Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:Recreational cannabis use is increasing in Mexico, where legalization is a possibility. The current area-level socioeconomic context of cannabis use has not been studied in the country, limiting our understanding and public health response. We aimed to analyze the association between the municipal socioeconomic environment and recreational cannabis use in Mexico. METHODS:We used data from the National Survey of Drug, Alcohol and Tobacco Consumption 2016-17, the National Health and Nutrition Survey 2023, the 2015 intercensal survey and the 2020 census to study the association of municipal income and municipal education with past-year recreational cannabis use. We fitted Poisson models with robust variance to obtain prevalence ratios and assessed for effect modification by individual-level sex and age, and household-level education. RESULTS:For every unit increase in municipal education, we observed a 1.5 % increase in the prevalence of recreational cannabis use in 2016-17, and a 2.9 % increase in 2023. For each unit increase in municipal income, we observed a 1.5 % increase in the prevalence of recreational cannabis use in 2016-17, and a 1.8 % increase in 2023. We found no effect modification except for a single age group (20- to 29-year-olds vs to 12- to 19-year-olds). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Recreational cannabis use in Mexico is currently higher in more socioeconomically advantaged municipalities. Recreational cannabis use through socioeconomic areas should be monitored closely. Further research of the modifiable causes of this association could help inform current and future public health policies.

BACKGROUND:Wider availability of cannabis through medical and recreational legalization (MCL alone and RCL+MCL) has been hypothesized to contribute to reductions in opioid use, misuse, and related harms. We examined whether state adoption of cannabis laws was associated with changes in opioid outcomes overall and stratified by cannabis use. METHODS:Using National Survey on Drug Use and Health (NSDUH) data from 2015 to 2019, we estimated cannabis law associations with opioid (prescription opioid misuse and/or heroin use) misuse and use disorder. All logistic regression models (overall models and models stratified by cannabis use), included year and state fixed effects, individual level covariates, and opioid-related state policies. Stratified analyses were restricted to individuals who reported lifetime cannabis use prior to law adoption to reduce potential for collider bias. Estimates accounted for multiple comparisons using false discovery rate (FDR) corrections and sensitivity to unmeasured confounding using e-values. RESULTS:Overall, MCL and RCL adoption were not associated with changes in the odds of any opioid outcome. After restricting to respondents reporting past-year cannabis use, we observed decreased odds of past year opioid misuse (adjusted odds ratio [AOR]: 0.57 [95 % confidence interval [CI]: 0.38, 0.85]; FDR p-value: 0.07), among individuals in states with MCL compared to those in states without cannabis laws. RCLs were not associated with changes in the odds of any opioid outcome beyond MCL adoption. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Comparing individuals in MCL alone states to those in states without such laws, we found an inconsistent pattern of decreased odds of opioid outcomes, which were more pronounced among people reporting cannabis use. The pattern did not hold for individuals in RCL states. In line with a substitution-oriented perspective, findings suggests that MCLs may be associated with reductions in opioid use among people using cannabis but additional work to replicate and expand on these findings is needed.

OBJECTIVE:To evaluate the completeness and quality of Medicaid comprehensive managed care (CMC) data in national MAX/TAF research files. STUDY SETTING AND DESIGN/METHODS:This observational study compared CMC with fee-for-service (FFS) enrollee data in 2001-2019 Medicaid MAX/TAF inpatient, outpatient, and pharmacy files. Completeness was assessed as the proportion of enrollees with any claim and mean claims per enrollee with any claim. Quality was assessed as the proportion of inpatient and outpatient claims with primary diagnosis and procedure codes and the proportion of prescription drug claims with fill dates, National Drug Codes (NDC), days supplied, and quantity dispensed. Acceptable ranges for each study measure were defined as the national FFS mean ± 2 standard deviations. DATA SOURCES AND ANALYTIC SAMPLE/UNASSIGNED:We analyzed secondary data on 45 states from 2001 to 2013 (MAX) and 50 states and DC from 2014 to 2019 (TAF). The sample included adults aged 18-64 with continuous calendar-year enrollment who were eligible for full Medicaid benefits and ineligible for Medicare. We determined CMC enrollment rates and assessed data completeness and quality among state-years with ≥10% CMC penetration, comparing CMC with FFS enrollees. PRINCIPAL FINDINGS/RESULTS:Across 891 state-years, 194,364,647 enrollees met inclusion criteria. Of 540 state-years (60.6%) with ≥10% CMC enrollment, CMC data were largely comparable to national FFS distributions for all inpatient (n = 430; 79.6%), outpatient (n = 467, 86.5%), and prescription (n = 459, 85.0%) completeness criteria and for all inpatient (n = 449, 83.1%), outpatient (n = 511, 94.6%), and prescription (n = 528, 97.8%) quality criteria. Overall completeness (92.3%) and quality (84.6%) improved substantially by 2019. CONCLUSIONS:Completeness and quality of CMC data were largely comparable to FFS data, with increasing state-years meeting criteria over time. Further research on national Medicaid populations should assess and address differences in data completeness and quality by plan type across states, over time, and in relation to specific study samples and measures of interest.

BACKGROUND/UNASSIGNED:Rates of cannabis use disorder (CUD) have increased disproportionately among Veterans Administration (VA) patients with psychiatric disorders compared to patients with no disorder. However, VA patient samples are not representative of all U.S. adults, so results on disproportionate increases in CUD prevalence could have been biased. To address this concern, we investigated whether disproportionate increases in the prevalence of cannabis outcomes among those with psychiatric disorders would replicate in nationally representative samples of U.S. adults. METHODS/UNASSIGNED: = 36,309). Outcomes were any past-year non-medical cannabis use, frequent non-medical use (≥3 times weekly), and DSM-IV CUD. Psychiatric disorders included mood, anxiety and antisocial personality disorders. Logistic regression was used to generate predicted prevalences of the outcomes, prevalence differences calculated and additive interactions compared differences between those with and without psychiatric disorders. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:Cannabis outcomes increased more among those with psychiatric disorders. The difference in prevalence differences included any past-year non-medical cannabis use, 2.45% (95%CI = 1.29-3.62); frequent non-medical cannabis use, 1.58% (95%CI = 0.83-2.33); CUD, 1.40% (95%CI = 0.58-2.21). For most specific disorders, prevalences increased more among those with the disorder. CONCLUSIONS/UNASSIGNED:In the U.S. general population, rates of cannabis use and CUD increased more among adults with psychiatric disorders than other adults, similar to findings from VA patient samples. Results suggest that although VA patients are not representative of all U.S. adults, findings from this important patient group can be informative. Greater clinical and policy attention to CUD is warranted for adults with psychiatric disorders.

BACKGROUND:Firearm violence remains a leading cause of death and injury in the United States. Prior research supports that alcohol exposures, including individual-level alcohol use and alcohol control policies, are modifiable risk factors for firearm violence, yet additional research is needed to support prevention efforts. OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:This scoping review aims to update a prior 2016 systematic review on the links between alcohol exposure and firearm violence to examine whether current studies indicate causal links between alcohol use, alcohol interventions, and firearm violence-related outcomes. ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA/METHODS:Following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses Extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA-ScR) guidelines, a comprehensive search of published studies was conducted, replicating the search strategy of the prior review but focusing on studies published since 2015. The review included published studies of humans, conducted in general populations of any age, gender, or racial/ethnic group, that examined the relationship between an alcohol-related exposure and an outcome involving firearm violence or risks for firearm violence. Excluded were small studies restricted to special populations, forensic or other technical studies, non-original research articles such as reviews, and studies that relied solely on descriptive statistics or did not adjust for confounders. SOURCES OF EVIDENCE/METHODS:The review included published studies indexed in PubMed, Web of Science, and Scopus. Eligible articles were published on or after January 1, 2015. The latest search was conducted on December 15, 2023. CHARTING METHODS/METHODS:Using a structured data collection instrument, data were extracted on the characteristics of each study, including the dimension of alcohol exposure, the dimension of firearm violence, study population, study design, statistical analysis, source of funding, main findings, and whether effect measure modification was assessed and, if so, along what dimensions. Two authors independently conducted title/abstract screening, full-text screening, and data extraction until achieving 95% agreement, with discrepancies resolved through discussion. RESULTS:The search yielded 797 studies. Of these, 754 were excluded and 43 met the final inclusion criteria. Studies addressed a range of alcohol exposures and firearm violence-related outcomes, primarily with cross-sectional study designs; 40% considered effect measure modification by any population characteristic. Findings from the 21 studies examining the relationship of individual-level alcohol use or alcohol use disorder (AUD) with firearm ownership, access, unsafe storage, or carrying indicated a strong and consistent positive association. Seven studies examined associations of individual-level alcohol use or AUD with firearm injury or death; these also indicated a pattern of positive associations, but the magnitude and precision of the estimates varied. Eight studies examined the impact of neighborhood proximity or density of alcohol outlets and found mixed results that were context- and study design-dependent. Two studies linked prior alcohol-related offenses to increased risk of firearm suicide and perpetration of violent firearm crimes among a large cohort of people who purchased handguns, and two studies linked policies prohibiting firearm access among individuals with a history of alcohol-related offenses to reductions in firearm homicide and suicide. Finally, four studies examined alcohol control policies and found that greater restrictiveness was generally associated with reductions in firearm homicide or firearm suicide. CONCLUSIONS:Findings from this scoping review continue to support a causal relationship between alcohol exposures and firearm violence that extends beyond acute alcohol use to include AUD and alcohol-related policies. Policies controlling the availability of alcohol and prohibiting firearm access among individuals with alcohol-related offense histories show promise for the prevention of firearm violence. Additional research examining differential impacts by population subgroup, alcohol use among perpetrators of firearm violence, policies restricting alcohol outlet density, and randomized or quasi-experimental study designs with longitudinal follow-up would further support inferences to inform prevention efforts.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:The United States is facing an opioid use disorder (OUD) epidemic, marked by unprecedented overdose death rates. In New York State, synthetic opioids significantly contribute to the increasing overdose deaths, disproportionately impacting Black and Latinx communities. There is an urgent need to address issues related to equitable access to and the quality of care provided by substance use disorder (SUD) treatment programs. In light of this, the Quality Measurement and Management Research Center (QM2-RC) brought together an academic-government partnership to develop a person-centered quality measurement system and to assess its impact on a statewide treatment system that serves approximately 180,000 individuals per year. METHODS AND ANALYSIS/METHODS:The QM2-RC encompasses three interconnected projects (Project 1, 2, and 3) aimed at developing a quality management strategy and evaluating its impact on system performance across New York State. This report specifically focuses on Project 3, which involves a stepped-wedge trial with 35 clinics receiving a quality management intervention that includes performance coaching. This intervention will be compared to a treatment-as-usual (TAU) condition for clinics not participating in the trial. Administrative data will be utilized to monitor outcomes over four years. The coaching intervention, guided by the Integrated Promoting Action on Research Implementation in Health Services (i-PARIHS) model, emphasizes interpreting quality measures and applying insights to enhance care. Coaches will provide support on data utilization, patient-centered care, harm reduction strategies, and the use of patient monitoring tools. The trial aims to evaluate clinic staff and leadership attitudes, experiences, and behaviors through surveys, semi-structured interviews, and external facilitator notes. Primary clinic outcomes will be assessed through adverse events, decreased clinic rates of substance use related emergency department visits and hospitalizations as well as mortality among patients within the first 12 months after admission to treatment after adjusting for individual and community level characteristics. This study is being developed over a multi-year period and will be informed by a mixed-methods approach incorporating multiple data sources, qualitative interviews, patient and clinic surveys. The study is being conducted in partnership with New York State Office of Addiction Services and Supports (OASAS) and will be informed by input from patient, providers, health insurers, family members and local governing units. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS:Project 3 of the QM2 study specifically targets key barriers in measuring the quality of SUD treatment, including technological limitations, unvalidated measures, workforce data literacy, and concerns about fairness in assessing clinical complexity. Through the implementation of a stepped-wedge trial involving 35 clinics, the project aims to develop new quality measures, offer performance feedback, and engage clinic leadership and staff in efforts to improve practices. The ultimate goal of Project 3 is to overcome these barriers, promote person-centered care, and improve SUD treatment practices across New York State.

Amid the ongoing overdose crisis, U.S. lawmakers are considering policy reforms that could significantly change availability and accessibility of methadone treatment (MT) for opioid use disorder (OUD). However, uncertainty remains about which potential changes will lead to the greatest health benefits while minimizing unintended harms. In this protocol, we describe a planned NIH-funded study (R21DA061660) to simulate alternative MT delivery scenarios currently being considered in U.S. policy discussions, and estimate their impact on population-level rates of treatment initiation and retention and opioid overdose across different sociodemographic groups. We will use an agent-based model focused on 16 counties in NY State to simulate two alternative policy scenarios compared to the current status quo of opioid-treatment program (OTP) delivered MT: 1) office-based prescribing by addiction-certified providers with pharmacy and OTP dispensing; and 2) office-based prescribing by general practitioners with pharmacy and OTP dispensing. Agents will represent individuals with OUD and we will simulate access to MT based on alternative policy scenarios (e.g., locations of existing OTPs vs. provider offices and pharmacies). Probabilities of treatment initiation, retention, and opioid overdose will be informed by estimates from the scientific literature and administrative datasets from NY State. Multiple implementation scenarios will be considered to account for potential variation in adoption of office-based methadone by patients, providers, and pharmacies. To ensure relevance to directly impacted communities and policy makers, the study involves a collaboration between academic researchers and NY State government partners and relies on input from an Expert Advisory Board of people with lived and living experience with methadone, addiction medicine, and policy experts. Findings will be disseminated via a public dashboard. This study will inform ongoing policy discussions and shed light on the potential of researcher-policy partnerships to promote evidence-based policies that can reduce overdose and improve population health.

INTRODUCTION/UNASSIGNED:Homelessness in the United States increased every year since 2016, with a 38% increase from 2023 to 2024. Much of the increase is attributable to rising home and rent costs, economic hardship caused by the recent pandemic, and the ending of protective legislation. Notably, people who experience homelessness have an increased risk of substance use disorders, HIV infection and poorer HIV outcomes than people who are stably housed. The iHouse model aims to develop feasible, effective, and cost-effective tailored approaches to improve health outcomes in this population including life expectancy, overdose, and HIV. METHODS AND ANALYSIS/UNASSIGNED:The study will employ Group Model Building methods and use insights from that process to develop an agent-based model simulating the dynamic processes contributing to HIV incidence and treatment, overdose, and life expectancy among people along the housing and homelessness continuum in Denver, CO and San Francisco, CA. The model will evaluate multiple outcomes from 4 conceptual dimensions: (1) movement along the housing continuum, (2) population health (overdose and HIV incidence and life expectancy), (3) budgetary impact, (4) economic value. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION/UNASSIGNED:This study has been approved by the Colorado Institutional Review Board at the University of Colorado under protocol 24-0878. The data generated by this protocol, the methodologies used, and the findings will be made available in a timely manner to other researchers. iHOUSE code and parameter values will be published in Git Hub, such that all model analyses can be reproduced by independent investigators. Documentation of all parameter estimates and model results will be published for independent review and confirmation. In addition, supplemental materials and appendices for the model will be shared on a publicly available website.

IMPORTANCE/UNASSIGNED:Given the personal and social burdens of opioid use disorder (OUD), understanding time trends in OUD prevalence in large patient populations is key to planning prevention and treatment services. OBJECTIVE/UNASSIGNED:To examine trends in the prevalence of OUD from 2005 to 2022 overall and by age, sex, and race and ethnicity. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/UNASSIGNED:This serial cross-sectional study included national Veterans Health Administration (VHA) electronic medical record data from the VHA Corporate Data Warehouse. Adult patients (age ≥18 years) with a current OUD diagnosis (using International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification [ICD-9-CM] and International Statistical Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, Clinical Modification [ICD-10-CM] codes) who received outpatient care at VHA facilities from January 1, 2005, to December 31, 2022, were eligible for inclusion in the analysis. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES/UNASSIGNED:The main outcome was OUD diagnoses. To test for changes in prevalence of OUD over time, multivariable logistic regression models were run that included categorical study year and were adjusted for sex, race and ethnicity, and categorical age. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:The final sample size ranged from 4 332 165 to 5 962 564 per year; most were men (89.3%-95.0%). Overall, the annual percentage of VHA patients diagnosed with OUD almost doubled from 2005 to 2017 (0.60% [95% CI, 0.60%-0.61%] to 1.16% [95% CI, 1.15%-1.17%]; adjusted difference, 0.55 [95% CI, 0.54-0.57] percentage points) and declined thereafter (2022: 0.97% [95% CI, 0.97%-0.98%]; adjusted difference from 2017 to 2022, -0.18 [95% CI, -0.19 to -0.17] percentage points). This trend was similar among men (0.64% [95% CI, 0.63%-0.64%] in 2005 vs 1.22% [95% CI, 1.21%-1.23%] in 2017 vs 1.03% [95% CI, 1.02%-1.04%] in 2022), women (0.34% [95% CI, 0.32%-0.36%] in 2005 vs 0.68% [95% CI, 0.66%-0.69%] in 2017 vs 0.53% [95% CI, 0.52%-0.55%] in 2022), those younger than 35 years (0.62% [95% CI, 0.59%-0.66%] in 2005 vs 2.22% [95% CI, 2.18%-2.26%] in 2017 vs 1.00% [95% CI, 0.97%-1.03%] in 2022), those aged 35 to 64 years (1.21% [95% CI, 1.19%-1.22%] in 2005 vs 1.80% [95% CI, 1.78%-1.82%] in 2017 vs 1.41% [95% CI, 1.39%-1.42%] in 2022), and non-Hispanic White patients (0.44% [95% CI, 0.43%-0.45%] in 2005 vs 1.28% [95% CI, 1.27%-1.29%] in 2017 vs 1.13% [95% CI, 1.11%-1.14%] in 2022). Among VHA patients aged 65 years or older, OUD diagnoses increased from 2005 to 2022 (0.06% [95% CI, 0.06%-0.06%] to 0.61% [95% CI, 0.60%-0.62%]), whereas among Hispanic or Latino and non-Hispanic Black patients, OUD diagnoses decreased from 2005 (0.93% [95% CI, 0.88%-0.97%] and 1.26% [95% CI, 1.23%-1.28%], respectively) to 2022 (0.61% [95% CI, 0.59%-0.63%] and 0.82% [95% CI, 0.80%-0.83%], respectively). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/UNASSIGNED:This serial cross-sectional study of national VHA electronic health record data found that the prevalence of OUD diagnoses increased from 2005 to 2017, peaked in 2017, and declined thereafter, a trend primarily attributable to changes among non-Hispanic White patients and those younger than 65 years. Continued public health efforts aimed at recognizing, treating, and preventing OUD are warranted.