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Trends in COVID-19 Risk-Adjusted Mortality Rates

Horwitz, Leora I; Jones, Simon A; Cerfolio, Robert J; Francois, Fritz; Greco, Joseph; Rudy, Bret; Petrilli, Christopher M
Early reports showed high mortality from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). Mortality rates have recently been lower, raising hope that treatments have improved. However, patients are also now younger, with fewer comorbidities. We explored whether hospital mortality was associated with changing demographics at a 3-hospital academic health system in New York. We examined in-hospital mortality or discharge to hospice from March through August 2020, adjusted for demographic and clinical factors, including comorbidities, admission vital signs, and laboratory results. Among 5,121 hospitalizations, adjusted mortality dropped from 25.6% (95% CI, 23.2-28.1) in March to 7.6% (95% CI, 2.5-17.8) in August. The standardized mortality ratio dropped from 1.26 (95% CI, 1.15-1.39) in March to 0.38 (95% CI, 0.12-0.88) in August, at which time the average probability of death (average marginal effect) was 18.2 percentage points lower than in March. Data from one health system suggest that mortality from COVID-19 is decreasing even after accounting for patient characteristics.
PMID: 33147129
ISSN: 1553-5606
CID: 4664172

Commentary: To "Air" is to Leak-To Prevent is Devine [Editorial]

Cerfolio, Robert J
PMID: 32971242
ISSN: 1532-9488
CID: 4650372

Safety and Efficacy of Bronchoscopy in Critically Ill Patients with COVID-19

Chang, Stephanie H; Jiang, Jeffrey; Kon, Zachary N; Williams, David M; Geraci, Travis; Smith, Deane E; Cerfolio, Robert J; Zervos, Michael; Bizekis, Costas
PMCID:7543920
PMID: 33039461
ISSN: 1931-3543
CID: 4632252

Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation Support in Severe COVID-19

Kon, Zachary N; Smith, Deane E; Chang, Stephanie H; Goldenberg, Ronald M; Angel, Luis F; Carillo, Julius A; Geraci, Travis C; Cerfolio, Robert J; Montgomery, Robert A; Moazami, Nader; Galloway, Aubrey C
BACKGROUND:Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid-19) remains a worldwide pandemic with a high mortality rate among patients requiring mechanical ventilation. The limited data that exists regarding the utility of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (ECMO) in these critically ill patients shows poor overall outcomes. This paper describes our institutional practice regarding the application and management of ECMO support for patients with Covid-19 and reports promising early outcomes. METHODS:>60 mmHg with no life-limiting comorbidities. Patients were cannulated at bedside and were managed with protective lung ventilation, early tracheostomy, bronchoscopies and proning as clinically indicated. RESULTS:Of 321 patients intubated for Covid-19, 77 (24%) patients were evaluated for ECMO support with 27 (8.4%) patients placed on ECMO. All patients were placed on veno-venous ECMO. Current survival is 96.3%, with only one mortality to date in over 350 days of total ECMO support. Thirteen patients (48.1%) remain on ECMO support, while 13 patients (48.1%) have been successfully decannulated. Seven patients (25.9%) have been discharged from the hospital. Six patients (22.2%) remain in the hospital of which four are on room-air. No healthcare workers that participated in ECMO cannulation developed symptoms of or tested positive for Covid-19. CONCLUSIONS:The early outcomes presented here suggest that the judicious use of ECMO support in severe Covid-19 may be clinically beneficial.
PMCID:7366119
PMID: 32687823
ISSN: 1552-6259
CID: 4531922

Leveraging Scarcity to Optimize Value and Clinical Operations [Letter]

Cerfolio, Robert J
PMCID:7291999
PMID: 32540444
ISSN: 1552-6259
CID: 4514732

Early Results from SARS-CoV-2 PCR testing of Healthcare Workers at an Academic Medical Center in New York City

Nagler, Arielle R; Goldberg, Eric R; Aguero-Rosenfeld, Maria E; Cangiarella, Joan; Kalkut, Gary; Monahan, Carolyn Rooke; Cerfolio, Robert J
COVID-19 RT-PCR employee-testing was implemented across NYU Langone. Over eight-weeks, 14,764 employees were tested: 33% of symptomatic employees, 8% of asymptomatic employees reporting COVID-19 exposure, 3% of employees returning to work were positive. Positivity rates declined over time possibly reflecting the importance of community transmission and efficacy of PPE.
PMID: 32594114
ISSN: 1537-6591
CID: 4503762

Commentary: Let us raise the bar higher for better patient outcomes [Editorial]

Cerfolio, Robert J
PMID: 32475503
ISSN: 1097-685x
CID: 4474402

Novel Pre- and Postoperative Care Using Telemedicine

Ferrari-Light, Dana; Geraci, Travis C; Chang, Stephanie H; Cerfolio, Robert J
The use of telemedicine and telehealth services has grown exponentially over the past decade and has become increasingly relevant and necessary during the coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. There remains ample opportunity to electronically connect cardiothoracic surgeons with their patients during both preoperative and postoperative visits. In this review, we examine the various implementations of telemedicine within thoracic surgery and explore future applications in this quickly developing field.
PMCID:7735987
PMID: 33335911
ISSN: 2296-875x
CID: 5095302

The need for structured thoracic robotic training: the perspective of an American Association for Thoracic Surgery surgical robotic fellow

Rodriguez, Maria; Ferrari-Light, Dana; Wee, Jon O; Cerfolio, Robert J
PMCID:7347782
PMID: 32775358
ISSN: 2305-5839
CID: 5095282

Commentary: Subxiphoid thymectomy: Sometimes the middle of the road is best [Editorial]

Cerfolio, Robert J
PMCID:8306896
PMID: 34318075
ISSN: 2666-2507
CID: 5095312