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Longitudinal determinants of posttraumatic stress in a population-based cohort study

Galea, Sandro; Ahern, Jennifer; Tracy, Melissa; Hubbard, Alan; Cerda, Magdalena; Goldmann, Emily; Vlahov, David
BACKGROUND: Posttraumatic stress disorder is a prevalent and disabling psychologic pathology. Longitudinal research on the predictors of posttraumatic stress symptomatology is limited. METHODS: We recruited 2752 participants to a prospective, population-based cohort study by conducting a telephone survey of adult residents of the New York City metropolitan area in 2002; participants completed 3 follow-up interviews over a 30-month period. Censoring weights were estimated to account for potential bias. We used generalized estimating equation logistic regression models with bootstrapped confidence intervals to assess the predictors of posttraumatic stress over time in multivariable models. RESULTS: Predictors of posttraumatic stress over time included ongoing stressors (odds ratio [OR] = 1.91 per 1 unit increase in number of stressors, [95% confidence interval = 1.55-2.36]) and traumatic events (OR = 1.92 per 1 unit increase in number of traumatic events [CI = 1.71-2.22]), social support (compared with high levels, OR = 1.71 for medium [1.09-2.52]; OR = 1.57 for low [1.08-2.35]), low income (OR = 0.87 per $10,000 increase [0.81-0.92]), female sex (1.60 [1.11-2.23]), and Latino ethnicity (compared with white, OR = 1.74 [1.05-2.97]). CONCLUSIONS: These findings suggest that ongoing stressors play a central role in explaining the trajectory of posttraumatic stress over time, and that factors beyond the experience of stressors and traumas may account for sex and ethnic differences in posttraumatic stress risk. Interventions that focus on reducing ongoing adversity may help mitigate the consequences of traumatic events.
PMID: 18091003
ISSN: 1044-3983
CID: 1596272

Correlates of illicit methadone use in New York City : a cross-sectional study

Ompad, Danielle C; Fuller, Crystal M; Chan, Christina A; Frye, Victoria; Cerda, Magdalena; Vlahov, David; Galea, Sandro
[London : BioMed Central, 2008]
Extent: 9 p.
ISBN: n/a
CID: 3855722

Violent behavior by girls reporting violent victimization: a prospective study

Molnar, Beth E; Browne, Angela; Cerda, Magdalena; Buka, Stephen L
OBJECTIVE:To assess the relationships between individual victimization and neighborhood-level violence on subsequent violent perpetration by adolescent girls in a community-based sample. DESIGN/METHODS:Longitudinal, multilevel analysis of data collected by the Project on Human Development in Chicago Neighborhoods. Three in-home interviews were conducted approximately 24 months apart between November 1995 and January 2002 with youth and their caregivers. Community-level data also were collected in 1995 from a random sample of Chicago residents. Hierarchical regression models and propensity scores were used. SETTING/METHODS:Families and neighborhoods in Chicago. PARTICIPANTS/METHODS:Population-based sample of 637 girls, ages 9 to 15 years at baseline, and the neighborhoods in which they resided. This sample is diverse in race/ethnicity, socioeconomic status, family structure, and neighborhood characteristics. MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE/METHODS:Self-reports of violent behavior in the 12 months before the third interview. RESULTS:At baseline, 38% of the girls reported perpetrating at least 1 violent behavior in the prior 12 months, 28% reported past year violent behavior at the first follow-up interview, and 14% reported past year violent behavior at the third interview. The odds of violent behavior were 2.2 times higher among girls who reported prior violent victimization, after prior confounding factors and baseline violent behavior were controlled (95% confidence interval, 1.3- 4.4). Homicides and concentrated poverty in girls' neighborhoods also were associated with aggression by girls. CONCLUSIONS:Improving safety in communities and homes may reduce rates of violent perpetration by adolescent girls. Study results suggest that, to facilitate identification of and healing among adolescent survivors of violence, practitioners should recognize perpetration of violence as potential sequelae of prior violent victimization.
PMID: 16061780
ISSN: 1072-4710
CID: 3088952

Youth Participation in Health and Development : an Analytical Framework

Bronstein, Aden Marsh; Cerda, Magdalena; Clark, Cari Jo; Perilla, Mindy J; Tang, Simon Sai-Kong; Yeh, Irene May
[New Haven, CT : s.n.], 1999
Extent: 43 p. ; 28 cm
ISBN: n/a
CID: 3855712

A COMPARISON OF SEVERITY OF ILLNESS SCORING SYSTEMS FOR INTENSIVE-CARE UNIT PATIENTS - RESULTS OF A MULTICENTER, MULTINATIONAL STUDY

CASTELLA, X; ARTIGAS, A; BION, J; KARI, A; BENZER, H; HUBER, C; ALEXANDER, JP; DELANDE, M; LEDOUX, D; CANIVET, JL; DAMAS, P; DEMEYER, I; VISSERS, K; DUGERNIER, T; HUYGHENS, L; DILTOUR, M; DEWIT, N; NAGLER, J; COOLS, F; NOLLET, G; VERBEKE, J; POELAERT, J; COLLARDYN, F; LATERRE, PF; DOUGNAC, A; REYNAERT, M; RUTSAERT, R; COLEMONT, L; SCHETZ, M; LAUWERS, P; HAMILTON, S; NORRIS, C; SHUSTACK, A; JOHNSTON, R; KONOPAD, E; HANNONEN, P; HERSIO, K; KAIRI, P; KLOSSNER, J; SAARELA, E; VAHAMURTO, M; ARICE, C; BEDOCQ, B; BLETTERY, B; MISSET, B; CARLET, J; MIER, L; DREYFUSS, D; FOSSE, JP; GARO, B; DEMINGEON, G; HOLZHAPFEL, L; KOPFERSCHMITT, J; MAHUL, P; NITEMBERG, G; PLOUVIER, F; SAULNIER, F; VILLERS, D; WIEDECK, H; BURCHARDI, H; KLINGLER, H; DICK, W; BROST, F; ECKART, J; WENGERT, P; GELGER, K; ARMBRUSTER, K; KAMP, HD; ROTHE, M; LANDAUER, B; SCHMID, TO; PETER, K; FORST, H; PIPER, C; REINHART, K; RUDOLPH, T; RUGHEIMER, E; PSCHEIDL, E; SCHMITZ, J; SCHUSTER, HP; BODMANN, KF; STOBER, D; DRESSLER, C; ALBERTARIO, F; CARNEVALE, L; BASSI, F; GRAZIANI, BM; PALLAVICINI, FB; CASSINI, C; CINELLA, G; BRIENZA, A; CONTI, G; DEBLASI, A; FIANDRI, MT; COSCO, D; FUMAGALLI, R; AVALLI, L; GIUDICI, D; GALLIOLI, G; CAPUZZO, M; RAGAZZI, R; VOLTA, CA; GUARINO, A; MERLI, G; SERRA, L; FASIOLO, S; IAPICHINO, G; ROTELLI, S; LACQUANITI, L; MORETTI, T; MELOTTI, R; NEGRO, G; MERGONI, M; SACCANI, A; RAVIZZA, A; CASELLA, G; RIPAMONTI, D; FAVERO, A; SIMINI, G; MANUALI, A; VERNERO, S; VIALE, A; VESCONI, S; SICIGNANO, A; BRUINING, HA; DEHAAS, J; DEJONG, D; DEJONG, M; HAANSTRA, WP; HULSTAERT, PF; JAIRAM, R; VANDALEN, R; VANDERGEEST, S; WOITTIEZ, AJJ; ZWAVELING, JH; ABIZANDA, R; BALERDI, B; SOCIAS, L; MESTRE, J; BONET, A; ALVAREZ, A; BOVEDA, JL; MANZANARES, I; SALGADO, I; CABRE, L; CARRASCO, G; CASANOVAS, M; FARAIDUN, E; BAUSILI, JM; CERDA, M; IBARS, M; GIMENO, C; PRIETO, AD; TORRADO, H; GUARDIOLA, JJ; BOQUE, C; GUIRADOALAIZ, M; ITURBE, F; BARBERA, C; RABASSO, C; CABALLERO, JMN; ROGLAN, A; RUIZ, J; GARCIA, L; SARMIENTO, X; TOBOSO, JM; SOLSONA, J; VAZQUEZ, A; NOLLA, M; BAUMANN, PC; VONWILLER, HM; DOMENIGHETTI, G; ERBA, D; CHEVROLET, JC; JOLLIET, P; CHIOLERO, R; MESSIKOMMER, A; ENRICO, JF; KEHTARI, R; DETORRENTE, A; KOCHER, A; LUPI, G; FRUTIGER, A; REIGNER, M; RITZ, R; DURRER, S; PERRET, CH; SCHALLER, MD; SUTER, P; RICOU, B; BOWDEN, M; GARRARD, C; RANDALLS, B; WILSON, I; ADELMAN, M; MILLER, RA; QUINONES, B; BAER, CL; SCHWAMACHER, J; RENNER, L; COX, PM; PRATO, S; FEIN, IA; VEEDER, A; GETTINGER, A; HOLMES, K; ASTIZ, ME; SAXON, J; DEGENT, G; GROSSBARD, L; RUCHTI, R; GUTIERREZ, G; CLARK, C; WITHERSPOON, J; HARRIS, F; HIGGINS, M; JASTREMSKI, MS; MILEWSKI, A; BUNCH, K; KARRAS, G; BARGHOUD, C; RICHARD, N; BOOTH, FVM; KERINS, R; BOOTH, J; NASRAWAY, SA; SOTTILE, FD; SIGEL, P; ORTIZ, CR; CROMILLER, J; PORTER, KA; RAFKIN, H; ERMAKOV, S; RETCHIN, S; REINES, HD; CASADO, M; ROGOVE, H; MORROW, S; CHUPKA, K; FOSTER, E; SCHWAITZBERG, SD; HAYES, J; SCARAMUZZI, J; SMITH, JL; BURNS, R; HAMMAKER, D; TERES, D; DESROSIERS, C; MOINEAU, A; THOMPSON, D; SIPPERLY, ME; HEISELMAN, D; HOFER, T; VIDOVICH, R; ODONNELL, JM; GRAY, A; DAVIS, FG; TONNESEN, AS; CRONIN, LS; JENNINGS, C
Objective: To compare the performance of three severity of illness scoring systems used commonly for intensive care unit (ICU) patients in a large international data set. The systems analyzed were versions II and III of the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) system, versions I and II of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS), and versions I and II of the Mortality Probability Model (MPM), computed at admission and after 24 hrs in the ICU. Design: A multicenter, multinational cohort study. Setting: One hundred thirty-seven ICUs in 12 European and North American countries. Patients: During a 3-month period, 14, 745 patients were consecutively admitted to 137 ICUs enrolled in the study. Interventions: Collection of information necessary to compute the APACHE II and APACHE III scores, SAPS I and SAPS II, and MPM I and MPM II scores. Patients were followed until hospital discharge. Statistical comparison, including indices of calibration (goodness-of-fit) and discrimination (are!a under the receiver operating characteristic curve). Measurements and Main Results: Despite having acceptable receiver operating characteristic areas, the older versions of the systems analyzed (APACHE II, SAPS, and MPM I computed at admission-MPM I computed after 24 hrs in the ICU) demonstrated poor calibration for the whole database. The new versions of the systems (SAPS II and MPM II) were superior to their older counterparts. This superiority is reflected by larger receiver operating characteristic areas and better fit. The APACHE III system improved its receiver operating characteristic area compared with the APACHE II system, which showed the best fit of the old systems analyzed. Conclusions: The new versions of the severity systems analyzed (APACHE III, SAPS II, MPM II) perform better than their older counterparts (APACHE II, SAPS I, and MPM I). APACHE II, SAPS II, and MPM II show good discrimination and calibration in this international database. $$:
ISI:A1995RN41400005
ISSN: 0090-3493
CID: 109619