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Flexible functional regression methods for estimating individualized treatment regimes

Ciarleglio, Adam; Petkova, Eva; Tarpey, Thaddeus; Ogden, R Todd
A major focus of personalized medicine is on the development of individualized treatment rules. Good decision rules have the potential to significantly advance patient care and reduce the burden of a host of diseases. Statistical methods for developing such rules are progressing rapidly, but few methods have considered the use of pre-treatment functional data to guide in decision-making. Furthermore, those methods that do allow for the incorporation of functional pre-treatment covariates typically make strong assumptions about the relationships between the functional covariates and the response of interest. We propose two approaches for using functional data to select an optimal treatment that address some of the shortcomings of previously developed methods. Specifically, we combine the flexibility of functional additive regression models with Q-learning or A-learning in order to obtain treatment decision rules. Properties of the corresponding estimators are discussed. Our approaches are evaluated in several realistic settings using synthetic data and are applied to real data arising from a clinical trial comparing two treatments for major depressive disorder in which baseline imaging data are available for subjects who are subsequently treated.
PMCID:5568105
PMID: 28845233
ISSN: 2049-1573
CID: 2679102

Hippocampal gene expression patterns in a mouse model of Down Syndrome (Ts65Dn) following maternal choline supplementation (MCS) [Meeting Abstract]

Alldred, MJ; Chao, HM; Lee, SH; Beilin, J; Petkova, E; Ginsberg, SD
ORIGINAL:0011762
ISSN: 1558-3635
CID: 2479152

An initial investigation of brain functional reorganization following organizational skills training in children with attention-deficit/ hyperactivity disorder [Meeting Abstract]

Chen, B; Somandepalli, K; Abikoff, H B; Gallagher, R; Di, Bartolo C; Stanislawski, E; Petkova, E; Milham, M P; Castellanos, F X; DiMartino, A
Objectives: Organizational Skills Training (OST), is a 10-week psychosocial intervention found effective in improving organizational, time management, and planning (OTMP) skills in children with Attention-Deficit/Hyperactivity Disorder (ADHD). Little is known about the feasibility of identifying brain markers for treatment response. Using resting state fMRI (R-fMRI), we aimed to examine neuronal correlates of post-treatment change as a first step toward larger controlled studies of objective predictors of treatment response. Methods: We examined pre- and post-OST R-fMRI data of 15 children (12 males; mean age: 9+/-1 year) with ADHD and significant impairments in OTMP skills indexed by total scores on Children's Organizational Skills Scales-Parent (COSS-P) or Teacher (COSS-T). Our primary outcome measure was the change in COSS-P scores. As secondary summary outcome measure, we used prepost Z-score differences averaged across COSS-T, Homework Problems Checklist, Academic Progress Report and Academic Performance Rating scales. We selected a priori the intrinsic functional connectivity (iFC) of the dorsal anterior cingulate cortex (dACC), based on its role on cognitive control. Multivariate distance matrix regression (MDMR) analysis additionally allowed for whole-brain explorations. Follow-up iFC analyses were conducted on regions with significant within-subject post-OST differences by MDMR analysis. Results: COSS-P decreased significantly (t=7.1, p< 0.0001). In a cluster involving striatum bilaterally, dACC iFC decreased post-OST; these decreases were positively correlated with COSS-P improvements (r=.34, NS) and to improvements in the summary outcome (r=.63; p<0.03). MDMR analyses revealed iFC changes in the right medial and lateral precentral cortex. Followup seed-based iFC analyses of this region showed significant decreases in cortico-striatal iFC post-OST. Conclusions: Results support the feasibility of identifying changes in brain iFC after OST. Two distinct analysis converged on decreased corticosubcortical iFC post-treatment which related to change in clinical measures. As decreases in striato-cortical iFC characterize typical development, results suggest regionally-specific enhanced maturational effects of OST
EMBASE:613991361
ISSN: 1527-5418
CID: 2401582

Patient characteristics as a moderator of post-traumatic stress disorder treatment outcome: combining symptom burden and strengths

Cloitre, Marylene; Petkova, Eva; Su, Zhe; Weiss, Brandon
BACKGROUND: Post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) psychotherapy research has failed to identify patient characteristics that consistently predict differential outcome. AIMS: To identify patient characteristics associated with differential outcome via a statistically generated composite moderator among women with childhood abuse-related PTSD in a randomised controlled trial comparing exposure therapy, skills training and their combination. METHOD: Six baseline patient characteristics were combined in a composite moderator of treatment effects for PTSD symptoms across the three treatment conditions through a 6-month follow-up. RESULTS: The optimal moderator was the combined burden of all symptoms and emotion regulation strength. Those with high moderator scores, reflecting high symptom load relative to emotion regulation, did least well in exposure, moderately well in skills and best in the combination. CONCLUSIONS: A clinically meaningful moderator, which combines patient symptom burden and strengths, was identified. Assessment at follow-up may provide a more accurate indicator of variability in outcome than that obtained immediately post-treatment
PMCID:4995554
PMID: 27703762
ISSN: 2056-4724
CID: 2274092

Effects of ParentCorps in Prekindergarten on Child Mental Health and Academic Performance: Follow-up of a Randomized Clinical Trial Through 8 Years of Age

Brotman, Laurie Miller; Dawson-McClure, Spring; Kamboukos, Dimitra; Huang, Keng-Yen; Calzada, Esther J; Goldfeld, Keith; Petkova, Eva
Importance: Low-income minority children living in urban neighborhoods are at high risk for mental health problems and underachievement. ParentCorps, a family-centered, school-based intervention in prekindergarten, improves parenting and school readiness (ie, self-regulation and preacademic skills) in 2 randomized clinical trials. The longer-term effect on child mental health and academic performance is not known. Objective: To examine whether ParentCorps delivered as an enhancement to prekindergarten programs in high-poverty urban schools leads to fewer mental health problems and increased academic performance in the early elementary school years. Design, Setting, and Participants: This is a 3-year follow-up study of a cluster randomized clinical trial of ParentCorps in public schools with prekindergarten programs in New York City. Ten elementary schools serving a primarily low-income, black student population were randomized in 2005, and 4 consecutive cohorts of prekindergarten students were enrolled from September 12, 2005, through December 31, 2008. We report follow-up for the 3 cohorts enrolled after the initial year of implementation. Data analysis was performed from September 1, 2014, to December 31, 2015. Interventions: ParentCorps included professional development for prekindergarten and kindergarten teachers and a program for parents and prekindergarten students (13 two-hour group sessions delivered after school by teachers and mental health professionals). Main Outcomes and Measures: Annual teacher ratings of mental health problems and academic performance and standardized tests of academic achievement in kindergarten and second grade by testers masked to the intervention or control group randomization. Results: A total of 1050 children (4 years old; 518 boys [49.3%] and 532 girls [50.7%]) in 99 prekindergarten classrooms participated in the trial (88.1% of the prekindergarten population), with 792 students enrolled from 2006 to 2008. Most families in the follow-up study (421 [69.6%]) were low income; 680 (85.9%) identified as non-Latino black, 78 (9.8%) as Latino, and 34 (4.3%) as other. Relative to their peers in prekindergarten programs, children in ParentCorps-enhanced prekindergarten programs had lower levels of mental health problems (Cohen d = 0.44; 95% CI, 0.08-0.81) and higher teacher-rated academic performance (Cohen d = 0.21; 95% CI, 0.02-0.39) in second grade. Conclusions and Relevance: Intervention in prekindergarten led to better mental health and academic performance 3 years later. Family-centered early intervention has the potential to prevent problems and reduce disparities for low-income minority children. Trial Registration: clinicaltrials.gov Identifier: NCT01670227.
PMCID:5642293
PMID: 27695851
ISSN: 2168-6211
CID: 2273922

Hippocampal volume and integrity as predictors of cognitive decline in intact elderly

Bruno, Davide; Ciarleglio, Adam; Grothe, Michel J; Nierenberg, Jay; Bachman, Alvin H; Teipel, Stefan J; Petkova, Eva; Ardekani, Babak A; Pomara, Nunzio
The risk of Alzheimer's disease can be predicted by volumetric analyses of MRI data in the medial temporal lobe. The present study compared a volumetric measurement of the hippocampus with a novel measure of hippocampal integrity (HI) derived from the ratio of parenchyma volume over total volume. Participants were cognitively intact and aged 60 years or older at baseline, and were tested twice, roughly 3 years apart. Participants had been recruited for a study on late-life major depression (LLMD) and were evenly split between depressed patients and controls. Linear regression models were applied to the data with a cognitive composite score as the outcome, and HI and volume, together or separately, as predictors. Subsequent cognitive performance was predicted well by models that included an interaction between HI and LLMD status, such that lower HI scores predicted more cognitive decline in depressed patients. More research is needed, but tentative results from this study appear to suggest that the newly introduced measure HI is an effective tool for the purpose of predicting future changes in general cognitive ability, and especially so in individuals with LLMD.
PMCID:4929020
PMID: 27306593
ISSN: 1473-558x
CID: 2196282

Brain-Wide Insulin Resistance, Tau Phosphorylation Changes, and Hippocampal Neprilysin and Amyloid-beta Alterations in a Monkey Model of Type 1 Diabetes

Morales-Corraliza, Jose; Wong, Harrison; Mazzella, Matthew J; Che, Shaoli; Lee, Sang Han; Petkova, Eva; Wagner, Janice D; Hemby, Scott E; Ginsberg, Stephen D; Mathews, Paul M
Epidemiological findings suggest that diabetic individuals are at a greater risk for developing Alzheimer's disease (AD). To examine the mechanisms by which diabetes mellitus (DM) may contribute to AD pathology in humans, we examined brain tissue from streptozotocin-treated type 1 diabetic adult male vervet monkeys receiving twice-daily exogenous insulin injections for 8-20 weeks. We found greater inhibitory phosphorylation of insulin receptor substrate 1 in each brain region examined of the diabetic monkeys when compared with controls, consistent with a pattern of brain insulin resistance that is similar to that reported in the human AD brain. Additionally, a widespread increase in phosphorylated tau was seen, including brain areas vulnerable in AD, as well as relatively spared structures, such as the cerebellum. An increase in active ERK1/2 was also detected, consistent with DM leading to changes in tau-kinase activity broadly within the brain. In contrast to these widespread changes, we found an increase in soluble amyloid-beta (Abeta) levels that was restricted to the temporal lobe, with the greatest increase seen in the hippocampus. Consistent with this localized Abeta increase, a hippocampus-restricted decrease in the protein and mRNA for the Abeta-degrading enzyme neprilysin (NEP) was found, whereas various Abeta-clearing and -degrading proteins were unchanged. Thus, we document multiple biochemical changes in the insulin-controlled DM monkey brain that can link DM with the risk of developing AD, including dysregulation of the insulin-signaling pathway, changes in tau phosphorylation, and a decrease in NEP expression in the hippocampus that is coupled with a localized increase in Abeta. SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT: Given that diabetes mellitus (DM) appears to increase the risk of developing Alzheimer's disease (AD), understanding the mechanisms by which DM promotes AD is important. We report that DM in a nonhuman primate brain leads to changes in the levels or posttranslational processing of proteins central to AD pathobiology, including tau, amyloid-beta (Abeta), and the Abeta-degrading protease neprilysin. Additional evidence from this model suggests that alterations in brain insulin signaling occurred that are reminiscent of insulin signaling pathway changes seen in human AD. Thus, in anin vivomodel highly relevant to humans, we show multiple alterations in the brain resulting from DM that are mechanistically linked to AD risk.
PMCID:4829649
PMID: 27076423
ISSN: 1529-2401
CID: 2077582

Can school counselors deliver cognitive-behavioral treatment for social anxiety effectively? A randomized controlled trial

Masia Warner, Carrie; Colognori, Daniela; Brice, Chad; Herzig, Kathleen; Mufson, Laura; Lynch, Chelsea; Reiss, Philip T; Petkova, Eva; Fox, Jeremy; Moceri, Dominic C; Ryan, Julie; Klein, Rachel G
BACKGROUND: Social anxiety disorder (SAD) typically onsets in adolescence and is associated with multiple impairments. Despite promising clinical interventions, most socially anxious adolescents remain untreated. To address this clinical neglect, we developed a school-based, 12-week group intervention for youth with SAD, Skills for Academic and Social Success (SASS). When implemented by psychologists, SASS has been found effective. To promote dissemination and optimize treatment access, we tested whether school counselors could be effective treatment providers. METHOD: We randomized 138, ninth through 11th graders with SAD to one of three conditions: (a) SASS delivered by school counselors (C-SASS), (b) SASS delivered by psychologists (P-SASS), or (c) a control condition, Skills for Life (SFL), a nonspecific counseling program. Blind, independent, evaluations were conducted with parents and adolescents at baseline, post-intervention, and 5 months beyond treatment completion. We hypothesized that C-SASS and P-SASS would be superior to the control, immediately after treatment and at follow-up. No prediction was made about the relative efficacy of C-SASS and P-SASS. RESULTS: Compared to controls, adolescents treated with C-SASS or P-SASS experienced significantly greater improvement and reductions of anxiety at the end of treatment and follow-up. There were no significant differences between SASS delivered by school counselors and psychologists. CONCLUSION: With training, school counselors are effective treatment providers to adolescents with social anxiety, yielding benefits comparable to those obtained by specialized psychologists. Questions remain regarding means to maintain counselors' practice standards without external support.
PMID: 27002215
ISSN: 1469-7610
CID: 2052022

Treatment preferences of psychotherapy patients with chronic PTSD

Markowitz, John C; Meehan, Kevin B; Petkova, Eva; Zhao, Yihong; Van Meter, Page E; Neria, Yuval; Pessin, Hayley; Nazia, Yasmin
OBJECTIVE: Patient treatment preference may moderate treatment effect in major depressive disorder (MDD) studies. Little research has addressed preference in posttraumatic stress disorder (PTSD); almost none has assessed actual patients' PTSD psychotherapy preferences. From a 14-week trial of chronic PTSD comparing prolonged exposure, relaxation therapy, and interpersonal psychotherapy, we report treatment preferences of the 110 randomized patients, explore preference correlates, and assess effects on treatment outcome. METHOD: Patients recruited between 2008 and 2013 with chronic DSM-IV PTSD (Clinician-Administered PTSD Scale [CAPS] score >/= 50) received balanced, scripted psychotherapy descriptions prerandomization and indicated their preferences. Analyses assessed relationships of treatment attitudes to demographic and clinical factors. We hypothesized that patients randomized to preferred treatments would have better outcomes, and to unwanted treatment worse outcomes. RESULTS: Eighty-seven patients (79%) voiced treatment preferences or disinclinations: 29 (26%) preferred prolonged exposure, 29 (26%) preferred relaxation therapy, and 56 (50%) preferred interpersonal psychotherapy (Cochran Q = 18.46, P < .001), whereas 29 (26%) were disinclined to prolonged exposure, 18 (16%) to relaxation therapy, and 3 (3%) to interpersonal psychotherapy (Cochran Q = 22.71, P < .001). Several baseline clinical variables correlated with treatment preferences. Overall, treatment preference/disinclination did not predict change in CAPS score, treatment response, or dropout. Comorbidly depressed patients receiving unwanted treatment had worse final CAPS scores. CONCLUSIONS: These exploratory findings are the first relating patients' PTSD psychotherapy preferences to outcome. Despite explanations emphasizing prolonged exposure's greater empirical support, patients significantly preferred interpersonal psychotherapy. Preference subtly affected psychotherapy outcome; depression appeared an important moderator of the effect of unwanted treatment on outcome. Potential biases to avoid in future research are discussed. TRIAL REGISTRATION: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT00739765.
PMID: 26115532
ISSN: 1555-2101
CID: 1951222

Reduced GABA neuron density in auditory cerebral cortex of subjects with major depressive disorder

Smiley, John F; Hackett, Troy A; Bleiwas, Cynthia; Petkova, Eva; Stankov, Aleksandar; Mann, J John; Rosoklija, Gorazd; Dwork, Andrew J
Although disrupted function of frontal and limbic areas of cerebral cortex are closely associated with major depressive disorder (MDD) and schizophrenia (SZ), cellular pathology has also been found in other brain areas, including primary sensory areas. Auditory cortex is of particular interest, given the prominence of auditory hallucinations in SZ, and sensory deficits in MDD. We used stereological sampling methods in auditory cortex to look for cellular differences between MDD, SZ and non-psychiatric subjects. Additionally, as all of our MDD subjects died of suicide, we evaluated the association of suicide with our measurements by selecting a SZ sample that was divided between suicide and non-suicide subjects. Measurements were done in primary auditory cortex (area A1) and auditory association cortex (area Tpt), two areas with distinct roles in sensory processing and obvious differences in neuron density and size. In MDD, densities of GABAergic interneurons immunolabeled for calretinin (CR) and calbindin (CB) were 23-29% lower than non-psychiatric controls in both areas. Parvalbumin (PV) interneurons (counted only in area Tpt) showed a nominally smaller (16%) reduction that was not statistically significant. Total neuron and glia densities measured in Nissl stained sections did not show corresponding reductions. Analysis of suicide in the SZ sample indicated that reduced CR cell density was associated with suicide, whereas the densities of CB and other cells were not. Our results are consistent with previous studies in MDD that found altered GABA-associated markers throughout the cerebral cortex including primary sensory areas.
PMCID:4903945
PMID: 26686292
ISSN: 1873-6300
CID: 1884092