Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:It is estimated that up to 40% of Alzheimer's Disease and Related Dementias cases can be prevented or delayed by addressing modifiable factors including those that influence vascular risk (hypertension, obesity, smoking, physical activity, diabetes). Prevention may be particularly important in the vascular dementia subtypes. Despite the supporting evidence, the rates of medical therapy to reduce vascular risk are not well described. METHOD/METHODS:We assessed the utilization of statins, aspirin, and blood pressure (BP) medications in adults age ≥65 years cared for at NYU Langone Health, as recorded in the electronic health record. We included two cohorts: cohort 1 included patients who were diagnosed with vascular dementia (VaD) at NYU Langone Barlow Center for Memory Evaluation between January 1, 2015 and June 24, 2019. Cohort 2 extended the inclusion to seniors with VD diagnosis by any NYU Langone physician. Definitions for vascular dementia, the covariates assessed, and medications that we included in each category are shown in Tables 1-3. RESULT/RESULTS:We included 419 and 3745 patients in cohort 1 and cohort 2, respectively. Table 4 shows the characteristics and medication adherence in cohorts 1 and 2. In cohort 1, the prescription rates for statins, aspirin, and BP medications were 66%, 66%, 70%. In cohort 2, the rates for statin, aspirin, and BP medications were 56%, 46%, and 65%, respectively. The differences between prescription rates in cohort 1 and 2 for the three medication groups were statistically significant (p<0.05). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Our analysis of the utilization of cardiovascular medications among patients with vascular dementia illuminates potential gaps both among patients who receive care at specialty clinics, as well as the overall population with vascular dementia. The rates of medication utilization are higher for patients under the care of cognitive neurologists. Electronic health records can help identify large cohorts of patients who may benefit from improved access to preventative measures including cardiovascular medications.

Introduction: Early detection of pancreatic cancer (PC) remains challenging largely due to the low population incidence and few known risk factors. However, screening in at-risk populations and detection of early cancer has the potential to significantly alter survival. We used an Electronic Health Records (EHR) based large-scale machine learning algorithm to identify disease codes that are associated with the development of PC at least 3 years before diagnosis and developed a predictive model to identify patients at risk for PC 27-33 months later.
Method(s): EHR data was analyzed between 2000 and 2021 and individuals with at least 3 years of continuous presence in the database were included. A 1:4 case-control matching based on age, sex, length of medical history to all diagnosed with PC was performed. In one model, all patients meeting database presence were included, whereas in a second model only those without known prior pancreatic disease were evaluated. Among demographic and 19,304 disease variables 27-33 months prior to PC diagnosis, we used the P-value of associations to select significant variables (cut-off P-value < 0.01), and trained a logistic regression model. Final predictive performance was tested on a held-out validation cohort.
Result(s): 544,000 patients were analyzed. 2091 patients with PC were matched to 8364 cancer-free patients. We identified 73 variables with significant association of development of PC, including pancreatic cysts, diabetes, family or personal history of breast cancer, and chronic pancreatitis (ranked results and statistical analysis are shown in Table 1). These variables were selected for the regression model, which we trained in over 541,602 patients. In our second model, in patients without prior pancreatic diseases, 541,377 patients were included. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) were 0.790 [0.772, 0.809] and 0.779 [0.759, 0.789] in the two models respectively.
Conclusion(s): In a robust EHR-based analysis, we identified a list of diagnostic variables associated with pancreatic cancer development in a 3-year time frame and developed a model to identify patients at risk. Although the inclusion of additional variables such as laboratory results and radiomics will likely improve the accuracy of the model, the current algorithm will allow us to develop an EHR-based identification of patients at risk for PC. (Table Presented)

The determination of endometrial carcinoma histological subtypes, molecular subtypes, and mutation status is critical for the diagnostic process, and directly affects patients' prognosis and treatment. Sequencing, albeit slower and more expensive, can provide additional information on molecular subtypes and mutations that can be used to better select treatments. Here, we implement a customized multi-resolution deep convolutional neural network, Panoptes, that predicts not only the histological subtypes but also the molecular subtypes and 18 common gene mutations based on digitized H&E-stained pathological images. The model achieves high accuracy and generalizes well on independent datasets. Our results suggest that Panoptes, with further refinement, has the potential for clinical application to help pathologists determine molecular subtypes and mutations of endometrial carcinoma without sequencing.

During the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, rapid and accurate triage of patients at the emergency department is critical to inform decision-making. We propose a data-driven approach for automatic prediction of deterioration risk using a deep neural network that learns from chest X-ray images and a gradient boosting model that learns from routine clinical variables. Our AI prognosis system, trained using data from 3661 patients, achieves an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.786 (95% CI: 0.745-0.830) when predicting deterioration within 96 hours. The deep neural network extracts informative areas of chest X-ray images to assist clinicians in interpreting the predictions and performs comparably to two radiologists in a reader study. In order to verify performance in a real clinical setting, we silently deployed a preliminary version of the deep neural network at New York University Langone Health during the first wave of the pandemic, which produced accurate predictions in real-time. In summary, our findings demonstrate the potential of the proposed system for assisting front-line physicians in the triage of COVID-19 patients.

Importance/UNASSIGNED:To date, the association of psychiatric diagnoses with mortality in patients infected with coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has not been evaluated. Objective/UNASSIGNED:To assess whether a diagnosis of a schizophrenia spectrum disorder, mood disorder, or anxiety disorder is associated with mortality in patients with COVID-19. Design, Setting, and Participants/UNASSIGNED:This retrospective cohort study assessed 7348 consecutive adult patients for 45 days following laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 between March 3 and May 31, 2020, in a large academic medical system in New York. The final date of follow-up was July 15, 2020. Patients without available medical records before testing were excluded. Exposures/UNASSIGNED:Patients were categorized based on the following International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification diagnoses before their testing date: (1) schizophrenia spectrum disorders, (2) mood disorders, and (3) anxiety disorders. Patients with these diagnoses were compared with a reference group without psychiatric disorders. Main Outcomes and Measures/UNASSIGNED:Mortality, defined as death or discharge to hospice within 45 days following a positive severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) test result. Results/UNASSIGNED:Of the 26 540 patients tested, 7348 tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (mean [SD] age, 54 [18.6] years; 3891 [53.0%] women). Of eligible patients with positive test results, 75 patients (1.0%) had a history of a schizophrenia spectrum illness, 564 (7.7%) had a history of a mood disorder, and 360 (4.9%) had a history of an anxiety disorder. After adjusting for demographic and medical risk factors, a premorbid diagnosis of a schizophrenia spectrum disorder was significantly associated with mortality (odds ratio [OR], 2.67; 95% CI, 1.48-4.80). Diagnoses of mood disorders (OR, 1.14; 95% CI, 0.87-1.49) and anxiety disorders (OR, 0.96; 95% CI, 0.65-1.41) were not associated with mortality after adjustment. In comparison with other risk factors, a diagnosis of schizophrenia ranked behind only age in strength of an association with mortality. Conclusions and Relevance/UNASSIGNED:In this cohort study of adults with SARS-CoV-2-positive test results in a large New York medical system, adults with a schizophrenia spectrum disorder diagnosis were associated with an increased risk for mortality, but those with mood and anxiety disorders were not associated with a risk of mortality. These results suggest that schizophrenia spectrum disorders may be a risk factor for mortality in patients with COVID-19.

During the COVID-19 pandemic, rapid and accurate triage of patients at the emergency department is critical to inform decision-making. We propose a data-driven approach for automatic prediction of deterioration risk using a deep neural network that learns from chest X-ray images, and a gradient boosting model that learns from routine clinical variables. Our AI prognosis system, trained using data from 3,661 patients, achieves an AUC of 0.786 (95% CI: 0.742-0.827) when predicting deterioration within 96 hours. The deep neural network extracts informative areas of chest X-ray images to assist clinicians in interpreting the predictions, and performs comparably to two radiologists in a reader study. In order to verify performance in a real clinical setting, we silently deployed a preliminary version of the deep neural network at NYU Langone Health during the first wave of the pandemic, which produced accurate predictions in real-time. In summary, our findings demonstrate the potential of the proposed system for assisting front-line physicians in the triage of COVID-19 patients.

Clinical interactions are initially recorded and documented in free text medical notes. ICD coding is the task of classifying and coding all diagnoses, symptoms and procedures associated with a patient's visit. The process is often manual and extremely time-consuming and expensive for hospitals. In this paper, we propose a machine learning model, BERT-XML, for large scale automated ICD coding from EHR notes, utilizing recently developed unsupervised pretraining that have achieved state of the art performance on a variety of NLP tasks. We train a BERT model from scratch on EHR notes, learning with vocabulary better suited for EHR tasks and thus outperform off-the-shelf models. We adapt the BERT architecture for ICD coding with multi-label attention. While other works focus on small public medical datasets, we have produced the first large scale ICD-10 classification model using millions of EHR notes to predict thousands of unique ICD codes