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Natural History of the Remnant Pancreatic Duct after Pancreatoduodenectomy for Non-Invasive Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm: Results from an International Consortium
Kim, Rachel C; Perri, Giampaolo; Rocha Castellanos, Dario M; Jung, Hyesol; Kirsch, Michael J; Sacks, Greg D; Perinel, Julie; Goh, Brian; Heckler, Max; Hackert, Thilo; Adham, Mustapha; Wolfgang, Christopher; Del-Chiaro, Marco; Schulick, Richard; Jang, Jin-Young; Del Castillo, Carlos Fernandez; Salvia, Roberto; Marchegiani, Giovanni; Ceppa, Eugene P; Schmidt, C Max; Roch, Alex M; ,
BACKGROUND:Little is known about the prognostic significance of pancreatic duct (PD) dilation following pancreatoduodenectomy for intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN). Although PD dilation is typically the hallmark radiographic feature of IPMN, other causes of PD dilation exist, including anastomotic stricture, pancreatitis, senescence, and postsurgical passive dilation. Therefore, PD dilation after pancreatoduodenectomy for IPMN represents a diagnostic and management dilemma. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the significance of PD dilation after pancreatoduodenectomy for noninvasive IPMN. METHODS:All patients who underwent pancreatoduodenectomy for noninvasive IPMN at nine pancreatic academic centers between 2013 and 2018 were included. Variables were entered prospectively into institutional databases and retrospectively reviewed for the purpose of this study. Dilation of the PD remnant was defined as a duct diameter of ≥5 mm, according to international guidelines. RESULTS:Four-hundred and eighty-one patients were included in this study. The mean age of the patients was 66 years (range 30-90). Patients were surveilled for a median of 4.5 (+/-2.3; max 10.6) years. During follow-up, 132 patients (27.4%) developed PD dilation in the remnant tissue after a median of 3.3 years. Multivariable analysis demonstrated that older age at the time of pancreatoduodenectomy (P=0.01) and longer surveillance duration (P=0.002) were predictors of PD dilation. Interestingly, neither the pathological IPMN subtype (branch-duct vs. main duct/mixed, P=0.96) nor the preoperative PD diameter (P=0.14) was associated with an increased risk of PD dilation in the remnant. During follow-up, IPMN recurrence was suspected in the remaining 72 patients (18.4%), solely because of ductal dilation on cross-sectional imaging in 97% (70/72). Completion pancreatectomy was performed in only 16 patients (3.3%), of whom only four (0.8%) had invasive carcinoma. Three of these four patients had high-grade dysplasia in the original pancreatoduodenectomy specimen, whereas only one had a low-grade dysplastic lesion initially. On multivariable analysis, no variable was predictive of IPMN recurrence in the remnant. CONCLUSIONS:New main duct dilation in the pancreatic remnant after pancreatoduodenectomy for IPMN is common, occurring in 27% of the patients. The duration of surveillance is the main factor associated with remnant PD dilation, suggesting that this is likely a physiologic phenomenon. Although recurrence of IPMN in the remnant is often suspected, only 0.8% of patients develop an invasive carcinoma in the pancreatic remnant requiring completion pancreatectomy.
PMID: 39225424
ISSN: 1528-1140
CID: 5687762
Informing Decision-making for Transected Margin Reresection in Intraductal Papillary Mucinous Neoplasm-derived PDAC: An International Multicenter Study
Habib, Joseph R; Rompen, Ingmar F; Kinny-Köster, Benedict; Campbell, Brady A; Andel, Paul C M; Sacks, Greg D; Billeter, Adrian T; van Santvoort, Hjalmar C; Daamen, Lois A; Javed, Ammar A; Müller-Stich, Beat P; Besselink, Marc G; Büchler, Markus W; He, Jin; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Molenaar, I Quintus; Loos, Martin
OBJECTIVE:To assess the prognostic impact of margin status in patients with resected intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMN)-derived pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) and to inform future intraoperative decision-making on handling differing degrees of dysplasia on frozen section. SUMMARY BACKGROUND DATA/BACKGROUND:The ideal oncologic surgical outcome is a negative transection margin with normal pancreatic epithelium left behind. However, the prognostic significance of reresecting certain degrees of dysplasia or invasive cancer at the pancreatic neck margin during pancreatectomy for IPMN-derived PDAC is debatable. METHODS:Consecutive patients with resected and histologically confirmed IPMN-derived PDAC (2002-2022) from six international high-volume centers were included. The prognostic relevance of a positive resection margin (R1) and degrees of dysplasia at the pancreatic neck margin were assessed by log-rank test and multivariable Cox-regression for overall survival (OS) and recurrence-free survival (RFS). RESULTS:Overall, 832 patients with IPMN-derived PDAC were included with 322 patients (39%) having an R1-resection on final pathology. Median OS (mOS) was significantly longer in patients with an R0 status compared to those with an R1 status (65.8 vs. 26.3 mo P<0.001). Patients without dysplasia at the pancreatic neck margin had similar OS compared to those with low-grade dysplasia (mOS: 78.8 vs. 66.8 months, P=0.344). However, high-grade dysplasia (mOS: 26.1 mo, P=0.001) and invasive cancer (mOS: 25.0 mo, P<0.001) were associated with significantly worse OS compared to no or low-grade dysplasia. Patients who underwent conversion of high-risk margins (high-grade or invasive cancer) to a low-risk margin (low-grade or no dysplasia) after intraoperative frozen section had significantly superior OS compared to those with a high-risk neck margin on final pathology (mOS: 76.9 vs. 26.1 mo P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS:In IPMN-derived PDAC, normal epithelium or low-grade dysplasia at the neck have similar outcomes while pancreatic neck margins with high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancer are associated with poorer outcomes. Conversion of a high-risk to low-risk margin after intraoperative frozen section is associated with survival benefit and should be performed when feasible.
PMID: 39263741
ISSN: 1528-1140
CID: 5690492
ASO Author Reflections: Decision Analysis in the Era of Evolving Guidelines for Branch-Duct IPMN
Sacks, Greg D; Levine, Jonah M; Habib, Joseph R; Hunter, Madeleine; Javed, Ammar A; Marchegiani, Giovanni; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Braithwaite, R Scott
PMID: 42143653
ISSN: 1534-4681
CID: 6037602
Postpancreatectomy liver injury: A relevant entity in the modern era of pancreatic cancer surgery with hepatic vessel resection. A monocentric retrospective cohort study
Marchetti, Alessio; Salinas, Camila H; Garnier, Jonathan; Andel, Paul C M; Habib, Joseph R; Perri, Giampaolo; Ratner, Molly; Rompen, Ingmar F; De Pastena, Matteo; Salvia, Roberto; Marchegiani, Giovanni; Javed, Ammar A; Hewitt, Brock; Sacks, Greg D; Levine, Jamie P; Garg, Karan; Morgan, Katherine A; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Kluger, Michael D
BACKGROUND:Advances in pancreatic cancer surgery involve hepatotoxic chemotherapies and hepatic vasculature resections, increasing the risk of clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury. The study aimed to analyze the incidence and impact of clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury after pancreatectomy with hepatic vessel resection. METHODS:In this single-institutional study, patients undergoing pancreatectomy with resection of hepatic vessels (portal vein/superior mesenteric vein, celiac axis, and hepatic arteries) were analyzed. Arterial lactate, total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, aspartate aminotransferase, international normalized ratio, and Doppler ultrasound-derived resistive index were assessed postoperatively. Postoperative outcomes were assessed through 90 days. Clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury was defined as American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases-defined liver failure and/or need for invasive treatment of liver complications. RESULTS:Among 116 patients (67% portal vein/superior mesenteric vein resection alone, 7% celiac axis/hepatic arteries alone, 26% portal vein/superior mesenteric vein + celiac axis/hepatic artery resection), 15 (13%) developed clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury. Mortality was significantly higher in the clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury group (47% vs 3%; P < .001). The proper hepatic artery resistive index was lower in the clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury group (0.52 vs 0.65; P = .034), whereas the following 48-hour-peak blood tests were significantly higher in this group: Lac, bilirubin, aspartate aminotransferase, and alanine aminotransferase (all P < .01). Combined portal vein/superior mesenteric vein + celiac axis/hepatic arteries and elevated alanine aminotransferase 48-hour peak above 1680 U/L remained significantly associated with the occurrence of clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury in multivariable analyses. Forty percent of clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury occurred in the absence of vascular complications. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury is associated with significant mortality. Low resistive index and markedly elevated biochemical markers within the first 48 hours correlate with clinically relevant postpancreatectomy liver injury and may be used to trigger earlier intervention. Given the associated morbidity and mortality, defining, preventing, and mitigating clinically significant postpancreatectomy liver injury is of the utmost importance.
PMID: 42173064
ISSN: 1532-7361
CID: 6038802
Proposal for an Objective and Concrete Definition for Determining Anatomic Resectability in Pancreatic Cancer: The Concept of the "Suitable Target"
Marchetti, Alessio; Garnier, Jonathan; Perri, Giampaolo; Hewitt, Brock D; Sacks, Greg D; Kluger, Michael D; Morgan, Katherine A; Levine, Jamie P; Garg, Karan; Wolfgang, Christopher L
Pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) with extensive peripancreatic vessel involvement is classified as locally advanced pancreatic cancer (LAPC). For this group of patients, the current standard of care does not include considering a potentially curative oncologic resection. However, recent advances in multiagent chemotherapy and surgical techniques are challenging this paradigm. Moreover, the current determination of anatomic resectability is vague and unreliable. Here we propose a definition of local resectability, based on pre- and intra-operative assessment. This anatomic definition of resectability assumes careful patient selection based on tumor biology and patient condition. The pre-operative evaluation of vascular anatomy and tumor involvement is conducted using 3D-rendering of pancreas-protocol computed tomography. Identifying a disease-free arterial or venous segment above and below the tumor involvement ("suitable target") is the single critical factor that determines anatomic resectability. Intraoperative isolation of these target vessels confirms the feasibility of vascular reconstruction before resection. This approach, which focuses on identifying target vessels rather than circumferential involvement, offers a more straightforward and clinically relevant method for assessing surgical eligibility in LAPC patients at centers of excellence. In summary, reconstructability-based on surgical expertise and guided by tumor biology-now defines the modern paradigm of resectability in LAPC.
PMID: 41417959
ISSN: 1879-1190
CID: 5979782
ASO Author Reflections: Arterial Reconstruction in Pancreatic Cancer: Shifting from Anatomical Feasibility Towards Biological Selection
Palen, Anaïs; Amabile, Philippe; Ewald, Jacques; Besselink, Marc G; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Turrini, Olivier; Garnier, Jonathan
PMID: 41811393
ISSN: 1534-4681
CID: 6015622
Re-evaluating routinely collected clinical and laboratory parameters in the preoperative risk assessment of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms: model development and internal validation
Hidalgo Salinas, Camila; Grewal, Mahip; Jayaprakash, Vishnu; Habib, Joseph R; Hewitt, D Brock; Kaplan, Brian J; Morgan, Katherine A; Gonda, Tamas A; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Perera, Rafael; Sacks, Greg D; Javed, Ammar A
BACKGROUND:Accurate preoperative malignancy risk assessment in intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm (IPMN) is essential to balance timely intervention for high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancer (HGD/IC) against avoiding unnecessary or premature surgery in low-grade IPMN. This study aimed to externally validate the 2023 International Association of Pancreatology (IAP)/Kyoto guidelines and develop a combined prediction model incorporating routinely collected clinical data and laboratory parameters. METHODS:We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 194 patients who underwent resection for IPMN between 2012 and 2024. We evaluated the predictive performance of the current IAP/Kyoto criteria ("Kyoto model"), developed a clinical model using routinely available laboratory and clinical variables, and integrated both into a combined model. Model performance was assessed using discrimination and calibration metrics, with internal validation via bootstrapping and five-fold cross-validation. RESULTS:The Kyoto model demonstrated modest discrimination (AUC 0.62). The clinical model, incorporating neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), smoking history, blood glucose, CA19-9, and alkaline phosphatase, achieved an optimism-corrected AUC of 0.76. Compared to the Kyoto model, the combined model (AUC 0.77) significantly improved discrimination and calibration (p < 0.001). At a predicted probability threshold of >0.75, the combined model achieved a 90% specificity and 91% positive predictive value for HGD/IC, identifying a high-risk subgroup suitable for surgical intervention. CONCLUSIONS:Integrating routinely collected clinical and laboratory parameters with guideline-based imaging features shows promise to enhance preoperative identification of high-risk IPMN in patients already being considered for surgical resection. The combined model offers a practical, high-specificity tool to support surgical decision-making in this selected population, though its performance metrics should not be extrapolated to unselected surveillance cohorts. External validation is required before broader clinical implementation.
PMID: 41820087
ISSN: 1424-3911
CID: 6015002
ASO Visual Abstract: Decision Modeling to Guide Management of Pancreatic IPMNs: Immediate Surgery or Initial Surveillance?
Sacks, Greg D; Levine, Jonah; Habib, Joseph R; Hunter, Madeleine; Javed, Ammar A; Marchegiani, Giovanni; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Braithwaite, R Scott
PMID: 42036592
ISSN: 1534-4681
CID: 6028932
Contemporary challenges in long-term survival prediction in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma: a transatlantic multicenter development and validation of prognostic models
Javed, Ammar A; Ali, Mahsoem; Mahmud, Omar; Casciani, Fabio; Andel, Paul C M; Habib, Joseph R; Marchetti, Alessio; Rompen, Ingmar F; van Goor, Iris W J M; Stoop, Thomas F; Mughal, Nabiha A; Schouten, Thijs J; Lafaro, Kelly; Burkhart, Richard A; Burns, William R; Malleo, Giuseppe; van Santvoort, Hjalmar C; den Dulk, Marcel; Daams, Freek; Mieog, Jan Sven D; Stommel, Martijn W J; Patijn, Gijs A; de Hingh, Ignace; Festen, Sebastiaan; Nijkamp, Maarten W; Klaase, Joost M; Lips, Daan J; Wijsman, Jan H; van der Harst, Erwin; Manusama, Eric; van Eijck, Casper H J; Groot Koerkamp, Bas; Busch, Olivier R; Molenaar, Izaak Quintus; Kazemier, Geert; Salvia, Roberto; Daamen, Lois A; He, Jin; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Besselink, Marc G; ,
BACKGROUND:Predicting long-term survival (>5 years; LTS) in resected pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) remains challenging. The aim of this study was to train and evaluate LTS prediction models. METHODS:We retrospectively included patients with PDAC who underwent resection between 2012 and 2019 from the databases at New York University, the Johns Hopkins Hospital, University of Verona Hospital Trust, and the Dutch Pancreatic Cancer Group. Two models were developed for the (1) post-operative and (2) post-adjuvant treatment phase. Training involved the full dataset followed by internal-external cross validation. RESULTS:4084 patients with resected PDAC were included. The estimated rate of LTS in (1) was 22% (95% CI: 21-24%) and in (2) 24% (95% CI: 22-26%). For model (1) 5-year performance metrics were an AUC of 0.68 (0.60-0.75), O/E ratio of 0.91 (0.45-1.82), and slope of 1.07 (0.56-2.05). Model (2) achieved 5-year AUC of 0.70 (0.64-0.75), O/E ratio of 0.96 (0.60-1.54), and slope of 1.16 (0.60-1.23). CONCLUSIONS:Our models achieved only modest performance despite a large, granular dataset and rigorous statistical methods, demonstrating the need for novel prognostic biomarkers.
PMID: 42168042
ISSN: 1477-2574
CID: 6038642
Decision Modeling to Guide Management of Pancreatic IPMNs: Immediate Surgery or Initial Surveillance?
Sacks, Greg D; Levine, Jonah; Habib, Joseph R; Hunter, Madeleine; Javed, Ammar A; Marchegiani, Giovanni; Wolfgang, Christopher L; Braithwaite, R Scott
BACKGROUND:Most branch duct intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (BD-IPMNs) are indolent, but distinguishing those harboring high-grade dysplasia or invasive cancer remains difficult. This analysis focuses not on incidental small BD-IPMNs but on the subset whose cyst characteristics bring surgery into the decision-making discussion. Surgery prevents malignant progression but carries morbidity; surveillance avoids overtreatment but risks delayed cancer detection. Current guidelines rely on fixed thresholds that may not reflect individual variation. Our study compared immediate surgery and initial surveillance in patients with BD-IPMNs, using a decision-analytic model that incorporates patient-specific risk factors. METHODS:A Markov decision model compared immediate surgery with initial surveillance, incorporating age, comorbidities, and cyst location. Health states reflected progression from low-grade to high-grade dysplasia and invasive cancer, postoperative complications, recurrence, and quality-of-life decrements. Transition probabilities were derived from published studies and American College of Surgeons (ACS)-National Surgical Quality Improvement Program data. The primary outcome was quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs). RESULTS:For a 60-year-old patient with mild comorbidities and a pancreatic head BD-IPMN, immediate surgery provided 16.8 QALYs versus 16.3 with surveillance (incremental gain, 0.5 QALYs). Lifetime cancer probability was lower with surgery (24.5% vs 33.5%), as was cancer-related mortality (9.3% vs 20.3%), though surgery resulted in more resections for low-grade dysplasia (55.0% vs 15.3%). Age, baseline cancer probability, and perioperative mortality were the strongest determinants of the preferred strategy. CONCLUSIONS:Among patients with BD-IPMNs being considered for surgery, immediate resection offers a modest benefit for younger, healthier individuals, whereas surveillance remains appropriate for older or comorbid patients. These findings support individualized, risk-based management rather than universal application of guideline thresholds.
PMID: 42012736
ISSN: 1534-4681
CID: 6032502