Faculty Bibliography
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Background The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2017 comparative risk assessment (CRA) is a comprehensive approach to risk factor quantification that offers a useful tool for synthesising evidence on risks and risk outcome associations. With each annual GBD study, we update the GBD CRA to incorporate improved methods, new risks and risk outcome pairs, and new data on risk exposure levels and risk outcome associations.
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Total Results:
195
Land use regression study in Lanzhou, China: A pilot sampling and spatial characteristics of pilot sampling sites
Background: Land use regression (LUR) has been widely used to estimate air pollution exposure in recent epidemiology studies. However, few LUR studies were conducted in China, and even fewer used purposefully designed monitoring networks. The objectives of this study are to obtain preliminary understanding of fine-scale air pollution distributions, and to provide a foundation for a future extended study in Lanzhou, China, a major industrial city. Method(s): A pilot monitoring network was designed using stratified-random sampling, and purposeful selection in gaps of spatial predictor distributions. Based on this network, NO2 were measured using Palmes tubes for 2 weeks in summer 2015, which were used to develop a pilot LUR model considering spatial information of traffic and population densities, elevation, land cover, and land use. We developed linear regression, kriging models, including ordinary kriging, universal kriging, and compared them using AIC. Result(s): The sampling sites of the pilot monitoring network represented wide ranges of spatial predictors (N = 47). The pilot LUR model explained 71% of the variance in the measured NO2 at the sampling sites. The spatial predictors in the model included road densities, elevation, and district indicator. Predicted NO2 concentrations were higher in the east of the city, which is more developed and has dense road networks. Linear regression model performed better than the kriging models due to the lowest AIC. Conclusion(s): This study developed a pilot monitoring network that can effectively capture variability in spatial characteristics and developed a robust LUR model capturing small-scale spatial variations of air pollution in an understudied area. The predicted and measured NO2 showed substantial spatial heterogeneity that was not captured by the limited government monitors. A future study with extended monitoring network and measurements from more seasons is needed to fully understand the distribution of air pollution in Lanzhou, China.
EMBASE:2001968185
ISSN: 1873-2844
CID: 3901982
American journal of respiratory & critical care medicine. 2019:200(8):1022-1031.DOI: 10.1164/rccm.201806-1161OC
Long-term Exposure to Ozone and Cause-Specific Mortality Risk in the U.S
RATIONALE/BACKGROUND:Many studies have linked short-term exposure to ozone (O3) with morbidity and mortality, but epidemiological evidence of associations between long-term ozone exposure and mortality is more limited. OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:We investigated associations of long-term (annual or warm season average) O3 exposure with all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study, a large prospective cohort of U.S. adults with 17 years of follow-up from 1995 to 2011. METHODS:The cohort (N=548,780) was linked to census tract-level estimates for O3. Associations between long-term O3 exposure (averaged values from 2002-2010) and multiple causes of death were evaluated using multivariate Cox proportional hazards models, adjusted for both individual- and census tract-level covariates, as well as potentially confounding co-pollutants and temperature. MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS/RESULTS:Long-term annual average exposure to O3 was significantly associated with deaths due to cardiovascular disease (per 10 ppb, HR=1.03; 95% CI: 1.01-1.06), ischemic heart disease (HR=1.06; 95% CI: 1.02-1.09), respiratory disease (HR=1.04; 95% CI: 1.00-1.09), and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR=1.09; 95% CI: 1.03-1.15) in single-pollutant models. The results were robust to alternative models and adjustment for co-pollutants (fine particulate matter and nitrogen dioxide), although some evidence of confounding by temperature was observed. Significantly elevated respiratory disease mortality risk associated with long-term O3 exposure was found among those living in locations with high temperature (p-interaction<0.05). CONCLUSIONS:This study found that long-term exposure to O3 is associated with increased risk for multiple causes of mortality, suggesting that establishment of annual and/or seasonal federal O3 standard(s) are needed to more adequately protect public health from ambient O3 exposures.
PMID: 31051079
ISSN: 1535-4970
CID: 3908832
Exposure to air pollution is associated with adverse cardiopulmonary health effects in international travelers
BACKGROUND:With the number of annual global travelers reaching 1.2 billion, many individuals encounter greater levels of air pollution when they travel abroad to megacities around the world. This study's objective was to determine if visits to cities abroad with greater levels of air pollution adversely impacts cardiopulmonary health. METHODS:Thirty-four non-smoking, adult, healthy participants who traveled abroad to selected cities from the NYC metropolitan area were pre-trained to measure lung function, blood pressure, heart rate/variability, and record symptoms before, during, and after traveling abroad. Outdoor PM2.5 concentrations were obtained from central monitors in each city. Associations between PM exposure concentrations and cardiopulmonary health endpoints were analyzed using a mixed effects statistical design. RESULTS:East and South Asian cities had significantly higher PM2.5 concentrations compared to pre-travel NYC PM2.5 levels, with maximum concentrations reaching 503 μg/m3. PM exposure-related associations for lung function were statistically significant and strongest between evening FEV1 and same day morning PM2.5 concentrations: a 10 μg/m3 increase in outdoor PM2.5 was associated with a mean decrease of 7 ml. Travel to a highly polluted city (PM2.5 > 100 μg/m3) was associated with a 209 ml reduction in evening FEV1 compared to a low polluted city (PM2.5 < 35 μg/m3). In general, participants who traveled to East and South Asian cities experienced increased respiratory symptoms/scores and changes in heart rate and heart rate variability. CONCLUSIONS:Exposure to increased levels of PM2.5 in cities abroad caused small but statistically significant acute changes in cardiopulmonary function and respiratory symptoms in healthy young adults. These data suggest that travel-related exposure to increased PM2.5 adversely impacts cardiopulmonary health, which may be particularly important for travelers with pre-existing respiratory or cardiac disease.
PMID: 31058996
ISSN: 1708-8305
CID: 3900842
American journal of respiratory & critical care medicine. 2019:199(12):1570-1572.DOI: 10.1164/rccm.201811-2235LE
Exposure to Greater Air Pollution when Traveling Abroad is Associated with Decreased Lung Function
PMID: 30864816
ISSN: 1535-4970
CID: 3733182
Advancing environmental exposure assessment science to benefit society
Awareness of the human health impacts of exposure to air pollution is growing rapidly. For example, it has become evident that the adverse health effects of air pollution are more pronounced in disadvantaged populations. Policymakers in many jurisdictions have responded to this evidence by enacting initiatives that lead to lower concentrations of air pollutants, such as urban traffic restrictions. In this review, we focus on the interplay between advances in environmental exposure assessment and developments in policy. We highlight recent progress in the granular measurement of air pollutants and individual-level exposures, and how this has enabled focused local policy actions. Finally, we detail an illustrative study designed to link individual-level health-relevant exposures with economic, behavioral, biological, familial, and environmental variables.
PMID: 30874557
ISSN: 2041-1723
CID: 3733512
Air Pollution and Noncommunicable Diseases: A Review by the Forum of International Respiratory Societies' Environmental Committee, Part 2: Air Pollution and Organ Systems
Although air pollution is well known to be harmful to the lung and airways, it can also damage most other organ systems of the body. It is estimated that about 500,000 lung cancer deaths and 1.6 million COPD deaths can be attributed to air pollution, but air pollution may also account for 19% of all cardiovascular deaths and 21% of all stroke deaths. Air pollution has been linked to other malignancies, such as bladder cancer and childhood leukemia. Lung development in childhood is stymied with exposure to air pollutants, and poor lung development in children predicts lung impairment in adults. Air pollution is associated with reduced cognitive function and increased risk of dementia. Particulate matter in the air (particulate matter with an aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 μm) is associated with delayed psychomotor development and lower child intelligence. Studies link air pollution with diabetes mellitus prevalence, morbidity, and mortality. Pollution affects the immune system and is associated with allergic rhinitis, allergic sensitization, and autoimmunity. It is also associated with osteoporosis and bone fractures, conjunctivitis, dry eye disease, blepharitis, inflammatory bowel disease, increased intravascular coagulation, and decreased glomerular filtration rate. Atopic and urticarial skin disease, acne, and skin aging are linked to air pollution. Air pollution is controllable and, therefore, many of these adverse health effects can be prevented.
PMID: 30419237
ISSN: 1931-3543
CID: 3660182
Mediterranean Diet and the Association Between Air Pollution and Cardiovascular Disease Mortality Risk
BACKGROUND:Recent experimental evidence suggests that nutritional supplementation can blunt adverse cardiopulmonary effects induced by acute air pollution exposure. However, whether usual individual dietary patterns can modify the association between long-term air pollution exposure and health outcomes have not been previously investigated. We assessed, in a large cohort with detailed diet information at the individual level, whether a Mediterranean diet modifies the association between long-term exposure to ambient air pollution and cardiovascular disease mortality risk. METHODS:air pollution at the residential census-tract level. The alternative Mediterranean Diet Index (aMED), which uses a 9-point scale to assess conformity with a Mediterranean-style diet, was constructed for each participant from information in cohort baseline dietary questionnaires. We evaluated mortality risks for cardiovascular disease (CVD), ischemic heart disease (IHD), cerebrovascular disease (CER), or cardiac arrest (CAR) associated with long-term air pollution exposure. Effect modification of the associations between exposure and the mortality outcomes by aMED was examined via interaction terms. RESULTS:, we found significant associations with CVD (HR=1.06; 95% CI: 1.04-1.08), and IHD (HR=1.08; 95% CI: 1.05-1.11). Analyses indicated that Mediterranean diet modified these relationships, as those with a higher aMED score had significantly lower rates of air pollution related mortality ( p interaction<0.05). CONCLUSIONS:Mediterranean diet reduced cardiovascular disease mortality risk related to longterm exposure to air pollutants in a large prospective U.S cohort. Increased consumption of foods rich in antioxidant compounds may aid in reducing the considerable disease burden associated with ambient air pollution.
PMID: 30700142
ISSN: 1524-4539
CID: 3626772
Air Pollution and Non-Communicable Diseases: A Review by the Forum of International Respiratory Societies' Environmental Committee, Part 1: The damaging effects of air pollution
Air pollution poses a great environmental risk to health. Outdoor fine particulate matter (PM2.5) exposure is the fifth leading risk factor for death in the world, accounting for 4.2 million deaths and more than a hundred million disability-adjusted-life-years lost according to the Global Burden of Disease Report. The World Health Organization attributes 3.8 million additional deaths to Indoor air pollution. Air pollution can harm acutely, usually manifested by respiratory or cardiac symptoms, as well as chronically, potentially affecting every organ in the body. It can cause, complicate, or exacerbate many adverse health conditions. Tissue damage may result directly from pollutant toxicity, because fine and ultrafine particles can gain access to organs, or indirectly through systemic inflammatory processes. Susceptibility is partly under genetic and epigenetic regulation. Although air pollution affects people of all regions, ages, and social groups, it is likely to cause greater illness in those with heavy exposure and greater susceptibility. Persons are more vulnerable to air pollution if they have other illnesses or less social support. Harmful effects occur on a continuum of dosage and even at levels below air quality standards previously considered to be safe.
PMID: 30419235
ISSN: 1931-3543
CID: 3456822
Air Pollution, Mediterranean Diet, and Cause-Specific Mortality Risk in the NIH-AARP Diet and Health Study [Meeting Abstract]
ISI:000449980305464
ISSN: 1073-449x
CID: 3512812
Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks for 195 countries and territories, 1990-2017: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2017
ISI:000449710900007
ISSN: 0140-6736
CID: 3493172
