given there were<20 patients with those scores. Patients with mFI-5 scores of 1 and 2 had increased 30-day rates of pneumonia (3.5 % and 4.3 % vs 1.6 %), unplanned postoperative ventilation for > 48 h (3.1 % and 4.3 % vs 0.9 %), and UTIs (4.4 % and 7.4 % vs 2.0 %) than patients with a score of 0 (all, p < 0.05). Logistic regression revealed that compared to an mFI-5 of 0, a score of 1 was an independent predictor of 30-day reoperations (OR = 1.4; 95 % CI 1.1-18). A score of 2 was an independent predictor of overall (OR = 2.4; 95 % CI 1.4-4.1) and related (OR = 2.2; 95 % CI 1.2-4.1) 30-day readmissions. A score of 3 was not predictive of any adverse outcome. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The mFI-5 score predicted complications and postoperative events in the ASD population. The mFI-5 may effectively predict 30-day readmissions. Further research is needed to identify the benefits and predictive value of mFI-5 as a risk assessment tool.
PMID: 35981462
ISSN: 1532-2653
CID: 5300172

Three-Column Osteotomy in Adult Spinal Deformity: An Analysis of Temporal Trends in Usage and Outcomes

Passias, Peter G; Krol, Oscar; Passfall, Lara; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Smith, Justin S; Line, Breton; Vira, Shaleen; Daniels, Alan H; Diebo, Bassel; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; Gum, Jeffrey; Kebaish, Khaled; Than, Khoi; Kim, Han Jo; Hostin, Richard; Gupta, Munish; Eastlack, Robert; Burton, Douglas; Schwab, Frank J; Shaffrey, Christopher; Klineberg, Eric O; Bess, Shay
BACKGROUND:Three-column osteotomies (3COs), usually in the form of pedicle subtraction or vertebral column resection, have become common in adult spinal deformity surgery. Although a powerful tool for deformity correction, 3COs can increase the risks of perioperative morbidity. METHODS:Operative patients with adult spinal deformity (Cobb angle of >20°, sagittal vertical axis [SVA] of >5 cm, pelvic tilt of >25°, and/or thoracic kyphosis of >60°) with available baseline and 2-year radiographic and health-related quality-of-life (HRQoL) data were included. Patients were stratified into 2 groups by surgical year: Group I (2008 to 2013) and Group II (2014 to 2018). Patients with 3COs were then isolated for outcomes analysis. Severe sagittal deformity was defined by an SVA of >9.5 cm. Best clinical outcome (BCO) was defined as an Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) of <15 and Scoliosis Research Society (SRS)-22 of >4.5. Multivariable regression analyses were used to assess differences in surgical, radiographic, and clinical parameters. RESULTS:Seven hundred and fifty-two patients with adult spinal deformity met the inclusion criteria, and 138 patients underwent a 3CO. Controlling for baseline SVA, PI-LL (pelvic incidence minus lumbar lordosis), revision status, age, and Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), Group II was less likely than Group I to have a 3CO (21% versus 31%; odds ratio [OR] = 0.6; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 0.4 to 0.97) and more likely to have an anterior lumbar interbody fusion (ALIF; OR = 1.6; 95% CI = 1.3 to 2.3) and a lateral lumbar interbody fusion (LLIF; OR = 3.8; 95% CI = 2.3 to 6.2). Adjusted analyses showed that Group II had a higher likelihood of supplemental rod usage (OR = 21.8; 95% CI = 7.8 to 61) and a lower likelihood of proximal junctional failure (PJF; OR = 0.23; 95% CI = 0.07 to 0.76) and overall hardware complications by 2 years (OR = 0.28; 95% CI = 0.1 to 0.8). In an adjusted analysis, Group II had a higher likelihood of titanium rod usage (OR = 2.7; 95% CI = 1.03 to 7.2). Group II had a lower 2-year ODI and higher scores on Short Form (SF)-36 components and SRS-22 total (p < 0.05 for all). Controlling for baseline ODI, Group II was more likely to reach the BCO for the ODI (OR = 2.8; 95% CI = 1.2 to 6.4) and the SRS-22 total score (OR = 4.6; 95% CI = 1.3 to 16). CONCLUSIONS:Over a 10-year period, the rates of 3CO usage declined, including in cases of severe deformity, with an increase in the usage of PJF prophylaxis. A better understanding of the utility of 3CO, along with a greater implementation of preventive measures, has led to a decrease in complications and PJF and a significant improvement in patient-reported outcome measures. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE/METHODS:Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
PMID: 35983998
ISSN: 1535-1386
CID: 5300272

An Artificial Neural Network Model for the Prediction of Perioperative Blood Transfusion in Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

De la Garza Ramos, Rafael; Hamad, Mousa K; Ryvlin, Jessica; Krol, Oscar; Passias, Peter G; Fourman, Mitchell S; Shin, John H; Yanamadala, Vijay; Gelfand, Yaroslav; Murthy, Saikiran; Yassari, Reza
Prediction of blood transfusion after adult spinal deformity (ASD) surgery can identify at-risk patients and potentially reduce its utilization and the complications associated with it. The use of artificial neural networks (ANNs) offers the potential for high predictive capability. A total of 1173 patients who underwent surgery for ASD were identified in the 2017-2019 NSQIP databases. The data were split into 70% training and 30% testing cohorts. Eighteen patient and operative variables were used. The outcome variable was receiving RBC transfusion intraoperatively or within 72 h after surgery. The model was assessed by its sensitivity, positive predictive value, F1-score, accuracy (ACC), and area under the curve (AUROC). Average patient age was 56 years and 63% were female. Pelvic fixation was performed in 21.3% of patients and three-column osteotomies in 19.5% of cases. The transfusion rate was 50.0% (586/1173 patients). The best model showed an overall ACC of 81% and 77% on the training and testing data, respectively. On the testing data, the sensitivity was 80%, the positive predictive value 76%, and the F1-score was 78%. The AUROC was 0.84. ANNs may allow the identification of at-risk patients, potentially decrease the risk of transfusion via strategic planning, and improve resource allocation.
PMID: 35956053
ISSN: 2077-0383
CID: 5287272