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Evaluating duration of response to treatment in systemic lupus erythematosus clinical trials
Kim, Mimi; Merrill, Joan T; Kalunian, Kenneth; Hanrahan, Leslie; Izmirly, Peter
Objective/UNASSIGNED:To evaluate response duration and identify predictors of transitioning into and out of the response state in patients with SLE receiving standard of care (SoC) in 52-week clinical trials. Methods/UNASSIGNED:A multistate model (MSM) allowing for bidirectional transitions between response and non-response states was fit to data on 759 patients with SLE with active disease randomised to SoC. The probability of being in response at 52 weeks, average duration of response (sojourn time) and mean total time in response for SLE Responder Index (SRI-4, SRI-5, SRI-6) and BILAG-based Composite Lupus Assessment (BICLA) were estimated. Predictors of attainment and loss of SRI-5 response were also assessed. Results/UNASSIGNED:The MSM estimated probability of being in response at 52 weeks ranged from 42% (SRI-6) to 61% (SRI-4). Mean duration of response ranged from 20.4 weeks (BICLA) to 31.5 weeks (SRI-4). Mean total time in response was 16.4-24.8 weeks. Baseline characteristics predictive of shorter SRI-5 response duration were African descent (p=0.005), longer history of disease (p=0.03), higher anti-dsDNA antibody titres (p=0.039), lower lymphocyte count (p=0.008) and lower haemoglobin (p=0.006). Younger age (p<0.001) and higher protein/creatinine ratio (p<0.001) were associated with higher likelihood of achieving SRI-5 but also shorter response duration. Conclusion/UNASSIGNED:Factors associated with disease severity were more predictive of shorter response duration than of 52-week response status. Analysing landmark response rates and response duration using MSM may be a more powerful way to distinguish effective investigational treatments from background SoC, although this remains to be evaluated in future trials.
PMID: 30319781
ISSN: 2053-8790
CID: 3369712
Erythrocyte-bound C4d in combination with complement and autoantibody status for the monitoring of SLE
Merrill, Joan T; Petri, Michelle A; Buyon, Jill; Ramsey-Goldman, Rosalind; Kalunian, Kenneth; Putterman, Chaim; Conklin, John; Furie, Richard A; Dervieux, Thierry
Background/UNASSIGNED:We examined the usefulness of erythrocyte-bound C4d (EC4d) to monitor disease activity in SLE. Methods/UNASSIGNED:Data and blood samples were collected from three different studies, each of which included longitudinal evaluations using the Physicians Global Assessment (PGA) of disease activity and the Safety of Estrogens in Lupus Erythematosus National Assessment (SELENA) SLE Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI), which was assessed without anti-double-stranded DNA (dsDNA) and low complement C3/C4 (clinical SELENA-SLEDAI). EC4d levels were determined using flow cytometry; other laboratory measures included antibodies to dsDNA, C3 and C4 proteins. Relationships between clinical SELENA-SLEDAI, PGA and the laboratory measures were analysed using linear mixed effect models. Results/UNASSIGNED:The three studies combined enrolled 124 patients with SLE (mean age 42 years, 97% women, 31% Caucasians and 34% African-Americans) followed for an average of 5 consecutive visits (range 2-13 visits). EC4d levels and low C3/C4 status were significantly associated the clinical SELENA-SLEDAI or PGA in each of the three study groups (p<0.05). Multivariate analysis revealed that EC4d levels (estimate=0.94±0.28) and low complement C3/C4 (estimate=1.24±0.43) were both independently and significantly associated with the clinical SELENA-SLEDAI (p<0.01) and PGA. EC4d levels were also associated with the clinical SELENA-SLEDAI (estimate: 1.20±0.29) and PGA (estimate=0.19±0.04) among patients with chronically low or normal C3/C4 (p<0.01). Anti-dsDNA titres were generally associated with disease activity. Conclusion/UNASSIGNED:These data support the association of EC4d with disease activity regardless of complement C3/C4 status and its usefulness in monitoring SLE disease. Additional studies will be required to support these validation data.
PMCID:5976122
PMID: 29868177
ISSN: 2053-8790
CID: 3143962
Lupus community panel proposals for optimising clinical trials: 2018
Merrill, Joan T; Manzi, Susan; Aranow, Cynthia; Askenase, Anca; Bruce, Ian; Chakravarty, Eliza; Chong, Ben; Costenbader, Karen; Dall'Era, Maria; Ginzler, Ellen; Hanrahan, Leslie; Kalunian, Ken; Merola, Joseph; Raymond, Sandra; Rovin, Brad; Saxena, Amit; Werth, Victoria P
Formidable impediments stand in the way of treatment development for lupus. These include the unwieldy size of current trials, international competition for scarce patients, complex outcome measures and a poor understanding of these outcomes in the world at large. The heterogeneity of the disease itself coupled to superimposition of variegated background polypharmacy has created enough immunological noise to virtually ensure the failure of lupus treatment trials, leaving an understandable suspicion that at least some of the results in testing failed drugs over the years may not have been negative, but merely uninterpretable. The authors have consulted with many clinical trial investigators, biopharmaceutical developers and stakeholders from government and voluntary sectors. This paper examines the available evidence that supports workable trial designs and proposes approaches to improve the odds of completing interpretable treatment development programs for lupus.
PMCID:5894527
PMID: 29657738
ISSN: 2053-8790
CID: 3059082
Clinical and Serologic Features in Patients With Incomplete Lupus Classification Versus Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Patients and Controls
Aberle, Teresa; Bourn, Rebecka L; Munroe, Melissa E; Chen, Hua; Roberts, Virginia C; Guthridge, Joel M; Bean, Krista; Robertson, Julie M; Sivils, Kathy L; Rasmussen, Astrid; Liles, Meghan; Merrill, Joan T; Harley, John B; Olsen, Nancy J; Karp, David R; James, Judith A
OBJECTIVE:Incomplete lupus erythematosus (ILE) involves clinical and/or serologic manifestations consistent with but insufficient for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) classification. Because the nature of ILE is poorly understood and no treatment recommendations exist, we examined the clinical manifestations, medication history, and immunologic features in a diverse collection of ILE and SLE patients. METHODS:Medical records of subjects enrolled in the Lupus Family Registry and Repository were reviewed for medication history and American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria to identify ILE patients (3 ACR criteria; n = 440) and SLE patients (≥4 ACR criteria; n = 3,397). Participants completed the Connective Tissue Disease Screening Questionnaire. Anticardiolipin and plasma B lymphocyte stimulator (BLyS) were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, antinuclear antibodies (ANAs) by indirect immunofluorescence, and 13 autoantibodies by bead-based assays. RESULTS:On average, ILE patients were older than SLE patients (46.2 years versus 42.0 years; P < 0.0001), and fewer ILE patients were African American (23.9% versus 32.2%; P < 0.001). ILE patients exhibited fewer autoantibody specificities than SLE patients (1.3 versus 2.6; P < 0.0001) and were less likely to have ANA titers ≥1:1,080 (10.5% versus 19.5%; P < 0.0001). BLyS levels were intermediate in ILE patients (controls < ILE; P = 0.016; ILE < SLE; P = 0.008). Pericarditis, renal, or neurologic manifestations occurred in 12.5% of ILE patients and were associated with non-European American race/ethnicity (P = 0.012). Hydroxychloroquine use increased over time, but was less frequent in ILE than SLE patients (65.2% versus 83.1%; P < 0.0001). CONCLUSION:Although usually characterized by milder symptoms, ILE manifestations may require immunomodulatory treatments. Longitudinal studies are necessary to understand how ILE affects organ damage and future SLE risk, and to delineate molecular pathways unique to ILE.
PMID: 28118528
ISSN: 2151-4658
CID: 4874662
Estimating Duration of Response in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus (SLE) Trials [Meeting Abstract]
Kim, Mimi; Merrill, Joan T; Kalunian, Kenneth C; Hanrahan, Leslie; Izmirly, Peter M
ISI:000411824104068
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 2767232
A Panel of Lupus Biomarkers for the Monitoring of Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: Performance Characteristics in Distinct SLE Cohorts [Meeting Abstract]
Merrill, Joan T; Dervieux, Thierry; Buyon, Jill P; Ramsey-Goldman, Rosalind; Kalunian, Kenneth C; Putterman, Chaim; Conklin, John; Furie, Richard; Petri, Michelle
ISI:000411824100680
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 2766812
The prevalence and determinants of anti-DFS70 autoantibodies in an international inception cohort of systemic lupus erythematosus patients
Choi, M Y; Clarke, A E; St Pierre, Y; Hanly, J G; Urowitz, M B; Romero-Diaz, J; Gordon, C; Bae, S-C; Bernatsky, S; Wallace, D J; Merrill, J T; Isenberg, D A; Rahman, A; Ginzler, E M; Petri, M; Bruce, I N; Dooley, M A; Fortin, P; Gladman, D D; Sanchez-Guerrero, J; Steinsson, K; Ramsey-Goldman, R; Khamashta, M A; Aranow, C; Alarcon, G S; Manzi, S; Nived, O; Zoma, A A; van Vollenhoven, R F; Ramos-Casals, M; Ruiz-Irastorza, G; Lim, S S; Kalunian, K C; Inanc, M; Kamen, D L; Peschken, C A; Jacobsen, S; Askanase, A; Buyon, J; Mahler, M; Fritzler, M J
Autoantibodies to dense fine speckles 70 (DFS70) are purported to rule out the diagnosis of SLE when they occur in the absence of other SLE-related autoantibodies. This study is the first to report the prevalence of anti-DFS70 in an early, multinational inception SLE cohort and examine demographic, clinical, and autoantibody associations. Patients were enrolled in the Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC) inception cohort within 15 months of diagnosis. The association between anti-DFS70 and multiple parameters in 1137 patients was assessed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression. The frequency of anti-DFS70 was 7.1% (95% CI: 5.7-8.8%), while only 1.1% (95% CI: 0.6-1.9%) were monospecific for anti-DFS70. In multivariate analysis, patients with musculoskeletal activity (Odds Ratio (OR) 1.24 [95% CI: 1.10, 1.41]) or with anti-beta2 glycoprotein 1 (OR 2.17 [95% CI: 1.22, 3.87]) were more likely and patients with anti-dsDNA (OR 0.53 [95% CI: 0.31, 0.92]) or anti-SSB/La (OR 0.25 [95% CI: 0.08, 0.81]) were less likely to have anti-DFS70. In this study, the prevalence of anti-DFS70 was higher than the range previously published for adult SLE (7.1 versus 0-2.8%) and was associated with musculoskeletal activity and anti-beta2 glycoprotein 1 autoantibodies. However, 'monospecific' anti-DFS70 autoantibodies were rare (1.1%) and therefore may be helpful to discriminate between ANA-positive healthy individuals and SLE.
PMID: 28420054
ISSN: 1477-0962
CID: 2532882
Transancestral mapping and genetic load in systemic lupus erythematosus
Langefeld, Carl D; Ainsworth, Hannah C; Cunninghame Graham, Deborah S; Kelly, Jennifer A; Comeau, Mary E; Marion, Miranda C; Howard, Timothy D; Ramos, Paula S; Croker, Jennifer A; Morris, David L; Sandling, Johanna K; Almlöf, Jonas Carlsson; Acevedo-Vásquez, Eduardo M; Alarcón, Graciela S; Babini, Alejandra M; Baca, Vicente; Bengtsson, Anders A; Berbotto, Guillermo A; Bijl, Marc; Brown, Elizabeth E; Brunner, Hermine I; Cardiel, Mario H; Catoggio, Luis; Cervera, Ricard; Cucho-Venegas, Jorge M; Dahlqvist, Solbritt Rantapää; D'Alfonso, Sandra; Da Silva, Berta Martins; de la Rúa Figueroa, Iñigo; Doria, Andrea; Edberg, Jeffrey C; Endreffy, EmÅ‘ke; Esquivel-Valerio, Jorge A; Fortin, Paul R; Freedman, Barry I; FrostegÃ¥rd, Johan; García, Mercedes A; de la Torre, Ignacio García; Gilkeson, Gary S; Gladman, Dafna D; Gunnarsson, Iva; Guthridge, Joel M; Huggins, Jennifer L; James, Judith A; Kallenberg, Cees G M; Kamen, Diane L; Karp, David R; Kaufman, Kenneth M; Kottyan, Leah C; Kovács, László; Laustrup, Helle; Lauwerys, Bernard R; Li, Quan-Zhen; Maradiaga-Ceceña, Marco A; MartÃn, Javier; McCune, Joseph M; McWilliams, David R; Merrill, Joan T; Miranda, Pedro; Moctezuma, José F; Nath, Swapan K; Niewold, Timothy B; Orozco, Lorena; Ortego-Centeno, Norberto; Petri, Michelle; Pineau, Christian A; Pons-Estel, Bernardo A; Pope, Janet; Raj, Prithvi; Ramsey-Goldman, Rosalind; Reveille, John D; Russell, Laurie P; Sabio, José M; Aguilar-Salinas, Carlos A; Scherbarth, Hugo R; Scorza, Raffaella; Seldin, Michael F; Sjöwall, Christopher; Svenungsson, Elisabet; Thompson, Susan D; Toloza, Sergio M A; Truedsson, Lennart; Tusié-Luna, Teresa; Vasconcelos, Carlos; Vilá, Luis M; Wallace, Daniel J; Weisman, Michael H; Wither, Joan E; Bhangale, Tushar; Oksenberg, Jorge R; Rioux, John D; Gregersen, Peter K; Syvänen, Ann-Christine; Rönnblom, Lars; Criswell, Lindsey A; Jacob, Chaim O; Sivils, Kathy L; Tsao, Betty P; Schanberg, Laura E; Behrens, Timothy W; Silverman, Earl D; Alarcón-Riquelme, Marta E; Kimberly, Robert P; Harley, John B; Wakeland, Edward K; Graham, Robert R; Gaffney, Patrick M; Vyse, Timothy J
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) is an autoimmune disease with marked gender and ethnic disparities. We report a large transancestral association study of SLE using Immunochip genotype data from 27,574 individuals of European (EA), African (AA) and Hispanic Amerindian (HA) ancestry. We identify 58 distinct non-HLA regions in EA, 9 in AA and 16 in HA (∼50% of these regions have multiple independent associations); these include 24 novel SLE regions (P<5 × 10-8), refined association signals in established regions, extended associations to additional ancestries, and a disentangled complex HLA multigenic effect. The risk allele count (genetic load) exhibits an accelerating pattern of SLE risk, leading us to posit a cumulative hit hypothesis for autoimmune disease. Comparing results across the three ancestries identifies both ancestry-dependent and ancestry-independent contributions to SLE risk. Our results are consistent with the unique and complex histories of the populations sampled, and collectively help clarify the genetic architecture and ethnic disparities in SLE.
PMCID:5520018
PMID: 28714469
ISSN: 2041-1723
CID: 2901632
Kidney Outcomes and Risk Factors for Nephritis (Flare/De Novo) in a Multiethnic Cohort of Pregnant Patients with Lupus
Buyon, Jill P; Kim, Mimi Y; Guerra, Marta M; Lu, Sifan; Reeves, Emily; Petri, Michelle; Laskin, Carl A; Lockshin, Michael D; Sammaritano, Lisa R; Branch, D Ware; Porter, T Flint; Sawitzke, Allen; Merrill, Joan T; Stephenson, Mary D; Cohn, Elisabeth; Salmon, Jane E
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES: Kidney disease is a critical concern in counseling patients with lupus considering pregnancy. This study sought to assess the risk of renal flares during pregnancy in women with previous lupus nephritis in partial or complete remission, particularly in those with antidouble-stranded DNA antibodies and low complement levels, and the risk of new-onset nephritis in patients with stable/mildly active SLE. DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS: We assessed active nephritis (renal flares and de novo kidney disease) and associated predictors during pregnancy in patients with lupus with urine protein =1000 mg and serum creatinine <1.2 mg/dl at baseline; 373 patients (52% ethnic/racial minorities) enrolled between 2003 and 2012 were prospectively followed in the Predictors of Pregnancy Outcome: Biomarkers in Antiphospholipid Syndrome and Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Study. Active nephritis was defined by proteinuria increase of >500 mg and/or red blood cell casts. RESULTS: Of 118 patients with previous kidney disease, 13 renal flares (11%) occurred (seven of 89 in complete remission and six of 29 in partial remission) compared with four with de novo kidney involvement (2%) in 255 patients without past kidney disease (P<0.001). Active nephritis was not associated with ethnicity, race, age, creatinine, BP, or antihypertensive and other medications. In multivariable logistic regression analyses, patients with past kidney disease in complete or partial remission more often experienced active nephritis (adjusted odds ratio, 6.88; 95% confidence interval, 1.84 to 25.71; P=0.004 and adjusted odds ratio, 20.98; 95% confidence interval, 4.69 to 93.98; P<0.001, respectively) than those without past kidney disease. Low C4 was associated with renal flares/de novo disease (adjusted odds ratio, 5.59; 95% confidence interval, 1.64 to 19.13; P<0.01) but not low C3 or positive anti-dsDNA alone. CONCLUSIONS: De novo kidney involvement in SLE, even in ethnic/racial minorities, is uncommon during pregnancy. Past kidney disease and low C4 at baseline independently associate with higher risk of developing active nephritis. Antibodies to dsDNA alone should not raise concern, even in patients with past kidney disease, if in remission.
PMCID:5460714
PMID: 28400421
ISSN: 1555-905x
CID: 2630962
The Biomarkers of Lupus Disease Study: A Bold Approach May Mitigate Interference of Background Immunosuppressants in Clinical Trials
Merrill, Joan T; Immermann, Fred; Whitley, Maryann; Zhou, Tianhui; Hill, Andrew; O'Toole, Margot; Reddy, Padmalatha; Honczarenko, Marek; Thanou, Aikaterini; Rawdon, Joe; Guthridge, Joel M; James, Judith A; Sridharan, Sudhakar
OBJECTIVE:Molecular medicine raised expectations for strategically targeted biologic agents in systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), but clinical trial results have been disappointing and difficult to interpret. Most studies add investigational agents to various, often effective, standard therapy immunosuppressants used at baseline, with unknown treatment interactions. Eliminating polypharmacy in trials of active lupus remains controversial. We undertook the Biomarkers of Lupus Disease study to test withdrawal of immunosuppressants as a novel approach to rendering SLE trials interpretable. METHODS:In 41 patients with active, non-organ-threatening SLE flare (group A), temporary steroids were given while background immunosuppressants were withdrawn. Time to loss of disease suppression (time to disease flare) and safety were evaluated; standard therapy was immediately resumed when symptoms recurred. Immunologic impacts of standard therapy were studied at baseline by multiplex assay, enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay, and messenger RNA array in group A patients plus 62 additional patients donating a single sample (group B). RESULTS:Patients with lower or higher baseline disease activity had median times to flare of 71 or 45 days, respectively; 40 of 41 patients (98%) had disease flares by 6 months. All flares were treated and resolved within 6 weeks. No serious adverse events occurred from flare or infection. Type I interferon (IFN), Th17, and B lymphocyte stimulator pathways tracked together. Baseline immunosuppressants had distinct impacts on Th17 and B lymphocyte stimulator, depending on IFN signature. CONCLUSION:Trials in active, non-organ-threatening SLE can safely withdraw background treatments if patients who have disease flares are designated nonresponders and returned to standard therapy. Immunologic effects of standard therapy vary between IFN-defined subsets. These findings provide a strategy for minimizing or optimizing treatment combinations in lupus trials and clinical care.
PMID: 28257602
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 4874682