Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:Early outcomes after human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) + liver transplantation (LT) are encouraging, but data are lacking regarding long-term outcomes and comparisons with matched HIV- patients. METHODS:We examined outcomes among 180 HIV+ LT, and compared outcomes to matched HIV- counterfactuals (Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients 2002-2011). Iterative expanding radius matching (1:10) on recipient age, race, body mass index, hepatitis C virus (HCV), model for end-stage liver disease score, and acute rejection; and donor age and race, cold ischemia time, and year of transplant. Patient survival and graft survival were estimated using Kaplan-Meier methodology and compared using log-rank and Cox proportional hazards. Subgroup analyses were performed by transplant era (early: 2002-2007 vs. modern: 2008-2011) and HCV infection status. RESULTS:Compared to matched HIV- controls, HIV+ LT recipients had a 1.68-fold increased risk for death (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.68, 95% confidence interval [95% CI], 1.28-2.20; P < 0.001), and a 1.70-fold increased risk for graft loss (aHR, 1.70; 95% CI, 1.31-2.20; P < 0.001). These differences persisted independent of HCV infection status. However, in the modern transplant era risk for death (aHR, 1.11; 95% CI, 0.52-2.35; P = 0.79) and graft loss (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.42-1.88; P = 0.77) were similar between monoinfected and uninfected LT recipients. In contrast, independent of transplant era, coinfected LT recipients had increased risk for death (aHR, 2.24; 95% CI, 1.43-3.53; P < 0.001) and graft loss (aHR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.33-3.22; P = 0.001) compared to HCV+ alone LT recipients. CONCLUSIONS:These results suggest that outcomes among monoinfected HIV+ LT recipients have improved over time. However, outcomes among HIV+ LT recipients coinfected with HCV remain concerning and motivate future survival benefit studies.

We examined United States Renal Data System registry records for Medicare-insured kidney transplant recipients in 2000-2011 to study the clinical and cost impacts of urinary tract infections (UTI), pneumonia, and sepsis in the first year post-transplant among a contemporary, national cohort. Infections were identified by billing diagnostic codes. Among 60 702 recipients, 45% experienced at least one study infection in the first year post-transplant, including UTI in 32%, pneumonia in 13%, and sepsis in 12%. Older recipient age, female sex, diabetic kidney failure, nonstandard criteria organs, sirolimus-based immunosuppression, and steroids at discharge were associated with increased risk of first-year infections. By time-varying, multivariate Cox regression, all study infections predicted increased first-year mortality, ranging from 41% (aHR 1.41, 95% CI 1.25-1.56) for UTI alone, 6- to 12-fold risk for pneumonia or sepsis alone, to 34-fold risk (aHR 34.38, 95% CI 30.35-38.95) for those with all three infections. Infections also significantly increased first-year costs, from $17 691 (standard error (SE) $591) marginal cost increase for UTI alone, to approximately $40 000-$50 000 (SE $1054-1238) for pneumonia or sepsis alone, to $134 773 (SE $1876) for those with UTI, pneumonia, and sepsis. Clinical and economic impacts persisted in years 2-3 post-transplant. Early infections reflect important targets for management protocols to improve post-transplant outcomes and reduce costs of care.

The Kidney Allocation System (KAS), a major change to deceased donor kidney allocation, was implemented in December 2014. Goals of KAS included directing the highest-quality organs to younger/healthier recipients and increasing access to deceased donor kidney transplantation (DDKT) for highly sensitized patients and racial/ethnic minorities. Using national registry data, we compared kidney distribution, DDKT rates for waitlist registrants, and recipient characteristics between January 1, 2013, and December 3, 2014 (pre-KAS) with those between December 4, 2014, and August 31, 2015 (post-KAS). Regional imports increased from 8.8% pre-KAS to 12.5% post-KAS; national imports increased from 12.7% pre-KAS to 19.1% post-KAS (P<0.001). The proportion of recipients >30 years older than their donor decreased from 19.4% to 15.0% (P<0.001). The proportion of recipients with calculated panel-reactive antibody =100 increased from 1.0% to 10.3% (P<0.001). Overall DDKT rate did not change as modeled using exponential regression adjusting for candidate characteristics (P=0.07). However, DDKT rate (incidence rate ratio, 95% confidence interval) increased for black (1.19; 1.13 to 1.25) and Hispanic (1.13; 1.05 to 1.20) candidates and for candidates aged 18-40 (1.47; 1.38 to 1.57), but declined for candidates aged >50 (0.93; 0.87 to 0.98 for aged 51-60 and 0.90; 0.85 to 0.96 for aged >70). Delayed graft function in transplant recipients increased from 24.8% pre-KAS to 29.9% post-KAS (P<0.001). Thus, in the first 9 months under KAS, access to DDKT improved for minorities, younger candidates, and highly sensitized patients, but declined for older candidates. Delayed graft function increased substantially, possibly suggesting poorer long-term outcomes.