Faculty Bibliography

Introduction Cordon-based congestion policies have demonstrated air quality and health benefits in cities outside the United States (U.S.), yet selecting comparison areas to evaluate these policies remains a methodological challenge. Using two pre-policy administrative health datasets, we examined the feasibility of constructing local, state, and regional counterfactual populations to inform an evaluation of child health impacts of the recently implemented New York City (NYC) congestion pricing policy, focusing on pediatric asthma emergency department visits. Methods Our study population included children aged 0-17 years. Using a difference-in-differences approach for repeated measures, we evaluated crude pre-policy pediatric asthma trends between the congestion relief zone (CRZ) and three comparison areas: (1) NYC neighborhoods outside the CRZ, (2) nine major New York State cities, and (3) dense, heavily trafficked Northeast regional U.S. cities. We compared this approach with a generalized synthetic control method (G-SCM). Results Crude pre-policy pediatric asthma trends were most parallel between the CRZ and the local NYC comparison zone. Socioeconomic, built environment, and environmental exposure covariates varied across comparison areas at baseline. G-SCM improved visual pre-policy trend alignment across all three comparison areas; however, placebo tests revealed statistically significant parallel trend violations persisted for non-local comparison areas. Conclusions Local comparison populations may offer the most representative counterfactual for evaluating NYC congestion pricing child health impacts. Residual parallel trend violations in non-local areas underscore the methodological challenges of counterfactual selection for geographically concentrated urban policies, highlighting the value of triangulating findings across comparison areas and analytic approaches in future post-implementation evaluations.

IMPORTANCE/UNASSIGNED:Current pregnancy surveillance efforts in the US face substantial challenges in providing timely and accurate data on prenatal care use. Electronic health record (EHR) networks have the potential to enhance existing surveillance systems by providing near real-time, clinically documented data. OBJECTIVE/UNASSIGNED:To assess whether EHR network data could be used to define valid and reliable surveillance metrics of prenatal care use. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/UNASSIGNED:This longitudinal cohort study included US adults (age ≥18 years) who received prenatal care and delivered a live birth from January 1, 2023, to December 31, 2024, at a facility that used the Epic Cosmos EHR network. EXPOSURE/UNASSIGNED:Live birth at a facility that used the selected EHR network. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES/UNASSIGNED:Prenatal care use was calculated as the proportions of patients who initiated care by the 13th week of pregnancy (early care) and who received adequate or better prenatal care (adequate care). Raking weights were applied to adjust the EHR sample to match the marginal distributions for US residents with live births by age, race and ethnicity, insurance, pregnancy risk factors, and geographic region. Electronic health records-based metrics were externally validated against published natality data estimates from National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) using the two 1-sided test of equivalence. Patterns by demographics, state, and year were examined. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:In total, 1 963 496 patients (mean [SD] age, 29.5 [5.7] years; 100% women) had a live birth and evidence of prenatal care at a facility using the selected EHR network during the study period. Compared with all US birthing people (n = 7 224 951), patients who gave birth at a facility using the selected EHR network had lower Medicaid coverage (40.5% vs 21.1%) and a higher prevalence of pregnancy risk factors (eg, prior preterm birth: 4.0% vs 8.8%). After weighting to the national population, EHR-based estimates of early care were consistently lower than those from NCHS data (68.0% [95% CI, 67.9%-68.2%] vs 76.1% [95% CI, 76.1%-76.1%]). However, adequacy estimates were equivalent to NCHS-based estimates (76.0% [95% CI, 75.9%-76.2%] vs 75.2% [95% CI, 75.1%-75.2%]; P < .001 at 0.01 equivalence bound), aligned with expected demographic patterns, and were stable across place and time. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/UNASSIGNED:In this cohort study, EHR network data reliably informed surveillance of prenatal care adequacy after adjusting for nonrepresentativeness of the patient population. These findings suggest that near real-time availability of EHR data has the potential to improve the timeliness of population-level pregnancy surveillance to better inform policy, public health, and clinical efforts aimed at enhancing prenatal care access and use among individuals receiving inadequate care.

OBJECTIVE:We discuss implications of potential ascertainment biases for studies examining diabetes risk following SARS-CoV-2 infection using electronic health records (EHRs). We quantitatively explore sensitivity of results to misclassification of COVID-19 status using data from the U.S.-based Diabetes in Children, Adolescents and Young Adults (DiCAYA) Network on children (≤17 years) and young adults (18-44 years). MATERIALS AND METHODS/METHODS:In our retrospective case study from the DiCAYA Network, SARS-CoV-2 was identified using labs and diagnoses from June 1, 2020 to December 31, 2021. Patients were followed through December 31, 2022 for new diabetes diagnoses. Sites examined incident diabetes by COVID-19 status using Cox proportional hazards models. Results were pooled in meta-analyses. A bias analysis examined potential impact of COVID-19 misclassification scenarios on results, guided by hypotheses that sensitivity would be <50% and would be higher among those who developed diabetes. RESULTS:Prevalence of documented COVID-19 was low overall and variable across sites (children: 4.4%-7.7%, young adults: 6.2%-22.7%). Individuals with documented COVID-19 were at higher risk of incident diabetes compared to those with no documented infection, but results were heterogeneous across sites. Findings were highly sensitive to COVID-19 misclassification assumptions. Observed results could be biased away from the null under several differential misclassification scenarios. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS:Although EHR-based documentation of COVID-19 was associated with incident diabetes, COVID-19 phenotypes likely had low sensitivity, with considerable variation across sites. Misclassification assumptions strongly impacted interpretation of results. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Given the potential for low phenotype sensitivity and misclassification, caution is warranted when interpreting analyses of COVID-19 and incident diabetes using clinical or administrative databases.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic caused unprecedented disruptions to healthcare systems worldwide, significantly affecting patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD). In this study, we evaluated the impact of the pandemic on healthcare-seeking behavior and CKD progression among patients in New York City. METHODS:Using electronic health records from PCORnet's INSIGHT Clinical Research Network, we conducted a retrospective cohort study focused on 84,062 patients with CKD aged 50 years or older with multiple chronic conditions seen between 2017 and 2022. Patients were identified using pre-pandemic CKD diagnostic codes, and confirmed by estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) measurements. Care disruption was defined as receiving fewer visits than recommended by Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes (KDIGO) guidelines. We used linear mixed-effects models to estimate annual eGFR changes and analyze trends in care visits stratified by CKD stage and care disruption. RESULTS:. Care visits declined sharply in 2020 across patients at all but the end stage, with incomplete recovery by 2022. Patients with adequate pre-pandemic care maintained their visits above KDIGO levels, while those with inadequate care increased visits during the pandemic. Pronounced eGFR decline occurred in 2020 (10.6%), with slower declines observed thereafter. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The COVID-19 pandemic disrupted CKD care, potentially leading to reduced healthcare-seeking behavior and accelerated kidney function decline in 2020. Slower decline post-2020 may reflect improved healthcare utilization, better medication adherence, and new therapies, and other factors.

BACKGROUND:The COVID-19 pandemic had a significant impact on healthcare delivery. Older adults with multimorbidities were at risk of healthcare disruptions for the management of their chronic conditions. OBJECTIVE:To characterize healthcare disruptions during the COVID-19 healthcare shutdown and recovery period (March 7, 2020-October 6, 2020) and their effects on disease management among older adults with multimorbidities who were patients of NYC Health + Hospitals (H + H), the largest municipal safety-net system in the United States. DESIGN/METHODS:Observational. PATIENTS/METHODS:Patients aged 50 + with hypertension or diabetes and at least one other comorbidity, at least one H + H ambulatory visit in the six months before COVID-19 pandemic onset (March 6, 2020), and at least one visit in the post-acute shutdown period (October 7, 2020 to December 31, 2023). MAIN MEASURES/METHODS:We characterized disruption in care (defined as no ambulatory or telehealth visits during the acute shutdown) and estimated the effect of disruption on blood pressure control, hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c), and low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol using difference-in-differences models. KEY RESULTS/RESULTS:Out of 73,889 individuals in the study population, 12.5% (n = 9,202) received no ambulatory or telehealth care at H + H during the acute shutdown. Low pre-pandemic healthcare utilization, Medicaid insurance, and self-pay were independent predictors of care disruption. In adjusted analyses, the disruption group had a 3.0-percentage point (95% CI: 1.2-4.8) greater decrease in blood pressure control compared to those who received care. Disruption did not have a significant impact on mean HbA1c or LDL. CONCLUSIONS:Care disruption was associated with declines in blood pressure control, which while clinically modest, could impact risk of cardiovascular outcomes if sustained. Disruption did not affect HbA1c or LDL. Telehealth mitigated impacts of the pandemic on care disruption and subsequent disease management. Targeted outreach to those at risk of care disruption is needed during future crises.

OBJECTIVE:To compare anonymized and non-anonymized approaches for imputing race and ethnicity in descriptive studies of chronic disease burden using electronic health record (EHR)-based datasets. STUDY SETTING AND DESIGN/METHODS:In this New York City-based study, we first conducted simulation analyses under different missing data mechanisms to assess the performance of Bayesian Improved Surname Geocoding (BISG), single imputation using neighborhood majority information, random forest imputation, and multiple imputation with chained equations (MICE). Imputation performance was measured using sensitivity, precision, and overall accuracy; agreement with self-reported race and ethnicity was measured with Cohen's kappa (κ). We then applied these methods to impute race and ethnicity in two EHR-based data sources and compared chronic disease burden (95% CIs) by race and ethnicity across imputation approaches. DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE/UNASSIGNED:Our data sources included EHR data from NYU Langone Health and the INSIGHT Clinical Research Network from 3/6/2016 to 3/7/2020 extracted for a parent study on older adults in NYC with multiple chronic conditions. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS/RESULTS: = 0.33). When these methods were applied to the NYU and INSIGHT cohorts, however, racial and ethnic distributions and chronic disease burden were consistent across all imputation methods. Slight improvements in the precision of estimates were observed under all imputation approaches compared to a complete case analysis. CONCLUSIONS:BISG imputation may provide a more accurate racial and ethnic classification than single or multiple imputation using anonymized covariates, particularly if the missing data mechanism is MNAR. Descriptive studies of disease burden may not be sensitive to methods for imputing missing data.

OBJECTIVE:The Diabetes in Children, Adolescents, and Young Adults (DiCAYA) network seeks to create a nationwide electronic health record (EHR)-based diabetes surveillance system. This study aimed to develop a DiCAYA-wide EHR-based computable phenotype (CP) to identify prevalent cases of diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS/METHODS:We conducted network-wide chart reviews of 2,134 youth (aged <18 years) and 2,466 young adults (aged 18 to <45 years) among people with possible diabetes. Within this population, we compared the performance of three alternative CPs, using diabetes diagnoses determined by chart review as the gold standard. CPs were evaluated based on their accuracy in identifying diabetes and its subtype. RESULTS:The final DiCAYA CP requires at least one diabetes diagnosis code from clinical encounters. Subsequently, diabetes type classification was based on the ratio of type 1 diabetes (T1D) or type 2 diabetes (T2D) diagnosis codes in the EHR. For both youth and young adults, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values (PPV and NPV, respectively) in finding diabetes cases were >90%, except for the specificity and NPV in young adults, which were slightly lower at 83.8% and 80.6%, respectively. The final DiCAYA CP achieved >90% sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV in classifying T1D, and demonstrated lower but robust performance in identifying T2D, consistently maintaining >80% across metrics. CONCLUSIONS:The DiCAYA CP effectively identifies overall diabetes and T1D in youth and young adults, though T2D misclassification in youth highlights areas for refinement. The simplicity of the DiCAYA CP enables broad deployment across diverse EHR systems for diabetes surveillance.

BACKGROUND:Results from national surveys indicate that many older adults reported delayed medical care during the acute phase of the COVID-19 pandemic, yet few studies have used objective data to characterize healthcare utilization among vulnerable older adults in that period. In this study, we characterized healthcare utilization during the acute pandemic phase (March 7-October 6, 2020) and examined risk factors for total disruption of care among older adults with multiple chronic conditions (MCC) in New York City. METHODS:This retrospective cohort study used electronic health record data from NYC patients aged ≥ 50 years with a diagnosis of either hypertension or diabetes and at least one other chronic condition seen within six months prior to pandemic onset and after the acute pandemic period at one of several major academic medical centers contributing to the NYC INSIGHT clinical research network (n=276,383). We characterized patients by baseline (pre-pandemic) health status using cutoffs of systolic blood pressure (SBP) < 140mmHg and hemoglobin A1C (HbA1c) < 8.0% as: controlled (below both cutoffs), moderately uncontrolled (below one), or poorly controlled (above both, SBP > 160, HbA1C > 9.0%). Patients were then assessed for total disruption versus some care during shutdown using recommended care schedules per baseline health status. We identified independent predictors for total disruption using logistic regression, including age, sex, race/ethnicity, baseline health status, neighborhood poverty, COVID infection, number of chronic conditions, and quartile of prior healthcare visits. RESULTS:Among patients, 52.9% were categorized as controlled at baseline, 31.4% moderately uncontrolled, and 15.7% poorly controlled. Patients with poor baseline control were more likely to be older, female, non-white and from higher poverty neighborhoods than controlled patients (P < 0.001). Having fewer pre-pandemic healthcare visits was associated with total disruption during the acute pandemic period (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 8.61, 95% Confidence Interval [CI], 8.30-8.93, comparing lowest to highest quartile). Other predictors of total disruption included self-reported Asian race, and older age. CONCLUSIONS:This study identified patient groups at elevated risk for care disruption. Targeted outreach strategies during crises using prior healthcare utilization patterns and disease management measures from disease registries may improve care continuity.

INTRODUCTION/UNASSIGNED:There is growing interest in using electronic health records (EHRs) for chronic disease surveillance. However, these data are convenience samples of in-care individuals, which are not representative of target populations for public health surveillance, generally defined, for the relevant period, as resident populations within city, state, or other jurisdictions. We focus on using EHR data for estimation of diabetes prevalence among young adults in New York City, as rising diabetes burden in younger ages call for better surveillance capacity. METHODS/UNASSIGNED:This article applies common nonprobability sampling methods, including raking, post-stratification, and multilevel regression with post-stratification, to real and simulated data for the cross-sectional estimation of diabetes prevalence among those aged 18-44 years. Within real data analyses, we externally validate city- and neighborhood-level EHR-based estimates to gold-standard estimates from a local health survey. Within data simulations, we probe the extent to which residual biases remain when selection into the EHR sample is non-ignorable. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:Within the real data analyses, these methods reduced the impact of selection biases in the citywide prevalence estimate compared to gold standard. Residual biases remained at the neighborhood-level, where prevalence tended to be overestimated, especially in neighborhoods where a higher proportion of residents were captured in the sample. Simulation results demonstrated these methods may be sufficient, except when selection into the EHR is non-ignorable, depending on unmeasured factors or on diabetes status. CONCLUSIONS/UNASSIGNED:While EHRs offer potential to innovate on chronic disease surveillance, care is needed when estimating prevalence for small geographies or when selection is non-ignorable.

As part of a program evaluation of the New York City Test & Trace program (T2)-one of the largest such programs in the USA-we conducted a study to assess how implementing organizations (NYC Health + Hospitals, government agencies, CBOs) communicated information about the T2 program on Twitter. Study aims were as follows: (1) quantify user engagement of posts ("tweets") about T2 by NYC organizations on Twitter and (2) examine the emotional tone of social media users' T2-related tweets in our sample of 1987 T2-related tweets. Celebrities and CBOs generated more user engagement (0.26% and 0.07%, respectively) compared to government agencies (e.g., Mayor's Office, 0.0019%), reinforcing the value of collaborating with celebrities and CBOs in social media public health campaigns. Sentiment analysis revealed that positive tweets (46.5%) had higher user engagement than negative tweets (number of likes: R² = .095, p < .01), underscoring the importance of positively framing messages for effective public health campaigns.