Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:Understanding how prognosis influences acute care use among older adults at risk of short-term mortality is essential for providing care consistent with patients' wishes. This study assesses whether prognosis is associated with acute care and Intensive Care Unit (ICU) transfer in older adults presenting to the Emergency Department (ED) at high and low risk of short-term mortality. METHODS:For this cross-sectional analysis, we pooled the Medicare claims for older adults 66 years and older from 2015 to 2019 who visited at least one of the 29 EDs participating in the Primary Palliative Care for Emergency Medicine study. Our outcome measures were defined as an acute care admission and ICU transfer resulting from an ED visit, both measured as binary variables. The predictor variables were age, sex, race/ethnicity, and Gagne score. We stratified the analysis into those with low (≤6) and high risk (>6) short-term mortality using the Gagne scores. To assess the odds of an acute care or ICU transfer, we used multivariable logistic regression via generalized estimating equation models and computed the adjusted odds ratios (AOR) among the general population and among those at high risk of short-term mortality. RESULTS:Of the 301,083 older adults who visited one of the 29 EDs, 13% were at high risk for short-term mortality. Among this high-risk group, 64% had an acute care admission, and 15% of those admitted had an ICU transfer, as compared to 43% and 12% of those at low risk of short-term mortality. Among those at high risk for short-term mortality, prognosis was associated with 6% (AOR 1.06; 95% CI: 1.04 - 1.09) and 8% (AOR 1.08; 95% CI: 1.06 - 1.09) increased adjusted odds of inpatient admission and ICU transfer, respectively. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The prognosis of older adults, especially those at high risk of short-term mortality, predicts both inpatient admissions and ICU transfers.

IMPORTANCE/UNASSIGNED:The emergency department (ED) offers an opportunity to initiate palliative care for older adults with serious, life-limiting illness. OBJECTIVE/UNASSIGNED:To assess the effect of a multicomponent intervention to initiate palliative care in the ED on hospital admission, subsequent health care use, and survival in older adults with serious, life-limiting illness. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/UNASSIGNED:Cluster randomized, stepped-wedge, clinical trial including patients aged 66 years or older who visited 1 of 29 EDs across the US between May 1, 2018, and December 31, 2022, had 12 months of prior Medicare enrollment, and a Gagne comorbidity score greater than 6, representing a risk of short-term mortality greater than 30%. Nursing home patients were excluded. INTERVENTION/UNASSIGNED:A multicomponent intervention (the Primary Palliative Care for Emergency Medicine intervention) included (1) evidence-based multidisciplinary education; (2) simulation-based workshops on serious illness communication; (3) clinical decision support; and (4) audit and feedback for ED clinical staff. MAIN OUTCOME AND MEASURES/UNASSIGNED:The primary outcome was hospital admission. The secondary outcomes included subsequent health care use and survival at 6 months. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:There were 98 922 initial ED visits during the study period (median age, 77 years [IQR, 71-84 years]; 50% were female; 13% were Black and 78% were White; and the median Gagne comorbidity score was 8 [IQR, 7-10]). The rate of hospital admission was 64.4% during the preintervention period vs 61.3% during the postintervention period (absolute difference, -3.1% [95% CI, -3.7% to -2.5%]; adjusted odds ratio [OR], 1.03 [95% CI, 0.93 to 1.14]). There was no difference in the secondary outcomes before vs after the intervention. The rate of admission to an intensive care unit was 7.8% during the preintervention period vs 6.7% during the postintervention period (adjusted OR, 0.98 [95% CI, 0.83 to 1.15]). The rate of at least 1 revisit to the ED was 34.2% during the preintervention period vs 32.2% during the postintervention period (adjusted OR, 1.00 [95% CI, 0.91 to 1.09]). The rate of hospice use was 17.7% during the preintervention period vs 17.2% during the postintervention period (adjusted OR, 1.04 [95% CI, 0.93 to 1.16]). The rate of home health use was 42.0% during the preintervention period vs 38.1% during the postintervention period (adjusted OR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.92 to 1.10]). The rate of at least 1 hospital readmission was 41.0% during the preintervention period vs 36.6% during the postintervention period (adjusted OR, 1.01 [95% CI, 0.92 to 1.10]). The rate of death was 28.1% during the preintervention period vs 28.7% during the postintervention period (adjusted OR, 1.07 [95% CI, 0.98 to 1.18]). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/UNASSIGNED:This multicomponent intervention to initiate palliative care in the ED did not have an effect on hospital admission, subsequent health care use, or short-term mortality in older adults with serious, life-limiting illness. TRIAL REGISTRATION/UNASSIGNED:ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03424109.

BACKGROUND:The optimal management of patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism (PE), who have right heart dysfunction (determined by a combination of imaging and cardiac biomarkers) but a normal blood pressure, is uncertain. These patients suffer from reduced functional capacity and a lower quality of life over the long-term, despite use of anticoagulant therapy. Catheter-directed therapy (CDT) is a promising treatment for acute PE that rapidly removes thrombus and potentially improves cardiac dysfunction. However, CDT has risk and is costly, and it is not known whether it improves long-term cardiorespiratory fitness and/or quality of life compared with anticoagulation alone. METHODS:) with cardiopulmonary exercise testing at 3 months and reduce New York Heart Association (NYHA) Class at 12 months compared with No-CDT. These 2 primary efficacy outcomes will be analyzed sequentially using a "gatekeeping" procedure; for NYHA class to be compared, peak oxygen consumption must first be shown to be significantly increased by CDT. Safety and cost-effectiveness will also be assessed. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:When completed, PE-TRACT will provide important evidence regarding the benefits and risks of CDT to treat intermediate-risk PE compared with anticoagulation alone. TRIAL REGISTRATION/BACKGROUND:clinicaltrials.gov: NCT05591118.

Study advisory committees (SACs) provide critical value to clinical trials by providing unique perspectives that pull from personal and professional experiences related to the trial's healthcare topic. The Emergency Medicine Palliative Care Access (EMPallA) study had the privilege of convening a 16-person SAC from the project's inception to completion. The study team wanted to understand the impact this project had on the SAC members. In this narrative, we use reflective dialogue to share SAC members' lived experiences and the impact the EMPallA study has had on members both personally and professionally. We detail the (1) benefits SAC members, specifically patients, and caregivers, have had through working on this project. (2) The importance of recruiting diverse SAC members with different lived experiences and leveraging their feedback in clinical research. (3) Value of community capacity building to ensure the common vision of the clinical trial is promoted.

BACKGROUND/UNASSIGNED:Precision medicine has led to the development of targeted treatment strategies tailored to individual patients based on their characteristics and disease manifestations. Although precision medicine often focuses on a single health outcome for individualized treatment decision rules (ITRs), relying only on a single outcome rather than all available outcomes information leads to suboptimal data usage when developing optimal ITRs. METHODS/UNASSIGNED:To address this limitation, we propose a Bayesian multivariate hierarchical model that leverages the wealth of correlated health outcomes collected in clinical trials. The approach jointly models mixed types of correlated outcomes, facilitating the "borrowing of information" across the multivariate outcomes, and results in a more accurate estimation of heterogeneous treatment effects compared to using single regression models for each outcome. We develop a treatment benefit index, which quantifies the relative treatment benefit of the experimental treatment over the control treatment, based on the proposed multivariate outcome model. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:We demonstrate the strengths of the proposed approach through extensive simulations and an application to an international Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) treatment trial. Simulation results indicate that the proposed method reduces the occurrence of erroneous treatment decisions compared to a single regression model for a single health outcome. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis demonstrates the robustness of the model across various study scenarios. Application of the method to the COVID-19 trial exhibits improvements in estimating the individual-level treatment efficacy (indicated by narrower credible intervals for odds ratios) and optimal ITRs. CONCLUSION/UNASSIGNED:The study jointly models mixed types of outcomes in the context of developing ITRs. By considering multiple health outcomes, the proposed approach can advance the development of more effective and reliable personalized treatment.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:This study aimed to assess emergency nurses' perceived barriers toward engaging patients in serious illness conversations. METHODS:Using a mixed-method (quant + QUAL) convergent design, we pooled data on the emergency nurses who underwent the End-of-Life Nursing Education Consortium training across 33 emergency departments. Data were extracted from the End-of-Life Nursing Education Consortium post-training questionnaire, comprising a 5-item survey and 1 open-ended question. Our quantitative analysis employed a cross-sectional design to assess the proportion of emergency nurses who report that they will encounter barriers in engaging seriously ill patients in serious illness conversations in the emergency department. Our qualitative analysis used conceptual content analysis to generate themes and meaning units of the perceived barriers and possible solutions toward having serious illness conversations in the emergency department. RESULTS:A total of 2176 emergency nurses responded to the survey. Results from the quantitative analysis showed that 1473 (67.7%) emergency nurses reported that they will encounter barriers while engaging in serious illness conversations. Three thematic barriers-human factors, time constraints, and challenges in the emergency department work environment-emerged from the content analysis. Some of the subthemes included the perceived difficulty of serious illness conversations, delay in daily throughput, and lack of privacy in the emergency department. The potential solutions extracted included the need for continued training, the provision of dedicated emergency nurses to handle serious illness conversations, and the creation of dedicated spaces for serious illness conversations. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS:Emergency nurses may encounter barriers while engaging in serious illness conversations. Institutional-level policies may be required in creating a palliative care-friendly emergency department work environment.

BACKGROUND:Offering medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD) in carceral settings significantly reduces overdose. However, it is unknown to what extent individuals in jails continue MOUD once they leave incarceration. We aimed to assess the relationship between in-jail MOUD and MOUD continuity in the month following release. METHODS:We conducted a retrospective cohort study of linked NYC jail-based electronic health records and community Medicaid OUD treatment claims for individuals with OUD discharged from jail between 2011 and 2017. We compared receipt of MOUD within 30 days of release, among those with and without MOUD at release from jail. We tested for effect modification based on MOUD receipt prior to incarceration and assessed factors associated with treatment discontinuation. RESULTS:Of 28,298 eligible incarcerations, 52.8 % received MOUD at release. 30 % of incarcerations with MOUD at release received community-based MOUD within 30 days, compared to 7 % of incarcerations without MOUD (Risk Ratio: 2.62 (2.44-2.82)). Most (69 %) with MOUD claims prior to incarceration who received in-jail MOUD continued treatment in the community, compared to 9 % of those without prior MOUD. Those who received methadone (vs. buprenorphine), were younger, Non-Hispanic Black and with no history of MOUD were less likely to continue MOUD following release. CONCLUSIONS:MOUD maintenance in jail is strongly associated with MOUD continuity upon release. Still, findings highlight a gap in treatment continuity upon-reentry, especially among those who initiate MOUD in jail. In the wake of worsening overdose deaths and troubling disparities, improving MOUD continuity among this population remains an urgent priority.

The cluster randomized crossover design has been proposed to improve efficiency over the traditional parallel-arm cluster randomized design. While statistical methods have been developed for designing cluster randomized crossover trials, they have exclusively focused on testing the overall average treatment effect, with little attention to differential treatment effects across subpopulations. Recently, interest has grown in understanding whether treatment effects may vary across pre-specified patient subpopulations, such as those defined by demographic or clinical characteristics. In this article, we consider the two-treatment two-period cluster randomized crossover design under either a cross-sectional or closed-cohort sampling scheme, where it is of interest to detect the heterogeneity of treatment effect via an interaction test. Assuming a patterned correlation structure for both the covariate and the outcome, we derive new sample size formulas for testing the heterogeneity of treatment effect with continuous outcomes based on linear mixed models. Our formulas also address unequal cluster sizes and therefore allow us to analytically assess the impact of unequal cluster sizes on the power of the interaction test in cluster randomized crossover designs. We conduct simulations to confirm the accuracy of the proposed methods, and illustrate their application in two real cluster randomized crossover trials.