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A risk model to predict 90-day mortality among patients undergoing hepatic resection
Hyder, Omar; Pulitano, Carlo; Firoozmand, Amin; Dodson, Rebecca; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Choti, Michael A; Aldrighetti, Luca; Pawlik, Timothy M
BACKGROUND:Reliable criteria to predict mortality after hepatectomy remain poorly defined. We sought to identify factors associated with 90-day mortality, as well as validate the "50-50" and peak bilirubin of >7 mg/dL prediction rules for mortality after liver resection. In addition, we propose a novel integer-based score for 90-day mortality using a large cohort of patients. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Data from 2,056 patients who underwent liver resection at 2 major hepatobiliary centers between 1990 and 2011 were identified. Perioperative laboratory data, as well as surgical and postoperative details, were analyzed to identify factors associated with liver-related 90-day death. RESULTS:Indications for liver resection included colorectal metastasis (39%), hepatocellular carcinoma (19%), benign mass (17%), or noncolorectal metastasis (14%). Most patients had normal underlying liver parenchyma (71%) and resection involved ≥3 segments (36%). Overall morbidity and mortality were 19% and 2%, respectively. Only 1 patient fulfilled the 50-50 criteria; this patient survived and was discharged on day 8. Twenty patients had a peak bilirubin concentration >7 mg/dL and 5 died within 90 days; the sensitivity and specificity of the >7-mg/dL rule were 25% and 99.3%, respectively, but overall accuracy was poor (area under the curve 0.574). Factors associated with 90-day mortality included international normalized ratio (odds ratio = 11.87), bilirubin (odds ratio = 1.16), and serum creatinine (odds ratio = 1.87) on postoperative day 3, as well as grade of postoperative complications (odds ratio = 5.08; all p < 0.05). Integer values were assigned to each factor to develop a model that predicted 90-day mortality (area under the curve 0.89). A score of ≥11 points had a sensitivity and specificity of 83.3% and 98.8%, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:The 50-50 and bilirubin >7-mg/dL rules were not accurate in predicting 90-day mortality. Rather, a composite integer-based risk score based on postoperative day 3 international normalized ratio, bilirubin, creatinine, and complication grade more accurately predicted 90-day mortality after hepatectomy.
PMCID:3985272
PMID: 23478548
ISSN: 1879-1190
CID: 4742462
Pancreaticoduodenectomy: time to change our approach? [Comment]
Wolfgang, Christopher L; Pawlik, Timothy M
PMID: 23643140
ISSN: 1474-5488
CID: 4742502
Should we do EUS/FNA on patients with pancreatic cysts? The incremental diagnostic yield of EUS over CT/MRI for prediction of cystic neoplasms
Khashab, Mouen A; Kim, Katherine; Lennon, Anne Marie; Shin, Eun Ji; Tignor, April S; Amateau, Stuart K; Singh, Vikesh K; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Hruban, Ralph H; Canto, Marcia Irene
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the performance characteristics of endoscopic ultrasonography (EUS) compared with computed tomography (CT) and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and determine the incremental diagnostic yield and accuracy of EUS with or without fine needle aspiration (FNA) over CT and MRI for prediction of neoplastic pancreatic cysts. METHODS:The EUS database was queried for procedures performed for pancreatic cysts between March 2006 and January 2010. Cystic pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma, cystic pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor, mucinous cystic neoplasm, intraductal papillary neoplasm, and solid pseudopapillary neoplasm were categorized as neoplastic; pseudocysts and serous cysts were designated as nonneoplastic/low risk. RESULTS:Final diagnoses were established by surgery in 154 patients (mucinous cystic neoplasm/intraductal papillary neoplasm [69.4%], pancreatic neuroendocrine tumor [10%], pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma [6.4%], solid pseudopapillary neoplasm [0.6%], nonneoplastic/low risk [13.6%]). Endoscopic ultrasonography with or without FNA was superior to CT and MRI in accurately classifying a cyst as neoplastic (P < 0.0001). After CT and MRI, EUS increased the rate of correctly predicting neoplastic cysts in 43 (36%) and 27 (54%) additional cases, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:The incremental increase in diagnostic yield of EUS and fluid analysis over CT and MRI for prediction of a neoplastic cyst is 36% and 54%, respectively. The addition of EUS-FNA to abdominal imaging significantly increases overall accuracy for diagnosis of neoplastic pancreatic cysts.
PMID: 23558241
ISSN: 1536-4828
CID: 4742472
Incidentally detected cystic lesions of the pancreas on CT: review of literature and management suggestions
Zaheer, Atif; Pokharel, Sajal S; Wolfgang, Christopher; Fishman, Elliot K; Horton, Karen M
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:To facilitate a better understanding of incidentally noted cystic pancreatic lesions, since these lesions often pose a challenge regarding appropriate management. METHODS:This article reviews pathophysiology, prevalence, significance, and recommendations for management of the various pancreatic cystic lesions. Illustrative cases are demonstrated. RESULTS:Diagnostic benign lesions can be left alone. Cross-sectional imaging can be used to follow-up benign appearing lesions and to stage more aggressive ones. Endoscopic ultrasound with fine needle aspiration and cyst fluid analysis can be performed on certain indeterminate lesions. Lesions with high malignant potential should undergo resection. CONCLUSIONS:A better understanding of the variety of incidentally detected pancreatic cystic lesions can help direct appropriate management.
PMID: 22534872
ISSN: 1432-0509
CID: 4742162
Cystic neoplasms of the pancreas
Lennon, Anne Marie; Wolfgang, Christopher
Pancreatic cysts are being identified with increasing frequency due to a combination of increased awareness and more frequent use of cross sectional imaging. Cystic neoplasms of the pancreas range from completely benign to frankly malignant. Identifying pre-malignant cysts offers the opportunity to prevent the development of pancreatic cancer. This article reviews the presentation, workup, and non-operative and operative management of premalignant and malignant pancreatic cysts.
PMID: 23340991
ISSN: 1873-4626
CID: 4742372
Prognosis of minimally invasive carcinoma arising in mucinous cystic neoplasms of the pancreas
Lewis, Gloria H; Wang, Huamin; Bellizzi, Andrew M; Klein, Alison P; Askin, Frederic B; Schwartz, Lauren Ende; Schulick, Richard D; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Cameron, John L; O'Reilly, Eileen M; Yu, Kenneth H; Hruban, Ralph H
Although patients with surgically resected noninvasive mucinous cystic neoplasms (MCNs) of the pancreas are cured, the behavior of surgically resected minimally invasive adenocarcinomas arising in MCN has not been well established. We report 16 surgically resected MCNs with minimal invasion defined as unifocal or multifocal microscopic invasive adenocarcinoma confined to the ovarian stroma of the MCN without capsular or pancreatic parenchymal invasion. Pathologic findings were correlated with patient demographics, type of surgery, and long-term follow-up. Our study included 15 women and 1 man ranging in age from 25 to 66 years. The patients were followed up for a mean of 48.6 months (range, 12 to 148 mo). The MCNs ranged in size from 3.5 to 25 cm and were all located in the body/tail of the gland. Lymphovascular invasion was not identified in any of the cases, and all lymph nodes were negative for tumor. Ten neoplasms had unifocal invasion, whereas 6 had multifocal invasion. Twelve of the neoplasms were partially submitted for microscopic examination, whereas 4 were submitted entirely. Only 1 of the 16 minimally invasive MCNs recurred, and that tumor had been lighlty sampled pathologically. Our study demonstrates that the majority of patients with minimally invasive adenocarcinoma arising in MCNs are cured by surgery, particularly if the neoplasms are completely examined histologically.
PMCID:3596434
PMID: 23388125
ISSN: 1532-0979
CID: 4742392
Is it necessary to follow patients after resection of a benign pancreatic intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm?
He, Jin; Cameron, John L; Ahuja, Nita; Makary, Martin A; Hirose, Kenzo; Choti, Michael A; Schulick, Richard D; Hruban, Ralph H; Pawlik, Timothy M; Wolfgang, Christopher L
BACKGROUND:Little is known about the risk of subsequently developing a new or progressive intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) after partial pancreatic resection of a noninvasive IPMN. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:One hundred thirty patients with more than 1 year of follow-up after resection were included in this analysis. RESULTS:At a median follow-up of 38 months, 22 (17%) developed imaging evidence of a new or progressive IPMN. Eleven (8%) underwent completion resection. Three of the 11 patients had invasive adenocarcinoma. Two other patients developed metastatic pancreatic adenocarcinoma and did not undergo resection. All 5 patients (4%) with cancer had negative margins at initial operation. Sixteen of 100 patients (16%) with negative margins for IPMN at the initial operation developed a new IPMN vs 6 of 30 patients (20%) with margins positive for IPMN (p = ns). Five of 22 patients (23%) with a new IPMN had a family history of pancreatic cancer, while 8 of 108 patients (7%) without a new IPMN had a family history (p < 0.05). Overall, the chances of developing a new IPMN at 1, 5, and 10 years after the initial surgery were 4%, 25%, and 62%, respectively, and of requiring surgery were 1.6%, 14%, and 18%, respectively. The estimated chances of developing invasive pancreatic cancer were 0%, 7%, and 38% at 1, 5, and 10 years, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:Patients who have undergone resection for noninvasive IPMN require indefinite close surveillance because of the risks of developing a new IPMN, of requiring surgery, and of developing cancer. A family history of pancreatic cancer, but not margin status or degree of dysplasia, is associated with a risk of development of a new or progressive IPMN.
PMCID:3963007
PMID: 23395158
ISSN: 1879-1190
CID: 4742402
Surgical management of patients with synchronous colorectal liver metastasis: a multicenter international analysis
Mayo, Skye C; Pulitano, Carlo; Marques, Hugo; Lamelas, Jorge; Wolfgang, Christopher L; de Saussure, Wassila; Choti, Michael A; Gindrat, Isabelle; Aldrighetti, Luca; Barrosso, Eduardo; Mentha, Gilles; Pawlik, Timothy M
BACKGROUND:The goal of this study was to investigate the surgical management and outcomes of patients with primary colorectal cancer (CRC) and synchronous liver metastasis (sCRLM). STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Using a multi-institutional database, we identified 1,004 patients treated for sCRLM between 1982 and 2011. Clinicopathologic and outcomes data were evaluated with uni- and multivariable analyses. RESULTS:A simultaneous CRC and liver operation was performed in 329 (33%) patients; 675 (67%) underwent a staged approach ("classic" staged approach, n = 647; liver-first strategy, n = 28). Patients managed with the liver-first approach had more hepatic lesions and were more likely to have bilateral disease than those in the other 2 groups (p < 0.05). The use of staged operative strategies increased over the time of the study from 58% to 75% (p < 0.001). Liver-directed therapy included hepatectomy (90%) or combined resection + ablation (10%). A major resection (>3 segments) was more common with a staged approach (39% vs 24%; p < 0.001). Overall, 509 patients (50%) received chemotherapy in either the preoperative (22%) or adjuvant (28%) settings, with 11% of patients having both. There were 197 patients (20%) who had a complication in the postoperative period, with no difference in morbidity between staged and simultaneous groups or major vs minor hepatectomies (p > 0.05). Ninety-day postoperative mortality was 3.0%, with no difference between simultaneous and staged approaches (p = 0.94). The overall median and 5-year survivals were 50.9 months and 44%, respectively; long-term survival was the same regardless of the operative approach (p > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS:Simultaneous and staged resections for sCRLM can be performed with comparable morbidity, mortality, and long-term oncologic outcomes.
PMCID:3994665
PMID: 23433970
ISSN: 1879-1190
CID: 4742412
Multidisciplinary management of pancreatic cancer
Kumar, Rachit; Herman, Joseph M; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Zheng, Lei
Pancreatic cancer (pancreatic adenocarcinoma) remains one of the deadliest malignancies in the western hemisphere despite improved surgical technique, chemotherapy, and radiation therapy. The appropriate management of this malignancy should incorporate multiple treatment modalities for optimal opportunity for cure. Recent trials with a variety of treatment techniques confer improved survival of patients with pancreatic cancer, even in the metastatic setting. In this review, the importance of multidisciplinary management of pancreatic cancer based on disease stage is discussed.
PMID: 23453334
ISSN: 1558-5042
CID: 4742442
Randomized phase III multi-institutional study of TNFerade biologic with fluorouracil and radiotherapy for locally advanced pancreatic cancer: final results
Herman, Joseph M; Wild, Aaron T; Wang, Hao; Tran, Phuoc T; Chang, Kenneth J; Taylor, Gretchen E; Donehower, Ross C; Pawlik, Timothy M; Ziegler, Mark A; Cai, Hongyan; Savage, Dionne T; Canto, Marcia I; Klapman, Jason; Reid, Tony; Shah, Raj J; Hoffe, Sarah E; Rosemurgy, Alexander; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Laheru, Daniel A
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:TNFerade biologic is a novel means of delivering tumor necrosis factor alpha to tumor cells by gene transfer. We herein report final results of the largest randomized phase III trial performed to date among patients with locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC) and the first to test gene transfer against this malignancy. PATIENTS AND METHODS/METHODS:In all, 304 patients were randomly assigned 2:1 to standard of care plus TNFerade (SOC + TNFerade) versus standard of care alone (SOC). SOC consisted of 50.4 Gy in 28 fractions with concurrent fluorouracil (200 mg/m(2) per day continuous infusion). TNFerade was injected intratumorally before the first fraction of radiotherapy each week at a dose of 4 × 10(11) particle units by using either a percutaneous transabdominal or an endoscopic ultrasound approach. Four weeks after chemoradiotherapy, patients began gemcitabine (1,000 mg/m(2) intravenously) with or without erlotinib (100 to 150 mg per day orally) until progression or toxicity. RESULTS:The analysis included 187 patients randomly assigned to SOC + TNFerade and 90 to SOC by using a modified intention-to-treat approach. Median follow-up was 9.1 months (range, 0.1 to 50.5 months). Median survival was 10.0 months for patients in both the SOC + TNFerade and SOC arms (hazard ratio [HR], 0.90; 95% CI, 0.66 to 1.22; P = .26). Median progression-free survival (PFS) was 6.8 months for SOC + TNFerade versus 7.0 months for SOC (HR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.69 to 1.32; P = .51). Among patients treated on the SOC + TNFerade arm, multivariate analysis showed that TNFerade injection by an endoscopic ultrasound-guided transgastric/transduodenal approach rather than a percutaneous transabdominal approach was a risk factor for inferior PFS (HR, 2.08; 95% CI, 1.06 to 4.06; P = .032). The patients in the SOC + TNFerade arm experienced more grade 1 to 2 fever and chills than those in the SOC arm (P < .001) but both arms had similar rates of grade 3 to 4 toxicities (all P > .05). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:SOC + TNFerade is safe but not effective for prolonging survival in patients with LAPC.
PMCID:4820756
PMID: 23341531
ISSN: 1527-7755
CID: 4742382