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A predictive risk model for nonfatal opioid overdose in a statewide population of buprenorphine patients

Chang, Hsien-Yen; Krawczyk, Noa; Schneider, Kristin E; Ferris, Lindsey; Eisenberg, Matthew; Richards, Tom M; Lyons, B Casey; Jackson, Kate; Weiner, Jonathan P; Saloner, Brendan
BACKGROUND:Predicting which individuals who are prescribed buprenorphine for opioid use disorder are most likely to experience an overdose can help target interventions to prevent relapse and subsequent consequences. METHODS:We used Maryland prescription drug monitoring data from 2015 to identify risk factors for nonfatal opioid overdoses that were identified in hospital discharge records in 2016. We developed a predictive risk model for prospective nonfatal opioid overdoses among buprenorphine patients (N = 25,487). We estimated a series of models that included demographics plus opioid, buprenorphine and benzodiazepine prescription variables. We applied logistic regression to generate performance measures. RESULTS:About 3.24% of the study cohort had ≥1 nonfatal opioid overdoses. In the model with all predictors, odds of nonfatal overdoses among buprenorphine patients were higher among males (OR = 1.39, 95% CI:1.21-1.62) and those with more buprenorphine pharmacies (OR = 1.19, 95% CI:1.11-1.28), 1+ buprenorphine prescription paid by Medicaid (OR = 1.21, 95% CI:1.02-1.48), Medicare (OR = 1.93, 95% CI:1.63-2.43), or a commercial plan (OR = 1.98, 95% CI:1.30-2.89), 1+ opioid prescription paid by Medicare (OR = 1.30, 95% CI:1.03-1.68), and more benzodiazepine prescriptions (OR = 1.04, 95% CI:1.02-1.05). The odds were lower among those with longer days of buprenorphine (OR = 0.64, 95% CI:0.60-0.69) or opioid (OR = 0.79, 95% CI:0.65-0.95) supply. The model had moderate predictive ability (c-statistic = 0.69). CONCLUSIONS:Several modifiable risk factors, such as length of buprenorphine treatment, may be targets for interventions to improve clinical care and reduce harms. This model could be practically implemented with common prescription-related information and allow payers and clinical systems to better target overdose risk reduction interventions, such as naloxone distribution.
PMID: 31207453
ISSN: 1879-0046
CID: 4004082

Expanding low-threshold buprenorphine to justice-involved individuals through mobile treatment: Addressing a critical care gap

Krawczyk, Noa; Buresh, Megan; Gordon, Michael S; Blue, Thomas R; Fingerhood, Michael I; Agus, Deborah
BACKGROUND:Opioid use disorder (OUD) is highly prevalent among justice-involved individuals. While risk for overdose and other adverse consequences of opioid use are heightened among this population, most justice-involved individuals and other high-risk groups experience multiple barriers to engagement in opioid agonist treatment. METHODS:This paper describes the development of Project Connections at Re-Entry (PCARE), a low-threshold buprenorphine treatment program that engages vulnerable patients in care through a mobile van parked directly outside the Baltimore City Jail. Patients are referred by jail staff or can walk in from the street. The clinical team includes an experienced primary care physician who prescribes buprenorphine, a nurse, and a peer recovery coach. The team initiates treatment for those with OUD and refers those with other needs to appropriate providers. Once stabilized, patients are transitioned to longer-term treatment programs or primary care for buprenorphine maintenance. This paper describes the process of developing this program, patient characteristics and initial outcomes for the first year of the program, and implications for public health practice. RESULTS:From November 15, 2017 through November 30, 2018, 220 people inquired about treatment services and completed an intake interview, and 190 began treatment with a buprenorphine/naloxone prescription. Those who initiated buprenorphine were primarily male (80.1%), African American (85.1%), had a mean age of 44.1 (SD = 12.2), and a mean of 24.0 (SD = 13.6) years of opioid use. The majority of patients (94.4%) had previous criminal justice involvement, were unemployed (72.9%) and were unstably housed (70.8%). Over a third (32.1%) of patients had previously overdosed. Of those who began treatment, 67.9% returned for a second visit or more, and 31.6% percent were still involved in treatment after 30 days. Of those who initiated care, 20.5% have been transferred to continue buprenorphine treatment at a partnering site. CONCLUSIONS:The PCARE program illustrates the potential for low-threshold buprenorphine treatment to engage populations who are justice-involved and largely disconnected from care. While more work is needed to improve treatment retention among vulnerable patients and engaging persons in care directly after release from detention, offering on-demand, flexible and de-stigmatizing treatment may serve as a first point to connect high-risk populations with the healthcare system and interventions that reduce risk for overdose and related harms.
PMCID:6612429
PMID: 31229187
ISSN: 1873-6483
CID: 4004092

Use of Opioid Overdose Deaths Reported in One State's Criminal Justice, Hospital, and Prescription Databases to Identify Risk of Opioid Fatalities

Eisenberg, Matthew D; Saloner, Brendan; Krawczyk, Noa; Ferris, Lindsey; Schneider, Kristin E; Lyons, B Casey; Weiner, Jonathan P
PMCID:6583851
PMID: 30985862
ISSN: 2168-6114
CID: 4004042

Mental Health Problems and Initiation of E-cigarette and Combustible Cigarette Use

Riehm, Kira E; Young, Andrea S; Feder, Kenneth A; Krawczyk, Noa; Tormohlen, Kayla N; Pacek, Lauren R; Mojtabai, Ramin; Crum, Rosa M
BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:During adolescence, mental health problems may increase the risk of initiating combustible cigarette use. However, it is unknown if this association extends to electronic cigarettes (e-cigarettes). We examined whether internalizing and externalizing problems were associated with initiation of e-cigarette, combustible cigarette, and dual-product use among adolescents. METHODS:Participants were drawn from the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health Study, a nationally representative longitudinal study of US adolescents followed from 2013 to 2015. The study sample included 7702 adolescents aged 12 to 17 years who at baseline reported no lifetime use of tobacco products. We examined the respective associations between baseline internalizing and externalizing problems and initiating use of e-cigarettes, combustible cigarettes, or both at 1-year follow-up. RESULTS:Compared with adolescents with low externalizing problems, adolescents with high externalizing problems were significantly more likely to initiate use of e-cigarettes (adjusted relative risk ratio [aRRR] = 2.78; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.76-4.40), combustible cigarettes (aRRR = 5.59; 95% CI: 2.63-11.90), and both products (aRRR = 2.23; 95% CI: 1.15-4.31). Adolescents with high internalizing problems were at increased risk of initiating use of e-cigarettes (aRRR = 1.61; 95% CI: 1.12-2.33) but not combustible cigarettes or both products. CONCLUSIONS:Mental health problems are associated with increased risk for initiating e-cigarette, combustible cigarette, and dual-product use in adolescence. This association is more consistent for externalizing problems than internalizing problems. Addressing mental health problems could be a promising target for preventing initiation of nicotine- and/or tobacco-product use by adolescents.
PMCID:6615573
PMID: 31160343
ISSN: 1098-4275
CID: 4004062

Non-medical use of opioid analgesics in contemporary Brazil: Findings from the 2015 Brazilian National Household Survey on Substance Use

Krawczyk, Noa; Silva, Pedro Luis do Nascimento; De Boni, Raquel B; Mota, Jurema; Vascncellos, Mauricio; Bertoni, Neilane; Coutinho, Carolina; Bastos, Francisco I
Prior studies on substance use in Brazil have not focused on opioid misuse, previously thought to be nearly non-existent. This paper presents new findings on heroin and non-medical use of opioid analgesics. Data come from the 2015 Brazilian Household Survey on Substance Use (BHSU-3), a nationally representative survey estimating epidemiological parameters related to substance use by residents across Brazil. BHSU-3 used stratified multi-stage probability sampling across multiple geographic domains of interest, resulting in 16,273 interviews with household residents. Lifetime heroin use among Brazilians was 0.3 (95% C.I:0.2-0.4). Lifetime, past-year, and past-month non-medical use of opioid analgesics were respectively 2.9 (95%C.I.:2.3-3.4), 1.4 (95%C.I.:1.1-1.7) and 0.6 (95%C.I.:0.4-0.8). Past-year prevalence of non-medical opioid analgesics use was lower among males [Prevalence Ratio (PR): 0.54 (95% C.I.:0.36-0.78)], those aged 12-24 [0.56 (95% C.I.:0.34-0.92)], persons with monthly family incomes between R$1,501-3,000 [0.59 (95% C.I.:0.38-0.92)] or greater than R$3,000 [0.64 (95% C.I.:0.42-0.98)], and persons who were unemployed [0.65 (95% C.I.:0.46-0.92)]. Non-medical use of opioids in Brazil may be more prevalent than previously recognised. Proper measurement and evaluation of opioid misuse across Brazil and other Latin American countries is critical to understand and prevent opioid-related harms.
PMID: 31190616
ISSN: 1744-1706
CID: 4004072

Challenges on the road to recovery: Exploring attitudes and experiences of clients in a community-based buprenorphine program in Baltimore City

Truong, C; Krawczyk, N; Dejman, M; Marshall-Shah, S; Tormohlen, K; Agus, D; Bass, J
OBJECTIVE:This qualitative study identifies and describes experiences and challenges to retention of individuals with opioid use disorder (OUD) who participated in a low-threshold combined buprenorphine-peer support treatment program in Baltimore. METHODS:In-depth semi-structured interviews with staff and former clients of the Project Connections Buprenorphine Program (PCBP) (9 people) and focus group discussions with current and previous clients of PCBP (7 people) were conducted. Content analysis was used to extract themes regarding barriers to enrolling and remaining in, and transitioning from the program. RESULTS:Primary challenges identified by the participants included struggles with cravings and symptoms of withdrawal, comorbid mental health issues, criminal justice system involvement, medication stigma, and conflicts over level of flexibility regarding program requirements and the role of employment. CONCLUSIONS:This study identified several obstacles clients face when seeking care through a combined buprenorphine-peer support model. Findings highlight potential programmatic factors that can be improved and additional resources that may support treatment retention rates and better outcomes. Despite challenges, low-threshold and community-based programs can increase access to effective maintenance treatment for OUD, especially among vulnerable populations who may not have access to formal health services.
PMCID:6528177
PMID: 30682677
ISSN: 1873-6327
CID: 4124182

Demystifying buprenorphine misuse: Has fear of diversion gotten in the way of addressing the opioid crisis?

Doernberg, Molly; Krawczyk, Noa; Agus, Deborah; Fingerhood, Michael
Buprenorphine is considered one of the most effective treatments for opioid use disorder and significantly reduces risk of overdose death. However, concerns about its diversion and misuse have often taken center stage in public discourse and in the design of practices and policies regarding its use. This has been to the detriment of many vulnerable patient populations, especially those involved in the criminal justice system. Policies that restrict access to buprenorphine in criminal justice and other settings due to concerns of diversion do not accurately reflect the relative risks and safety profile associated with it, creating unnecessary barriers that drive an illicit market of this much-needed medication. Although proper regulation of all controlled medications should be a priority, in most instances the benefits of buprenorphine highly outweigh its risks. In the midst of a national crisis, efforts should be focused on expanding, and not restricting, access to this lifesaving treatment.
PMID: 31008694
ISSN: 1547-0164
CID: 4004052

Health insurance coverage is associated with access to substance use treatment among individuals with injection drug use: Evidence from a 12-year prospective study

Feder, Kenneth A; Krawczyk, Noa; Mojtabai, Ramin; Crum, Rosa M; Kirk, Gregory; Mehta, Shruti H
OBJECTIVE:Understand how insurance impacts access to services among people who have injected drugs. METHODS:1748 adults who have injected drugs were assessed at twice-annual study visits between 2006 and 2017 (18,869 visits). Use of specialty substance use treatment, receipt of buprenorphine, and having a regular source of medical care were assessed for association with concurrent insurance coverage. Random intercept logistic regression was used to adjust for potential confounders. RESULTS:When participants acquired insurance, they were more likely to report specialty substance use treatment (aOR 2.0, 95% CI 1.6 to 2.5), a buprenorphine prescription (aOR 3.3, 95% CI 2.0 to 5.5), and a regular source of medical care (aOR 6.3, 95% CI 5.1 to 7.8). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Insurance is associated with increased use of three important services for individuals who inject drugs. IMPLICATIONS/CONCLUSIONS:Expanding insurance may facilitate access to substance use treatment and other needed health services.
PMCID:6556110
PMID: 30466552
ISSN: 1873-6483
CID: 4004032

Emergency Department Visits in a Cohort of Persons with Substance Use: Incorporating the Role of Social Networks

Sacamano, Paul; Krawczyk, Noa; Latkin, Carl
BACKGROUND:Frequent emergency department (ED) visits often suggest inappropriate use for low acuity needs and multiple comorbidities, including substance use disorders. OBJECTIVE:This study examines associations of individuals and their social networks with high frequency ED use among persons reporting substance use. METHODS:Information was obtained from interview responses from the first 6-month follow-up visit of a longitudinal. Prevalence ratios for the outcome of high frequency ED visits (≥2 in 6 months) were determined with a generalized linear model, log link, Poisson distribution and robust standard errors. RESULTS:Of 653 participants, 131 (20%) had ≥2 ED visits. In multivariable analysis, greater likelihood of high frequency ED visits over 6 months was associated with being homeless (PR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.19, 2.10), taking ≥3 medications (PR: 1.58; 95% CI: 1.19, 2.10) and having had a hospitalization over the same period (PR: 4.33; 95% CI: 3.26, 7.56). Among social network factors, lower likelihood of high frequency visits was associated with each increasing year of mean alter age (PR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.6, 0.99) and greater likelihood with having received health-related informational support from ≥2 alters (PR: 1.62; 95% CI: 1.04, 2.53). Conclusions/Importance: Social network factors may play an important role in ED use. Interventions to promote health behaviors through social influence may be helpful in reducing high frequency ED visits.
PMCID:6105410
PMID: 29671696
ISSN: 1532-2491
CID: 4004002

Transitions through stages of alcohol involvement: The potential role of mood disorders

Crum, Rosa M; Green, Kerry M; Stuart, Elizabeth A; La Flair, Lareina N; Kealhofer, Marc; Young, Andrea S; Krawczyk, Noa; Tormohlen, Kayla N; Storr, Carla L; Alvanzo, Anika A H; Mojtabai, Ramin; Pacek, Lauren R; Cullen, Bernadette A; Reboussin, Beth A
INTRODUCTION:Although prior clinical and population-based studies have demonstrated comorbidity between mood and alcohol use disorders (AUD), there is a paucity of research assessing whether mood disorders predict transition across stages of alcohol involvement. METHOD:Hypothesizing that mood disorders predict transition across sex-specific alcohol involvement stages, we used prospective data from the National Epidemiologic Survey on Alcohol and Related Conditions (NESARC), a nationally representative survey of US adults, which included male (n = 14,564) and female (n = 20,089) participants surveyed in 2001-2 and re-interviewed in 2004-5. Latent class (LCA) and latent transition analyses (LTA) were used to assess patterns of alcohol involvement in the US and the association of lifetime mood disorders at baseline with transition across stages of alcohol involvement during follow-up. RESULTS:A three-class model of AUD criteria was identified (No problems, Moderate problems and Severe problems) for both sexes. Positive cross-sectional associations between mood disorder and problem classes of alcohol involvement were found among both sexes, as were positive longitudinal associations. Propensity score adjustment mitigated the associations of baseline mood disorder with progressive transition for both sexes. However, among females, baseline mood disorder was consistently associated with reduction in remission from Severe to Moderate alcohol problems (aOR = 0.30, CI = 0.09-0.99, p = .048) over time. DISCUSSION:Our study provides evidence that mood disorders impact transition through stages of alcohol involvement and are most strongly associated with hindering remission among females. Findings advance our understanding of these comorbid relationships and have clinical implications for ongoing assessment of drinking patterns among individuals with mood disorders.
PMCID:6557161
PMID: 29908411
ISSN: 1879-0046
CID: 4004022