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A hybrid Bayesian-frequentist approach to evaluate clinical trial designs for tests of superiority and non-inferiority

Shao, Yongzhao; Mukhi, Vandana; Goldberg, Judith D
Specification of the study objective of superiority or non-inferiority at the design stage of a phase III clinical trial can sometimes be very difficult due to the uncertainty that surrounds the efficacy level of the experimental treatment. This uncertainty makes it tempting for investigators to design a trial that would allow testing of both superiority and non-inferiority hypotheses. However, when a conventional single-stage design is used to test both hypotheses, the sample size is based on the chosen primary objective of either superiority or non-inferiority. In this situation, the power of the test for the secondary objective can be low, which may lead to a large loss of resources. Potentially low reproducibility is another major concern for the single-stage design in phase III trials, because significant findings of confirmatory trials are required to be reproducible. In this paper, we propose a hybrid Bayesian-frequentist approach to evaluate reproducibility and power in single-stage designs for phase III trials to test both superiority and non-inferiority. The essence of the proposed approach is to express the uncertainty that surrounds the efficacy of the experimental treatment as a probability distribution. Then one can use Bayes formula with simple graphical techniques to evaluate reproducibility and power adequacy
PMID: 17854052
ISSN: 0277-6715
CID: 79289

IKBKAP mRNA in peripheral blood leukocytes: a molecular marker of gene expression and splicing in familial dysautonomia

Gold-von Simson, Gabrielle; Leyne, Maire; Mull, James; Rolnitzky, Linda M; Goldberg, Judith D; Berlin, Dena; Axelrod, Felicia B; Slaugenhaupt, Susan A
The common familial dysautonomia (FD) mutation results in tissue specific mis-splicing with reduced amount of wild-type (WT) IkappaB kinase associated protein gene (IKBKAP) mRNA and ELP1. ELP1 is a subunit of Elongator, formerly called the IkappaB kinase associated protein (IKAP) protein. We measured IKBKAP mRNA in peripheral blood leukocytes to determine whether FD subjects and carriers have characteristic levels. Estimated mean IKBKAP mRNA levels, measured by quantitative PCR and expressed as amount relative to the noncarrier average, were significantly different for the two groups when not adjusted for age and sex (p < 0.001): FD subjects 0.23, 95% confidence interval (CI) (0.19, 0.28); carriers 0.58, 95% CI (0.50, 0.68); or adjusted for age and sex (p < 0.001): FD subjects 0.21, 95% CI (0.16, 0.26); carriers 0.66, 95% CI (0.55, 0.79). Comparison of IKBKAP mRNA levels of the 22 FD subjects and their related carriers showed a strong correlation, providing evidence for genetic control of splicing efficiency. IKBKAP mRNA levels were not higher in those subjects using tocotrienols or epigallocatechin gallate. Levels of IKBKAP mRNA in peripheral blood leukocytes can be used to assess molecular response to therapies aimed at enhancing exon 20 inclusion and increasing cellular levels of ELP1/IKAP
PMID: 18091349
ISSN: 0031-3998
CID: 78635

Efficacy

Chapter by: Goldberg, Judith D; Belitskaya-Levy, I
in: Encyclopedia of quantitative risk analysis and assessment by Melnick, Edward L; Everitt, Brian [Eds]
Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley, c2008
pp. 556-557
ISBN: 0470061596
CID: 1674132

Comparative effiacy trials (phase III studies)

Chapter by: Goldberg, Judith D; Shao, YS
in: Encyclopedia of quantitative risk analysis and assessment by Melnick, Edward L; Everitt, Brian [Eds]
Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley, c2008
pp. ?-?
ISBN: 0470061596
CID: 1674142

Meta-analysis in clinical risk assessment

Chapter by: Goldberg, Judith D; Watson, HN
in: Encyclopedia of quantitative risk analysis and assessment by Melnick, Edward L; Everitt, Brian [Eds]
Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley, c2008
pp. 1064-1075
ISBN: 0470061596
CID: 1674152

Immunohistochemical study of fibrosis and adenocarcinoma in dominant-negative p53 transgenic mice exposed to chrysotile asbestos and benzo(a)pyrene

Yee, Herman; Yie, Ting-An; Goldberg, Judith; Wong, Kam Meng Tchou; Rom, William N
We evaluated the mechanisms using immunohistochemistry whereby chrysotile asbestos and benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) instilled intratracheally into lung-specific dominant-negative p53 (dnp53) mice might interact in causing lung carcinomas and fibrosis. Chrysotile asbestos and benzo(a)pyrene (BaP) were instilled intratracheally into lung-specific dominant-negative p53 (dnp53) and control mice. The mice were sacrificed at 12 months and their lungs examined for lung carcinomas and fibrosis. Immunostains for proteins related to apoptosis, fibrogenesis, matrix remodeling and inflammation were performed. The dnp53 mice had increased numbers of lung adenocarcinomas with BaP alone and the combination of chrysotile and BaP (the latter was additive but not significant). Several atypical adenomatous hyperplasia lesions were found in the combined treatment group. dnp53 and FVBN control mice developed nodular buds of fibrotic lung tissue after chrysotile asbestos exposure that were localized in respiratory bronchioles; these lesions had significant increases in immunohistochemical staining for TGF-beta, MMP-7 and -9, MIG-1, and SDF-1. Fibrotic lesions in mice exposed to chrysotile had increased collagen demonstrated by picrosirius red staining. The dnp53 mice with adenocarcinomas had increased SDF-1, TGF-beta, MMP-9 and -7, Cyclin D, and MIG-1 immunostaining in the chrysotile and combined treatment groups. We conclude that BaP and the combination of BaP plus chrysotile asbestos are potent inducers of adenocarcinoma in dnp53 mice and that the inflammatory cytokines and proteases MMP-7 and -9, MIG-1, and SDF-1, and growth factors Cyclin D and TGF-beta are increased in the specific lesions
PMID: 19105532
ISSN: 0731-8898
CID: 94494

Toxicity (Adverse Events)

Chapter by: Levinson, B; Goldberg, JD
in: Encyclopedia of quantitative risk analysis and assessment by Melnick, Edward L; Everitt, Brian [Eds]
Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley, c2008
pp. 1777-1779
ISBN: 0470061596
CID: 601282

Safety

Chapter by: Goldberg, JD; Levinson, B
in: Encyclopedia of quantitative risk analysis and assessment by Melnick, Edward L; Everitt, Brian [Eds]
Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley, c2008
pp. 1599-1600
ISBN: 0470061596
CID: 1353662

Randomized controlled trials

Chapter by: Goldberg, Judith D; Belitskaya-Levy, I
in: Encyclopedia of quantitative risk analysis and assessment by Melnick, Edward L; Everitt, Brian [Eds]
Chichester, West Sussex, England ; Hoboken, N.J. : John Wiley, c2008
pp. 1415-1419
ISBN: 0470061596
CID: 1674162

Prospective trial of individual optimal positioning (prone versus supine) for whole breast radiotherapy: results of 194 patients [Meeting Abstract]

Formenti, SC; Guth, AA; Axelrod, DM; Goldberg, JD; DeWyngaert, JK
ISI:000251398500539
ISSN: 0167-6806
CID: 75805