Faculty Bibliography

We sought to understand the potential impacts of a rapidly evolving donor pool on the annual recalibration of the kidney donor profile index (KDPI). Using OPTN data, we examined the kidney donor risk index (KDRI) among deceased kidney donors recovered 2011-2024. We mimicked the OPTN's annual re-mapping process to measure the KDRI-to-KDPI calibration drift and used Cox regression to translate this drift into all-cause graft failure rate differences. The 50th/75th/95th KDRI percentile among recovered donors rose from 1.19/1.47/2.0 in 2011 to 1.40/1.77/2.36 in 2024. For donors with the same KDRI, the KDPI assigned in 2024 was as much as 13 points lower than the KDPI assigned in 2012. Holding other factors constant, the KDRI-KDPI calibration shift equated to 7 years of increased age (65 vs. 58) for KDPI 86% donors. Five-year graft failure risk was 9% higher (RR: _1.0871.093_1.097) for a kidney assigned a KDPI of 86% in 2024 versus 2012. Organ recovery practices have changed. The relationship between KDPI and organ quality has become a moving target, complicating shared decision-making and altering the meaning of allocation policy thresholds. Alternative solutions to annually remapping KDPI, such as establishing a fixed reference cohort or migrating away from KDPI, could be considered.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:Following implementation of the U.S. Kidney Allocation System (KAS) in 2014, deceased donor kidneys with a kidney donor profile index (KDPI) < 35% are prioritized for allocation to pediatric candidates. Early post-KAS data suggested this prioritization may have led to more frequent delayed graft function compared to pre-KAS, when pediatric allocation priority was based on donor age < 35 years. We sought to understand the impact of this allocation change on longer-term pediatric kidney transplant outcomes. METHODS:We used SRTR data to identify all deceased donor kidney transplants with pediatric recipients during two eras: "Pre-KAS" (12/1/2009-11/30/2014) and "KAS" (12/1/2015-11/30/2020). We used Cox proportional hazards models to calculate the association between study era and all-cause graft failure (graft failure or death) after adjusting for recipient characteristics. RESULTS:, p = 0.001). Results were similar in sensitivity analyses limited to recipients < 10 years old and recipients alive with a functioning graft 90 days post-transplant. CONCLUSIONS:KDPI-based prioritization of kidneys for pediatric allocation was associated with a lower risk of graft failure compared to donor age-based prioritization. Further refining donor risk scores may enable additional improvements in graft survival.

BACKGROUND/UNASSIGNED:Understanding center-level decision-making for suboptimal kidney (SOK) offers is critical to ensure utilization of all transplantable kidneys. METHODS/UNASSIGNED:We quantified center-level variation in accepting SOK deceased donor kidney transplant (DDKT) offers using 2021-2023 national registry data. SOK subtypes included: donor age >60, ultimate cold ischemia time >24 h, hepatitis C positive, terminal serum creatinine >2.0 mg/dL, donation after circulatory death, kidney donor profile index >85%, and public health service increased risk donors. Gini coefficient (Gini) was used to analyze inequality in DDKT utilization by SOK subtype. Multilevel logistic regression models were used to calculate the median odds ratio (mOR), measuring center-level variation in accepting SOK donor offers among adult centers. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:Of all DDKTs, 72.6% were from donors with at least 1 SOK characteristic. Inequality persisted in utilization of SOK DDKTs (Gini of all SOKs: 0.53, Gini of all non-SOKs: 0.47). The 193 adult centers accepted a median (interquartile range) of 12.5% (8.4%-19.2%) offered non-SOK donors and 7.2% (4.6%-10.8%) offered SOK donors. Non-SOK donors and SOK donors were refused by a median (interquartile range) of 5 (3-10) and 9 (4-23) centers, respectively. The SOK subtypes with the least and the most center-level variance in acceptance were increased risk donor (mOR = 2.06) and cold ischemia time >36 h (mOR = 4.86), respectively. CONCLUSIONS/UNASSIGNED:Centers vary sharply in their willingness to accept certain types of SOK offers. Informing centers of their patterns of accepting specific donor phenotypes compared with their peers may motivate centers to accept more SOKs for clinically suitable recipients, thus improving patient access to DDKT.

Historically, liver transplant (LT) candidates with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) have experienced high waitlist mortality. Since the HIV Organ Policy Equity (HOPE) Act expands access to organs from donors with HIV, we assessed the impact of HOPE on LT rate and wait time for this population. We linked data from a multicenter HOPE in Action study to Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (February 21, 2019 to June 1, 2024) and used Poisson regression to compare transplant rates among 99 candidates willing to accept HOPE donors (HOPE candidates) to 13 495 candidates with or without HIV not listed as willing to accept HOPE donors (non-HOPE candidates) matched on transplant center. The median time to any deceased donor liver transplant (DDLT) was 2.3 months for HOPE and 1.1 years for non-HOPE candidates. Within 2 years of listing, 90.9% of HOPE versus 58.5% of non-HOPE candidates received a DDLT (P < .001). HOPE was associated with an overall 3.11-fold higher DDLT incident rate ratio (95% CI 2.48-3.88, P < .001). Stratified by model for end-stage liver disease score categories 6 to 14, 15 to 24, 25 to 34, and 35 to 40/status 1; HOPE candidates had 10.12-fold, 5.31-fold, 1.41-fold and 2.90-fold higher DDLT rates, respectively. Willingness to accept livers from donors with HIV improves access to liver transplantation for candidates with HIV.

BACKGROUND:Multiorgan heart and kidney transplants (HKTx) performed for patients with end-stage heart failure and chronic kidney disease have increased in recent years. However, no established protocols exist on whether a heart and kidney from the same donor should be transplanted in the same operation versus 1-2 days apart. METHODS:Using SRTR data 1993-2023, we compared same-donor HKTx recipients with both transplants performed on the same day ("simultaneous") to recipients with kidney transplants performed within 1 day of the heart transplant ("staged"). We examined differences in weighted post-transplant clinical characteristics using average treatment effect. Post-transplant mortality and graft failure was also assessed using Kaplan-Meier curves and instrumental variable analysis adjusted for recipient characteristics and year of transplant. RESULTS:, p < 0.001). Weighted patient mortality, all cause heart failure (ACHF), and all cause kidney failure (ACKF) 4 years post-transplant were slightly lower for simultaneous versus staged HKTx recipients (17.1% vs. 19.9%, 17.2% vs. 20.1%, 20.8% vs. 24.7%). However, instrumental variable analysis found no meaningful differences in adjusted patient survival, ACHF, or ACKF by HKTx type. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Simultaneous HKTx recipients have shorter hospital stays, decreased mortality, and higher rates of graft survival post-transplant compared to staged HKTx recipients, which may reflect favorable patient factors that enable both operations to be performed on the same day rather than an inherent benefit of simultaneous HKTx, given equivalent adjusted patient mortality, ACHF, and ACKF.

BACKGROUND:Bariatric surgery has long been established as an effective treatment option for obesity and diabetes [Kalainov et al. in J Am Acad Orthop Surg [32(10):427-438, 2025] and Ogden et al. in JAMA 311(8):806-806, 2025. 10.1001/jama.2014.732]. Recently, GLP-1 Receptor Agonists' (GLP-1RAs) use has expanded as an alternative therapy for weight loss and diabetes management. While GLP1RAs are known to be safe and effective, few have compared long term outcomes of GLP-1RAs versus the "gold standard" of bariatric surgery among Medicare/Medicaid patients, who make up the largest payer group in the U.S. [Kalainov et al. in J Am Acad Orthop Surg [32(10):427-438, 2025]. METHODS:This was a retrospective, multicenter study of obese, type-2 diabetic patients (T2D) ≥ 18 years old, who initiated weekly injectable semaglutide or tirzepatide or underwent bariatric surgery between January 1st, 2018 to July 31st, 2024. Patients with a baseline BMI ≤ 35, those with prior GLP1-RA use, or any prior bariatric procedure were excluded from analysis. The primary outcome of interest was % total body weight loss 3 months to 3 years post intervention among bariatrics surgery patients vs. GLP1-RA patients (any GLP1-RA prescription and 12 months continuous GLP1-RA prescription). RESULTS:7667 patients were included for analysis (7200 GLP1-RA, 467 bariatric surgery). Bariatric surgery patients were younger (median (IQR): 43 (34, 53) vs. 65 (54, 72); p < 0.001) and more likely to be female (67.5% vs. 60.8%; p < 0.01) and Hispanic (58.7% vs. 19.4%; p < 0.001) while GLP1-RA users were more likely to be white (58.5% vs. 10.7%; p < 0.001). In models adjusting for demographic and clinical characteristics, bariatric surgery was associated with a 22.9% total weight loss 3 years following surgery compared to 2.3% for patients with any GLP1-RA use, and 15.9% vs 2.4% for patients with 12 months consecutive GLP1-RA use (22.9 [21.0-24.8] vs 2.3 [0.5-4.1], 15.9 [6.9-24.9] vs. 2.4 [6.7-11.5]. CONCLUSIONS:Among obese, T2D, publicly insured patients, bariatric surgery was associated with greater weight loss than GLP1-RAs at all measured periods from 3 months to 3 years post op.

BACKGROUND:Despite the goal of the 2018 revision to the heart allocation policy to reduce reliance on exception requests through improved granularity in status criteria, there has been a dramatic rise in exception requests. OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:This study evaluated trends in exception use over the first 6 years of the updated policy, assessing associated clinical factors, temporal changes, and impact on waitlist outcomes. METHODS:This retrospective transplant registry analysis included all adult isolated heart transplant candidates from October 18, 2018, to September 30, 2024. Candidates were stratified by exception use, listing era, and region. Exception use was compared using Wilcoxon rank-sum and chi-squared tests, with multilevel logistic regression assessing independent associations. Trends over time and across UNOS (United Network for Organ Sharing) regions were evaluated, and a competing risks framework examined time to transplant and waitlist mortality. RESULTS:Among 26,330 candidates, 38.6% used exception requests, with a statistically significant increase over time, particularly in higher priority statuses. Exception use was more common among Black, non-Hispanic candidates, and candidates with blood type O, and less likely for patients with blood type A (P < 0.001). Additionally, pretransplant isolated durable left ventricular assist devices were less common in candidates who requested exceptions (19.0% vs 31.6%; P < 0.001). Overall, 39.9% of exception candidates were listed at status 1 or 2 compared to 29% of nonexception candidates, and 69.2% of exception candidates were removed from the waitlist at status 1 or 2 compared with 37% of nonexception candidates. CONCLUSIONS:The rising use of exceptions underscores ongoing limitations in allocation criteria, and disparities suggesting inequities in access to higher listing status. Policy refinements are needed to ensure a balance between medical urgency and equitable allocation.

BACKGROUND:Transplant waitlist registrants in the United States may be delisted because of receipt of a transplant abroad. Although not universally unethical, "travel for transplantation" poses risks to posttransplant care. To better understand this phenomenon, this study identifies temporal trends, geographic patterns, and demographic factors associated with cross-border transplantation. METHODS:Using Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients data, we identified 818 US waitlist candidates who were removed because of transplantation abroad between 2010 and 2023. We described recipient characteristics overall, by organ, and by top transplant destinations. We used a Cox regression framework to identify characteristics associated with waitlist removal due to transplantation abroad. RESULTS:Transplants abroad averaged 58.4 per year. Incidence peaked at 80 transplants in 2017, with an upward trend after 2021. Kidney transplants made up 92.1% of cases. The most common destinations were the Philippines (19.8%), India (16.5%), Mexico (9.4%), China (8.4%), and Iran (4.4%). India and Mexico experienced the smallest drop-off during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic 2020-2021. Most recipients were US citizens (65.0%) or residents (23.5%). Female (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 0.520.610.71; P < 0.001) and Black candidates (aHR, 0.120.180.26; P < 0.001) were less likely to travel abroad compared with Asian candidates (aHR, 5.927.108.52; P < 0.001). Nonresidents (aHR, 6.708.6911.26; P < 0.001) and, among registrations in 2012 or later, nonresidents who traveled to the United States for transplantation (aHR, 27.2738.9155.50; P < 0.001) had a greater chance of undergoing transplantation abroad. CONCLUSIONS:Understanding patterns of international travel for transplantation is key not only for preventing resource drains from destination countries but also for providing adequate posttransplant care for recipients.

OBJECTIVE:Given frailty and comorbidities that occur with both aging and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), it is unclear if older patients with ESKD derive the improved survival and kidney transplant (KT) access associated with Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) or sleeve gastrectomy (SG). METHODS:Using 2006-2021 USRDS data, we identified 876 patients with RYGB and 1508 patients with SG and compared 5-year mortality by age-group (18-29/30-39/40-49/50-59/60-69/≥ 70 years) to nonsurgical matched controls using 1:3 Mahalanobis distance matching, Kaplan-Meier, and Cox regression. We also compared age-stratified KT incidence between waitlisted patients and controls. RESULTS:) for patients with SG versus controls. CONCLUSIONS:RYGB in older patients with ESKD is associated with increased mortality and lower KT likelihood, whereas SG is associated with decreased mortality and higher KT likelihood compared to nonsurgical matched controls. Choice of bariatric surgery type may play a role in improving survival for older patients with ESKD.