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CKD and cardiovascular disease in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study: interactions with age, sex, and race
Hui, Xuan; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Sang, Yingying; Ballew, Shoshana H; Fülöp, Tibor; Coresh, Josef
BACKGROUND:Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria are central for diagnosis, staging, and risk evaluation in chronic kidney disease (CKD). Universal thresholds regardless of age, sex, and race are recommended, but relatively little is known about how these demographic factors alter the relationship of eGFR and albuminuria to cardiovascular outcomes. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Observational cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS/METHODS:11,060 whites and blacks aged 52-75 years in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study with median follow-up of 11.2 years. PREDICTORS/METHODS:eGFR by the CKD-EPI (CKD Epidemiology Collaboration) creatinine equation (reference, 95 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio (ACR; reference, 5 mg/g). OUTCOMES/RESULTS:Cardiovascular events (coronary disease, stroke, and heart failure) and all-cause mortality. MEASUREMENTS/METHODS:Adjusted HRs associated with eGFR and ACR in subgroups according to age, sex, and race. RESULTS:Cardiovascular risk significantly increased at eGFR <70 mL/min/1.73 m(2) in all subgroups according to age (<65 vs ≥65 years), sex, and race (P for interaction >0.2 for these subgroups; eg, at eGFR of 30 mL/min/1.73 m(2), the adjusted HR was 2.19 [95% CI, 1.10-4.35] at age 52-64 years vs 2.23 [95% CI, 1.33-3.72] at age 65-75 years). Results were similar for mortality. Log(ACR) was associated linearly with cardiovascular risk without threshold effects in all subgroups, with some quantitative interactions. HRs according to ACR tended to be lower in men versus women (eg, at ACR of 40 mg/g, 1.18 [95% CI, 0.98-1.41] vs 1.77 [95% CI, 1.45-2.15]) and in the older versus younger population (1.24 [95% CI, 1.04-1.49] vs 1.73 [95% CI, 1.42-2.12]; P for interaction <0.01 for sex and age). Less evident interactions were observed for mortality. LIMITATIONS/CONCLUSIONS:Single measurement of eGFR with creatinine and ACR and relatively narrow age range. CONCLUSIONS:The associations of eGFR and ACR with cardiovascular events were largely similar, with some quantitative interactions, in age, sex, and racial subgroups, generally supporting universal thresholds of GFR and ACR for CKD definition/staging.
PMCID:3783539
PMID: 23769137
ISSN: 1523-6838
CID: 5582792
Cystatin C versus creatinine in determining risk based on kidney function
Shlipak, Michael G; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Ärnlöv, Johan; Inker, Lesley A; Katz, Ronit; Polkinghorne, Kevan R; Rothenbacher, Dietrich; Sarnak, Mark J; Astor, Brad C; Coresh, Josef; Levey, Andrew S; Gansevoort, Ron T; ,
BACKGROUND:Adding the measurement of cystatin C to that of serum creatinine to determine the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) improves accuracy, but the effect on detection, staging, and risk classification of chronic kidney disease across diverse populations has not been determined. METHODS:We performed a meta-analysis of 11 general-population studies (with 90,750 participants) and 5 studies of cohorts with chronic kidney disease (2960 participants) for whom standardized measurements of serum creatinine and cystatin C were available. We compared the association of the eGFR, as calculated by the measurement of creatinine or cystatin C alone or in combination with creatinine, with the rates of death (13,202 deaths in 15 cohorts), death from cardiovascular causes (3471 in 12 cohorts), and end-stage renal disease (1654 cases in 7 cohorts) and assessed improvement in reclassification with the use of cystatin C. RESULTS:In the general-population cohorts, the prevalence of an eGFR of less than 60 ml per minute per 1.73 m(2) of body-surface area was higher with the cystatin C-based eGFR than with the creatinine-based eGFR (13.7% vs. 9.7%). Across all eGFR categories, the reclassification of the eGFR to a higher value with the measurement of cystatin C, as compared with creatinine, was associated with a reduced risk of all three study outcomes, and reclassification to a lower eGFR was associated with an increased risk. The net reclassification improvement with the measurement of cystatin C, as compared with creatinine, was 0.23 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.18 to 0.28) for death and 0.10 (95% CI, 0.00 to 0.21) for end-stage renal disease. Results were generally similar for the five cohorts with chronic kidney disease and when both creatinine and cystatin C were used to calculate the eGFR. CONCLUSIONS:The use of cystatin C alone or in combination with creatinine strengthens the association between the eGFR and the risks of death and end-stage renal disease across diverse populations. (Funded by the National Kidney Foundation and others.).
PMID: 24004120
ISSN: 1533-4406
CID: 5582762
Age and association of kidney measures with mortality and end-stage renal disease
Hallan, Stein I; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Sang, Yingying; Mahmoodi, Bakhtawar K; Black, Corri; Ishani, Areef; Kleefstra, Nanne; Naimark, David; Roderick, Paul; Tonelli, Marcello; Wetzels, Jack F M; Astor, Brad C; Gansevoort, Ron T; Levin, Adeera; Wen, Chi-Pang; Coresh, Josef; ,
CONTEXT/BACKGROUND:Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is prevalent in older individuals, but the risk implications of low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and high albuminuria across the full age range are controversial. OBJECTIVE:To evaluate possible effect modification (interaction) by age of the association of eGFR and albuminuria with clinical risk, examining both relative and absolute risks. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/METHODS:Individual-level meta-analysis including 2,051,244 participants from 33 general population or high-risk (of vascular disease) cohorts and 13 CKD cohorts from Asia, Australasia, Europe, and North/South America, conducted in 1972-2011 with a mean follow-up time of 5.8 years (range, 0-31 years). MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES/METHODS:Hazard ratios (HRs) of mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) according to eGFR and albuminuria were meta-analyzed across age categories after adjusting for sex, race, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, systolic blood pressure, cholesterol, body mass index, and smoking. Absolute risks were estimated using HRs and average incidence rates. RESULTS:Mortality (112,325 deaths) and ESRD (8411 events) risks were higher at lower eGFR and higher albuminuria in every age category. In general and high-risk cohorts, relative mortality risk for reduced eGFR decreased with increasing age; eg, adjusted HRs at an eGFR of 45 mL/min/1.73 m2 vs 80 mL/min/1.73 m2 were 3.50 (95% CI, 2.55-4.81), 2.21 (95% CI, 2.02-2.41), 1.59 (95% CI, 1.42-1.77), and 1.35 (95% CI, 1.23-1.48) in age categories 18-54, 55-64, 65-74, and ≥75 years, respectively (P <.05 for age interaction). Absolute risk differences for the same comparisons were higher at older age (9.0 [95% CI, 6.0-12.8], 12.2 [95% CI, 10.3-14.3], 13.3 [95% CI, 9.0-18.6], and 27.2 [95% CI, 13.5-45.5] excess deaths per 1000 person-years, respectively). For increased albuminuria, reduction of relative risk with increasing age was less evident, while differences in absolute risk were higher in older age categories (7.5 [95% CI, 4.3-11.9], 12.2 [95% CI, 7.9-17.6], 22.7 [95% CI, 15.3-31.6], and 34.3 [95% CI, 19.5-52.4] excess deaths per 1000 person-years, respectively by age category, at an albumin-creatinine ratio of 300 mg/g vs 10 mg/g). In CKD cohorts, adjusted relative hazards of mortality did not decrease with age. In all cohorts, ESRD relative risks and absolute risk differences at lower eGFR or higher albuminuria were comparable across age categories. CONCLUSIONS:Both low eGFR and high albuminuria were independently associated with mortality and ESRD regardless of age across a wide range of populations. Mortality showed lower relative risk but higher absolute risk differences at older age.
PMID: 23111824
ISSN: 1538-3598
CID: 5582482
Associations of kidney disease measures with mortality and end-stage renal disease in individuals with and without diabetes: a meta-analysis
Fox, Caroline S; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Woodward, Mark; Bilo, Henk J G; Chalmers, John; Heerspink, Hiddo J Lambers; Lee, Brian J; Perkins, Robert M; Rossing, Peter; Sairenchi, Toshimi; Tonelli, Marcello; Vassalotti, Joseph A; Yamagishi, Kazumasa; Coresh, Josef; de Jong, Paul E; Wen, Chi-Pang; Nelson, Robert G; ,
BACKGROUND:Chronic kidney disease is characterised by low estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and high albuminuria, and is associated with adverse outcomes. Whether these risks are modified by diabetes is unknown. METHODS:We did a meta-analysis of studies selected according to Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium criteria. Data transfer and analyses were done between March, 2011, and June, 2012. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of mortality and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) associated with eGFR and albuminuria in individuals with and without diabetes. FINDINGS/RESULTS:We analysed data for 1,024,977 participants (128,505 with diabetes) from 30 general population and high-risk cardiovascular cohorts and 13 chronic kidney disease cohorts. In the combined general population and high-risk cohorts with data for all-cause mortality, 75,306 deaths occurred during a mean follow-up of 8·5 years (SD 5·0). In the 23 studies with data for cardiovascular mortality, 21,237 deaths occurred from cardiovascular disease during a mean follow-up of 9·2 years (SD 4·9). In the general and high-risk cohorts, mortality risks were 1·2-1·9 times higher for participants with diabetes than for those without diabetes across the ranges of eGFR and albumin-to-creatinine ratio (ACR). With fixed eGFR and ACR reference points in the diabetes and no diabetes groups, HR of mortality outcomes according to lower eGFR and higher ACR were much the same in participants with and without diabetes (eg, for all-cause mortality at eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) [vs 95 mL/min per 1·73 m(2)], HR 1·35; 95% CI 1·18-1·55; vs 1·33; 1·19-1·48 and at ACR 30 mg/g [vs 5 mg/g], 1·50; 1·35-1·65 vs 1·52; 1·38-1·67). The overall interactions were not significant. We identified much the same findings for ESRD in the chronic kidney disease cohorts. INTERPRETATION/CONCLUSIONS:Despite higher risks for mortality and ESRD in diabetes, the relative risks of these outcomes by eGFR and ACR are much the same irrespective of the presence or absence of diabetes, emphasising the importance of kidney disease as a predictor of clinical outcomes. FUNDING/BACKGROUND:US National Kidney Foundation.
PMID: 23013602
ISSN: 1474-547x
CID: 5582432
Associations of kidney disease measures with mortality and end-stage renal disease in individuals with and without hypertension: a meta-analysis
Mahmoodi, Bakhtawar K; Matsushita, Kunihiro; Woodward, Mark; Blankestijn, Peter J; Cirillo, Massimo; Ohkubo, Takayoshi; Rossing, Peter; Sarnak, Mark J; Stengel, Bénédicte; Yamagishi, Kazumasa; Yamashita, Kentaro; Zhang, Luxia; Coresh, Josef; de Jong, Paul E; Astor, Brad C; ,
BACKGROUND:Hypertension is the most prevalent comorbidity in individuals with chronic kidney disease. However, whether the association of the kidney disease measures, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and albuminuria, with mortality or end-stage renal disease (ESRD) differs by hypertensive status is unknown. METHODS:We did a meta-analysis of studies selected according to Chronic Kidney Disease Prognosis Consortium criteria. Data transfer and analyses were done between March, 2011, and June, 2012. We used Cox proportional hazards models to estimate the hazard ratios (HR) of mortality and ESRD associated with eGFR and albuminuria in individuals with and without hypertension. FINDINGS/RESULTS:We analysed data for 45 cohorts (25 general population, seven high-risk, and 13 chronic kidney disease) with 1,127,656 participants, 364,344 of whom had hypertension. Low eGFR and high albuminuria were associated with mortality irrespective of hypertensive status in the general population and high-risk cohorts. All-cause mortality risk was 1·1-1·2 times higher in individuals with hypertension than in those without hypertension at preserved eGFR. A steeper relative risk gradient in individuals without hypertension than in those with hypertension at eGFR range 45-75 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) led to much the same mortality risk at lower eGFR. With a reference eGFR of 95 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) in each group to explicitly assess interaction, adjusted HR for all-cause mortality at eGFR 45 mL/min per 1·73 m(2) was 1·77 (95% CI 1·57-1·99) in individuals without hypertension versus 1·24 (1·11-1·39) in those with hypertension (p for overall interaction=0·0003). Similarly, for albumin-creatinine ratio of 300 mg/g (vs 5 mg/g), HR was 2·30 (1·98-2·68) in individuals without hypertension versus 2·08 (1·84-2·35) in those with hypertension (p for overall interaction=0·019). We recorded much the same results for cardiovascular mortality. The associations of eGFR and albuminuria with ESRD, however, did not differ by hypertensive status. Results for chronic kidney disease cohorts were similar to those for general and high-risk population cohorts. INTERPRETATION/CONCLUSIONS:Chronic kidney disease should be regarded as at least an equally relevant risk factor for mortality and ESRD in individuals without hypertension as it is in those with hypertension. FUNDING/BACKGROUND:US National Kidney Foundation.
PMID: 23013600
ISSN: 1474-547x
CID: 5582422
Comparison of risk prediction using the CKD-EPI equation and the MDRD study equation for estimated glomerular filtration rate
Matsushita, Kunihiro; Mahmoodi, Bakhtawar K; Woodward, Mark; Emberson, Jonathan R; Jafar, Tazeen H; Jee, Sun Ha; Polkinghorne, Kevan R; Shankar, Anoop; Smith, David H; Tonelli, Marcello; Warnock, David G; Wen, Chi-Pang; Coresh, Josef; Gansevoort, Ron T; Hemmelgarn, Brenda R; Levey, Andrew S; ,
CONTEXT/BACKGROUND:The Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation more accurately estimates glomerular filtration rate (GFR) than the Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) Study equation using the same variables, especially at higher GFR, but definitive evidence of its risk implications in diverse settings is lacking. OBJECTIVE:To evaluate risk implications of estimated GFR using the CKD-EPI equation compared with the MDRD Study equation in populations with a broad range of demographic and clinical characteristics. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/METHODS:A meta-analysis of data from 1.1 million adults (aged ≥ 18 years) from 25 general population cohorts, 7 high-risk cohorts (of vascular disease), and 13 CKD cohorts. Data transfer and analyses were conducted between March 2011 and March 2012. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES/METHODS:All-cause mortality (84,482 deaths from 40 cohorts), cardiovascular mortality (22,176 events from 28 cohorts), and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) (7644 events from 21 cohorts) during 9.4 million person-years of follow-up; the median of mean follow-up time across cohorts was 7.4 years (interquartile range, 4.2-10.5 years). RESULTS:Estimated GFR was classified into 6 categories (≥90, 60-89, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, and <15 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) by both equations. Compared with the MDRD Study equation, 24.4% and 0.6% of participants from general population cohorts were reclassified to a higher and lower estimated GFR category, respectively, by the CKD-EPI equation, and the prevalence of CKD stages 3 to 5 (estimated GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m(2)) was reduced from 8.7% to 6.3%. In estimated GFR of 45 to 59 mL/min/1.73 m(2) by the MDRD Study equation, 34.7% of participants were reclassified to estimated GFR of 60 to 89 mL/min/1.73 m(2) by the CKD-EPI equation and had lower incidence rates (per 1000 person-years) for the outcomes of interest (9.9 vs 34.5 for all-cause mortality, 2.7 vs 13.0 for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.5 vs 0.8 for ESRD) compared with those not reclassified. The corresponding adjusted hazard ratios were 0.80 (95% CI, 0.74-0.86) for all-cause mortality, 0.73 (95% CI, 0.65-0.82) for cardiovascular mortality, and 0.49 (95% CI, 0.27-0.88) for ESRD. Similar findings were observed in other estimated GFR categories by the MDRD Study equation. Net reclassification improvement based on estimated GFR categories was significantly positive for all outcomes (range, 0.06-0.13; all P < .001). Net reclassification improvement was similarly positive in most subgroups defined by age (<65 years and ≥65 years), sex, race/ethnicity (white, Asian, and black), and presence or absence of diabetes and hypertension. The results in the high-risk and CKD cohorts were largely consistent with the general population cohorts. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The CKD-EPI equation classified fewer individuals as having CKD and more accurately categorized the risk for mortality and ESRD than did the MDRD Study equation across a broad range of populations.
PMID: 22570462
ISSN: 1538-3598
CID: 5582302
Cluster-randomized trial of a mobile phone personalized behavioral intervention for blood glucose control
Quinn, Charlene C; Shardell, Michelle D; Terrin, Michael L; Barr, Erik A; Ballew, Shoshana H; Gruber-Baldini, Ann L
OBJECTIVE:To test whether adding mobile application coaching and patient/provider web portals to community primary care compared with standard diabetes management would reduce glycated hemoglobin levels in patients with type 2 diabetes. RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS/METHODS:A cluster-randomized clinical trial, the Mobile Diabetes Intervention Study, randomly assigned 26 primary care practices to one of three stepped treatment groups or a control group (usual care). A total of 163 patients were enrolled and included in analysis. The primary outcome was change in glycated hemoglobin levels over a 1-year treatment period. Secondary outcomes were changes in patient-reported diabetes symptoms, diabetes distress, depression, and other clinical (blood pressure) and laboratory (lipid) values. Maximal treatment was a mobile- and web-based self-management patient coaching system and provider decision support. Patients received automated, real-time educational and behavioral messaging in response to individually analyzed blood glucose values, diabetes medications, and lifestyle behaviors communicated by mobile phone. Providers received quarterly reports summarizing patient's glycemic control, diabetes medication management, lifestyle behaviors, and evidence-based treatment options. RESULTS:The mean declines in glycated hemoglobin were 1.9% in the maximal treatment group and 0.7% in the usual care group, a difference of 1.2% (P = 0.001) [corrected] over 12 months. Appreciable differences were not observed between groups for patient-reported diabetes distress, depression, diabetes symptoms, or blood pressure and lipid levels (all P > 0.05). CONCLUSIONS:The combination of behavioral mobile coaching with blood glucose data, lifestyle behaviors, and patient self-management data individually analyzed and presented with evidence-based guidelines to providers substantially reduced glycated hemoglobin levels over 1 year.
PMID: 21788632
ISSN: 1935-5548
CID: 5642092
Repeat falls and the recovery of social participation in the year post-hip fracture
Miller, Ram R; Ballew, Shoshana H; Shardell, Michelle D; Hicks, Gregory E; Hawkes, William G; Resnick, Barbara; Magaziner, Jay
BACKGROUND:although the majority of hip fractures are the result of a fall, whether repeated falls in the year post-fracture adversely influence recovery of social participation is not known. DESIGN/METHODS:analysis of data from a longitudinal cohort study. SUBJECTS/METHODS:community-dwelling women aged > or = 65 years, admitted to one of two hospitals in Baltimore with a new, non-pathological fracture of the proximal femur between 1992 and 1995. METHODS:information on falls was collected from a falls diary. At the baseline, 6- and 12-month evaluations, subjects were asked about the number of times in the 2 weeks prior to the evaluation they had participated in 10 categories of social activities. We examined the association of repeated falls with social participation using generalized estimating equations. The effect of physical and psychological functions was examined by including measures of lower extremity functional performance and depressive symptoms into the model. RESULTS:the analyses included 196 women, mean age = 80.2 years. Eighty-one subjects fell. The subjects with >1 fall between evaluations participated in a mean (95% CI) of 3.5 (0.12, 6.9) and 4.3 (0.9, 7.7) fewer social activities at 6 and 12 months post-fracture, respectively, compared to those who did not fall (P = 0.0003). These results were attenuated by adjustment for depressive symptoms, but not by lower extremity functional performance. CONCLUSIONS:in the year post-fracture, repeated falls in women were associated with decreased social participation independent of lower extremity function. Depressive symptoms in repeated fallers may partly explain this association.
PMCID:2981467
PMID: 19586976
ISSN: 1468-2834
CID: 5642082