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The value of complementing administrative data with abstracted information on smoking and obesity: A study in kidney cancer

Nayan, Madhur; Hamilton, Robert J; Finelli, Antonio; Austin, Peter C; Kulkarni, Girish S; Juurlink, David N
INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:Variables, such as smoking and obesity, are rarely available in administrative databases. We explored the added value of including these data in an administrative database study evaluating the association of statin use with survival in kidney cancer. METHODS:We linked administrative data with chart-abstracted data on smoking and obesity for 808 patients undergoing nephrectomy for kidney cancer. Base models consisted of variables from administrative databases (age, sex, year of surgery, and different measures of comorbidity [to compare their sensitivity to smoking and obesity data]); extended models added chart-abstracted data. We compared coefficients for statin use with overall (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS), and used the c-statistic and net reclassification improvement (NRI) to compare predications of five-year survival obtained from Cox proportional hazard models. RESULTS:The coefficient for statin use changed minimally following addition of abstracted data (<6% for OS, <2% for CSS). Base models performed similarly for OS, with c-statistics of 0.75 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.72-0.79) for Charlson score and 0.73 (95% CI 0.69-0.78) for John Hopkins Aggregated Diagnosis Groups score. After including abstracted data, c-statistics modestly improved (change <0.02); CSS demonstrated similar findings. NRIs were 0.210 (95% CI 0.062-0.297) and 0.186 (-0.031-0.387) when using the Charlson score, and 0.207 (0.068-0.287) and 0.197 (0.007-0.399) when using the Aggregated Diagnosis Groups score, for OS and CSS, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:The inclusion of data on smoking and obesity marginally influences survival models in kidney cancer studies using administrative data.
PMCID:5472460
PMID: 28652873
ISSN: 1911-6470
CID: 5308892

Metformin Use and Kidney Cancer Outcomes in Patients With Diabetes: A Propensity Score Analysis

Nayan, Madhur; Finelli, Antonio; Jewett, Michael A S; Juurlink, David N; Austin, Peter C; Kulkarni, Girish S; Hamilton, Robert J
BACKGROUND:Exposure to metformin, a medication used to treat diabetes, has been associated with improved survival outcomes in various malignancies. However, studies evaluating the association between metformin use and kidney cancer survival outcomes have demonstrated conflicting results. PATIENTS AND METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of diabetic patients undergoing nephrectomy for M0 renal cell carcinoma from 2000 to 2014 at a tertiary academic center. Medication use at the time of surgery was determined by medical record review. Inverse probability of treatment weights (IPTWs) were derived from a propensity score model that included various clinical, surgical, and pathologic characteristics. Cox proportional hazard models were used to evaluate the association between metformin use and disease-free, cancer-specific, and overall survival in the sample weighted by the IPTWs. RESULTS:A total of 158 diabetic patients were identified, 82 (52%) of whom were taking metformin at the time of surgery. Before the application of the propensity score methods, the metformin users were significantly older and were more likely to undergo surgery between 2009 and 2014. After applying the IPTWs, the clinical, surgical, and pathologic characteristics were well balanced between the 2 groups. The median follow-up period was 43 months. Metformin use was not significantly associated with disease-free (hazard ratio [HR], 0.99; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.36-2.74), cause-specific (HR, 0.38; 95% CI, 0.08-1.86), or overall (HR, 0.86; 95% CI, 0.40-1.85) survival. CONCLUSION:We found no significant association between metformin use and kidney cancer outcomes. Population-based studies are needed to further evaluate the role of metformin in kidney cancer therapy.
PMID: 27424258
ISSN: 1938-0682
CID: 5308792

Diabetes and kidney cancer outcomes: a propensity score analysis

Nayan, Madhur; Finelli, Antonio; Jewett, Michael A S; Juurlink, David N; Austin, Peter C; Kulkarni, Girish S; Hamilton, Robert J
There is conflicting evidence whether diabetes is associated with survival outcomes in patients undergoing a nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma. We performed a retrospective review of 1034 patients undergoing nephrectomy for unilateral, M0, renal cell carcinoma between 2000 and 2016 at a tertiary academic center. Inverse probability of treatment weights were derived from a propensity score model based on various clinical, surgical, and pathological characteristics. We used Cox proportional hazard models to evaluate the association between diabetes and disease-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and overall survival in the sample weighted by the inverse probability of treatment weights. Furthermore, to evaluate whether severity of diabetes was associated with survival outcomes, we performed separate analyses where inverse probability of treatment weights were computed based on the probability of having diabetes that was controlled by medication. Of the 1034 patients, 180 (17 %) had diabetes. Of these, 139 (77 %) patients required medications for diabetes control while the remaining 41 (23 %) had diet controlled diabetes. Median follow-up was 50 months (IQR 17-86). Diabetes at the time of surgery was not significantly associated with disease-free survival (HR 1.11, 95 % CI 0.64 -1.91), cancer-specific survival (HR 0.96, 95 % CI 0.49-1.91), or overall survival (HR 1.28, 95 % CI 0.84-1.95). We found similar results when we compared diabetics controlled with medication vs. non-diabetics or diet controlled diabetics. In summary, we found no significant association between diabetes and survival outcomes in patients undergoing nephrectomy for M0 renal cell carcinoma. These results suggest that diabetics should be treated and followed in a similar manner to non-diabetics.
PMID: 27815768
ISSN: 1559-0100
CID: 5308852

Reply from Authors re: Peter Albers. Surveillance of Patients with Clinical Stage I Testis Cancer is Safe and Will Remain Unchanged. Eur Urol 2017;71:130-131 [Comment]

Nayan, Madhur; Hamilton, Robert J
PMID: 27856016
ISSN: 1873-7560
CID: 5308862

Conditional Risk of Relapse in Surveillance for Clinical Stage I Testicular Cancer

Nayan, Madhur; Jewett, Michael A S; Hosni, Ali; Anson-Cartwright, Lynn; Bedard, Philippe L; Moore, Malcolm; Hansen, Aaron R; Chung, Peter; Warde, Padraig; Sweet, Joan; O'Malley, Martin; Atenafu, Eshetu G; Hamilton, Robert J
BACKGROUND:Patients on surveillance for clinical stage I (CSI) testicular cancer are counseled regarding their baseline risk of relapse. The conditional risk of relapse (cRR), which provides prognostic information on patients who have survived for a period of time without relapse, have not been determined for CSI testicular cancer. OBJECTIVE:To determine cRR in CSI testicular cancer. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:We reviewed 1239 patients with CSI testicular cancer managed with surveillance at a tertiary academic centre between 1980 and 2014. OUTCOME MEASUREMENTS AND STATISTICAL ANALYSIS: cRR estimates were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. We stratified patients according to validated risk factors for relapse. We used linear regression to determine cRR trends over time. RESULTS AND LIMITATIONS:At orchiectomy, the risk of relapse within 5 yr was 42.4%, 17.3%, 20.3%, and 12.2% among patients with high-risk nonseminomatous germ cell tumor (NSGCT), low-risk NSGCT, seminoma with tumor size ≥3cm, and seminoma with tumor size <3cm, respectively. However, for patients without relapse within the first 2 yr of follow-up, the corresponding risk of relapse within the next 5 yr in the groups was 0.0%, 1.0% (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.3-1.7%), 5.6% (95% CI 3.1-8.2%), and 3.9% (95% CI 1.4-6.4%). Over time, cRR decreased (p≤0.021) in all models. Limitations include changes to surveillance protocols over time and few late relapses. CONCLUSIONS:After 2 yr, the risk of relapse on surveillance for CSI testicular cancer is very low. Consideration should be given to adapting surveillance protocols to individualized risk of relapse based on cRR as opposed to static protocols based on baseline factors. This strategy could reduce the intensity of follow-up for the majority of patients. PATIENT SUMMARY:Our study is the first to provide data on the future risk of relapse during surveillance for clinical stage I testicular cancer, given a patient has been without relapse for a specified period of time.
PMID: 27527805
ISSN: 1873-7560
CID: 5308812

Statin use and kidney cancer survival outcomes: A systematic review and meta-analysis

Nayan, Madhur; Punjani, Nahid; Juurlink, David N; Finelli, Antonio; Austin, Peter C; Kulkarni, Girish S; Uleryk, Elizabeth; Hamilton, Robert J
BACKGROUND:Statin use has been associated with improved survival outcomes in various malignancies. Randomized controlled trials are currently underway evaluating their utility as adjunctive cancer therapies. However, studies evaluating the association between statin use and outcomes in kidney cancer yield conflicting results. METHODS:We searched MEDLINE and EMBASE to identify studies evaluating the association between statin use and kidney cancer survival outcomes. We evaluated risk of bias with the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale. We pooled hazard ratios for recurrence-free survival, progression-free survival, cancer-specific survival, and overall survival using random-effects models. We evaluated publication bias through Begg's and Egger's tests, and the trim and fill procedure. RESULTS:We identified 12 studies meeting inclusion criteria and summarized data from 18,105 patients. No study was considered to be at high risk of bias. Statin use was not significantly associated with recurrence-free survival (pooled HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.89-1.06) or progression-free survival (pooled HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.51-1.65); however, statin use was associated with marked improvements in cancer-specific survival (pooled HR 0.67, 95% CI 0.47-0.94) and overall survival (pooled HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.63-0.88). There was no strong evidence of publication bias for any outcome. CONCLUSIONS:Our results demonstrate that statin use among patients with kidney cancer is associated with significantly improved cancer-specific and overall survival. Further studies are needed to confirm the therapeutic role of statins in kidney cancer.
PMID: 27992843
ISSN: 1532-1967
CID: 5308872

MEDICATION USE AND KIDNEY CANCER RISK: A POPULATION-BASED STUDY [Meeting Abstract]

Nayan, Madhur; Juurlink, David; Austin, Peter; Macdonald, Erin; Finelli, Antonio; Kulkarni, Girish; Hamilton, Robert
ISI:000398276604131
ISSN: 0022-5347
CID: 5309222

LECONDITIONAL RISK OF RELAPSE IN 3,601 PATIENTS MANAGED WITH SURVEILLANCE FOR STAGE I TESTICULAR CANCER [Meeting Abstract]

Nayan, Madhur; Daugaard, Gedske; Jewett, Michael; Lauritsen, Jakob; Bandak, Mikkel; Mortensen, Mette Saksoe; Kier, Maria Gry Gundgaard; Bedard, Philippe; Hansen, Aaron; Warde, Padraig; Chung, Peter; Atenafu, Eshetu; Hamilton, Robert
ISI:000398276604242
ISSN: 0022-5347
CID: 5309232

Vasectomy and risk of prostate cancer: population based matched cohort study

Nayan, Madhur; Hamilton, Robert J; Macdonald, Erin M; Li, Qing; Mamdani, Muhammad M; Earle, Craig C; Kulkarni, Girish S; Jarvi, Keith A; Juurlink, David N
OBJECTIVE: To determine the association between vasectomy and prostate cancer, adjusting for measures of health seeking behaviour. DESIGN/METHODS: Population based matched cohort study. SETTING/METHODS: Multiple validated healthcare databases in Ontario, Canada, 1994-2012. PARTICIPANTS/METHODS: 326 607 men aged 20 to 65 who had undergone vasectomy were identified through physician billing codes and matched 1:1 on age (within two years), year of cohort entry, comorbidity score, and geographical region to men who did not undergo a vasectomy. MAIN OUTCOMES MEASURES/METHODS: The primary outcome was incident prostate cancer. Secondary outcomes were prostate cancer related grade, stage, and mortality. RESULTS: 3462 incident cases of prostate cancer were identified after a median follow-up of 10.9 years: 1843 (53.2%) in the vasectomy group and 1619 (46.8%) in the non-vasectomy group. In unadjusted analysis, vasectomy was associated with a slightly increased risk of incident prostate cancer (hazard ratio 1.13, 95% confidence interval 1.05 to 1.20). After adjustment for measures of health seeking behaviour, however, no association remained (adjusted hazard ratio 1.02, 95% confidence interval 0.95 to 1.09). Moreover, no association was found between vasectomy and high grade prostate cancer (adjusted odds ratio 1.05, 95% confidence interval 0.67 to 1.66), advanced stage prostate cancer (adjusted odds ratio 1.04, 0.81 to 1.34), or mortality (adjusted hazard ratio 1.06, 0.60 to 1.85). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS: The findings do not support an independent association between vasectomy and prostate cancer.
PMCID:5094198
PMID: 27811008
ISSN: 1756-1833
CID: 5308842

Medication use and survival in diabetic patients with kidney cancer: A population-based cohort study

Nayan, Madhur; Macdonald, Erin M; Juurlink, David N; Austin, Peter C; Finelli, Antonio; Kulkarni, Girish S; Hamilton, Robert J
Survival rates in kidney cancer have improved little over time, and diabetes may be an independent risk factor for poor survival in kidney cancer. We sought to determine whether medications with putative anti-neoplastic properties (statins, metformin and non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (NSAIDs)) are associated with survival in diabetics with kidney cancer. We conducted a population-based cohort study utilizing linked healthcare databases in Ontario, Canada. Patients were aged 66 or older with newly diagnosed diabetes and a subsequent diagnosis of incident kidney cancer. Receipt of metformin, statins or NSAIDs was defined using prescription claims. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and the secondary outcome was cancer-specific mortality. We used multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression, with medication use modeled with time-varying and cumulative exposure analyses to account for intermittent use. During the 14-year study period, we studied 613 patients. Current statin use was associated with a markedly reduced risk of death from any cause (adjusted hazard ratio 0.74; 95% CI 0.59-0.91) and death due to kidney cancer (adjusted hazard ratio 0.71; 95% CI 0.51-0.97). However, survival was not associated with current use of metformin or NSAIDs, or cumulative exposure to any of the medications studied. Among diabetic patients with kidney cancer, survival outcomes are associated with active statin use, rather than total cumulative use. These findings support the use of randomized trials to confirm whether diabetics with kidney cancer should be started on a statin at the time of cancer diagnosis to improve survival outcomes.
PMID: 27678041
ISSN: 1096-1186
CID: 5308822