Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:Cervical cancer is the fourth most common cancer among women worldwide, causing more than 300 000 deaths globally each year. In addition to screening and prevention, effective cancer treatment is needed to reduce cervical cancer mortality. We discuss the role of imaging in cervical cancer management and estimate the potential survival effect of scaling up imaging in several different contexts. METHODS:Using a previously developed microsimulation model of global cancer survival, we estimated stage-specific cervical cancer 5-year net survival in 200 countries and territories. We evaluated the potential survival effect of scaling up treatment (chemotherapy, surgery, radiotherapy, and targeted therapy), and imaging modalities (ultrasound, x-ray, CT, MRI, PET, and single photon emission CT [SPECT]) to the mean level of high-income countries, both individually and in combination. FINDINGS:We estimate global cervical cancer 5-year net survival as 42·1% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 33·8-48·5). Among individual imaging modalities, expanding MRI would yield the largest 5-year survival gains globally (data are absolute percentage point increase in survival 0·6, 95% UI 0·1-2·1), scaling up ultrasound would yield the largest gains in low-income countries (0·5, 0·0-3·7), expanding CT and x-ray would have the greatest effect in Latin America (0·8, 0·0-3·4) and Oceania (0·4, 0·0-3·2), and expanding PET would yield the largest gains in high-income countries (0·2, 0·0-0·8). Scaling up SPECT did not show major changes in any region. Among individual treatment modalities, scaling up radiotherapy would yield the largest absolute percentage point gains in low-income countries (5·2, 0·3-13·5), and expanding surgery would have the largest effect in lower-middle-income countries (7·4, 0·3-21·1) and upper-middle-income countries (0·8, 0·0-2·9). Estimated survival gains in high-income countries were very modest. However, the gains from expanding any single treatment or imaging modality individually were small across all income levels and geographical settings. Scaling up all treatment modalities could improve global 5-year net survival to 52·4% (95% UI 44·6-62·0). In addition to expanding treatment, improving quality of care could raise survival to 57·5% (51·2-63·5), and the cumulative effect of scaling up all imaging modalities together with expanded treatment and quality of care could improve 5-year net survival for cervical cancer to 62·5% (57·7-67·8). INTERPRETATION:Comprehensive scale-up of treatment, imaging, and quality of care could substantially improve global cervical cancer 5-year net survival, with quality of care and imaging improvements each contributing about 25% of the total potential gains. These findings suggest that a narrow focus on the availability of treatment modalities could forgo substantial survival gains. Investments in imaging equipment, personnel, and quality of care efforts will also be needed to successfully scale up cervical cancer treatment worldwide. FUNDING:Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health and National Cancer Institute.

BACKGROUND:Accurate survival estimates are important for cancer control planning. Although observed survival estimates are unavailable for many countries, where they are available, wide variations are reported. Understanding the impact of specific treatment and imaging modalities can help decision makers to effectively allocate resources to improve cancer survival in their local context. METHODS:We developed a microsimulation model of stage-specific cancer survival in 200 countries and territories for 11 cancers (oesophagus, stomach, colon, rectum, anus, liver, pancreas, lung, breast, cervix uteri, and prostate) comprising 60% of global diagnosed cancer cases. The model accounts for country-specific availability of treatment (chemotherapy, surgery, radiotherapy, and targeted therapy) and imaging modalities (ultrasound, x-ray, CT, MRI, PET, single-photon emission CT), as well as quality of care. We calibrated the model to reported survival estimates from CONCORD-3 (which reports global trends in cancer survival in 2000-14). We estimated 5-year net survival for diagnosed cancers in each country or territory and estimated potential survival gains from increasing the availability of individual treatment and imaging modalities, and more comprehensive packages of scale-up of these interventions. We report the mean and 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for all outcomes, calculated as the 2·5 and 97·5 percentiles of the simulation results. FINDINGS:The estimated global 5-year net survival for all 11 cancers combined is 42·6% (95% uncertainty interval 40·3-44·3), with survival in high-income countries being an average of 12 times (range 4-17) higher than that in low-income countries. Expanding availability of surgery or radiotherapy or improving quality of care would yield the largest survival gains in low-income (2·5-3·4 percentage point increase in survival) and lower-middle-income countries (2·4-6·1 percentage point increase), whereas upper-middle-income and high-income countries are more likely to benefit from improved availability of targeted therapy (0·7 percentage point increase for upper-middle income and 0·4 percentage point increase for high income). Investing in medical imaging will also be necessary to achieve substantial survival gains, with traditional modalities estimated to provide the largest gains in low-income settings, while MRI and PET would yield the largest gains in higher-income countries. Simultaneous expansion of treatment, imaging, and quality of care could improve 5-year net survival by more than ten times in low-income countries (3·8% [95% UI 0·5-9·2] to 45·2% [40·2-52·1]) and could more than double 5-year net survival in lower-middle-income countries (20·1% [7·2-31·7] to 47·1% [42·8-50·8]). INTERPRETATION:Scaling up both treatment and imaging availability could yield synergistic survival gains for patients with cancer. Expanding traditional modalities in lower-income settings might be a feasible pathway to improve survival before scaling up more modern technologies. FUNDING:Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health.

PURPOSE:We report oncologic outcomes for men with Grade Group 1 prostate cancer managed with active surveillance at a tertiary cancer center. MATERIALS AND METHODS:A total of 2,907 patients were managed with active surveillance between 2000 and 2017, of whom 2,664 had Grade Group 1 disease. Patients were recommended confirmatory biopsy to verify eligibility and were followed semiannually with prostate specific antigen, digital rectal examination and review of symptoms. Magnetic resonance imaging was increasingly used in recent years. Biopsy was repeated every 2 to 3 years or after a sustained prostate specific antigen increase or changes in magnetic resonance imaging/digital rectal examination. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate probabilities of treatment, progression and development of metastasis. RESULTS:Median patient age at diagnosis was 62 years. For men with Grade Group 1 prostate cancer the treatment-free probability at 5, 10 and 15 years was 76% (95% CI 74-78), 64% (95% CI 61-68) and 58% (95% CI 51-64), respectively. At 5, 10 and 15 years there were 1,146, 220 and 25 men at risk for metastasis, respectively. Median followup for those without metastasis was 4.3 years (95% CI 2.3-6.9). Distant metastasis developed in 5 men. Upon case note review only 2 of these men were deemed to have disease that could have been cured on immediate treatment. The risk of distant metastasis was 0.6% (95% CI 0.2-2.0) at 10 years. CONCLUSIONS:Active surveillance is a safe strategy over longer followup for appropriately selected patients with Grade Group 1 disease following a well-defined monitoring plan.

PURPOSE:We studied the risk of metastatic prostate cancer development in men with Grade Group 2 disease managed with active surveillance at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center. MATERIALS AND METHODS:A total of 219 men with Grade Group 2 prostate cancer had disease managed with active surveillance between 2000 and 2017. Biopsy was performed every 2 to 3 years, or upon changes in magnetic resonance imaging, prostate specific antigen level or digital rectal examination. The primary outcome was development of distant metastasis. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to estimate treatment-free survival. RESULTS:Median age at diagnosis was 67 years (IQR 61-72), median prostate specific antigen was 5 ng/ml (IQR 4-7) and most patients (69%) had nonpalpable disease. During followup 64 men received treatment, including radical prostatectomy in 36 (56%), radiotherapy in 20 (31%), hormone therapy in 3 (5%) and focal therapy in 5 (8%). Of the 36 patients who underwent radical prostatectomy 32 (89%) had Grade Group 2 disease on pathology and 4 (11%) had Grade Group 3 disease. Treatment-free survival was 61% (95% CI 52-70) at 5 years and 49% (95% CI 37-60) at 10 years. Three men experienced biochemical recurrence, no men had distant metastasis and no men died of prostate cancer during the followup. Median followup was 3.1 years (IQR 1.9-4.9). CONCLUSIONS:Active surveillance appears to be a safe initial management strategy in the short term for carefully selected and closely monitored men with Grade Group 2 prostate cancer treated at a tertiary cancer center. Definitive conclusions await further followup.

The urachus is a fibrous tube extending from the umbilicus to the anterosuperior bladder dome that usually obliterates at week 12 of gestation, becoming the median umbilical ligament. Urachal pathology occurs when there is incomplete obliteration of this channel during foetal development, resulting in the formation of a urachal cyst, patent urachus, urachal sinus or urachal diverticulum. Patients with persistent urachal remnants may be asymptomatic or present with lower abdominal or urinary tract symptoms and can develop complications. The purpose of this review is to describe imaging features of urachal remnant pathology and potential benign and malignant complications on ultrasound, CT, positron emission tomography CT and MRI.

CONTEXT:A noninvasive multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)-based scoring system for predicting muscle-invasive bladder cancer (MIBC), the "Vesical Imaging Reporting and Data System" (VI-RADS), was recently developed by an international multidisciplinary panel. Since then, a few studies evaluating the value of VI-RADS for predicting MIBC have been published. OBJECTIVE:To review the diagnostic performance of VI-RADS for the prediction of MIBC. EVIDENCE ACQUISITION:PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched up to November 10, 2019. We included diagnostic accuracy studies using VI-RADS to predict MIBC using cystectomy or transurethral resection as the reference standard. Methodological quality was evaluated with Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2. Sensitivity and specificity were pooled and plotted using hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristics (HSROC) modeling. Meta-regression analyses were done to explore heterogeneity. EVIDENCE SYNTHESIS: = 87.93%, and 90.99% for sensitivity and specificity). Meta-regression analyses showed that the number of patients (>205 vs ≤205), magnetic field strength (3 vs 1.5 T), T2-weighted image slice thickness (3 vs 4 mm), and VI-RADS cutoff score (≥3 vs ≥4) were significant factors affecting heterogeneity (p ≤  0.03). CONCLUSIONS:VI-RADS shows good sensitivity and specificity for determining MIBC. Technical factors associated with MRI acquisition and cutoff scores need to be taken into consideration as they may affect performance. PATIENT SUMMARY:A recently established noninvasive magnetic resonance imaging-based scoring system shows good diagnostic performance in detecting muscle-invasive bladder cancer.

In metastatic cancer, the degree of heterogeneity of the tumor microenvironment (TME) and its molecular underpinnings remain largely unstudied. To characterize the tumor-immune interface at baseline and during neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) in high-grade serous ovarian cancer (HGSOC), we performed immunogenomic analysis of treatment-naive and paired samples from before and after treatment with chemotherapy. In treatment-naive HGSOC, we found that immune-cell-excluded and inflammatory microenvironments coexist within the same individuals and within the same tumor sites, indicating ubiquitous variability in immune cell infiltration. Analysis of TME cell composition, DNA copy number, mutations and gene expression showed that immune cell exclusion was associated with amplification of Myc target genes and increased expression of canonical Wnt signaling in treatment-naive HGSOC. Following NACT, increased natural killer (NK) cell infiltration and oligoclonal expansion of T cells were detected. We demonstrate that the tumor-immune microenvironment of advanced HGSOC is intrinsically heterogeneous and that chemotherapy induces local immune activation, suggesting that chemotherapy can potentiate the immunogenicity of immune-excluded HGSOC tumors.

OBJECTIVE:The purpose was to review the diagnostic performance of the length of tumor capsular contact (LCC) on magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) for detecting prostate cancer extraprostatic extension (EPE). MATERIALS AND METHODS:PubMed and EMBASE databases were searched up to March 24, 2019. We included diagnostic accuracy studies that evaluated LCC on MRI for EPE detection using radical prostatectomy specimen histopathology as the reference standard. Quality of studies was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies-2 tool. Sensitivity and specificity were pooled and graphically presented using hierarchical summary receiver operating characteristic (HSROC) plots. Meta-regression and subgroup analyses were conducted to explore heterogeneity. RESULTS:= 0.14-0.93). Diagnostic test accuracy estimates were comparable across all assessed MRI sequences. CONCLUSION:Greater LCC on MRI is associated with a higher probability of prostate cancer EPE. Due to heterogeneity among the studies, further investigation is needed to establish the optimal cutoff value for each clinical setting.

The aim of this study was to test an interactive up-to-date meta-analysis (iu-ma) of studies on MRI in the management of men with suspected prostate cancer. Based on the findings of recently published systematic reviews and meta-analyses, two freely accessible dynamic meta-analyses (https://iu-ma.org) were designed using the programming language R in combination with the package "shiny." The first iu-ma compares the performance of the MRI-stratified pathway and the systematic transrectal ultrasound-guided biopsy pathway for the detection of clinically significant prostate cancer, while the second iu-ma focuses on the use of biparametric versus multiparametric MRI for the diagnosis of prostate cancer. Our iu-mas allow for the effortless addition of new studies and data, thereby enabling physicians to keep track of the most recent scientific developments without having to resort to classical static meta-analyses that may become outdated in a short period of time. Furthermore, the iu-mas enable in-depth subgroup analyses by a wide variety of selectable parameters. Such an analysis is not only tailored to the needs of the reader but is also far more comprehensive than a classical meta-analysis. In that respect, following multiple subgroup analyses, we found that even for various subgroups, detection rates of prostate cancer are not different between biparametric and multiparametric MRI. Secondly, we could confirm the favorable influence of MRI biopsy stratification for multiple clinical scenarios. For the future, we envisage the use of this technology in addressing further clinical questions of other organ systems.