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Risk of Neoplastic Progression in Individuals at High Risk for Pancreatic Cancer Undergoing Long-term Surveillance
Canto, Marcia Irene; Almario, Jose Alejandro; Schulick, Richard D; Yeo, Charles J; Klein, Alison; Blackford, Amanda; Shin, Eun Ji; Sanyal, Abanti; Yenokyan, Gayane; Lennon, Anne Marie; Kamel, Ihab R; Fishman, Elliot K; Wolfgang, Christopher; Weiss, Matthew; Hruban, Ralph H; Goggins, Michael
BACKGROUND & AIMS:Screening of individuals who have a high risk of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC), because of genetic factors, frequently leads to identification of pancreatic lesions. We investigated the incidence of PDAC and risk factors for neoplastic progression in individuals at high risk for PDAC enrolled in a long-term screening study. METHODS:We analyzed data from 354 individuals at high risk for PDAC (based on genetic factors of family history), enrolled in Cancer of the Pancreas Screening cohort studies at tertiary care academic centers from 1998 through 2014 (median follow-up time, 5.6 years). All subjects were evaluated at study entry (baseline) by endoscopic ultrasonography and underwent surveillance with endoscopic ultrasonography, magnetic resonance imaging, and/or computed tomography. The primary endpoint was the cumulative incidence of PDAC, pancreatic intraepithelial neoplasia grade 3, or intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm with high-grade dysplasia (HGD) after baseline. We performed multivariate Cox regression and Kaplan-Meier analyses. RESULTS:During the follow-up period, pancreatic lesions with worrisome features (solid mass, multiple cysts, cyst size > 3 cm, thickened/enhancing walls, mural nodule, dilated main pancreatic duct > 5 mm, or abrupt change in duct caliber) or rapid cyst growth (>4 mm/year) were detected in 68 patients (19%). Overall, 24 of 354 patients (7%) had neoplastic progression (14 PDACs and 10 HGDs) over a 16-year period; the rate of progression was 1.6%/year, and 93% had detectable lesions with worrisome features before diagnosis of the PDAC or HGD. Nine of the 10 PDACs detected during routine surveillance were resectable; a significantly higher proportion of patients with resectable PDACs survived 3 years (85%) compared with the 4 subjects with symptomatic, unresectable PDACs (25%), which developed outside surveillance (log rank P < .0001). Neoplastic progression occurred at a median age of 67 years; the median time from baseline screening until PDAC diagnosis was 4.8 years (interquartile range, 1.6-6.9 years). CONCLUSIONS:In a long-term (16-year) follow-up study of individuals at high-risk for PDAC, we found most PDACs detected during surveillance (9/10) to be resectable, and 85% of these patients survived for 3 years. We identified radiologic features associated with neoplastic progression.
PMCID:6120797
PMID: 29803839
ISSN: 1528-0012
CID: 4276222
Multi-institutional Validation Study of Pancreatic Cyst Fluid Protein Analysis for Prediction of High-risk Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas
Al Efishat, Mohammad A; Attiyeh, Marc A; Eaton, Anne A; Gönen, Mithat; Prosser, Denise; Lokshin, Anna E; Castillo, Carlos Fernández-Del; Lillemoe, Keith D; Ferrone, Cristina R; Pergolini, Ilaria; Mino-Kenudson, Mari; Rezaee, Neda; Dal Molin, Marco; Weiss, Matthew J; Cameron, John L; Hruban, Ralph H; D'Angelica, Michael I; Kingham, T Peter; DeMatteo, Ronald P; Jarnagin, William R; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Allen, Peter J
OBJECTIVE:Preliminary work by our group suggested that proteins within the pancreatic cyst fluid (CF) may discriminate degree of IPMN dysplasia. We sought to externally validate these markers and determine whether their inclusion in a preoperative clinical nomogram could increase diagnostic accuracy. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA/BACKGROUND:IPMN is the most common radiographically identifiable precursor to pancreatic cancer; however, the timing and frequency of its malignant progression are unknown, and there are currently no reliable preoperative tests that can determine the grade of dysplasia in IPMN. METHODS:Clinical and radiographic data, as well as CF samples, were obtained from 149 patients who underwent resection for IPMN at 1 of 3 institutions. High-risk disease was defined as the presence of high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma. Multianalyte bead array analysis (Luminex) of CF was performed for 4 protein markers that were previously associated with high-risk disease. Logistic regression models were fit on training data, with and without adjustment for a previously developed clinical nomogram and validated with an external testing set. The models incorporating clinical risk score were presented graphically as nomograms. RESULTS:Within the group of 149 resected patients, 89 (60%) had low-risk disease, and 60 (40%) had high-risk disease. All 4 CF markers (MMP9, CA72-4, sFASL, and IL-4) were overexpressed in patients with high-risk IPMN (P < 0.05). Two predictive models based on preselected combinations of CF markers had concordance indices of 0.76 (Model-1) and 0.80 (Model-2). Integration of each CF marker model into a previously described clinical nomogram leads to increased discrimination compared with either the CF models or nomogram alone (c-indices of 0.84 and 0.83, respectively). CONCLUSIONS:This multi-institutional study validated 2 CF protein marker models for preoperative identification of high-risk IPMN. When combined with a clinical nomogram, the ability to predict high-grade dysplasia was even stronger.
PMCID:5764837
PMID: 28700444
ISSN: 1528-1140
CID: 3197592
Development and Validation of a Multi-institutional Preoperative Nomogram for Predicting Grade of Dysplasia in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms (IPMNs) of the Pancreas: A Report from The Pancreatic Surgery Consortium
Attiyeh, Marc A; Fernández-Del Castillo, Carlos; Al Efishat, Mohammad; Eaton, Anne A; Gönen, Mithat; Batts, Ruqayyah; Pergolini, Ilaria; Rezaee, Neda; Lillemoe, Keith D; Ferrone, Cristina R; Mino-Kenudson, Mari; Weiss, Matthew J; Cameron, John L; Hruban, Ralph H; D'Angelica, Michael I; DeMatteo, Ronald P; Kingham, T Peter; Jarnagin, William R; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Allen, Peter J
OBJECTIVE:Previous nomogram models for patients undergoing resection of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) have been relatively small single-institutional series. Our objective was to improve upon these studies by developing and independently validating a new model using a large multiinstitutional dataset. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA:IPMNs represent the most common radiographically identifiable precursor lesions of pancreatic cancer. They are a heterogenous group of neoplasms in which more accurate markers of high-grade dysplasia or early invasive carcinoma could help avoid unnecessary surgery in 1 case and support potentially curative intervention (resection) in another. METHODS:Prospectively maintained databases from 3 institutions were queried for patients who had undergone resection of IPMNs between 2005 and 2015. Patients were separated into main duct [main and mixed-type (MD)] and branch duct (BD) types based on preoperative imaging. Logistic regression modeling was used on a training subset to develop 2 independent nomograms (MD and BD) to predict low-risk (low- or intermediate-grade dysplasia) or high-risk (high-grade dysplasia or invasive carcinoma) disease. Model performance was then evaluated using an independent validation set. RESULTS:We identified 1028 patients who underwent resection for IPMNs [MD: n = 454 (44%), BD: n = 574 (56%)] during the 10-year study period. High-risk disease was present in 487 patients (47%). Patients with high-risk disease comprised 71% and 29% of MD and BD groups, respectively (P <0.0001). MD and BD nomograms were developed on the training set [70% of total (n = 720); MD: n = 318, BD: n = 402] and validated on the test set [30% (n = 308); MD: n = 136, BD: n = 172]. The presence of jaundice was almost exclusively associated with high-risk disease (57 of 58 patients, 98%). Cyst size >3.0 cm, solid component/mural nodule, pain symptoms, and weight loss were significantly associated with high-risk disease. C-indices were 0.82 and 0.81 on training and independent validation sets, respectively; Brier scores were 0.173 and 0.175, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:For patients with suspected IPMNs, we present an independently validated model for the prediction of high-risk disease.
PMCID:5565720
PMID: 28079542
ISSN: 1528-1140
CID: 2983822
Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm of the Pancreas in Young Patients: Tumor Biology, Clinical Features, and Survival Outcomes
Morales-Oyarvide, Vicente; Mino-Kenudson, Mari; Ferrone, Cristina R; Warshaw, Andrew L; Lillemoe, Keith D; Sahani, Dushyant V; Pergolini, Ilaria; Attiyeh, Marc A; Al Efishat, Mohammad; Rezaee, Neda; Hruban, Ralph H; He, Jin; Weiss, Matthew J; Allen, Peter J; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Fernández-Del Castillo, Carlos
AIM/OBJECTIVE:The aim of this paper is to describe the characteristics of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas in young patients. METHODS:We evaluated 1693 patients from the Pancreatic Surgery Consortium who underwent resection for IPMN and classified them as younger or older than 50Â years of age at the time of surgery. We assessed the relationship of age with clinical, radiological, pathological, and prognostic features. RESULTS:We identified 90 (5%) young patients. Age was not associated with differences in main pancreatic duct size (PÂ =Â 0.323), presence of solid components (PÂ =Â 0.805), or cyst size (PÂ =Â 0.135). IPMNs from young patients were less likely to be of gastric type (37 vs. 57%, PÂ =Â 0.005), and more likely to be of oncocytic (15 vs. 4%, PÂ =Â 0.003) and intestinal types (44 vs. 26%, PÂ =Â 0.004). Invasive carcinomas arising from IPMN were less common in young patients (17 vs. 27%, PÂ =Â 0.044), and when present they were commonly of colloid type (47 vs. 31% in older patients, PÂ =Â 0.261) and had better overall survival than older patients (5-year, 71 vs. 37%, log-rank PÂ =Â 0.031). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Resection for IPMN is infrequent in young patients, but when they are resected, IPMNs from young patients demonstrate different epithelial subtypes from those in older patients and more favorable prognosis.
PMID: 29047068
ISSN: 1873-4626
CID: 2985282
Potential role of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in the early diagnosis and post-operative management of localised pancreatic cancer. [Meeting Abstract]
Lee, Belinda; Cohen, Joshua; Lipton, Lara Rachel; Tie, Jeanne; Javed, Ammar Asrar; Li, Lu; Goldstein, David; Cooray, Prasad; Nagrial, Adnan; Burge, Matthew E.; Tebbutt, Niall C.; Nikfarjam, Mehrdad; Harris, Marion; O\Broin-Lennon, Anne Marie; Wolfgang, Christopher Lee; Tomasetti, Cristian; Papadopoulos, Nickolas; Kinzler, Kenneth W.; Vogelstein, Bert; Gibbs, Peter
ISI:000411895709007
ISSN: 0732-183x
CID: 5372972
Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte Ratio is a Predictive Marker for Invasive Malignancy in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasms of the Pancreas
Gemenetzis, Georgios; Bagante, Fabio; Griffin, James F; Rezaee, Neda; Javed, Ammar A; Manos, Lindsey L; Lennon, Anne M; Wood, Laura D; Hruban, Ralph H; Zheng, Lei; Zaheer, Atif; Fishman, Elliot K; Ahuja, Nita; Cameron, John L; Weiss, Matthew J; He, Jin; Wolfgang, Christopher L
OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the correlation between neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) values, and the presence of invasive carcinoma in patients with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN). BACKGROUND:NLR and (PLR) are inflammatory markers that have been associated with overall survival in patients with invasive malignancies, including pancreatic cancer. METHODS:We retrospectively reviewed 272 patients who underwent surgical resection for histologically confirmed IPMN from January 1997 to July 2015. NLR and PLR were calculated and coevaluated with additional demographic, clinical, and imaging data for possible correlation with IPMN-associated carcinoma in the form of a predictive nomogram. RESULTS:NLR and PLR were significantly elevated in patients with IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma (P < 0.001). In the multivariate analysis, NLR value higher than 4 (P < 0.001), IPMN cyst of size more than 3 cm (P < 0.001), presence of enhanced solid component (P = 0.014), main pancreatic duct dilatation of more than 5 mm (P < 0.001), and jaundice (P < 0.001) were statistically significant variables. The developed statistical model has a c-index of 0.895. Implementation of the statistically significant variables in a predictive nomogram provided a reliable point system for estimating the presence of IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma. CONCLUSIONS:NLR is an independent predictive marker for the presence of IPMN-associated invasive carcinoma. Further prospective studies are needed to assess the predictive ability of NLR and how it can be applied in the clinical setting.
PMID: 27631774
ISSN: 1528-1140
CID: 4739962
Modified Staging Classification for Pancreatic Neuroendocrine Tumors on the Basis of the American Joint Committee on Cancer and European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society Systems
Luo, Guopei; Javed, Ammar; Strosberg, Jonathan R; Jin, Kaizhou; Zhang, Yu; Liu, Chen; Xu, Jin; Soares, Kevin; Weiss, Matthew J; Zheng, Lei; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Cives, Mauro; Wong, Joyce; Wang, Wei; Sun, Jian; Shao, Chenghao; Wang, Wei; Tan, Huangying; Li, Jie; Ni, Quanxing; Shen, Lin; Chen, Minhu; He, Jin; Chen, Jie; Yu, Xianjun
Purpose The European Neuroendocrine Tumor Society (ENETS) and the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging classifications are two widely used systems in managing pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors. However, there is no universally accepted system. Methods An analysis was performed to evaluate the application of the ENETS and AJCC staging classifications using the SEER registry (N = 2,529 patients) and a multicentric series (N = 1,143 patients). A modified system was proposed based on analysis of the two existing classifications. The modified system was then validated. Results The proportion of patients with AJCC stage III disease was extremely low for both the SEER series (2.2%) and the multicentric series (2.1%). For the ENETS staging system, patients with stage I disease had a similar prognosis to patients with stage IIA disease, and patients with stage IIIB disease had a lower hazard ratio for death than did patients with stage IIIA disease. We modified the ENETS staging classification by maintaining the ENETS T, N, and M definitions and adopting the AJCC staging definitions. The proportion of patients with stage III disease using the modified ENETS (mENETS) system was higher than that of the AJCC system in both the SEER series (8.9% v 2.2%) and the multicentric series (11.6% v 2.1%). In addition, the hazard ratio of death for patients with stage III disease was higher than that for patients with stage IIB disease. Moreover, statistical significance and proportional distribution were observed in the mENETS staging classification. Conclusion An mENETS staging classification is more suitable for pancreatic neuroendocrine tumors than either the AJCC or ENETS systems and can be adopted in clinical practice.
PMID: 27646952
ISSN: 1527-7755
CID: 4739982
Definition and classification of chyle leak after pancreatic operation: A consensus statement by the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery
Besselink, Marc G; van Rijssen, L Bengt; Bassi, Claudio; Dervenis, Christos; Montorsi, Marco; Adham, Mustapha; Asbun, Horacio J; Bockhorn, Maximillian; Strobel, Oliver; Büchler, Markus W; Busch, Olivier R; Charnley, Richard M; Conlon, Kevin C; Fernández-Cruz, Laureano; Fingerhut, Abe; Friess, Helmut; Izbicki, Jakob R; Lillemoe, Keith D; Neoptolemos, John P; Sarr, Michael G; Shrikhande, Shailesh V; Sitarz, Robert; Vollmer, Charles M; Yeo, Charles J; Hartwig, Werner; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Gouma, Dirk J
BACKGROUND:Recent literature suggests that chyle leak may complicate up to 10% of pancreatic resections. Treatment depends on its severity, which may include chylous ascites. No international consensus definition or grading system of chyle leak currently is available. METHODS:The International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery, an international panel of pancreatic surgeons working in well-known, high-volume centers, reviewed the literature and worked together to establish a consensus on the definition and classification of chyle leak after pancreatic operation. RESULTS:Chyle leak was defined as output of milky-colored fluid from a drain, drain site, or wound on or after postoperative day 3, with a triglyceride content ≥110 mg/dL (≥1.2 mmol/L). Three different grades of severity were defined according to the management needed: grade A, no specific intervention other than oral dietary restrictions; grade B, prolongation of hospital stay, nasoenteral nutrition with dietary restriction, total parenteral nutrition, octreotide, maintenance of surgical drains, or placement of new percutaneous drains; and grade C, need for other more invasive in-hospital treatment, intensive care unit admission, or mortality. CONCLUSION:This classification and grading system for chyle leak after pancreatic resection allows for comparison of outcomes between series. As with the other the International Study Group on Pancreatic Surgery consensus statements, this classification should facilitate communication and evaluation of different approaches to the prevention and treatment of this complication.
PMID: 27692778
ISSN: 1532-7361
CID: 4739992
Long-Term Outcomes of 98 Surgically Resected Metastatic Tumors in the Pancreas
Lee, Shin-Rong; Gemenetzis, Georgios; Cooper, Michol; Javed, Ammar A; Cameron, John L; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Eckhauser, Frederick E; He, Jin; Weiss, Matthew J
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:The goal of this study was to assess the outcomes and characteristics of patients who underwent pancreatectomy for metastatic disease to the pancreas. METHODS:Patients who underwent surgical resection of metastatic disease to the pancreas from 1988 to 2016 were identified using a prospectively maintained database. Data on clinicopathological features and outcomes of these patients were analyzed. Cox proportional hazard models were employed to identify patient-specific risk factors that influence survival. RESULTS:Ninety-seven patients underwent 98 pancreatic metastasectomies from July 1988 through March 2016 for metastatic disease from 13 different primary cancers. Pancreaticoduodenectomy, distal pancreatectomy, and total pancreatectomy were performed in 49 (50 %), 37 (38 %), and 12 (12 %) patients, respectively. Postoperative complications occurred in 55 (56 %) patients, while 3 (3 %) perioperative deaths occurred. Median follow-up was 2.0 years, with a median survival of 3.2 years. Multivariate analysis revealed that older patients [hazard ratio (HR) 1.04/year; p = 0.006], non-renal cell carcinomas (HR 5.07; p < 0.001), vascular invasion (HR 3.53; p < 0.001), and positive resection margins (HR 2.62; p = 0.008) were independently associated with an increased risk of mortality. CONCLUSIONS:Pancreatic metastasectomy is safe and feasible in well-selected patients and is associated with acceptable long-term survival.
PMID: 27770346
ISSN: 1534-4681
CID: 4740022
Circulating Tumor Cells Expressing Markers of Tumor-Initiating Cells Predict Poor Survival and Cancer Recurrence in Patients with Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma
Poruk, Katherine E; Blackford, Amanda L; Weiss, Matthew J; Cameron, John L; He, Jin; Goggins, Michael; Rasheed, Zeshaan A; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Wood, Laura D
Purpose: Circulating tumor cells (CTCs) have been identified in the blood of patients with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PDAC), but little is known about the exact phenotype of these cells. We assessed expression of aldehyde dehydrogenase (ALDH), CD133, and CD44 as markers of CTCs with a tumor-initiating cell (TIC) phenotype in patients with PDAC and the relationship of this expression to patient outcomes.Experimental Design: Peripheral blood from 60 consecutive patients with PDAC undergoing surgical resection was obtained and processed using the Isolation by Size of Epithelial Tumor (ISET) method. Immunofluorescence was used to identify CTCs expressing cytokeratin, CD133, CD44, and ALDH.Results: Forty-seven patients (78%) had epithelial CTCs staining positive for pan-cytokeratin and at least one TIC marker. Forty-six patients (77%) had epithelial CTCs that labeled with antibodies to cytokeratin and ALDH. By separate analysis, 34 (57%) had cytokeratin-positive, CD133-positive, and CD44-positive (triple-positive) CTCs, whereas 40 (67%) had cytokeratin-positive, CD133-positive, CD44-negative CTCs. The remaining 13 patients did not have CTCs, as defined by cytokeratin expression. ALDH-positive CTCs and triple-positive CTCs were significantly associated with worse survival by univariate analysis, even when accounting for other significant prognostic factors (all, P ≤ 0.01). ALDH-positive CTCs, triple-positive CTCs, and dual cytokeratin- and CD133-positive CTCs were independent predictors of tumor recurrence by logistic regression analysis and associated with decreased disease-free survival (all, P ≤ 0.03).Conclusions: CTCs labeling with one or more markers of TICs are found in a majority of patients with PDAC and are independently predictive of decreased disease-free and overall survival. Clin Cancer Res; 23(11); 2681-90. ©2016 AACR.
PMCID:5407944
PMID: 27789528
ISSN: 1557-3265
CID: 4740032