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Cost-Benefit Limitations of Extended, Outpatient Venous Thromboembolism Prophylaxis Following Surgery for Crohn's Disease

Leeds, Ira L; DiBrito, Sandra R; Canner, Joseph K; Haut, Elliott R; Safar, Bashar
BACKGROUND:Patients with Crohn's disease are at increased risk of postoperative venous thromboembolism. Historically, extended outpatient prophylaxis has not met conventional measures of societal cost-benefit advantage. However, extended prophylaxis for patients with Crohn's disease may be more cost-effective because of the patients' high thrombotic risk and long life expectancy. OBJECTIVE:This study aimed to assess the cost-effectiveness of extended prophylaxis in patients with Crohn's disease after abdominal surgery. DESIGN:A decision tree model was used to assess the incremental cost-effectiveness and cost per case averted with extended-duration venous thromboembolism prophylaxis following abdominal surgery. SETTING:The risk of a postdischarge thrombotic event, age at surgery, type of thrombotic event, prophylaxis risk reduction, bleeding complications, and mortality were estimated by using existing published sources. PATIENTS:Studied were patients with Crohn's disease versus routine care. INTERVENTION:We constructed a decision analysis to compare costs and outcomes in patients with Crohn's disease postoperatively with and without extended prophylaxis over a lifetime horizon. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:Productivity costs ($) and benefits (quality-adjusted life-year) were used to reflect a societal perspective and were time discounted at 3%. Multivariable probabilistic sensitivity analysis accounted for uncertainty in probabilities, costs, and utility weights. RESULTS:With the use of reference parameters, the individual expected societal total cost of care was $399.83 without and $1387.95 with prophylaxis. Preventing a single mortality with prophylaxis would cost $43.00 million (number needed to treat: 39,839 individuals). The incremental cost was $1.90 million per quality-adjusted life-year. Adjusting across a range of scenarios upheld these conclusions 88% of the time. With further sensitivity testing, subpopulations with postdischarge thrombosis rates greater than 4.9% favors postoperative extended-duration venous thromboembolism prophylaxis. LIMITATIONS:Further investigation is needed to determine if specific high-risk individuals can be preemptively identified in the Crohn's surgical population for targeted prophylaxis. CONCLUSION:Extended prophylaxis in patients with Crohn's disease postoperatively is not cost-effective when the cumulative incidence of posthospital thrombosis remains less than 4.9%. These findings are driven by the low absolute risk of thrombosis in this population and the considerable cost of universal treatment. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A998. LIMITACIONES DE COSTO-BENEFICIO DE LA PROFILAXIS AMBULATORIA PROLONGADA DEL TROMBOEMBOLISMO VENOSO DESPUÉS DE CIRUGÍA EN CASOS DE ENFERMEDAD DE CROHN:: Los pacientes con enfermedad de Crohn tienen un mayor riesgo de tromboembolismo venoso postoperatorio. Históricamente, la profilaxis ambulatoria prolongada no ha cumplido con las medidas convencionales de ventajas en costo-beneficio para la sociedad. Sin embargo, la profilaxis prolongada en los pacientes con Crohn puede ser más rentable debido al alto riesgo trombótico y a una larga esperanza de vida en estos pacientes.Evaluar la rentabilidad de la profilaxis prolongada en pacientes postoperados de un Crohn.Se utilizó un modelo de árbol de decisión para evaluar el incremento de rentabilidad y el costo por cada caso evitado con la profilaxis prolongada de tromboembolismo venoso después de cirugía abdominal.Se calcularon utilizando fuentes publicadas el riesgo de evento trombótico posterior al alta, la edad del paciente al momento de la cirugía, el tipo de evento trombótico, la reducción del riesgo de profilaxis, las complicaciones hemorrágicas y la mortalidad.Se estudiaron los pacientes de atención rutinaria versus aquellos portadores de Crohn.Construimos un arbol de análisis decisional para comparar costos y resultados de pacientes portadores de Crohn, con y sin profilaxis prolongada en el postoperatorio en un horizonte de por vida.Los costos de productividad ($) y los beneficios (año de vida ajustado por calidad) se utilizaron para reflejar la perspectiva social y se descontaron en el tiempo de un 3%. El análisis de sensibilidad probabilística multivariable dió cuenta de la incertidumbre en las probabilidades, costos y peso de utilidades.Usando parámetros de referencia, el costo total social esperado de la atención individual fue de $ 399.83 sin y $ 1,387.95 con profilaxis. La prevención del deceso de un paciente con profilaxis costaría $ 43.00 millones (valor requerido para tratar: 39,839 individuos). El costo incrementado fue de $ 1.90 millones por año de vida ajustado por la calidad. El ajuste a través de una gama de escenarios confirmó estas conclusiones el 88% del tiempo. Con pruebas de sensibilidad adicionales, las subpoblaciones con tasas de trombosis posteriores al alta fueron superiores al 4,9% y favorecían la profilaxis prolongada del tromboembolismo venoso en el postoperatorio.Se necesita más investigación para determinar si se puede identificar de manera preventiva los individuos específicos de alto riesgo en la población quirúrgica de Crohn en casos de profilaxis dirigida.La profilaxis prolongada en pacientes postoperados de un Crohn no es rentable cuando la incidencia acumulada de trombosis posthospitalaria sigue siendo inferior al 4,9%. Estos hallazgos son impulsados por el bajo riesgo absoluto de trombosis en esta población y el costo considerable del tratamiento universal. Vea el resumen del video en http://links.lww.com/DCR/A998.
PMCID:6788772
PMID: 31596763
ISSN: 1530-0358
CID: 5272452

Sequential short-course radiation therapy and chemotherapy in the neoadjuvant treatment of rectal adenocarcinoma

Jia, Angela Y; Narang, Amol; Safar, Bashar; Zaheer, Atif; Murphy, Adrian; Azad, Nilofer S; Gearhart, Susan; Fang, Sandy; Efron, Jonathan; Warczynski, Tam; Hacker-Prietz, Amy; Meyer, Jeffrey
BACKGROUND:There is continued debate regarding the optimal combinations of radiation therapy and chemotherapy in the preoperative treatment of locally advanced rectal adenocarcinomas. We report our single-institution experience of feasibility and early oncologic outcomes of short-course preoperative radiation therapy (5 Gy X 5 fractions) followed by consolidation neoadjuvant chemotherapy. METHODS:We reviewed the records of 26 patients with locally advanced rectal adenocarcinoma. All patients underwent short course radiotherapy (5 Gy X 5 fractions) followed by chemotherapy [either modified infusional and bolus 5-fluorouracail and oxalipatin (mFOLFOX6) or capecitabine and oxaliplatin] prior to consideration for surgery. A full course of chemotherapy was defined as at least 8 weeks of chemotherapy. RESULTS:There were five clinical (c) T2, 16 cT3, and five cT4 rectal tumors, with 88% cN+. Twenty-five patients received a median of 4 cycles (range 3 to 8) of mFOLFOX6 (with one cycle defined as a two-week period); one patient received 3 cycles of capecitabine and oxaliplatin. All patients completed SCRT; 81% completed the full course of neoadjuvant chemotherapy with 19% requiring dose reductions in chemotherapy, most commonly due to neuropathy. Nineteen patients underwent post-treatment endoscopic evaluation, and nine patients were noted to achieve a complete clinical response (CCR). Six of the nine patients who achieved CCR opted for a non-operative approach of watch-and-wait. Twenty patients underwent surgical resection; pathologic complete response was observed in seven (35%) of these twenty. The main radiation-associated toxicity was proctitis with CTCAE Grade 2 proctitis observed in seven patients (27%). Post-operative Clavien-Dindo Grade 3 complications within 30 days of surgery were identified in six patients (30%), with no Grade 4 or 5 adverse events. Median length of hospital stay was 4.5 days (range 2-16 days); three patients were readmitted within a 30 day period. CONCLUSIONS:Short course preoperative radiotherapy followed by neoadjuvant chemotherapy was well-tolerated and achieved oncologic outcomes that compare favorably with short-course radiation therapy alone or long-course chemoradiotherapy. This regimen is associated with high rates of clinical and pathologic complete response.
PMCID:6700789
PMID: 31426827
ISSN: 1748-717x
CID: 5272442

Surgery After an Initial Episode of Uncomplicated Diverticulitis: Does Time to Resection Matter?

Varma, Sanskriti; Mehta, Ambar; Canner, Joseph K; Azar, Faris; Efron, David T; Efron, Jonathan; Safar, Bashar; Sakran, Joseph V
BACKGROUND:The aim of this study was to determine whether time to surgery after an initial episode of uncomplicated diverticulitis is associated with undergoing an emergent versus an elective resection. METHODS:In this retrospective, administrative claims database study, we identified patients at least 18 y old in the 2005-2011 California State Inpatient Database who had an initial episode of uncomplicated diverticulitis and then underwent a bowel resection within 2 y. After characterizing the distribution in time to surgery among all patients, we used a multivariable logistic regression to determine whether time to surgery was associated with undergoing an emergent resection. Next, we assessed differences in three outcomes between elective and emergent resections: at least one of eight postoperative complications, extended length of stay (defined as the top decile of hospitalizations), and 30-d inpatient readmissions. Analyses adjusted for time between initial hospitalization and resection, number of inpatient hospitalizations for diverticulitis before the resection, clinical factors, and hospital clustering. RESULTS:We identified 4478 patients with an initial episode of uncomplicated diverticulitis followed by a bowel resection within the subsequent 2 y. One-fifth (21.1%) underwent an emergent resection. The median time from the initial episode to resection was 3.8 mo (IQR: 2.3-8.1 mo) for elective resections and 5.1 mo (IQR: 2.3-12.4 mo) for emergent resections. The adjusted odds of undergoing an emergent relative to an elective resection increased by 7% (aOR 1.07 [1.02-1.11]) for every 3 passing mo. Emergent resections were associated with greater adjusted odds of complications (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.75 [95%-CI 1.43-2.15]), extended LOS (aOR 4.52 [3.31-6.17]), and 30-d readmissions (aOR 1.49 [1.09-2.04]). CONCLUSIONS:Among patients who experienced an initial episode of uncomplicated diverticulitis and eventually underwent a resection, the odds of having an emergent relative to elective surgery increased with every 3 passing mo. These findings may inform the management of uncomplicated diverticulitis for high-risk patients eventually needing surgery.
PMID: 30527478
ISSN: 1095-8673
CID: 5272412

Treatment Strategies and Survival Trends for Anorectal Melanoma: Is it Time for a Change?

Taylor, James P; Stem, Miloslawa; Yu, David; Chen, Sophia Y; Fang, Sandy H; Gearhart, Susan L; Safar, Bashar; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:Immunotherapy advances for the treatment of cutaneous melanoma question its efficacy in treating anorectal mucosal melanoma (ARMM). We aimed to identify the prevalence, current management, and overall survival (OS) for ARMM. METHODS:Review of patients with ARMM from 2004 to 2015 National Cancer Database. Factors associated with immunotherapy were identified using multivariable logistic regression. The primary outcome was 2- and 5-year OS. Subgroup analysis by treatment type was performed. RESULTS:A total of 1331 patients were identified with a significant increase in prevalence (2004: 6.99%, 2015: 10.53%). ARMM patients were older, white, on Medicare, and from the South. The most common treatment was surgery (48.77%), followed by surgery + radiation (11.75%), surgery + immunotherapy (8.68%), and surgery + chemotherapy (8.68%). 16.93% of patients received immunotherapy, with utilization increasing (7.24%: 2004, 21.27%: 2015, p < 0.001). Patients who received immunotherapy had a significantly better 2-year OS (42.47% vs. 49.21%, p < 0.001), and other therapies did not reveal a significant difference. Adjusted analysis showed no difference in 2- and 5-year OS based on therapy type. CONCLUSION:The prevalence of ARMM has increased. The use of immunotherapy has increased substantially. Some survival benefit with the administration of immunotherapy may exist that has yet to be revealed. A more aggressive treatment paradigm is warranted.
PMID: 30830243
ISSN: 1432-2323
CID: 5272422

Outcomes for Ulcerative Colitis With Delayed Emergency Colectomy Are Worse When Controlling for Preoperative Risk Factors

Leeds, Ira L; Sundel, Margaret H; Gabre-Kidan, Alodia; Safar, Bashar; Truta, Brindusa; Efron, Jonathan E; Fang, Sandy H
BACKGROUND:Increasing evidence supports immediate colectomy in acute fulminant ulcerative colitis in comparison with ongoing medical management. Prior studies have been limited to inpatient-only administrative data sets or single-institution experiences. OBJECTIVE:The purpose of this study was to compare outcomes of early versus delayed emergency colectomy in patients admitted with ulcerative colitis flares while controlling for known preoperative risks and acuity. DESIGN:This is a cohort study of patients undergoing emergent total abdominal colectomies for ulcerative colitis compared by the timing of surgery. SETTING:Adult patients undergoing an emergent total abdominal colectomy for ulcerative colitis, 2005 to 2015, were identified in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. PATIENTS:Patients undergoing total abdominal colectomy with an operative indication of ulcerative colitis admitted on a nonelective basis were selected. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE:The primary outcomes measured were 30-day National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-reported mortality and postoperative complications, and early operation within 2 days of admission. RESULTS:We identified 573 total abdominal colectomies after propensity score matching. Median time to surgery was 1 hospital day in the early group versus 6 hospital days in the delayed group (p < 0.001). Early operation was associated with a lower mortality rate (4.9% versus 20.3% in matched groups, p < 0.001) and lower complication rate (64.5% versus 72.0%, p = 0.052). Multivariable logistic regression with propensity weighting of mortality on preoperative risk factors demonstrated that early surgery is associated with an 82% decrease in the odds of death compared with delayed surgery (p < 0.001). Regression of morbidity on preoperative risk factors demonstrated that early surgery is associated with a 35% decrease in the odds of a complication with delayed surgery (p = 0.034). LIMITATIONS:Quality improvement data were used for clinical research questions. CONCLUSIONS:Patients undergoing immediate surgical intervention for acute ulcerative colitis have decreased postoperative complications and mortality rates. Rapid and early transitioning from medical to surgical management may benefit those expected to require surgery on the same admission. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A800.
PMCID:6456379
PMID: 30451754
ISSN: 1530-0358
CID: 5272402

The Safety of Outpatient Stoma Closure: on the Verge of a Paradigm Shift?

Taylor, James P; Stem, Miloslawa; Chen, Sophia Y; Yu, David; Fang, Sandy H; Gearhart, Susan L; Safar, Bashar; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:An area of contention among colorectal surgeons is when it is safe to discharge patients who have undergone closure of diverting ostomies. This study aimed to review the trends in outpatient stoma closure (OSC), to assess the safety of this practice, and to identify appropriate surgical candidates for the outpatient procedure. METHODS:Patients were queried from the ACS National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (2005-2016). Main outcomes included Clavien-Dindo (C-D) III-V class surgical complications, and readmission. Outpatient stay was defined as a hospital stay of less than or equal to 1 day. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify risk factors for C-D III-V complications and readmission. RESULTS:Of 24,393 patients, 668 (2.74%) underwent an OSC. OSC has increased over the last decade (3.16% 2005-2006, 4.14% 2016, p < 0.001). Outpatients had significantly lower ASA class and fewer comorbidities than inpatients. Outpatient complication rate was significantly lower than the inpatient rate (2.99% vs. 7.25%, p < 0.001). Readmissions were comparable (8.92% outpatient vs. 9.77% inpatient, p = 0.54). ASA > 2, smoking, COPD, dyspnea, steroid use, bleeding disorder, and partial/total dependency were associated with increased risk of complications and readmission. Patients without any risk factors had lower complication (4.75%) and readmission rates (8.09%) compared to those with ≥ 2 risk factors (11.50% complication and 13.07% readmission rate, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS:There is an increasing trend in the percentage of stoma closures being performed as outpatient procedures. Appropriate selection of patients preoperatively who are suitable candidates for OSC can be helpful in managing patient expectations and hospital resources.
PMID: 30350192
ISSN: 1873-4626
CID: 5272392

Letter to the Editor: Mesenteric Lymphatic Vessel Density Is Associated with Disease Behavior and Postoperative Recurrence in Crohn's Disease [Comment]

Dickerson, Lindsay K; De Freitas, Simon; Pozo, Marcos E; Safar, Bashar
PMID: 30276589
ISSN: 1873-4626
CID: 5272372

SURVIVAL AND TREATMENT TRENDS FOR SMALL BOWEL AND COLORECTAL GASTROINTESTINAL STROMAL TUMORS [Meeting Abstract]

Atallah, Chady; Almaazmi, Hamda; Stem, Miloslawa; Lo, Brian D.; Taylor, James; Safar, Bashar; Efron, Jonathan
ISI:000467106005470
ISSN: 0016-5085
CID: 5242152

Readmission Adversely Affects Survival in Surgical Rectal Cancer Patients

Chen, Sophia Y; Stem, Miloslawa; Gearhart, Susan L; Safar, Bashar; Fang, Sandy H; Azad, Nilofer S; Murphy, Adrian G; Narang, Amol K; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:Readmission has received attention as a potential healthcare quality metric. No studies have investigated the relationship between readmission and survival in patients undergoing rectal cancer surgery. The aims of this study were to identify factors associated with 30-day readmission after rectal cancer surgery and to determine the impact of readmission on overall survival (OS). METHODS:Patients who underwent surgical treatment for rectal/rectosigmoid adenocarcinoma stages I-IV were identified using the National Cancer Database (2004-2014). Multivariable logistic regression was used to identify factors for readmission. 2:1 nearest neighbor caliper matching without replacement was used to ensure similarity of patients being compared. Survival analyses were performed using Kaplan-Meier method along with log-rank test and Cox proportional hazards model. RESULTS:Of 110,167 patients, 7045 (6.39%) were readmitted. Factors associated with readmission included higher Charlson comorbidity score, non-private or no insurance, procedure type, hospitals in the Northeast, South, and Midwest regions, and prolonged length of stay. Within the matched cohort (13,756 non-readmitted and 6878 readmitted), readmitted patients had worse 5- and 10-year OS regardless of cancer stage (p < 0.001) and procedure type. Five- and 10-year OS were 58.98% and 41.01% for readmitted patients, 64.96% and 43.50% for non-readmitted patients. Readmitted patients had shorter OS by 13.14 months and increased risk of mortality (HR 1.20, 95% CI 1.15-1.25, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS:Thirty-day readmission after rectal cancer surgery is associated with decreased OS. Efforts to reduce readmissions should be considered to advance cancer care and enhance the potential for improved patient survival.
PMID: 31222644
ISSN: 1432-2323
CID: 4741242

Prognostic Impact of KRAS Mutational Status in Patients with Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastases Differs According to the Location of the Primary Tumor [Meeting Abstract]

Amini, Neda; Margonis, Georgios Antonios; Kreis, Martin E.; Poultsides, George A.; Sasaki, Kazunari; Wagner, Doris; Pikoulis, Emmanouil; Weiss, Matthew J.; Wolfgang, Christopher L.; Safar, Bashar
ISI:000492740900114
ISSN: 1072-7515
CID: 4745062