Faculty Bibliography

BACKGROUND:Inappropriate imaging to stage low-risk prostate cancer is considered low-value care. Determining the effectiveness of a theory-based intervention, Prostate Cancer Imaging Stewardship (PCIS), to promote guideline-concordant imaging. METHODS:A stepped-wedge, cluster-randomized trial, PCIS, was conducted between March 2018 and March 2021 at ten Veterans Health Administration medical centers (VAMC) initially selected for prostate cancer volume, geographic diversity, and willingness to participate. Intervention initiation at sites were randomized in 3-month intervals. We enrolled 61 urology providers who treat prostate cancer at participating sites. Outcomes were assessed among 2,302 patients with incident prostate cancer aged 18-85 years. PCIS combines three evidence-based provider-focused behavior change strategies: 1) Clinical Reminder Order Check triggered when a provider attempted to order imaging for a patient with PSA < 20ng/mL; 2) VAMC-level academic detailing at initiation and every three months thereafter; 3) Audit and Feedback for providers to improve their imaging performance. The main outcome was guideline-discordant nuclear medicine bone scan (NMBS) imaging for low-risk prostate cancer patients. RESULTS:NMBS imaging would be consistent with National Comprehensive Cancer Network guidelines in 878 patients (38%) and inconsistent in 1424 patients (62%). Among patients not requiring NMBS, 141/690 (20.4%) received guideline-discordant imaging (ie, NMBS ordered) during Control compared to 109/734 (14.9%) during Intervention (OR = 0.54, p = .04). Among patients requiring a NMBS, 29/425 (6.8%) did not receive one (ie, guideline-discordant imaging) during Control compared to 25/453 (5.5%) during the Intervention (OR = 1.36, p = .36). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:PCIS significantly reduced low-value, guideline-discordant NMBS imaging among low-risk prostate cancer patients without negatively affecting necessary imaging for high-risk patients. CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION/BACKGROUND:NCT03445559.

BACKGROUND:Communities hardest-hit by early SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks accrued more immunity, but prioritizing these communities for vaccination could reduce health disparities. Optimal vaccine allocation depends on inequality aversion, i.e., willingness to trade off aggregate health benefits to increase distributional equity. We evaluated the impact of vaccine prioritization strategies on COVID-19 infections and mortality in New York City (NYC). METHODS:We used a susceptible-exposed-infected-recovered COVID-19 transmission model calibrated to NYC neighborhood-level data to compare three vaccine distribution strategies: 1) uniform across neighborhoods (no prioritization); 2) prioritizing hardest-hit neighborhoods (exposure-based prioritization); and 3) prioritizing hardest-hit neighborhoods while maintaining mitigation measures in other neighborhoods (exposure-based prioritization plus mitigation). The model accounted for vaccine efficacy, rollout pace, pre-vaccine immunity, and heterogeneous neighborhood exposure risk. We categorized 42 NYC neighborhoods into quintiles of cumulative COVID-19 mortality rates from March 1, 2020, until first vaccine availability (December 14, 2020). We modeled total deaths and equally-distributed-equivalent (EDE) deaths (i.e., the equally preferred number of deaths, considering equity and efficiency) across a range of inequality aversion (Atkinson's index, ε=0-20). RESULTS:Exposure-based prioritization plus mitigation was estimated to avert the most citywide COVID-19 deaths (32.5 %) relative to no vaccination, regardless of adjustment for inequality aversion. Relative to no prioritization, exposure-based prioritization was estimated to avert 45 % fewer citywide deaths but generated 2.5 % more EDE-adjusted deaths at an Atkinson index of 10. Exposure-based prioritization outperformed no prioritization at an Atkinson index of ≥ 6. CONCLUSIONS:Prioritizing vaccination within the hardest-hit communities, paired with sustained mitigation efforts in communities with the greatest advantage, resulted in the greatest overall reduction in mortality and inequities. Emergency response teams should consider a community's ability to continue non-pharmaceutical mitigation efforts when allocating limited pharmaceutical supplies.

OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:To evaluate patient preferences for decision-making role in the management of intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasms (IPMNs) of the pancreas and to identify individual characteristics associated with those preferences. BACKGROUND:Management of IPMNs is rooted in uncertainty with current guidelines failing to incorporate patients' preferences and values. METHODS:A representative sample of participants aged 40-70 were recruited to evaluate a clinical vignette where they were given the option to undergo surveillance or surgical resection of their IPMN. Their preferred role in the decision-making process for the vignette was evaluated using the Control Preference Scale. The relationship between control preference and variables including cancer anxiety, health literacy, and education level was analyzed. RESULTS:Of the 520 participants in the study, most preferred an active role (65%), followed by shared (29%), and passive roles (6%) in the decision-making process. Lower health literacy was significantly associated with a more passive control preference (p = 0.003). Non-active preference was significantly associated with Latino race compared to White race (odds ratio = 0.52, p = 0.009) in multivariate analysis. We found no significant association between control preference and education level or cancer anxiety. CONCLUSIONS:Most patients preferred an active role in IPMN treatment decisions. Lower health literacy and Latino race were associated with a preference for non-active decision roles. Clinicians should strive to align patient involvement in IPMN treatment decisions with their patient's preferred role.

BACKGROUND:HIV transmission and disease progression may be driven by associations HIV risk behaviors have with a constellation of alcohol, other substance, and mood-related conditions (CASM). However, observational study-based measures of these associations are often prone to unmeasured confounding. While meta-analysis offers a systematic approach to summarize effect sizes across studies, the validity of these estimates can be compromised if similar biases exist across studies. Our analysis assesses the likelihood that unmeasured confounding explains meta-analysis-derived measures of association between CASM and HIV risk behaviors, and provides bias-adjusted estimates. METHODS:We first conducted systematic reviews and meta-analyses to assess associations between CASM conditions and four HIV risk behaviors (medication non-adherence, unprotected sex, transactional sex, and multiple sexual partners). We then adjusted for potential unmeasured confounders using two methods designed for meta-analyses - Point Estimate and Proportion of Meaningfully Strong Effects methods. We selected "risk propensity" as an illustrative and potentially important unmeasured confounder based on the extant literature and mechanistic plausibility. RESULTS:In analyses unadjusted for unmeasured confounding, 89% (24/27) of odds ratios (ORs) show strong evidence of a positive association, with alcohol use and stimulant use emerging as dominant risk factors for HIV risk behaviors. After adjusting for unmeasured confounding by risk propensity, 81% (22/27) of ORs still showed strong evidence of a positive association. Associations between mood-related conditions and HIV risk behaviors were more robust to unmeasured confounding than associations between alcohol use and other substance use and HIV risk behaviors. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Despite residual confounding present in constituent studies, there remains strong evidence of associations between CASM and HIV risk behaviors as well as the clustered nature of CASM conditions. Our analysis provides an example of how to assess unmeasured confounding in meta-analysis-derived measures of association.

Low engagement with HIV services persists among young men with harmful alcohol use in South Africa. We previously piloted a rural community-based HIV service delivery model to engage this key population. In the initial study, male nurses visited alcohol-serving venues to provide HIV testing and pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) services. From November 1 to December 30, 2021, we conducted interviews with 17 of 34 male pilot participants to evaluate program barriers, facilitators, and suggestions. All interviewees were satisfied with HIV testing and PrEP services. Participants overcame testing avoidance through peer influence and enhanced privacy. Barriers for PrEP initiation were stigma (PrEP mistaken for HIV treatment) and complacency toward HIV, while facilitators included desire to mitigate alcohol-associated risks, social support, and comfort with male community nurses. Most participants self-reported good adherence due to daily routines, nurse follow-ups, and social support, with lapses due to travel and alcohol use. Post-pilot, only three participants transferred to clinics to continue PrEP due to inconvenient access, unwelcoming environment, and stigma of clinic attendance. All participants wanted to restart community-based PrEP due to convenience, preference for male nurses, and avoidance of stigma. A few participants reported privacy concerns regarding peer-pressure to disclose test results and pills or home visits being mistaken for HIV treatment. Future suggestions included school/church visits, unmarked vehicles, nurse assistance with facilitated PrEP disclosure, patient ambassadors, and injectable PrEP. Community-based PrEP services using male nurses at alcohol-serving venues can reach men who otherwise would not engage in HIV services.

BACKGROUND:IPMN consensus guidelines make implicit judgments on what cancer risk level should prompt surgery. We used decision modeling to estimate this cancer risk threshold (CRT) for BD-IPMN patients. METHODS:We created a decision model to compare quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) following surgery or surveillance for BD-IPMNs. We simulated treatment decisions for hypothetical patients, varying age, comorbidities and lesion location (pancreatic head/tail). The base case was a 60-year-old patient with mild comorbidities and pancreatic head IPMN. Probabilities, life expectancies, and utilities were incorporated from literature/public datasets. CRT was defined as the level of cancer risk at which the expected value of QALYs for surgery first exceeded that of surveillance. RESULTS:In the base case, surgery was preferred over surveillance, yielding 21.90 vs. 21.88 QALYs. The optimal CRT for a BD-IPMN patient depended on age, comorbidities, and location. CRT in the base case was 20 % and 3 % for an IPMN in the head and tail of the pancreas, respectively. Other drivers of preferred treatment were age and likelihood of postoperative mortality. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:For BD-IPMNs, the optimal CRT varies depending on patient age and risk of surgical complications. Personalized risk threshold values could guide treatment decisions and inform future treatment consensus guidelines.

BACKGROUND:New HIV infections are increasing among heterosexual Black and Latino populations in the United States, yet little is known about the shared characteristics of HIV risk behaviors and oral PrEP use among these populations. This study sought to understand factors influencing HIV risk behaviors and oral PrEP use among low income, limited English proficient (LEP), Black and Latino men with heterosexual contact in New York City (NYC). METHODS:Sixteen Black and Latino cisgender men with heterosexual contact and indication for PrEP were recruited from an urban safety net hospital in NYC between 2021 and 2022. In-depth interviews were conducted with participants in English and Spanish. Thematic content analysis was conducted. RESULTS:Participants described multi-faceted experiences around PrEP use informed by HIV stigma, limited understanding of PrEP, and PrEP attitudes from participants and their social networks. Participants' HIV risk behaviors were informed by sexual decision making rooted in hegemonic masculinity, trust, and perceived HIV and STI susceptibility. Participants disclosed the mixed and diverse nature of their sexual networks (i.e., cisgender women, gay men, transgender women, and sex workers). Among LEP Spanish-speaking participants, HIV risk behaviors were contextually embedded in histories of sexual or physical abuse, child labor, and/or substance use problems. CONCLUSIONS:Our results call for interventions that improve sexual health knowledge, reduce stigma, and foster open discussions around sexual networks. Combined, these interventions may contribute to more accurate understanding of HIV risk behaviors and reduction of HIV transmission, especially among communities impacted by sociopolitical disenfranchisement such as LEP Spanish-speakers.

UNLABELLED: HIGHLIGHTS/UNASSIGNED:Diminishing marginal lifespan utility (DMLU) means that the value of extending lifespan may differ based on the duration of life already lived.DMLU is not typically considered in cost-effectiveness analyses.Not considering DMLU may bias cost-effectiveness analyses against equity.Not considering DMLU may reduce the accuracy of distributive cost-effectiveness analyses and other approaches to consider equity along with efficiency.

Important barriers to the use of QALYs in the United States include concerns about disability and age discrimination.Modifications to the utility function underlying QALYs have been proposed to mitigate these concerns, but some find them challenging to consider and/or to apply.Unrelated to these concerns, QALYs have been adapted within the framework of distributional cost-effectiveness analysis to allow consideration of inequality as well as efficiency.I outline how this framework can also remediate concerns about disability and age discrimination.