Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:The assessment of postoperative morbidity and mortality is difficult particularly for complex patients. We hypothesize that surgeons overestimate the risk for complications and death after surgery in complex surgical patients. MATERIALS AND METHODS:General surgery residents and attending surgeons estimated the likelihood of any morbidity, mortality, surgical site infection, pneumonia, and cardiac complications for seven complex scenarios. Responses were compared with the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Project Surgical Risk Calculator. RESULTS:From 101 residents and 48 attending surgeons, overall response rate was 61.7%. For all seven clinical scenarios, there was no difference between resident and attending predictions of morbidity or mortality, with significant variation in estimates among participants. Mean percentages of the estimates were 25.8%-30% over the National Surgical Quality Improvement Project estimates for morbidity and mortality. CONCLUSIONS:General surgery residents and attending surgeons overestimated risks in complex surgical patients. These results demonstrate broad variance in and near universal overestimation of predicted surgical risk when compared with national, risk-adjusted models.

BACKGROUND:Factors associated with postoperative ileus and increased resource utilization for patients who undergo operative intervention for small-bowel obstruction are not extensively studied. We evaluated the association between total duration of preoperative symptoms and postoperative outcomes in this population. MATERIALS AND METHODS:We performed a retrospective review of patients who underwent surgery for small-bowel obstruction (2013-2016). Clinical data were recorded. Total duration of preoperative symptoms included all symptoms before operation, including those before presentation. Primary endpoint was time to tolerance of diet. Secondary endpoints included length of stay, total parenteral nutrition use, and intensive care unit admission. Association between variables and outcomes was analyzed using univariable analysis, multivariable Poisson modeling, and t-test to compare groups. RESULTS:Sixty-seven patients were included. On presentation, the median duration of symptoms before hospitalization was 2 d (range 0-18 d). Total duration of preoperative symptoms was associated with time to tolerance of diet on univariable analysis (Pearson's moment correlation: 0.28, 95% confidence interval: 0.028-0.5, P = 0.03). On multivariable analysis, ascites was correlated with time to tolerance of diet (P < 0.01), but total duration of preoperative symptoms (P = 0.07) was not. Length of stay (Pearson's correlation: 0.24, 95% confidence interval: -0.02 to 0.47, P = 0.07) was not statistically different in patients with longer preoperative symptoms. Symptom duration was not statistically associated with intensive care unit (P = 0.18) or total parenteral nutrition (P = 0.3) utilization. CONCLUSIONS:Our findings demonstrate that preoperative ascites correlated with increased time to tolerance of diet, and duration of preoperative symptoms may be related to postoperative ileus.

BACKGROUND:The American Association for the Surgery of Trauma (AAST) established anatomic grading to facilitate risk stratification and risk-adjusted outcomes in emergency general surgery. Cholecystitis severity was graded based on clinical, imaging, operative, and pathologic criteria. We aimed to validate the AAST anatomic grading system for acute cholecystitis. METHODS:This is a retrospective cohort study including consecutive patients admitted with acute cholecystitis at an urban, tertiary medical center between 2013 and 2016. Grade 1 is acute cholecystitis, Grade 2 is gangrenous or emphysematous cholecystitis, Grade 3 is localized perforation, and Grades 4 and 5 have regional and systemic peritonitis, respectively. Concordance between the AAST grade and outcome including mortality, length of stay (LOS), ICU use, readmission, and complications were assessed using logistic regression. RESULTS:A total of 315 patients were included. There was very good inter-rater (two independent raters) reliability for anatomic grading, κ = 1.00, p < 0.005. The majority of patients were Grade 1 or Grade 2 (94%). Incidence of complications, LOS, ICU use, and any adverse event increased with increasing anatomic grade. When compared to Grade 1 disease, patients with Grade 2 were more likely to undergo cholecystectomy (OR 4.07 [1.93-8.56]). Grade 3 patients were at higher risk of adverse events (OR 3.83 [1.34-10.94]), longer LOS (OR 1.73 [1.03-2.92]), and ICU use (OR 8.07 [2.43-26.80]). CONCLUSIONS:AAST severity scores were independently associated with clinical outcomes in patients with acute cholecystitis. Despite low-grade disease, complications were common, and therefore a refinement of the scoring system may be necessary for more granular prediction. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE:Epidemiologic/prognostic, level III.

IMPORTANCE:Anticipating postsurgical complications is a vital physician skill, particularly when counseling surgically complex patients on their risks of intervention. Although internists and surgeons both counsel patients on surgical risks, it is uncertain who is better equipped to accurately anticipate surgical complications. OBJECTIVE:To examine how internal medicine and general surgery trainees compare in their assessment of risk of surgically complex patients. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS:General surgery and internal medicine residents (urban, tertiary, and academic medical center) answered an anonymous, online assessment of 7 real-life, complex clinical scenarios. Participants estimated the chance of any morbidity, mortality, surgical site infection, pneumonia, and cardiac complications. Scenarios represented a diverse general surgery practice, including colectomy, duodenal ulcer repair, inguinal hernia repair, perforated viscus exploration, small-bowel resection, cholecystectomy, and mastectomy in surgically complex patients likely to be comanaged by surgical and internal medicine services. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES:Responses were compared with risk-adjusted outcomes reported by the American College of Surgeons’ National Surgical Quality Improvement Project (NSQIP) online calculator. RESULTS: < .001). For 91% of clinical estimates, both groups similarly overestimated every type of risk; in 9% of estimates, internal medicine residents had higher overestimates. Estimates varied significantly, with wide 95% CIs; however, only 11% of the NSQIP estimates fell within the 95% CIs. Overall, the mean percentages of the estimates ranged from 26% to 33% over NSQIP estimates for all complications. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE:General surgery and internal medicine residents demonstrated similar estimates of postoperative complications and death. Both groups overestimated risks in surgically complex patient scenarios compared with NSQIP risk calculator estimates. This near-universal overestimation of risk underscores the importance of developing risk-estimation resources for internists and surgeons.

BACKGROUND:Ascites increases perioperative complications and risk of death, but is not an absolute contraindication for colectomy in patients with colon cancer. It remains unclear whether postoperative risks can be minimized using a laparoscopic versus open approach. METHODS:Data were retrospectively analyzed from 2152 patients with ascites who underwent laparoscopic or open partial colectomy with diagnosis of colon cancer from 2005 to 2013 using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database. Postoperative outcomes were analyzed using two-sample tests of proportions and two-sample T tests. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) or β coefficients for postoperative complications, hospital length of stay, and 30-day mortality were calculated using multivariable logistic or linear regression. P values <0.05 two-tailed were considered statistically significant. RESULTS:205 patients (9.53%) with ascites underwent laparoscopic colectomy (LC). There was no significant difference in operative time between laparoscopic versus open surgery (145 vs. 146 min, P = 0.69). LC was associated with decreased likelihood of overall complications (adjusted OR 0.7 95% CI 0.4-1.0, P = 0.046) and shorter hospital length of stay (9 days vs. 15 days, adjusted β = -4.2, 95% CI -7.7 to -0.7, P = 0.018). There was no difference in 30-day mortality (adjusted OR 0.82, 95% CI 0.50-1.35, P = 0.429). CONCLUSIONS:Laparoscopic colectomy decreases postoperative complications and hospital length of stay in patients with colon cancer and ascites. Laparoscopic approach should be considered for patients in this high-risk population.

OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:Patients sustaining multisystem trauma are at risk for oral and maxillofacial fractures. Although the University of Wisconsin established criteria to help guide the clinician in obtaining additional cross-sectional imaging to evaluate possible facial fractures, it has not been externally validated. Our aim was to evaluate whether the University of Wisconsin's Criteria is generalizable to external institutions through validation and to report modern practice patterns at a level 1 trauma center. METHODS:A retrospective case study was performed of all patients who had computed tomography of the facial bones (CT face) at a tertiary, academic, Level 1 trauma center over the 6-month period ending on June 30, 2015. The electronic medical record was reviewed for the 5 University of Wisconsin criteria (bony step off or instability, periorbital ecchymosis, malocclusion, tooth absence, and glasgow coma scale). Final interpretation of CT face findings by board-certified radiologists (facial fractures, intracranial hemorrhage, and cervical spine injury) were also captured. Our modeling was similar to that described by the reference study, the internal validation study. Sensitivity, specificity, negative, and positive predictive values with 95% confidence intervals were evaluated. A P < 0.05 was considered significant. RESULTS:The presence of any ≥1 of the 5 criteria identified on physical examination resulted in 81% sensitivity for any facial fracture, which is lower than the sensitivity initially described (98%) and subsequently internally validated (97%). The absence of all 5 physical examination criteria had a negative predictive value of 60%, again lower than that initially described (87%) and then internally validated (81%). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:We were unable to validate the University of Wisconsin criteria for predicting facial fractures. These criteria may be institutionally specific and not generalizable to other trauma centers. Further research to refine the criteria for CT of the face is needed to improve resource allocation.

BACKGROUND:Many believe that the use of ureteral stents in colorectal surgery for diverticulitis aids prevention and easier identification of ureteral injuries; others argue that the added time, cost, and risks of stent placement negate potential benefits. Even among providers who use stents, selective use is common. Among unclear consensus, it remains unknown if the use of stents is growing. MATERIALS:Patients in the National Inpatient Sample who underwent a partial colectomy or anterior rectal excision for diverticulitis between 2000 and 2013 were included (n = 811,071). Trends in ureteral stent use, multivariate logistic regression of factors influencing stent placement, and linear regression of length of stay (LOS) and costs associated with stent use were examined. RESULTS:Usage of ureteral stents increased from 6.66% in 2000 to 16.30% in 2013 (P < 0.0001). Rates of stent usage were higher with laparoscopic surgery (19.31% versus 12.31% open, P < 0.0001). Regression demonstrated patients in the Northeast (Midwest odds ratio (OR) 0.49 [0.37-0.66] P < 0.0001, South OR 0.60 [0.45-0.80] P = 0.0004, West OR 0.30 [0.22-0.41], P < 0.0001), and those whose admission was elective (OR 2.37 [2.08-2.69], P < 0.0001) were more likely to receive stents. Stent use was associated with an increased LOS (0.55 days, P < 0.0001) and cost ($1,983, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSIONS:The use of ureteral stents in surgery for diverticulitis has steadily increased since 2000, despite the lack of consensus of their overall benefit. Stent usage is associated with laparoscopic surgery and varies widely among regions of the country. Further studies are required to truly understand the risk-benefit ratio of ureteral stenting and to determine if its increased use is warranted.

BACKGROUND:Laparoscopic colostomy reversal has emerged as a viable option for Hartmann's reversal but the trends in national adoption and postoperative complications are unknown. This study evaluates the practice trends for laparoscopic colostomy and compares complications, length of stay, and operative times between laparoscopic and open colostomy reversal. METHODS:All patients who had open or laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgery (current procedure codes: 44227 and 44626) between 2005 and 2014 were identified from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. Data collected included patient demographics, comorbid conditions, postsurgical diagnosis, and estimated probabilities of morbidity and mortality. Univariate and multivariate unconditional logistic regression models and linear regression models were employed to evaluate the associations between various outcomes and surgical specialties. RESULTS:The reported volume of both open and laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgeries increased over time, but the percentage of open reversal surgery decreased from 100% in 2005 to 74.2% in 2014. The average annual increase in percentage of laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgery was 2.87%. The complication rates of open colostomy reversal surgery were significantly higher than the rates of laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgery (P < 0.0001). Although there were fluctuations, the complication rates remained constant over the 9-year study period for both open and laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgeries. The total hospital length of stay among patients who had laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgery was shorter compared to patients who had open colostomy reversal surgery [mean change (MC) = -1.77 days, P < 0.0001]. Similarly, a shorter operation time was also observed for patients who had laparoscopic colostomy reversal surgery (MC = -26.48 min, P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Based on the NSQIP database, laparoscopic colostomy reversal is increasing steadily year over year from 2005 to 2014 in NSQIP participating hospitals. Overall complication rates and length of stay are significantly lower and sustained throughout the study period for laparoscopic reversal.

This cohort study compares the outcomes of open colectomy with ureteral stenting with the outcomes of open colectomy without ureteral stenting.

BACKGROUND:The overall utility of the Rothman Index (RI), a global measure of inpatient acuity, for surgical patients is unclear. We evaluate whether RI variability can predict rapid response team (RRT) activation in surgical patients. METHODS:Surgical patients who underwent RRT activation from 2013 to 2015 were matched to four control cases. RI variability was gauged by maximum minus minimum RI (MMRI) and RI standard deviation (RISD) within a 24-h period before RRT. The primary outcome measured was RRT activation, and our secondary outcome was in-hospital mortality. RESULTS:Two hundred seventeen (217) patients underwent RRT. RISD (odds ratio, OR, 1.31, 95% confidence interval, CI, 1.23-1.38, P < 0.001; area under receiver operating characteristic, AUROC, curve 0.74, 95% CI 0.70-0.77) and MMRI (OR 1.10, 95% CI 1.08-1.12, P < 0.001; AUROC 0.76, 95% CI 0.72-0.79) predicted increased likelihood of RRT. CONCLUSIONS:RISD is predictive of RRT.