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Policies mandating priority access to opioid use disorder treatment during pregnancy and buprenorphine prescriptions to women of childbearing age in the United States [Meeting Abstract]

Caniglia, E; Jent, V; Allen, B; Cerda, M
Background: Opioid use disorder (OUD) among pregnant women has increased dramatically over the past two decades nationally and is associated with increased risks of adverse pregnancy and birth outcomes. To increase access to effective treatment, several states have enacted policies mandating priority treatment access. We evaluated the impact of priority access policies on buprenorphine prescriptions to women of childbearing age (15-44).
Method(s): We extracted buprenorphine prescription data from the IQVIA XPonent database from 2006 to 2017, accounting for 90% of national retail outpatient prescriptions. We compared the change in rate of buprenorphine prescriptions dispensed to women of childbearing age by OB/GYN specialists pre-and post-policy enactment in counties in states with a priority access policy with the contemporaneous change in rate in counties in states with no such policy. Rate ratios and 95% CIs were estimated using spatiotemporal Bayesian hierarchical models, adjusted for calendar year, county-level variables (population density, birth rate, race, income, insurance, unemployment), state-level fixed effects, and state-level time-varying policies (Medicaid expansion and policies that consider OUD during pregnancy child abuse, grounds for civil commitment, and/or reportable to child protective services).
Result(s): Priority access policies existed in 17 states and Washington DC in 2006, were enacted in 10 states from 2006 to 2016, and expired in 5 states from 2006 to 2016. The adjusted rate ratio (95% CI) for buprenorphine prescriptions comparing counties in states with priority access policies to counties in states with no such policies was 1.84 (1.49, 2.28).
Conclusion(s): Priority access policies increased buprenorphine prescribing to women of childbearing age. Future research should investigate whether priority access policies could also improve birth outcomes
EMBASE:635486990
ISSN: 1365-3016
CID: 4975762

When effects cannot be estimated: redefining estimands to understand the effects of naloxone access laws [PrePrint]

Rudloph, Kara E; Gimbrone, Catherine; Matthay, Ellicott C; Diaz, Ivan; Davis, Corey S; Keyes, Katherine; Cerda, Magdalena
ORIGINAL:0015879
ISSN: 2331-8422
CID: 5305112

Assessment of the impact of implementation of a zero-blood alcohol concentration law in Uruguay on moderate/severe injury and fatal crashes: a quasi-experimental study

Davenport, Steven; Robbins, Michael; Cerdá, Magdalena; Rivera-Aguirre, Ariadne; Kilmer, Beau
BACKGROUND AND AIMS/OBJECTIVE:Debates about lowering the blood alcohol concentration (BAC) limit for drivers are intensifying in the United States and other countries, and the World Health Organization recommends the limit for adults should be 0.05%. In January 2016, Uruguay implemented a law setting zero-BAC limit for all drivers. This aimed to assess the effect of this policy on the frequency of moderate/severe-injury and fatal traffic crashes. DESIGN/METHODS:A quasi experimental study in which a synthetic control model was used with controls consisting of local areas in Chile as the counterfactual for outcomes in Uruguay, matched across population counts and pre-intervention period outcomes. Sensitivity analyses were also conducted. SETTING/METHODS:Uruguay and Chile. CASES/METHODS:Panel data with crash counts by outcome per locality-month (2013-2017). INTERVENTION AND COMPARATOR/UNASSIGNED:A zero-blood alcohol concentration law implemented 9 Jan 2016 in Uruguay, alongside a continued 0.03g/dL BAC threshold in Chile. MEASUREMENTS/METHODS:Per capita moderate/severe injury (i.e., moderate or severe), severe injury, and fatal crashes (2016-2017). FINDINGS/RESULTS:Our base synthetic control model results suggested a reduction in fatal crashes at 12 months (20.9%; p-value=0.018, 95% CI: [-0.340, -0.061]). Moderate-/severe-injury crashes did not decrease significantly (10.2%, p=0.312 [-.282, .075]). The estimated effect at 24 months was smaller and with larger confidence intervals for fatal crashes (14%; p =0.048 [-.246, -.026]) and largely unchanged for moderate/severe-injury crashes (-9.4%, p=.302 [-.248, .075]). Difference-in-differences analyses yielded similar results. As a sensitivity test, a synthetic control model relying on an inferior treatment-control match pre-intervention (measured by mean squared error) yielded similar sized differences that were not statistically significant. CONCLUSIONS:Implementation of a law setting a zero blood-alcohol concentration threshold for all drivers in Uruguay appears to have resulted in a reduction in fatal crashes in the following 12 months and 24 months.
PMID: 32830394
ISSN: 1360-0443
CID: 4575052

Big Events theory and measures may help explain emerging long-term effects of current crises

Friedman, Samuel R; Mateu-Gelabert, Pedro; Nikolopoulos, Georgios K; Cerdá, Magdalena; Rossi, Diana; Jordan, Ashly E; Townsend, Tarlise; Khan, Maria R; Perlman, David C
Big Events are periods during which abnormal large-scale events like war, economic collapse, revolts, or pandemics disrupt daily life and expectations about the future. They can lead to rapid change in health-related norms, beliefs, social networks and behavioural practices. The world is undergoing such Big Events through the interaction of COVID-19, a large economic downturn, massive social unrest in many countries, and ever-worsening effects of global climate change. Previous research, mainly on HIV/AIDS, suggests that the health effects of Big Events can be profound, but are contingent: Sometimes Big Events led to enormous outbreaks of HIV and associated diseases and conditions such as injection drug use, sex trading, and tuberculosis, but in other circumstances, Big Events did not do so. This paper discusses and presents hypotheses about pathways through which the current Big Events might lead to better or worse short and long term outcomes for various health conditions and diseases; considers how pre-existing societal conditions and changing 'pathway' variables can influence the impact of Big Events; discusses how to measure these pathways; and suggests ways in which research and surveillance might be conducted to improve human capacity to prevent or mitigate the effects of Big Events on human health.
PMID: 33843462
ISSN: 1744-1706
CID: 4840682

A Critical Review of the Social and Behavioral Contributions to the Overdose Epidemic

Cerdá, Magdalena; Krawczyk, Noa; Hamilton, Leah; Rudolph, Kara E; Friedman, Samuel R; Keyes, Katherine M
More than 750,000 people in the United States died from an overdose between 1999 and 2018; two-thirds of those deaths involved an opioid. In this review, we present trends in opioid overdose rates during this period and discuss how the proliferation of opioid prescribing to treat chronic pain, changes in the heroin and illegally manufactured opioid synthetics markets, and social factors, including deindustrialization and concentrated poverty, contributed to the rise of the overdose epidemic. We also examine how current policies implemented to address the overdose epidemic may have contributed to reducing prescription opioid overdoses but increased overdoses involving illegal opioids. Finally, we identify new directions for research to understand the causes and solutions to this critical public health problem, including research on heterogeneous policy effects across social groups, effective approaches to reduce overdoses of illegal opioids, and the role of social contexts in shaping policy implementation and impact. Expected final online publication date for the Annual Review of Public Health, Volume 42 is April 1, 2021. Please see http://www.annualreviews.org/page/journal/pubdates for revised estimates.
PMID: 33256535
ISSN: 1545-2093
CID: 4693962

Identifying sensitive periods when changes in parenting and peer factors are associated with changes in adolescent alcohol and marijuana use

Prins, Seth J; Kajeepeta, Sandhya; Pearce, Robin; Beardslee, Jordan; Pardini, Dustin; Cerdá, Magdalena
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:There are well-established associations between parental/peer relationships and adolescent substance use, but few longitudinal studies have examined whether adolescents change their substance use in response to changes in their parents' behavior or peer networks. We employ a within-person change approach to address two key questions: Are changes in parenting and peer factors associated with changes in adolescent marijuana and alcohol use? Are there sensitive periods when changes in parenting and peer factors are more strongly associated with changes in adolescent marijuana and alcohol use? METHODS:We analyzed longitudinal data collected annually on 503 boys, ages 13-19, recruited from Pittsburgh public schools. Questionnaires regarding parental supervision, negative parenting practices, parental stress, physical punishment, peer delinquency, and peer drug use were administered to adolescents and their caretakers. Alcohol and marijuana use were assessed by a substance use scale adapted from the National Youth Survey. RESULTS:Reductions in parental supervision and increases in peer drug use and peer delinquency were associated with increases in marijuana frequency, alcohol frequency, and alcohol quantity. Increases in parental stress were associated with increases in marijuana and alcohol frequency. The magnitudes of these relationships were strongest at ages 14-15 and systematically decreased across adolescence. These associations were not due to unmeasured stable confounders or measured time-varying confounders. CONCLUSIONS:Reducing or mitigating changes in parenting and peer risk factors in early adolescence may be particularly important for preventing substance use problems as adolescents transition into young adulthood.
PMID: 32915245
ISSN: 1433-9285
CID: 4589632

Methodological Challenges and Proposed Solutions for Evaluating Opioid Policy Effectiveness

Schuler, Megan S; Griffin, Beth Ann; Cerdá, Magdalena; McGinty, Emma E; Stuart, Elizabeth A
Opioid-related mortality increased by nearly 400% between 2000 and 2018. In response, federal, state, and local governments have enacted a heterogeneous collection of opioid-related policies in an effort to reverse the opioid crisis, producing a policy landscape that is both complex and dynamic. Correspondingly, there has been a rise in opioid-policy related evaluation studies, as policymakers and other stakeholders seek to understand which policies are most effective. In this paper, we provide an overview of methodological challenges facing opioid policy researchers when evaluating the effects of opioid policies using observational data, as well as some potential solutions to those challenges. In particular, we discuss the following key challenges: (1) Obtaining high-quality opioid policy data; (2) Appropriately operationalizing and specifying opioid policies; (3) Obtaining high-quality opioid outcome data; (4) Addressing confounding due to systematic differences between policy and non-policy states; (5) Identifying heterogeneous policy effects across states, population subgroups, and time; (6) Disentangling effects of concurrent policies; and (7) Overcoming limited statistical power to detect policy effects afforded by commonly-used methods. We discuss each of these challenges and propose some ways forward to address them. Increasing the methodological rigor of opioid evaluation studies is imperative to identifying and implementing opioid policies that are most effective at reducing opioid-related harms.
PMCID:8057700
PMID: 33883971
ISSN: 1387-3741
CID: 4847272

Corrigendum to "Changes in opioid prescribing after implementation of mandatory registration and proactive reports within California's prescription drug monitoring program" [Drug Alcohol Depend. 218 (2021) 108405]

Castillo-Carniglia, Alvaro; González-Santa Cruz, Andrés; Cerdá, Magdalena; Delcher, Chris; Shev, Aaron B; Wintemute, Garen J; Henry, Stephen G
PMID: 33611026
ISSN: 1879-0046
CID: 4794072

Substance use and substance use disorder, in relation to COVID-19: protocol for a scoping review

Kumar, Navin; Janmohamed, Kamila; Nyhan, Kate; Martins, Silvia S; Cerda, Magdalena; Hasin, Deborah; Scott, Jenny; Pates, Richard; Ghandour, Lilian; Wazaify, Mayyada; Khoshnood, Kaveh
BACKGROUND:The COVID-19 pandemic is creating severe issues for healthcare and broad social structures, exposing societal vulnerabilities. Among the populations affected by COVID-19 are people engaged in substance use, such as people who smoke; vape (e-cigarette use); use opioids, cannabis, alcohol, or psychoactive prescription drugs; or have a substance use disorder (SUD). Monitoring substance use and SUD during the pandemic is essential, as people who engage in substance use or present with SUD are at greater risk for COVID-19, and the economic and social changes resulting from the pandemic may aggravate SUD. There have been several reviews focused on COVID-19 in relation to substance use and SUD. Reviews generally did not consider on a large range of substance use variants or SUDs. We plan a scoping review that seeks to fill gaps in our current understanding of substance use and SUD, in the COVID-19 era. METHODS:A scoping review focused on substance use and SUD, in relation to COVID-19, will be conducted. We will search (from January 2020 onwards) Cumulative Index to Nursing and Allied Health Literature, Africa-Wide Information, Web of Science Core Collection, Embase, Global Health, WHO Global Literature on Coronavirus Disease Database, WHO Global Index Medicus, PsycINFO, PubMed, Middle Eastern Central Asian Studies, CINAHL Complete, and Sociological Abstracts. Grey literature will be identified using Disaster Lit, Google Scholar, HSRProj, governmental websites, and clinical trials registries (e.g., ClinicalTrial.gov , World Health Organization, International Clinical Trials Registry Platform and International Standard Randomized Con-trolled Trial Number registry). Study selection will conform to Joanna Briggs Institute Reviewers' Manual 2015 Methodology for JBI Scoping Reviews. Only English language, original studies investigating substance use and SUD, in relation to COVID-19 in all populations and settings, will be considered for inclusion. Two reviewers will independently screen all citations, full-text articles, and abstract data. A narrative summary of findings will be conducted. Data analysis will involve quantitative (e.g., frequencies) and qualitative (e.g., content and thematic analysis) methods. DISCUSSION:Original research is urgently needed to mitigate the risks of COVID-19 on substance use and SUD. The planned scoping review will help to address this gap. SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION:Open Science Framework (osf/io/tzgm5).
PMCID:7857102
PMID: 33536070
ISSN: 2046-4053
CID: 4776462

Firearm suicide mortality among emergency department patients with physical health problems

Goldman-Mellor, Sidra; Hall, Carlisha; Cerdá, Magdalena; Bhat, Harish
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:Individuals with poor physical and mental health may face elevated risk for suicide, particularly suicide by firearm. METHODS:This retrospective cohort study used statewide, longitudinally-linked ED patient record and mortality data to examine 12-month incidence of firearm suicide among emergency department (ED) patients presenting with a range of physical health problems. Participants included all residents presenting to a California ED in 2009-2013 with nonfatal visits for somatic diagnoses hypothesized to increase suicide risk, including myocardial infarction, congestive heart failure, cerebrovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, diabetes, cancer, back pain, headache, joint disorder, and injuries. For each patient diagnostic group, we calculated rates of firearm suicide per 100,000 person-years and standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) relative to the demographically matched California population. RESULTS:Firearm suicide rates per 100,000 person-years ranged from 9.6 (among patients presenting with unintentional injury) to 55.1 (patients with cancer diagnoses), with SMRs from 1.48 to 7.45 (all p<0.05). SMRs for patients with cardiovascular conditions ranged from 2.45 to 5.10. Males and older individuals had higher firearm suicide rates, and there was substantial between-group variability in the proportion of suicide decedents who used a firearm. CONCLUSIONS:ED patients presenting with deliberate self-harm injuries, substance use, and cancer were especially at risk for firearm suicide. To avoid missed suicide-prevention opportunities, EDs should implement evidence-based suicide interventions as a best practice for their patients.
PMID: 32950655
ISSN: 1873-2585
CID: 4616212