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Association of tumor microbiome with survival in resected early-stage PDAC

Meng, Yixuan; Wang, Chan; Usyk, Mykhaylo; Kwak, Soyoung; Peng, Chengwei; Hu, Kenneth S; Oberstein, Paul E; Krogsgaard, Michelle; Li, Huilin; Hayes, Richard B; Ahn, Jiyoung
The pancreas tumor microbiota may influence tumor microenvironment and influence survival in early-stage pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC); however, current studies are limited and small. We investigated the relationship of tumor microbiota to survival in 201 surgically resected patients with localized PDAC (Stages I-II), from The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and International Cancer Genome Consortium (ICGC) cohorts. We characterized the tumor microbiome using RNA-sequencing data. We examined the association of the tumor microbiome with overall survival (OS), via meta-analysis with the Cox PH model. A microbial risk score (MRS) was calculated from the OS-associated microbiota. We further explored whether the OS-associated microbiota is related to host tumor immune infiltration. PDAC tumor microbiome α- and β-diversities were not associated with OS; however, 11 bacterial species, including species of Gammaproteobacteria, confirmed by extensive resampling, were significantly associated with OS (all Q < 0.05). The MRS summarizing these bacteria was related to a threefold change in OS (hazard ratio = 2.96 per standard deviation change in the MRS, 95% confidence interval = 2.26-3.86). This result was consistent across the two cohorts and in stratified analyses by adjuvant therapy (chemotherapy/radiation). Identified microbiota and the MRS also exhibited association with memory B cells and naïve CD4+ T cells, which may be related to the immune landscape through BCR and TCR signaling pathways. Our study shows that a unique tumor microbiome structure, potentially affecting the tumor immune microenvironment, is associated with poorer survival in resected early-stage PDAC. These findings suggest that microbial mechanisms may be involved in PDAC survival, potentially informing PDAC prognosis and guiding personalized treatment strategies.IMPORTANCEMuch of the available data on the PDAC tumor microbiome and survival are derived from relatively small and heterogeneous studies, including those involving patients with advanced stages of pancreatic cancer. There is a critical knowledge gap in terms of the tumor microbiome and survival in early-stage patients treated by surgical resection; we expect that advancements in survival may initially be best achieved in these patients who are treated with curative intent.
PMID: 40013793
ISSN: 2379-5077
CID: 5801172

Coffee and tea consumption and the risk of head and neck cancer: An updated pooled analysis in the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology Consortium

Nguyen, Timothy; Koric, Alzina; Chang, Chun-Pin Esther; Barul, Christine; Radoi, Loredana; Serraino, Diego; Purdue, Mark P; Kelsey, Karl T; McClean, Michael D; Negri, Eva; Edefonti, Valeria; Moysich, Kirsten; Zhang, Zuo-Feng; Morgenstern, Hal; Levi, Fabio; Vaughan, Thomas L; La Vecchia, Carlo; Garavello, Werner; Hayes, Richard B; Benhamou, Simone; Schantz, Stimson P; Yu, Guo-Pei; Brenner, Hermann; Chuang, Shu-Chun; Boffetta, Paolo; Hashibe, Mia; Lee, Yuan-Chin Amy
INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:The relations between coffee and tea consumption and head and neck cancer (HNC) incidence are unclear. With increasing global HNC burden, this study aims to examine the association between coffee, tea, and HNC. METHODS:A pooled analysis of 9548 HNC cases and 15,783 controls from 14 individual-level case-control studies was conducted from the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology consortium. Random-effects logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for HNC and its subsites, adjusting for sociodemographic and lifestyle factors. RESULTS:Compared to non-coffee drinkers, drinking >4 cups of caffeinated coffee daily was inversely associated with HNC (OR, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.69-1.00), oral cavity (OR, 0.70; 95% CI, 0.55-0.89), and oropharyngeal cancers (OR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.61-0.99). Drinking 3-4 cups of caffeinated coffee was inversely associated with hypopharyngeal cancer (OR, 0.59; 95% CI, 0.39-0.91). Drinking decaffeinated coffee and drinking between >0 to <1 cup daily were inversely associated with oral cavity cancer (OR, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.64-0.87 and OR, 0.66; 95% CI, 0.54-0.81). Drinking tea was inversely associated with hypopharyngeal cancer (OR, 0.71; 95% CI, 0.59-0.87). Daily tea consumption of >0 to ≤1 cup was inversely associated with HNC (OR, 0.91; 95% CI, 0.84-0.98) and hypopharyngeal cancer (OR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.59-0.91), but drinking >1 cup was associated with laryngeal cancer (OR, 1.38; 95% CI, 1.09-1.74). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:These findings support reduced HNC risk among coffee and tea drinkers. Future studies are needed to address geographical differences in types of coffee and tea to improve our understanding of the association of coffee and tea and global HNC risk.
PMID: 39711146
ISSN: 1097-0142
CID: 5767142

Increasing Colorectal Cancer Screening in an Urban Black Community: A Pilot Randomized Clinical Trial of Multilevel Interventions

Shaukat, Aasma; Das, Taranika Sarkar; Shahin, George; Hayes, Richard; Ahn, Jiyoung
PMID: 39630401
ISSN: 1573-2568
CID: 5804452

Oral Microbiome and Subsequent Risk of Head and Neck Squamous Cell Cancer

Kwak, Soyoung; Wang, Chan; Usyk, Mykhaylo; Wu, Feng; Freedman, Neal D; Huang, Wen-Yi; McCullough, Marjorie L; Um, Caroline Y; Shrubsole, Martha J; Cai, Qiuyin; Li, Huilin; Ahn, Jiyoung; Hayes, Richard B
IMPORTANCE/UNASSIGNED:The oral microbiota may be involved in development of head and neck squamous cell cancer (HNSCC), yet current evidence is largely limited to bacterial 16S amplicon sequencing or small retrospective case-control studies. OBJECTIVE/UNASSIGNED:To test whether oral bacterial and fungal microbiomes are associated with subsequent risk of HNSCC development. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/UNASSIGNED:Prospective nested case-control study among participants providing oral samples in 3 epidemiological cohorts, the American Cancer Society Cancer Prevention Study II Nutrition Cohort, the Prostate, Lung, Colorectal, and Ovarian Cancer Screening Trial, and the Southern Community Cohort Study. Two hundred thirty-six patients who prospectively developed HNSCC were identified during a mean (SD) of 5.1 (3.6) years of follow-up. Control participants who remained HNSCC free were selected by 2:1 frequency matching on cohort, age, sex, race and ethnicity, and time since oral sample collection. Data analysis was conducted in 2023. EXPOSURES/UNASSIGNED:Characterization of the oral bacterial microbiome using whole-genome shotgun sequencing and the oral fungal microbiome using internal transcribed spacer sequencing. Association of bacterial and fungal taxa with HNSCC was assessed by analysis of compositions of microbiomes with bias correction. Association with red and orange oral pathogen complexes was tested by logistic regression. A microbial risk score for HNSCC risk was calculated from risk-associated microbiota. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES/UNASSIGNED:The primary outcome was HNSCC incidence. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:The study included 236 HNSCC case participants with a mean (SD) age of 60.9 (9.5) years and 24.6% women during a mean of 5.1 (3.6) years of follow-up, and 485 matched control participants. Overall microbiome diversity at baseline was not related to subsequent HNSCC risk; however 13 oral bacterial species were found to be differentially associated with development of HNSCC. The species included the newly identified Prevotella salivae, Streptococcus sanguinis, and Leptotrichia species, as well as several species belonging to beta and gamma Proteobacteria. The red/orange periodontal pathogen complex was moderately associated with HNSCC risk (odds ratio, 1.06 per 1 SD; 95% CI, 1.00-1.12). A 1-SD increase in microbial risk score (created based on 22 bacteria) was associated with a 50% increase in HNSCC risk (multivariate odds ratio, 1.50; 95% CI, 1.21-1.85). No fungal taxa associated with HNSCC risk were identified. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/UNASSIGNED:This case-control study yielded compelling evidence that oral bacteria are a risk factor for HNSCC development. The identified bacteria and bacterial complexes hold promise, along with other risk factors, to identify high-risk individuals for personalized prevention of HNSCC.
PMCID:11428028
PMID: 39325441
ISSN: 2374-2445
CID: 5738752

Altered salivary microbiota associated with high-sugar beverage consumption

Fan, Xiaozhou; Monson, Kelsey R; Peters, Brandilyn A; Whittington, Jennifer M; Um, Caroline Y; Oberstein, Paul E; McCullough, Marjorie L; Freedman, Neal D; Huang, Wen-Yi; Ahn, Jiyoung; Hayes, Richard B
The human oral microbiome may alter oral and systemic disease risk. Consuming high sugar content beverages (HSB) can lead to caries development by altering the microbial composition in dental plaque, but little is known regarding HSB-specific oral microbial alterations. Therefore, we conducted a large, population-based study to examine associations of HSB intake with oral microbiome diversity and composition. Using mouthwash samples of 989 individuals in two nationwide U.S. cohorts, bacterial 16S rRNA genes were amplified, sequenced, and assigned to bacterial taxa. HSB intake was quantified from food frequency questionnaires as low (< 1 serving/week), medium (1-3 servings/week), or high (> 3 servings/week). We assessed overall bacterial diversity and presence of specific taxa with respect to HSB intake in each cohort separately and combined in a meta-analysis. Consistently in the two cohorts, we found lower species richness in high HSB consumers (> 3 cans/week) (p = 0.027), and that overall bacterial community profiles differed from those of non-consumers (PERMANOVA p = 0.040). Specifically, presence of a network of commensal bacteria (Lachnospiraceae, Peptostreptococcaceae, and Alloprevotella rava) was less common in high compared to non-consumers, as were other species including Campylobacter showae, Prevotella oulorum, and Mycoplasma faucium. Presence of acidogenic bacteria Bifodobacteriaceae and Lactobacillus rhamnosus was more common in high consumers. Abundance of Fusobacteriales and its genus Leptotrichia, Lachnoanaerobaculum sp., and Campylobacter were lower with higher HSB consumption, and their abundances were correlated. No significant interaction was found for these associations with diabetic status or with microbial markers for caries (S. mutans) and periodontitis (P. gingivalis). Our results suggest that soft drink intake may alter the salivary microbiota, with consistent results across two independent cohorts. The observed perturbations of overrepresented acidogenic bacteria and underrepresented commensal bacteria in high HSB consumers may have implications for oral and systemic disease risk.
PMCID:11167035
PMID: 38862651
ISSN: 2045-2322
CID: 5669042

Genome-wide association studies and Mendelian randomization analyses provide insights into the causes of early-onset colorectal cancer

Laskar, R S; Qu, C; Huyghe, J R; Harrison, T; Hayes, R B; Cao, Y; Campbell, P T; Steinfelder, R; Talukdar, F R; Brenner, H; Ogino, S; Brendt, S; Bishop, D T; Buchanan, D D; Chan, A T; Cotterchio, M; Gruber, S B; Gsur, A; van Guelpen, B; Jenkins, M A; Keku, T O; Lynch, B M; Le Marchand, L; Martin, R M; McCarthy, K; Moreno, V; Pearlman, R; Song, M; Tsilidis, K K; Vodička, P; Woods, M O; Wu, K; Hsu, L; Gunter, M J; Peters, U; Murphy, N; ,
BACKGROUND:The incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (EOCRC; diagnosed <50 years of age) is rising globally; however, the causes underlying this trend are largely unknown. CRC has strong genetic and environmental determinants, yet common genetic variants and causal modifiable risk factors underlying EOCRC are unknown. We conducted the first EOCRC-specific genome-wide association study (GWAS) and Mendelian randomization (MR) analyses to explore germline genetic and causal modifiable risk factors associated with EOCRC. PATIENTS AND METHODS/METHODS:We conducted a GWAS meta-analysis of 6176 EOCRC cases and 65 829 controls from the Genetics and Epidemiology of Colorectal Cancer Consortium (GECCO), the Colorectal Transdisciplinary Study (CORECT), the Colon Cancer Family Registry (CCFR), and the UK Biobank. We then used the EOCRC GWAS to investigate 28 modifiable risk factors using two-sample MR. RESULTS:We found two novel risk loci for EOCRC at 1p34.1 and 4p15.33, which were not previously associated with CRC risk. We identified a deleterious coding variant (rs36053993, G396D) at polyposis-associated DNA repair gene MUTYH (odds ratio 1.80, 95% confidence interval 1.47-2.22) but show that most of the common genetic susceptibility was from noncoding signals enriched in epigenetic markers present in gastrointestinal tract cells. We identified new EOCRC-susceptibility genes, and in addition to pathways such as transforming growth factor (TGF) β, suppressor of Mothers Against Decapentaplegic (SMAD), bone morphogenetic protein (BMP) and phosphatidylinositol kinase (PI3K) signaling, our study highlights a role for insulin signaling and immune/infection-related pathways in EOCRC. In our MR analyses, we found novel evidence of probable causal associations for higher levels of body size and metabolic factors-such as body fat percentage, waist circumference, waist-to-hip ratio, basal metabolic rate, and fasting insulin-higher alcohol drinking, and lower education attainment with increased EOCRC risk. CONCLUSIONS:Our novel findings indicate inherited susceptibility to EOCRC and suggest modifiable lifestyle and metabolic targets that could also be used to risk-stratify individuals for personalized screening strategies or other interventions.
PMID: 38408508
ISSN: 1569-8041
CID: 5664602

Fine-mapping analysis including over 254,000 East Asian and European descendants identifies 136 putative colorectal cancer susceptibility genes

Chen, Zhishan; Guo, Xingyi; Tao, Ran; Huyghe, Jeroen R; Law, Philip J; Fernandez-Rozadilla, Ceres; Ping, Jie; Jia, Guochong; Long, Jirong; Li, Chao; Shen, Quanhu; Xie, Yuhan; Timofeeva, Maria N; Thomas, Minta; Schmit, Stephanie L; Díez-Obrero, Virginia; Devall, Matthew; Moratalla-Navarro, Ferran; Fernandez-Tajes, Juan; Palles, Claire; Sherwood, Kitty; Briggs, Sarah E W; Svinti, Victoria; Donnelly, Kevin; Farrington, Susan M; Blackmur, James; Vaughan-Shaw, Peter G; Shu, Xiao-Ou; Lu, Yingchang; Broderick, Peter; Studd, James; Harrison, Tabitha A; Conti, David V; Schumacher, Fredrick R; Melas, Marilena; Rennert, Gad; Obón-Santacana, Mireia; Martín-Sánchez, Vicente; Oh, Jae Hwan; Kim, Jeongseon; Jee, Sun Ha; Jung, Keum Ji; Kweon, Sun-Seog; Shin, Min-Ho; Shin, Aesun; Ahn, Yoon-Ok; Kim, Dong-Hyun; Oze, Isao; Wen, Wanqing; Matsuo, Keitaro; Matsuda, Koichi; Tanikawa, Chizu; Ren, Zefang; Gao, Yu-Tang; Jia, Wei-Hua; Hopper, John L; Jenkins, Mark A; Win, Aung Ko; Pai, Rish K; Figueiredo, Jane C; Haile, Robert W; Gallinger, Steven; Woods, Michael O; Newcomb, Polly A; Duggan, David; Cheadle, Jeremy P; Kaplan, Richard; Kerr, Rachel; Kerr, David; Kirac, Iva; Böhm, Jan; Mecklin, Jukka-Pekka; Jousilahti, Pekka; Knekt, Paul; Aaltonen, Lauri A; Rissanen, Harri; Pukkala, Eero; Eriksson, Johan G; Cajuso, Tatiana; Hänninen, Ulrika; Kondelin, Johanna; Palin, Kimmo; Tanskanen, Tomas; Renkonen-Sinisalo, Laura; Männistö, Satu; Albanes, Demetrius; Weinstein, Stephanie J; Ruiz-Narvaez, Edward; Palmer, Julie R; Buchanan, Daniel D; Platz, Elizabeth A; Visvanathan, Kala; Ulrich, Cornelia M; Siegel, Erin; Brezina, Stefanie; Gsur, Andrea; Campbell, Peter T; Chang-Claude, Jenny; Hoffmeister, Michael; Brenner, Hermann; Slattery, Martha L; Potter, John D; Tsilidis, Kostas K; Schulze, Matthias B; Gunter, Marc J; Murphy, Neil; Castells, Antoni; Castellví-Bel, Sergi; Moreira, Leticia; Arndt, Volker; Shcherbina, Anna; Bishop, D Timothy; Giles, Graham G; Southey, Melissa C; Idos, Gregory E; McDonnell, Kevin J; Abu-Ful, Zomoroda; Greenson, Joel K; Shulman, Katerina; Lejbkowicz, Flavio; Offit, Kenneth; Su, Yu-Ru; Steinfelder, Robert; Keku, Temitope O; van Guelpen, Bethany; Hudson, Thomas J; Hampel, Heather; Pearlman, Rachel; Berndt, Sonja I; Hayes, Richard B; Martinez, Marie Elena; Thomas, Sushma S; Pharoah, Paul D P; Larsson, Susanna C; Yen, Yun; Lenz, Heinz-Josef; White, Emily; Li, Li; Doheny, Kimberly F; Pugh, Elizabeth; Shelford, Tameka; Chan, Andrew T; Cruz-Correa, Marcia; Lindblom, Annika; Hunter, David J; Joshi, Amit D; Schafmayer, Clemens; Scacheri, Peter C; Kundaje, Anshul; Schoen, Robert E; Hampe, Jochen; Stadler, Zsofia K; Vodicka, Pavel; Vodickova, Ludmila; Vymetalkova, Veronika; Edlund, Christopher K; Gauderman, W James; Shibata, David; Toland, Amanda; Markowitz, Sanford; Kim, Andre; Chanock, Stephen J; van Duijnhoven, Franzel; Feskens, Edith J M; Sakoda, Lori C; Gago-Dominguez, Manuela; Wolk, Alicja; Pardini, Barbara; FitzGerald, Liesel M; Lee, Soo Chin; Ogino, Shuji; Bien, Stephanie A; Kooperberg, Charles; Li, Christopher I; Lin, Yi; Prentice, Ross; Qu, Conghui; Bézieau, Stéphane; Yamaji, Taiki; Sawada, Norie; Iwasaki, Motoki; Le Marchand, Loic; Wu, Anna H; Qu, Chenxu; McNeil, Caroline E; Coetzee, Gerhard; Hayward, Caroline; Deary, Ian J; Harris, Sarah E; Theodoratou, Evropi; Reid, Stuart; Walker, Marion; Ooi, Li Yin; Lau, Ken S; Zhao, Hongyu; Hsu, Li; Cai, Qiuyin; Dunlop, Malcolm G; Gruber, Stephen B; Houlston, Richard S; Moreno, Victor; Casey, Graham; Peters, Ulrike; Tomlinson, Ian; Zheng, Wei
Genome-wide association studies (GWAS) have identified more than 200 common genetic variants independently associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) risk, but the causal variants and target genes are mostly unknown. We sought to fine-map all known CRC risk loci using GWAS data from 100,204 cases and 154,587 controls of East Asian and European ancestry. Our stepwise conditional analyses revealed 238 independent association signals of CRC risk, each with a set of credible causal variants (CCVs), of which 28 signals had a single CCV. Our cis-eQTL/mQTL and colocalization analyses using colorectal tissue-specific transcriptome and methylome data separately from 1299 and 321 individuals, along with functional genomic investigation, uncovered 136 putative CRC susceptibility genes, including 56 genes not previously reported. Analyses of single-cell RNA-seq data from colorectal tissues revealed 17 putative CRC susceptibility genes with distinct expression patterns in specific cell types. Analyses of whole exome sequencing data provided additional support for several target genes identified in this study as CRC susceptibility genes. Enrichment analyses of the 136 genes uncover pathways not previously linked to CRC risk. Our study substantially expanded association signals for CRC and provided additional insight into the biological mechanisms underlying CRC development.
PMCID:11053150
PMID: 38670944
ISSN: 2041-1723
CID: 5657882

Gut microbiome is associated with recurrence-free survival in patients with resected Stage IIIB-D or Stage IV melanoma treated with immune checkpoint inhibitors

Usyk, Mykhaylo; Hayes, Richard B; Knight, Rob; Gonzalez, Antonio; Li, Huilin; Osman, Iman; Weber, Jeffrey S; Ahn, Jiyoung
The gut microbiome (GMB) has been associated with outcomes of immune checkpoint blockade therapy in melanoma, but there is limited consensus on the specific taxa involved, particularly across different geographic regions. We analyzed pre-treatment stool samples from 674 melanoma patients participating in a phase-III trial of adjuvant nivolumab plus ipilimumab versus nivolumab, across three continents and five regions. Longitudinal analysis revealed that GMB was largely unchanged following treatment, offering promise for lasting GMB-based interventions. In region-specific and cross-region meta-analyses, we identified pre-treatment taxonomic markers associated with recurrence, including Eubacterium, Ruminococcus, Firmicutes, and Clostridium. Recurrence prediction by these markers was best achieved across regions by matching participants on GMB compositional similarity between the intra-regional discovery and external validation sets. AUCs for prediction ranged from 0.83-0.94 (depending on the initial discovery region) for patients closely matched on GMB composition (e.g., JSD ≤0.11). This evidence indicates that taxonomic markers for prediction of recurrence are generalizable across regions, for individuals of similar GMB composition.
PMCID:11042335
PMID: 38659744
ISSN: 2692-8205
CID: 5738492

Sociobiome - Individual and neighborhood socioeconomic status influence the gut microbiome in a multi-ethnic population in the US

Kwak, Soyoung; Usyk, Mykhaylo; Beggs, Dia; Choi, Heesun; Ahdoot, Dariush; Wu, Feng; Maceda, Lorraine; Li, Huilin; Im, Eun-Ok; Han, Hae-Ra; Lee, Eunjung; Wu, Anna H; Hayes, Richard B; Ahn, Jiyoung
Lower socioeconomic status (SES) is related to increased incidence and mortality due to chronic diseases in adults. Association between SES variables and gut microbiome variation has been observed in adults at the population level, suggesting that biological mechanisms may underlie the SES associations; however, there is a need for larger studies that consider individual- and neighborhood-level measures of SES in racially diverse populations. In 825 participants from a multi-ethnic cohort, we investigated how SES shapes the gut microbiome. We determined the relationship of a range of individual- and neighborhood-level SES indicators with the gut microbiome. Individual education level and occupation were self-reported by questionnaire. Geocoding was applied to link participants' addresses with neighborhood census tract socioeconomic indicators, including average income and social deprivation in the census tract. Gut microbiome was measured using 16SV4 region rRNA gene sequencing of stool samples. We compared α-diversity, β-diversity, and taxonomic and functional pathway abundance by SES. Lower SES was significantly associated with greater α-diversity and compositional differences among groups, as measured by β-diversity. Several taxa related to low SES were identified, especially an increasing abundance of Prevotella copri and Catenibacterium sp000437715, and decreasing abundance of Dysosmobacter welbionis in terms of their high log-fold change differences. In addition, nativity and race/ethnicity have emerged as ecosocial factors that also influence the gut microbiota. Together, these results showed that lower SES was strongly associated with compositional and taxonomic measures of the gut microbiome, and may contribute to shaping the gut microbiota.
PMID: 38467678
ISSN: 2055-5008
CID: 5645682

Risk-Stratified Screening for Colorectal Cancer Using Genetic and Environmental Risk Factors: A Cost-Effectiveness Analysis Based on Real-World Data

van den Puttelaar, Rosita; Meester, Reinier G S; Peterse, Elisabeth F P; Zauber, Ann G; Zheng, Jiayin; Hayes, Richard B; Su, Yu-Ru; Lee, Jeffrey K; Thomas, Minta; Sakoda, Lori C; Li, Yi; Corley, Douglas A; Peters, Ulrike; Hsu, Li; Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Iris
BACKGROUND & AIMS/OBJECTIVE:Previous studies on the cost-effectiveness of personalized colorectal cancer (CRC) screening were based on hypothetical performance of CRC risk prediction and did not consider the association with competing causes of death. In this study, we estimated the cost-effectiveness of risk-stratified screening using real-world data for CRC risk and competing causes of death. METHODS:Risk predictions for CRC and competing causes of death from a large community-based cohort were used to stratify individuals into risk groups. A microsimulation model was used to optimize colonoscopy screening for each risk group by varying the start age (40-60 years), end age (70-85 years), and screening interval (5-15 years). The outcomes included personalized screening ages and intervals and cost-effectiveness compared with uniform colonoscopy screening (ages 45-75, every 10 years). Key assumptions were varied in sensitivity analyses. RESULTS:Risk-stratified screening resulted in substantially different screening recommendations, ranging from a one-time colonoscopy at age 60 for low-risk individuals to a colonoscopy every 5 years from ages 40 to 85 for high-risk individuals. Nevertheless, on a population level, risk-stratified screening would increase net quality-adjusted life years gained (QALYG) by only 0.7% at equal costs to uniform screening or reduce average costs by 1.2% for equal QALYG. The benefit of risk-stratified screening improved when it was assumed to increase participation or costs less per genetic test. CONCLUSIONS:Personalized screening for CRC, accounting for competing causes of death risk, could result in highly tailored individual screening programs. However, average improvements across the population in QALYG and cost-effectiveness compared with uniform screening are small.
PMID: 36906080
ISSN: 1542-7714
CID: 5502372