Faculty Bibliography

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:In October 2018, the OPTN changed adult heart transplant (HT) allocation policy, increasing the number of adult candidates that had higher priority than pediatric candidates, potentially disadvantaging pediatric waitlist registrants. METHODS:To understand the impact of this policy change, we used SRTR data to identify 1469 pre-policy (7/2016-9/2018) and 2901 (10/2018-12/2022) post-policy pediatric (< 18 years) HT registrants. We quantified mortality and transplant risks using weighted cause-specific hazard models, and then using weighted competing risks regression. We further stratified these analyses by age to understand risks for those in direct competition with adults for organs (≥ 12 years). RESULTS:, p = 0.02). Post policy, 1-year transplant rate did not change in those < 12years (68.2%-71.0%, p = 0.77), but in those ≥ 12years, transplant rate increased (77.3%-81.0%, p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS:Mortality on the waitlist decreased and access to HT for pediatric registrants did not decline following the 2018 policy change. The decreased mortality rate may reflect changes in patient casemix and/or improved patient care. Continued surveillance is important in ensuring equity in pediatric, and adult, HT.

BACKGROUND:Highly effective modulator therapies (HEMT) including ivacaftor (IVA) and elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI) have transformed treatment for people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). However, non-HEMT-responsive mutations are more common in pwCF of non-White race/ethnicity; introduction of HEMT might have exacerbated racial/ethnic disparities in CF care. METHODS:Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we identified all lung transplant candidates and recipients 05/2005-12/2022 and categorized them by diagnosis (CF/non-CF), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White/Black/Hispanic) and era [Pre-HEMT (2005-1/30/2012), IVA (1/31/2012-10/30/2019), ETI (10/31/2019-12/31/2022)]. We compared the percentage of patients listed, delisted/died, or transplanted by race/ethnicity and era. RESULTS:34,659 lung transplants were performed: 10,521 pre-HEMT, 15,944 in IVA era, and 7,888 in ETI era. Over the three eras, the percentage of lung recipients with CF of White race decreased (94.5 % to 92.4 % to 78.4 %) and of Black race (1.7 % to 2.4 % to 5.7 %) or Hispanic ethnicity increased (3.5 % to 4.6 % to 14.2 %; p < 0.001). Similarly, among candidates listed for CF over the three eras, the percentage that were of White race decreased (82.0 % vs. 78.6 % vs. 71.0 %) and of Black race (9.2 % vs. 10.0 % vs. 10.3 %) or Hispanic ethnicity increased (6.4 % vs. 8.6 % vs. 13.6 %; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The introduction of HEMT appears to have benefitted CF lung transplant candidates and recipients of Black race or Hispanic ethnicity less than those of White race. This is likely due to the higher prevalence of HEMT-ineligible CFTR mutations among Black and Hispanic patients and underscores the need for therapies aimed at non-HEMT-responsive mutations prevalent in these racial/ethnic populations.

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE/OBJECTIVE:Despite substantial growth in the population of older adults with kidney disease, there remains a lack of evidence to guide clinical care for this group. The Kidney Disease and Aging Research Collaborative (KDARC) conducted a Delphi study to build consensus on research priorities for clinical geriatric nephrology. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Asynchronous modified Delphi study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS/METHODS:Clinicians and researchers in the US and Canada with clinical experience and/or research expertise in geriatric nephrology. OUTCOME/RESULTS:Research priorities in geriatric nephrology. ANALYTICAL APPROACH/METHODS:In the first Delphi round, participants submitted free-text descriptions of research priorities considered important for improving the clinical care of older adults with kidney disease. Delphi moderators used inductive content analysis to group concepts into categories. In the second and third rounds, participants iteratively reviewed topics, selected their top 5 priorities, and offered comments used to revise categories. RESULTS:Among 121 who were invited, 57 participants (47%) completed the first Delphi round and 48 (84% of enrolled participants) completed all rounds. After 3 rounds, the 5 priorities with the highest proportion of agreement were: 1) Communication and Decision-Making about Treatment Options for Older Adults with Kidney Failure (69% agreement), 2) Quality of Life, Symptom Management, and Palliative Care (67%), 3) Frailty and Physical Function (54%), 4) Tailoring Therapies for Kidney Disease to Specific Needs of Older Adults (42%), and 5) Caregiver and Social Support (35%). Health equity and person-centricity were identified as cross-cutting features that informed all topics. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS:Relatively low response rate and limited participation by private practitioners and older clinicians and researchers. CONCLUSIONS:Experts in geriatric nephrology identified clinical research priorities with the greatest potential to improve care for older adults with kidney disease. These findings provide a roadmap for the geriatric nephrology community to harmonize and maximize the impact of research efforts.

Developing real-world evidence from electronic health records (EHR) is vital to advance kidney transplantation (KT). We assessed the feasibility of studying KT using the Epic Cosmos aggregated EHR dataset, which includes 274 million unique individuals cared for in 238 U.S. health systems, by comparing it with the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (SRTR). We identified 69,418 KT recipients transplanted between January 2014 and December 2022 in Cosmos (39.4% of all US KT transplants during this period). Demographics and clinical characteristics of recipients captured in Cosmos were consistent with the overall SRTR cohort. Survival estimates were generally comparable, although there were some differences in long-term survival. At 7 years post-transplant, patient survival was 80.4% in Cosmos and 77.8% in SRTR. Multivariable Cox regression showed consistent associations between clinical factors and mortality in both cohorts, with minor discrepancies in the associations between death and both age and race. In summary, Cosmos provides a reliable platform for KT research, allowing EHR-level clinical granularity not available with either the transplant registry or healthcare claims. Consequently, Cosmos will enable novel analyses to improve our understanding of KT management on a national scale.

BACKGROUND AND HYPOTHESIS/OBJECTIVE:Early steroid withdrawal (ESW) is often preferred over conventional steroid maintenance (CSM) therapy for kidney transplant recipients with low immunological risks because it may minimize immunosuppression-related adverse events while achieving similar transplant outcomes. However, the risk-benefit balance of ESW could be less favorable in retransplant recipients given their unique immunological risk profile. We hypothesized that the association of ESW with transplant outcomes would differ between first-transplant and retransplant recipients. METHODS:To assess whether the impact of ESW differs between first and retransplant recipients, we studied 210 086 adult deceased-donor kidney transplant recipients using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients. Recipients who discontinued maintenance steroids before discharge from transplant admission were classified with ESW; all others were classified with CSM. We quantified the association of ESW (vs. CSM) with acute rejection, death-censored graft failure, and death, addressing retransplant as an effect modifier, using logistic/Cox regression with inverse probability weights to control for confounders. RESULTS:In our cohort, 26 248 (12%) were retransplant recipients. ESW was used in 30% of first-transplant and 20% of retransplant recipients. Among first-transplant recipients, ESW was associated with no significant difference in acute rejection (aOR = 1.04 [95% CI = 1.00-1.09]), slightly higher hazard of graft failure (HR = 1.09 [95% CI = 1.05-1.12]), and slightly lower mortality (HR = 0.93 [95% CI = 0.91-0.95]) compared to CSM. Nonetheless, among retransplant recipients, ESW was associated with notably higher risk of acute rejection (OR = 1.42 [95% CI = 1.29-1.57]; interaction p < 0.001) and graft failure (HR = 1.24 [95% CI = 1.14-1.34]; interaction p = 0.003), and similar mortality (HR = 1.01 [95% CI = 0.94-1.08]; interaction p = 0.04). CONCLUSIONS:In retransplant recipients, the negative impacts of ESW on transplant outcomes appear to be non-negligible. A more conservatively tailored approach to ESW might be necessary for retransplant recipients.

Solid organ transplant recipients (SOTRs) have heightened risk of adverse COVID-19 outcomes due to immunosuppression and medical comorbidity. We quantified the burden of COVID-19 mortality in US SOTRs. A sample of deaths documented in the US solid organ transplant registry from June 2020 through December 2022 were linked to the National Death Index to identify COVID-19 deaths and weighted to represent all SOTR deaths during the study period. Among 505,757 SOTRs, 57,575 deaths occurred and based on the linkage, 12,396 (21.5%) were due to COVID-19. COVID-19 mortality was higher in males (mortality rate ratio [MRR]: 1.13), SOTRs aged 65 and older (MRR: 1.50 in ages 65-74 vs. ages 55-64), and non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic SOTRs (MRRs: 1.55 and 1.79 vs. non-Hispanic White SOTRs). Kidney and lung recipients had the highest COVID-19 mortality, followed by heart, then liver recipients. COVID-19 mortality also varied over time and across US states. Overall, SOTRs had 7-fold increased risk of COVID-19 death compared to the US general population. SOTRs comprised 0.13% of the US population but accounted for 1.46% of all US COVID-19 deaths. SOTRs experience greatly elevated COVID-19 mortality. Clinicians should continue to prioritize COVID-19 prevention and treatment in this high-risk population.

Graft failure and recipient death with functioning graft are important competing outcomes after kidney transplantation. Risk prediction models typically censor for the competing outcome thereby overestimating the cumulative incidence. The magnitude of this overestimation is not well described in real-world transplant data. This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from the European Collaborative Transplant Study (n = 125 250) and from the American Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (n = 190 258). Separate cause-specific hazard models using donor and recipient age as continuous predictors were developed for graft failure and recipient death. The hazard of graft failure increased quadratically with increasing donor age and decreased decaying with increasing recipient age. The hazard of recipient death increased linearly with increasing donor and recipient age. The cumulative incidence overestimation due to competing risk-censoring was largest in high-risk populations for both outcomes (old donors/recipients), sometimes amounting to 8.4 and 18.8 percentage points for graft failure and recipient death, respectively. In our illustrative model for posttransplant risk prediction, the absolute risk of graft failure and death is overestimated when censoring for the competing event, mainly in older donors and recipients. Prediction models for absolute risks should treat graft failure and death as competing events.

Since 2021, the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network has reported a nearly 10-fold rise in out-of-sequence (OOS) kidney allocation, generating concern and halting development of continuous distribution policies. We report contemporary (2022-2023) practice patterns in OOS allocation using Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network data. We examined in sequence vs OOS donors with multivariable logistic regression and skipped vs OOS-accepting recipients with conditional logistic regression. Nearly 20% of kidney placements were OOS, varying from 0% to 43% acsoss organ procurement organizations; the 5 highest OOS-organ procurement organizations accounted for 29% of all OOS. Of OOS kidneys, 33% were declined ≥100 times in the standard allocation sequence and 51% were declined by ≥10 centers before OOS allocation began; 4.5% were made without any in-sequence declines. Nearly, all OOS offers were open offers. OOS kidneys were more likely to be from female, Black, older, donation after cardiac death, hypertensive, diabetic, and elevated creatinine donors. Candidates receiving OOS kidneys were more likely female, Asian, and older than skipped candidates. Higher-volume centers and centers with more White, fewer Hispanic, and more educated waiting list patients underwent transplantation disproportionately with more OOS kidneys. These findings suggest that the current, highly variable, discretionary use of OOS might exacerbate disparities, yet the impact of OOS on organ utilization cannot be determined with data now collected.