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Predicting the Risk of Readmission From Dehydration After Ileostomy Formation: The Dehydration Readmission After Ileostomy Prediction Score
Chen, Sophia Y; Stem, Miloslawa; Cerullo, Marcelo; Canner, Joseph K; Gearhart, Susan L; Safar, Bashar; Fang, Sandy H; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:All-cause readmission rates in patients undergoing ileostomy formation are as high as 20% to 30%. Dehydration is a leading cause. No predictive model for dehydration readmission has been described. OBJECTIVE:The purpose of this study was to develop and validate the Dehydration Readmission After Ileostomy Prediction scoring system to predict the risk of readmission for dehydration after ileostomy formation. DESIGN:Patients who underwent ileostomy formation were identified using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data set (2012-2015). Predictors for dehydration were identified using multivariable logistic regression analysis and translated into a point scoring system based on corresponding β-coefficients using 2012-2014 data (derivation). Model discrimination was assessed with receiver operating characteristic curves using 2015 data (validation). SETTINGS:This study used the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. PATIENTS:A total of 8064 (derivation) and 3467 patients (validation) were included from the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES:Dehydration readmission within 30 days of operation was measured. RESULTS:A total of 8064 patients were in the derivation sample, with 2.9% (20.1% overall) readmitted for dehydration. Twenty-five variables were queried, and 7 predictors were identified with points assigned: ASA class III (4 points), female sex (5 points), IPAA (4 points), age ≥65 years (5 points), shortened length of stay (5 points), ASA class I to II with IBD (7 points), and hypertension (9 points). A 39-point, 5-tier risk category scoring system was developed. The model performed well in derivation (area under curve = 0.71) and validation samples (area under curve = 0.74) and passed the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. LIMITATIONS:Limitations of this study pertained to those of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program, including a lack of generalizability, lack of ileostomy-specific variables, and inability to capture multiple readmission International Classification of Diseases, 9/10 edition, codes. CONCLUSIONS:The Dehydration Readmission After Ileostomy Prediction score is a validated scoring system that identifies patients at risk for dehydration readmission after ileostomy formation. It is a specific approach to optimize patient factors, implement interventions, and prevent readmissions. See Video Abstract at http://links.lww.com/DCR/A746.
PMCID:6219896
PMID: 30303886
ISSN: 1530-0358
CID: 5272382
Low Incidence of Dysplasia and Colorectal Cancer Observed among Inflammatory Bowel Disease Patients with Prolonged Colonic Diversion
Bettner, Weston; Rizzo, Anthony; Brant, Steven; Dudley-Brown, Sharon; Efron, Jonathan; Fang, Sandy; Gearhart, Susan; Marohn, Michael; Parian, Alyssa; Kherad Pezhouh, Maryam; Melia, Joanna; Safar, Bashar; Truta, Brindusa; Wick, Elizabeth; Lazarev, Mark
Background:In inflammatory bowel disease (IBD), many scenarios call for fecal diversion, leaving behind defunctionalized bowel. The theoretical risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in this segment is frequently cited as a reason for resection. To date, no studies have characterized the incidence of neoplasia in the diverted colorectal segments of IBD patients. Methods:A retrospective cohort analysis was conducted for IBD patients identified through a tertiary care center pathology database. Patients that had undergone colorectal diversion and were diverted for ≥ 1 year were included. Incidence of diverted dysplasia/CRC was calculated for Crohn's disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) with respect to diverted patient-years (dpy) and patient-years of disease (pyd). Results:In total, 154 patients comprising 754 dpy and 1984 pyd were analyzed. Only 2 cases of diverted colorectal dysplasia (CD 1, UC 1) and 1 case of diverted CRC (UC) were observed. In the UC cohort (n = 75), the rate of diversion-associated CRC was 4.5 cases/1000 dpy (95% CI 0.11-25/1000) or 1.5 cases/1000 pyd (95% CI 0.04-8.2/1000). In the CD cohort (n = 79), no patients developed CRC, although a dysplasia rate of 1.9 cases/1000 dpy (95% CI 0.05-11/1000) or 0.77 cases/1000 pyd (95% CI 0.02-4.3/1000) was observed. All patients developing neoplasia had disease duration > 10 years and microscopic inflammation. Conclusions:Diverted dysplasia occurred infrequently with rates overlapping those reported in registries for IBD-based rectal cancers. Neoplasia was undetected in patients with < 10 pyd, regardless of diversion duration, suggesting low yield for endoscopic surveillance before this time.
PMCID:5974732
PMID: 29688465
ISSN: 1536-4844
CID: 5272352
Functional dependence versus frailty in gastrointestinal surgery: Are they comparable in predicting short-term outcomes?
Chen, Sophia Y; Stem, Miloslawa; Gearhart, Susan L; Safar, Bashar; Fang, Sandy H; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:Frailty and functional dependence are important factors in assessing preoperative risk. No studies to date have compared frailty with functional dependence as a predictor of surgical outcomes. We sought to compare the impact of frailty and functional dependence on early outcomes after gastrointestinal surgery. METHODS:Patients who underwent gastrointestinal surgery were identified using the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program database (2012-2015). Propensity score matching analysis was used to separately match dependent and independent patients, and patients with modified frailty index <3 and modified frailty index ≥3 on baseline characteristics. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used. Postoperative outcomes were compared. RESULTS:Of 765,082 patients, 1.71% were dependent and 1.49% had a modified frailty index score ≥3. Similar outcomes were observed in matched cohorts for those who were dependent and patients with a modified frailty index score ≥3: readmission (15.61% dependent and 15.75% modified frailty index ≥3), overall morbidity (37.91% and 34.81%), serious morbidity (19.06% and 17.06%), mortality (6.73% and 5.43%), and reoperation (7.01% and 6.48%). Dependent and modified frailty index ≥3 patients had similar odds of outcomes on adjusted multivariable logistic analysis and shared 3 of the top 5 indicators for readmission: complication of surgical procedure (11.46% dependent and 11.23% mFI ≥3), intestinal obstruction (10.70% and 7.65%), and organ space surgical site infection (7.93% and 8.65%). Comparable outcomes and reasons for readmission were also obtained for dependent patients and colectomy patients with a modified frailty index score ≥3. CONCLUSION:Frailty and functional dependence are comparable in predicting postoperative outcomes after gastrointestinal surgery. Functional dependence should be considered an acceptable and practical alternative for preoperative risk stratification in a clinical setting.
PMID: 30076028
ISSN: 1532-7361
CID: 5272362
Routine Pouchoscopy Prior to Ileostomy Takedown May Not Be Necessary in Patients with Chronic Ulcerative Colitis
Cai, Jennifer X; Barrow, Jasmine; Parian, Alyssa; Brant, Steven R; Dudley-Brown, Sharon; Efron, Jonathan; Fang, Sandy; Gearhart, Susan; Marohn, Michael; Safar, Bashar; Truta, Brindusa; Wick, Elizabeth; Lazarev, Mark
BACKGROUND:Creation of a J pouch is the gold standard surgical intervention in the treatment of chronic ulcerative colitis (UC). Pouchoscopy prior to ileostomy takedown is commonly performed. We describe the frequency, indication, and findings on pouchoscopy, and determine if pouchoscopy affects rates of complications after takedown. METHODS:All UC or indeterminate inflammatory bowel disease patients with a J pouch were retrospectively evaluated from January 1994 to December 2014. Cases were defined as having routine (asymptomatic) pouchoscopy after pouch creation but before ileostomy takedown. Controls were defined as having no pouchoscopy or pouchoscopy on the same day as that of takedown. RESULTS:The study included 178 patients (81.5% cases, 18.5% controls). Fifty two percent of pouchoscopies were reported as normal. Common abnormal endoscopy findings included stricture (35%), pouchitis (7%), and cuffitis (0.7%). Length of stay during takedown hospitalization was shorter for cases than controls (3 vs. 5 days; p = 0.001), but neither short- nor long-term complications were statistically different between cases and controls. Abnormalities on pouchoscopy were not predictive for short-term complications (p = 0.73) or long-term complications (p = 0.55). Routine pouchoscopy did not delay takedown surgery in any of the included patients. CONCLUSIONS:Routine pouchoscopy may not be necessary prior to ileostomy takedown; its greatest utility is in patients with suspected pouch complications.
PMID: 28595172
ISSN: 1421-9875
CID: 5272282
The Effect of Frailty Index on Early Outcomes after Combined Colorectal and Liver Resections
Chen, Sophia Y; Stem, Miloslawa; Cerullo, Marcelo; Gearhart, Susan L; Safar, Bashar; Fang, Sandy H; Weiss, Matthew J; He, Jin; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:Although previous studies have examined frailty as a potential predictor of adverse surgical outcomes, little is reported on its application. We sought to assess the impact of the 5-item modified frailty index (mFI) on morbidity in patients undergoing combined colorectal and liver resections. METHODS:Adult patients who underwent combined colorectal and liver resections were identified using the ACS-NSQIP database (2005-2015). The 5-item mFI consists of history of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes, and partial/total dependence. Patients were stratified into three groups: mFI 0, 1, or ≥ 2. The impact of the mFI on primary outcomes (30-day overall and serious morbidity) was assessed using multivariable logistic regression. Subgroup analyses by age and hepatectomy type was also performed. RESULTS:A total of 1928 patients were identified: 55.1% with mFI = 0, 33.2% with mFI = 1, and 11.7% with mFI ≥ 2. 75.9% of patients underwent wedge resection/segmentectomy (84.6% colon, 15.4% rectum), and 24.1% underwent hemihepatectomy (88.8% colon, 11.2% rectum). On unadjusted analysis, patients with mFI ≥ 2 had significantly greater rates of overall and serious morbidity, regardless of age and hepatectomy type. These findings were consistent with the multivariable analysis, where patients with mFI ≥ 2 had increased odds of overall morbidity (OR 1.41, 95% CI 1.02-1.96, p = 0.037) and were more than twice likely to experience serious morbidity (OR 2.12, 95% CI 1.47-3.04, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS:The 5-item mFI is significantly associated with 30-day morbidity in patients undergoing combined colorectal and liver resections. It is a tool that can guide surgeons preoperatively in assessing morbidity risk in patients undergoing concomitant resections.
PMID: 29209981
ISSN: 1873-4626
CID: 5272332
Automated diagnosis of colon cancer using hyperspectral sensing
Beaulieu, Robert J; Goldstein, Seth D; Singh, Jasvinder; Safar, Bashar; Banerjee, Amit; Ahuja, Nita
BACKGROUND:Surgical management of colorectal cancer relies on accurate identification of tumor and possible metastatic disease. Hyperspectral (HS) sensing is a passive, non-ionizing diagnostic method that has been considered for multiple tumor types. The ability to use HS for identification of tumor specimens during surgical resection of colorectal cancers was explored. METHODS:Patients with colorectal cancer who underwent operative resection were enrolled. HS measurements were performed both intra- and extra-luminally. Spectral results were correlated with pathologic evaluation. RESULTS:Fifteen patient specimens were analyzed. For patients with confirmed colorectal cancer, extraluminal spectra analysis yielded 61.68% sensitivity with 90% specificity. For intraluminal specimens, sensitivity increased to 91.97% with 90% specificity. CONCLUSIONS:Hyperspectral sensing can reliably detect tumors in resected colon specimens. This research offers promising results for a diagnostic technology that is non-ionizing and does not require the use of contrast agents to achieve accurate colorectal cancer detection.
PMID: 29479794
ISSN: 1478-596x
CID: 5272342
Prognostic and Predictive Clinicopathologic Factors of Squamous Anal Canal Cancer in HIV-Positive and HIV-Negative Patients: Does HAART Influence Outcomes?
Pappou, Emmanouil P; Magruder, Jonathan T; Fu, Tao; Hicks, Caitlin W; Herman, Joseph M; Fang, Sandy; Wick, Elizabeth C; Safar, Bashar; Gearhart, Susan L; Efron, Jonathan E
BACKGROUND:The incidence of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) of the anal canal has been rising over the past decades, especially in patients infected with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV). Despite the advent of potent multidrug regimens to treat HIV-termed highly active antiretroviral therapy (HAART), anal SCC rates have not declined, and the impact of HAART on anal SCC remains controversial. AIM:The purpose of this study was to define outcomes of anal SCC treatment in HIV-positive and HIV-negative patients. METHODS AND MATERIALS:A retrospective single-institution analysis was performed on all patients with anal SCC treated at the Johns Hopkins Hospital between 1991 and 2010. The primary outcomes measured were 5-year overall survival (5-year OS), median survival, and relapse rates. RESULTS:Our search identified 93 patients with anal SCC. Patients had a mean age of 54 years; 37.6% were male, and 21.5% were HIV-positive. Median follow-up was 28 months. Relapse occurred in 16.1% of patients. Median time to relapse was 20 months. Relapse rates were slightly higher with HIV-positive versus negative patients (30.0 vs. 12.3%) but did not reach statistical significance (p = 0.06). Among HIV-positive patients, those who relapsed were more likely to be on HAART than those who did not relapse (83.3 vs. 14.3%, p = 0.007). 5-year OS was 58.9% for the total group of patients with no significant difference between those who relapsed versus those who did not (76.2 vs. 54.5%, p = 0.20). No survival difference was seen between HIV-positive and negative patients. Survival was associated with AJCC stage in all patients. CONCLUSION:In our small series, HIV infection was not associated with a significantly higher relapse rate or worse 5-year OS among patients with anal SCC. HAART was associated with a higher rate of relapse in HIV-positive patients. AJCC staging predicted survival in both relapsed and non-relapsed patients regardless of HIV status.
PMCID:6198800
PMID: 28948325
ISSN: 1432-2323
CID: 5272322
Genital and reproductive organ complications of Crohn disease: technical considerations as it relates to perianal disease, imaging features, and implications on management
Kammann, Steven; Menias, Christine; Hara, Amy; Moshiri, Mariam; Siegel, Cary; Safar, Bashar; Brandes, Steven; Shaaban, Akram; Sandrasegaran, Kumar
OBJECTIVE:A relatively large proportion of patients with Crohn disease (CD) develop complications including abscess formation, stricture, and penetrating disease. A subset of patients will have genital and reproductive organ involvement of CD, resulting in significant morbidity. These special circumstances create unique management challenges that must be tailored to the activity, location, and extent of disease. Familiarity with the epidemiology, pathogenesis, imaging features, and treatment strategies for patients with genital CD can aid imaging diagnoses and guide appropriate patient management. The purpose of this study is to illustrate the spectrum of CD in the genital tract and reproductive organs and discuss the complex management strategies in these patients as it relates to imaging. CONCLUSION:Given the impact on patient outcome and treatment planning, familiarity with the epidemiology, pathogenesis, imaging features, and treatment of patients with genital Crohn disease can aid radiologic diagnoses and guide appropriate patient management.
PMID: 28194515
ISSN: 2366-0058
CID: 5272262
Variant Two-Stage Ileal Pouch-Anal Anastomosis: An Innovative and Effective Alternative to Standard Resection in Ulcerative Colitis Discussion [Editorial]
Safar, Bashar; Ashburn, Jean; Fleshman, James; Michelassi, Fabrizio; Stanley, Daniel; Samples, Jennifer
ISI:000402491700031
ISSN: 1072-7515
CID: 5272592
Gracilis Flap for Perineal Closures in Minimally Invasive Abdominoperineal Resection
Leeds, Ira L; Taylor, James P; Pozo, Marcos; Safar, Bashar; Sacks, Justin M; Fang, Sandy H
PMID: 28637543
ISSN: 1555-9823
CID: 5272292