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Association between delays to patient admission from the emergency department and all-cause 30-day mortality

Jones, Simon; Moulton, Chris; Swift, Simon; Molyneux, Paul; Black, Steve; Mason, Neil; Oakley, Richard; Mann, Clifford
BACKGROUND:Delays to timely admission from emergency departments (EDs) are known to harm patients. OBJECTIVE:To assess and quantify the increased risk of death resulting from delays to inpatient admission from EDs, using Hospital Episode Statistics and Office of National Statistics data in England. METHODS:A cross-sectional, retrospective observational study was carried out of patients admitted from every type 1 (major) ED in England between April 2016 and March 2018. The primary outcome was death from all causes within 30 days of admission. Observed mortality was compared with expected mortality, as calculated using a logistic regression model to adjust for sex, age, deprivation, comorbidities, hour of day, month, previous ED attendances/emergency admissions and crowding in the department at the time of the attendance. RESULTS:Between April 2016 and March 2018, 26 738 514 people attended an ED, with 7 472 480 patients admitted relating to 5 249 891 individual patients, who constituted the study's dataset. A total of 433 962 deaths occurred within 30 days. The overall crude 30-day mortality rate was 8.71% (95% CI 8.69% to 8.74%). A statistically significant linear increase in mortality was found from 5 hours after time of arrival at the ED up to 12 hours (when accurate data collection ceased) (p<0.001). The greatest change in the 30-day standardised mortality ratio was an 8% increase, occurring in the patient cohort that waited in the ED for more than 6 to 8 hours from the time of arrival. CONCLUSIONS:Delays to hospital inpatient admission for patients in excess of 5 hours from time of arrival at the ED are associated with an increase in all-cause 30-day mortality. Between 5 and 12 hours, delays cause a predictable dose-response effect. For every 82 admitted patients whose time to inpatient bed transfer is delayed beyond 6 to 8 hours from time of arrival at the ED, there is one extra death.
PMID: 35042695
ISSN: 1472-0213
CID: 5131502

Creating a Learning Health System through Rapid-Cycle, Randomized Testing

Horwitz, Leora I; Kuznetsova, Masha; Jones, Simon A
PMID: 31532967
ISSN: 1533-4406
CID: 4098042

Cheap and Dirty: The Effect of Contracting Out Cleaning on Efficiency and Effectiveness

Elkomy, Shimaa; Cookson, Graham; Jones, Simon
Contracting out of public services, especially ancillary services, has been a key feature of New Public Management since the 1980s. By 2014, more than 100 pound billion of U.K. public services were being contracted out annually to the private sector. A number of high-profile cases have prompted a debate about the value for money that these contracts provide. Value for money comprises both the cost and the quality of the services. This article empirically tests the contestability and quality shading hypotheses of contracting out in the context of cleaning services in the English National Health Service. Additionally, a new hypothesis of coupling is presented and tested: the effect of contracting of ancillary services on patient health outcomes, using the hospital-acquired infection rate as our measure. Using data from 2010-11 to 2013-14 for 130 National Health Service trusts, the study finds that private providers are cheaper but dirtier than their in-house counterparts.
ISI:000459637600005
ISSN: 0033-3352
CID: 3727292

Bending the cost curve: time series analysis of a value transformation programme at an academic medical centre

Chatfield, Steven C; Volpicelli, Frank M; Adler, Nicole M; Kim, Kunhee Lucy; Jones, Simon A; Francois, Fritz; Shah, Paresh C; Press, Robert A; Horwitz, Leora I
BACKGROUND:Reducing costs while increasing or maintaining quality is crucial to delivering high value care. OBJECTIVE:To assess the impact of a hospital value-based management programme on cost and quality. DESIGN/METHODS:Time series analysis of non-psychiatric, non-rehabilitation, non-newborn patients discharged between 1 September 2011 and 31 December 2017 from a US urban, academic medical centre. INTERVENTION/METHODS:NYU Langone Health instituted an institution-wide programme in April 2014 to increase value of healthcare, defined as health outcomes achieved per dollar spent. Key features included joint clinical and operational leadership; granular and transparent cost accounting; dedicated project support staff; information technology support; and a departmental shared savings programme. MEASUREMENTS/METHODS:Change in variable direct costs; secondary outcomes included changes in length of stay, readmission and in-hospital mortality. RESULTS:The programme chartered 74 projects targeting opportunities in supply chain management (eg, surgical trays), operational efficiency (eg, discharge optimisation), care of outlier patients (eg, those at end of life) and resource utilisation (eg, blood management). The study cohort included 160 434 hospitalisations. Adjusted variable costs decreased 7.7% over the study period. Admissions with medical diagnosis related groups (DRG) declined an average 0.20% per month relative to baseline. Admissions with surgical DRGs had an early increase in costs of 2.7% followed by 0.37% decrease in costs per month. Mean expense per hospitalisation improved from 13% above median for teaching hospitals to 2% above median. Length of stay decreased by 0.25% per month relative to prior trends (95% CI -0.34 to 0.17): approximately half a day by the end of the study period. There were no significant changes in 30-day same-hospital readmission or in-hospital mortality. Estimated institutional savings after intervention costs were approximately $53.9 million. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS:Observational analysis. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:A systematic programme to increase healthcare value by lowering the cost of care without compromising quality is achievable and sustainable over several years.
PMID: 30877149
ISSN: 2044-5423
CID: 3908602

Incidence of infective endocarditis in England, 2000-13: a secular trend, interrupted time-series analysis

Dayer, Mark J; Jones, Simon; Prendergast, Bernard; Baddour, Larry M; Lockhart, Peter B; Thornhill, Martin H
BACKGROUND: Antibiotic prophylaxis given before invasive dental procedures in patients at risk of developing infective endocarditis has historically been the focus of infective endocarditis prevention. Recent changes in antibiotic prophylaxis guidelines in the USA and Europe have substantially reduced the number of patients for whom antibiotic prophylaxis is recommended. In the UK, guidelines from the National Institute for Health and Clinical Excellence (NICE) recommended complete cessation of antibiotic prophylaxis for prevention of infective endocarditis in March, 2008. We aimed to investigate changes in the prescribing of antibiotic prophylaxis and the incidence of infective endocarditis since the introduction of these guidelines. METHODS: We did a retrospective secular trend study, analysed as an interrupted time series, to investigate the effect of antibiotic prophylaxis versus no prophylaxis on the incidence of infective endocarditis in England. We analysed data for the prescription of antibiotic prophylaxis from Jan 1, 2004, to March 31, 2013, and hospital discharge episode statistics for patients with a primary diagnosis of infective endocarditis from Jan 1, 2000, to March 31, 2013. We compared the incidence of infective endocarditis before and after the introduction of the NICE guidelines using segmented regression analysis of the interrupted time series. FINDINGS: Prescriptions of antibiotic prophylaxis for the prevention of infective endocarditis fell substantially after introduction of the NICE guidance (mean 10,900 prescriptions per month [Jan 1, 2004, to March 31, 2008] vs 2236 prescriptions per month [April 1, 2008, to March 31, 2013], p<0.0001). Starting in March, 2008, the number of cases of infective endocarditis increased significantly above the projected historical trend, by 0.11 cases per 10 million people per month (95% CI 0.05-0.16, p<0.0001). By March, 2013, 35 more cases per month were reported than would have been expected had the previous trend continued. This increase in the incidence of infective endocarditis was significant for both individuals at high risk of infective endocarditis and those at lower risk. INTERPRETATION: Although our data do not establish a causal association, prescriptions of antibiotic prophylaxis have fallen substantially and the incidence of infective endocarditis has increased significantly in England since introduction of the 2008 NICE guidelines. FUNDING: Heart Research UK, Simplyhealth, and US National Institutes of Health.
PMCID:5599216
PMID: 25467569
ISSN: 1474-547x
CID: 1731692

The Cost-Effectiveness of Antibiotic Prophylaxis for Patients at Risk of Infective Endocarditis

Franklin, Matthew; Wailoo, Allan; Dayer, Mark J; Jones, Simon; Prendergast, Bernard; Baddour, Larry M; Lockhart, Peter B; Thornhill, Martin H
BACKGROUND: -In March 2008, the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence recommended stopping antibiotic prophylaxis (AP) for those at risk of infective endocarditis (IE) undergoing dental procedures in the United Kingdom, citing a lack of evidence of efficacy and cost-effectiveness. We have performed a new economic evaluation of AP on the basis of contemporary estimates of efficacy, adverse events, and resource implications. METHODS: -A decision analytic cost-effectiveness model was used. Health service costs and benefits (measured as quality-adjusted life-years) were estimated. Rates of IE before and after the National Institute for Health and Care Excellence guidance were available to estimate prophylactic efficacy. AP adverse event rates were derived from recent UK data, and resource implications were based on English Hospital Episode Statistics. RESULTS: -AP was less costly and more effective than no AP for all patients at risk of IE. The results are sensitive to AP efficacy, but efficacy would have to be substantially lower for AP not to be cost-effective. AP was even more cost-effective in patients at high risk of IE. Only a marginal reduction in annual IE rates (1.44 cases in high-risk and 33 cases in all at-risk patients) would be required for AP to be considered cost-effective at pound20 000 ($26 600) per quality-adjusted life-year. Annual cost savings of pound5.5 to pound8.2 million ($7.3-$10.9 million) and health gains >2600 quality-adjusted life-years could be achieved from reinstating AP in England. CONCLUSIONS: -AP is cost-effective for preventing IE, particularly in those at high risk. These findings support the cost-effectiveness of guidelines recommending AP use in high-risk individuals.
PMCID:5106088
PMID: 27840334
ISSN: 1524-4539
CID: 2310862

Quantifying infective endocarditis risk in patients with predisposing cardiac conditions

Thornhill, Martin H; Jones, Simon; Prendergast, Bernard; Baddour, Larry M; Chambers, John B; Lockhart, Peter B; Dayer, Mark J
Aims: There are scant comparative data quantifying the risk of infective endocarditis (IE) and associated mortality in individuals with predisposing cardiac conditions. Methods and results: English hospital admissions for conditions associated with increased IE risk were followed for 5 years to quantify subsequent IE admissions. The 5-year risk of IE or dying during an IE admission was calculated for each condition and compared with the entire English population as a control. Infective endocarditis incidence in the English population was 36.2/million/year. In comparison, patients with a previous history of IE had the highest risk of recurrence or dying during an IE admission [odds ratio (OR) 266 and 215, respectively]. These risks were also high in patients with prosthetic valves (OR 70 and 62) and previous valve repair (OR 77 and 60). Patients with congenital valve anomalies (currently considered 'moderate risk') had similar levels of risk (OR 66 and 57) and risks in other 'moderate-risk' conditions were not much lower. Congenital heart conditions (CHCs) repaired with prosthetic material (currently considered 'high risk' for 6 months following surgery) had lower risk than all 'moderate-risk' conditions-even in the first 6 months. Infective endocarditis risk was also significant in patients with cardiovascular implantable electronic devices. Conclusion: These data confirm the high IE risk of patients with a history of previous IE, valve replacement, or repair. However, IE risk in some 'moderate-risk' patients was similar to that of several 'high-risk' conditions and higher than repaired CHC. Guidelines for the risk stratification of conditions predisposing to IE may require re-evaluation.
PMID: 29161405
ISSN: 1522-9645
CID: 2792092

The Association Between Lifestyle Patterns and Depression in United States Emerging Adults: A Latent Class Analysis

Armstrong, Noelle; Xu, Furong; Jones, Simon; Ali, Alisha; Squires, Allison P; Woolf, Kathleen
PMCID:12753349
PMID: 41480486
ISSN: 1559-8284
CID: 5985542

Implementing system-wide digital medical interpretation: a framework for healthcare organizations

Kothari, Ulka; Squires, Allison; Austrian, Jonathan; Feldman, Anatoly; Syed, Irfan; Jones, Simon
OBJECTIVES/UNASSIGNED:This study evaluates and enhances language access services for Limited English Proficiency (LEP) patients in a large urban health system by integrating interpreter services into the Electronic Health Record (EHR), aiming to reduce care disparities and improve the digital experience for both patients and clinicians. MATERIALS AND METHODS/UNASSIGNED:Using a descriptive evaluation approach, the project assessed barriers to interpreter service usage and developed solutions informed by stakeholder engagement. Emphasis was placed on interfacing the EHR with the vendor platform, using existing devices, tracking utilization, ensuring cost-effectiveness, and implementing the solution across multiple hospitals and outpatient settings. RESULTS DISCUSSION AND CONCLUSION/UNASSIGNED:After implementation, audio and video interpreter service use rose significantly, with calls increasing from an average of 9700 calls per month in 2022 to over 68 176 calls per month by the end of 2024. Over 14 000 clinicians used the service for more than 121 077 unique patients. Average waiting times for the top ten languages fell below 30 seconds, and user satisfaction was high, with an average interpreter rating of 4.9. Conclusion: The EHR-integrated interpreter service has improved language service access, reduced waiting times and enhanced user satisfaction, marking noteworthy progress in overcoming language barriers and potentially decreasing healthcare disparities for LEP populations. We plan to assess the impact on patient outcomes.
PMCID:12628185
PMID: 41267856
ISSN: 2574-2531
CID: 5976112

'Maybe you should have a bowl of ice cream': Inequities in patient-clinician interactions among individuals with chronic low back pain

Vorensky, Mark; Squires, Allison; Trost, Zina; Sturgeon, John A; Hirsh, Adam T; Sajnani, Nisha; Jones, Simon; Rao, Smita
Prior literature has shown inequities in patient-clinician interactions experienced by individuals with chronic low back pain (CLBP) with underlying pain-related stigmatization and invalidation. Yet, there is a notable gap in understanding how these inequities intersect with multiple systems of oppression, including racism and sexism. This qualitative study examined intersectional perspectives and experiences of patient-clinician interactions among individuals with CLBP. Semi-structured interviews were conducted after the participants engaged in simulated enhanced or limited patient-clinician interactions as part of an experimental study. Participants were asked to compare the simulated patient-clinician interaction to their real-life patient-clinician interactions for their CLBP. The study included 50 participants with CLBP for at least three months and half the days in the past six months. Participants were Black and multi-racial women (n=14), Black and multi-racial men (n=12), non-Hispanic White women (n=12), and non-Hispanic White men (n=12). A basic qualitative approach with principles from constructivist grounded theory and intercategorical intersectional research were used to propose three core categories when describing inequities in patient-clinician interactions: higher-level systems (subcategories: institutional, community, macro-level), the patient-clinician interaction (subcategories: being taken seriously, person-centered care), and effects of the patient-clinician interaction (subcategories: indirect, direct effects). Inequities were identified across all categories, disproportionately affecting Black and multi-racial women. Black and multi-racial women also distinctly shared a wider range of both positive and negative patient-clinician interactions and effects from these interactions, and potential pathways to more equitable care. These findings highlight the need for multi-level interventions to promote more equitable care for individuals with CLBP. PERSPECTIVE: This qualitative study examined intersectional perspectives and experiences of patient-clinician interactions among individuals with CLBP. Multiple intersecting systems shaped inequities in patient-clinician interactions. Black and multi-racial women shared the broadest range of patient-clinician interactions, distinctly discussed intersecting systems of oppression, and highlighted pathways to more equitable care.
PMID: 41241225
ISSN: 1528-8447
CID: 5964742