Faculty Bibliography

IMPORTANCE/UNASSIGNED:There has been a national increase in fatal and nonfatal overdoses involving stimulants, and 4.5 million US individuals meet criteria for stimulant use disorder (UD), with the highest prevalence in young adults. However, limited information exists on trends in diagnosed stimulant UD. OBJECTIVE/UNASSIGNED:To estimate trends in the proportion of adolescent and young adult Medicaid enrollees diagnosed with a stimulant UD from 2001 to 2020. DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS/UNASSIGNED:A repeated cross-sectional study (2001-2020) was conducted using administrative health care claims data from Medicaid (public insurance program in US). Publicly insured adolescents (aged 13-17 years) and young adults (aged 18-24 or 25-29 years) from 42 US states were included. Data were analyzed from January 2025 to July 2025. MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES/UNASSIGNED:Stimulant UD was defined as an inpatient or outpatient International Classification of Diseases diagnosis code in the year, with cocaine UD and noncocaine psychostimulant UD evaluated separately. The annual proportion with stimulant UD diagnoses was stratified by age group, sex, race and ethnicity, and presence of attention-deficit/hyperactivity disorder (ADHD) diagnosis or stimulant prescription in the year. Differences comparing 2001 with 2020 were summarized. Characteristics of those diagnosed with stimulant UD in 2020 were described. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:The sample included 5.7 million (2001) to 16.1 million Medicaid enrollees (2020) per year; in 2020, 54.2% were female, and 7.1 million were adolescents. From 2001 to 2020, the proportion diagnosed with noncocaine psychostimulant UD increased from 0.09% to 0.49% (prevalence ratio [PR], 5.47 [95% CI, 5.20-5.75]) in those aged 18 to 24 years, from 0.13% to 1.63% (PR, 12.55 [95% CI, 11.83-13.31]) for ages 25 to 29 years, and from 0.10% to 0.91% among young adults aged 18 to 29 years. Among adolescents, the proportion diagnosed with noncocaine psychostimulant UD varied between 0.03% and 0.07%. The proportion diagnosed with cocaine UD was stable in young adults (range, 0.17%-0.34% [18-24 years] and 0.53%-0.79% [25-29 years]) and declined in adolescents (from 0.04% to 0.01%). Cocaine and noncocaine psychostimulant UD diagnoses were 2 to 4 times more common in patients with an ADHD diagnosis or stimulant prescription. Most patients diagnosed with a stimulant UD in 2020 were also diagnosed with a mental health disorder (68%-82%) or other substance UD (72%-78%). CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/UNASSIGNED:The prevalence of noncocaine psychostimulant UD diagnoses in young adult Medicaid patients increased over the last 2 decades, potentially associated with an increasing use of prescription and illicit stimulants along with increased clinical detection. These trends raise concerns given recent rises in stimulant-involved overdose fatalities and stress the need for evidence-based stimulant UD treatments for young people.

Given substantial reporting delays in overdose deaths, state health departments increasingly use non-fatal overdose data to inform geographically targeted rapid overdose response efforts. We sought to evaluate the extent to which non-fatal overdose events were associated with concurrent and future overdose deaths in Rhode Island. We aggregated non-fatal overdose data from emergency medical services records (2019-2023) and fatal overdose data from the State Unintentional Drug Overdose Reporting System (2020-2023) in 1-, 3-, and 6-month intervals at census block group and census tract levels. Rates of fatal overdose were estimated, relative to non-fatal overdose lagged by 0-12 months, using negative binomial regression, and relative to monthly spikes in non-fatal overdose burden, using zero-inflated Poisson regression. Estimation was implemented using integrated nested Laplace approximation. Each additional non-fatal overdose event per census block group was associated with fatal overdose rates that were 48% higher (95% credible interval: 1.37-1.59) than expected in concurrent months, with smaller associations at the census tract level, in wider time intervals, and when non-fatal overdose data were lagged. Spikes in non-fatal overdose activity were associated with elevated overdose mortality in concurrent periods with fine temporal and geographic granularity, but not in larger time frames and geographic areas.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:Hazardous working conditions fuel inequities in accidental-poisoning, suicide, and chronic-liver-disease mortality. Relational theories suggest such hazards flow from power imbalances between workers, managers, and employers - social classes demarcated by power over property and labor. However, to our knowledge, no US studies using relational measures have analyzed class inequities in the cause-specific mortality. METHODS:We used the Mortality Disparities in American Communities dataset, which links the 2008 American Community Survey to the National Death Index through December 31, 2019. We classified respondents as incorporated business owners, unincorporated business owners, managers, workers, or not in the labor force based on their employment, occupational, and business-ownership status. Then, using an inverse-probability-weighted Aalen-Johansen estimator, we estimated risk differences in the cause-specific mortality across classes at the end of follow-up, including by sex, race/ethnicity, and education. RESULTS:Our sample included 2,304,500 respondents and 10,870 accidental-poisoning, suicide, and chronic-liver-disease deaths. Compared to incorporated business owners, those not in the labor force, workers, and unincorporated business owners had, respectively, 8.9 (95 % CI: 8.0, 9.7), 0.9 (95 % CI: 0.4, 1.5), and 1.1 (95 % CI: 0.3, 1.9) greater 12-year age- and sex-adjusted risks of the cause-specific mortality per 1000. Managers' risks resembled incorporated business owners'. Inequities largely persisted after thorough sociodemographic adjustment. Among workers, risks were elevated among the unemployed and those with blue-collar or service occupations. Finally, inequities were greater among men and less-educated respondents than among women and more-educated respondents. DISCUSSION/CONCLUSIONS:We estimated considerable class inequities in the cause-specific mortality, adding to research connecting class relations to mortality inequities and worsening population health.

OBJECTIVE:The CDC recommends initiating opioids for pain treatment at the lowest effective dose and duration. We examine how interactions between dose, duration, and other medication factors (e.g., drug type) influence opioid use disorder (OUD) risk-a gap not considered by CDC guidelines. SUBJECTS/METHODS:Using Medicaid claims data (2016-2019) from 25 states, we analyzed opioid-naïve adults, newly diagnosed with musculoskeletal pain who initiated opioids within three months of diagnosis. A 6-month washout confirmed no prior opioid exposure or musculoskeletal diagnosis. METHODS:Initial opioids were categorized by "dose-days supplied" (low [>0-20 mg MME] to very high [>90 mg MME] dose, and short [1-7 days] to moderate [>7-30 days] supply), and by opioid type; physical therapy (PT) sessions were also recorded. Using Poisson regression models, we estimated the OUD risk associated with dose-days categories, adjusting for baseline demographics, clinical characteristics, and medications. We separately examined opioid dose-days and PT, and assessed PT's moderating effect on dose-days' impact. RESULTS:Among 30,536 patients, half initiated opioids at 20-50 MME for 1-7 days, and 20% received PT. OUD risk was 2-3 times higher for opioids initiated for >7-30 days compared to 1-7 days across doses, and 5.5 times higher for opioids initiated for >7-30 days at > 90 MME versus 1-7 days at < 20 MME. PT alone, neither affected OUD risk nor mitigated the increased risk from longer or higher-dose opioids. CONCLUSIONS:Our findings support the need for careful opioid prescribing and alternative pain management strategies, as the observed associations between initial prescription characteristics and OUD were not mitigated by adjunctive PT. PERSPECTIVE/CONCLUSIONS:This study demonstrated that initial opioid prescriptions of 7-30 days, especially above 90 MME/day, increased OUD risk in opioid-naïve patients with musculoskeletal pain; physical therapy did not mitigate the risk. Different opioids posed varied risks, even at the same dose and duration. Careful prescribing and alternative pain management are essential.

INTRODUCTION/UNASSIGNED:The COVID-19 pandemic had a devastating impact on people who use drugs (PWUD). Reductions in access to harm reduction tools and treatment services elevated rates of fatal overdose for many. We explore the mechanism through which these factors influenced the rise in overdose mortality during COVID-19 from the perspective of people with overdose encounters. METHODS/UNASSIGNED:We conducted in-depth, semi-structured, 60-minute telephone-based interviews with 43 overdose survivors and witnesses between January and May 2022. Participants were from nine states (ME, MI, MD, NJ, NY, NM, PA, TN, WV) and Washington, DC. Data were analyzed thematically following the Continuum of Overdose Risk. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED:Most reported worsening mental health and increasing substance use during COVID-19. Isolation due to quarantining measures, coping behaviors, despair, and traumatic grief contributed to resumptions in drug use and risky behaviors. Some discussed how these stressors, combined with the rapid availability of financial resources led to increased use. Participants also attributed increased overdose risk to the increasingly toxic drug supply and stifled harm reduction access. Accounts of methadone treatment varied, however several expressed inconsistent access to take-home methadone, potentially contributing to resumed use. CONCLUSIONS/UNASSIGNED:Numerous micro- and macro-social factors, as well as the drug supply and treatment disruptions contributed to the acceleration in overdose risk. Increased funding and policy reform are needed to reduce overdose mortality in future public health emergencies, including improving harm reduction and treatment service adaptations to fit the needs of clients, as well as upholding and expanding novel methadone treatment delivery models.

IMPORTANCE/UNASSIGNED:Since the start of the 21st century, more than 800 000 firearm deaths and more than 2 million firearm injuries have occurred in the US. All categories of firearm violence-homicide, suicide, unintentional-result in reverberating harms to individuals, families, communities, and society. The collective responsibility of society is to safeguard the health and safety of its members, including from firearm harms. The JAMA Summit on Firearm Violence convened 60 thought leaders from a wide array of disciplines to chart an innovations roadmap that will lead to substantial reductions in firearm harms by 2040. OBSERVATIONS/UNASSIGNED:The vision for 2040 is a country where firearm violence is substantially reduced and where all people and communities report feeling safe from firearm harms. The vision centers on practical solutions with an understanding of the country's constitutional protections for firearm ownership. Achieving the 2040 vision will require expansion of proven evidence-based strategies and the development of new, innovative approaches rooted in equity, accountability, and collective responsibility. Discussions centered on projecting a safer world, community violence interventions, technologic innovations, federal and state-level oversight of firearms, ethical considerations, and primordial prevention of firearm violence. The Summit charted a roadmap of 5 essential actions in the next 5 years to achieve this vision: (1) focus on communities and change fundamental structures that lead to firearm harms, (2) harness technological strengths responsibly, (3) change the narrative around firearm harms, (4) take a whole-government and whole-society approach, and (5) spark a research revolution on preventing firearm harms. CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE/UNASSIGNED:A safer world will require investing in the discovery, implementation, and scaling of solutions that reduce firearm harms and center on the people and communities most affected by firearm violence.

OBJECTIVE:To examine nationwide trends in the prescribing of controlled medications to early adolescents, adolescents, and young adults enrolled in public insurance (Medicaid) from 2001 to 2019. METHODS:The study utilized US Medicaid data covering publicly insured enrollees from 43 states (2001-2019). Early adolescents (10-12y), adolescents (13-17y), and young adults (18-24y, 25-29y) with ≥ 10 months enrollment in each calendar year were included. Filled prescription for opioids, stimulants, benzodiazepines, Z-hypnotics, barbiturates, and gabapentin were identified. In each calendar year, annual proportions with 1 +  controlled medication, 2 +  classes of controlled medications, and each controlled medication were estimated. RESULTS:In 2019, the sample included 17.9 million enrollees (53 % female). The annual proportion prescribed any controlled medication peaked at 17.5 % in early adolescents (2003), 20.6 % in adolescents (2009), and 34.1 % (18-24y) and 47.0 % (25-29y) in young adults (2010). By 2019, the proportions declined to 11.7 % (early adolescents), 12.6 % (adolescents), 16.2 % (18-24y), and 23.9 % (25-29y). Trends varied by medication and age. The largest absolute decline was in the proportion with an opioid filled (2010 =29.8 %, 2019 =11.2 %, young adults 18-24y; 2003 =14.3 %, 2019 =4.4 %, adolescents). In contrast, the proportion with a stimulant fill increased, with eight-fold increases in young adults 25-29y (2001 =0.3 %, 2019 =2.6 %). Benzodiazepine and Z-hypnotic use peaked in 2010 and declined through 2019. CONCLUSIONS:In the past two decades, there were increases in stimulant prescriptions among young Medicaid enrollees. The declines in opioid, benzodiazepines, barbiturate and Z-hypnotic prescribing are encouraging and may indicate more cautious prescribing related to greater awareness of harms such as misuse and overdose, along with policy initiatives.

UNLABELLED:Policy Points State "must-query" prescription drug monitoring programs (PDMPs) were associated with increased overdose deaths, suggesting these policies may have unintended consequences. Black and Hispanic populations experienced disproportionately higher increases in overdose deaths following must-query PDMP adoption, highlighting that these policies may contribute to health disparities. Addressing systemic inequities in health care access and substance use treatment may help supplement the effective components of PDMPs, ensuring that these policies reduce rather than exacerbate overdose deaths. CONTEXT/BACKGROUND:Despite recent declines in national overdose deaths, these reductions have not been equitably experienced. Black and Hispanic communities continue to face rising rates of opioid-related mortality, even as overdose death rates among White individuals have begun to decline. One of the most widely implemented policy responses to the overdose crisis has been the adoption of prescription drug monitoring programs (PDMPs), particularly "must-query" mandates requiring prescribers to consult the PDMP before issuing controlled substances. However, limited research has examined whether the impact of these mandates varies by race and ethnicity. METHODS:We used restricted-use National Vital Statistics System data from 2013 to 2020 to estimate county-level overdose mortality stratified by drug type and race and ethnicity. We categorized deaths as follows: (1) all drug overdoses, (2) all opioid overdoses, and (3) natural/semisynthetic opioid overdoses. Exposure to must-query mandates was modeled as the proportion of the prior year during which mandates were in effect. Using Bayesian spatiotemporal models with county random effects and spatial autocorrelation, we estimated relative rates (RRs) for each outcome overall and by race and ethnicity, adjusting for state policies and sociodemographic characteristics. FINDINGS/RESULTS:Must-query mandates were associated with increases in overdose deaths across all groups, with the largest relative increases among Hispanic (RR = 1.32, 95% credible interval [CrI]: 1.21-1.44) and Black individuals (RR = 1.23, 95% CrI: 1.14-1.33) compared with White individuals (RR = 1.14, 95% CrI: 1.10-1.19). These increases were also observed among Black and Hispanic individuals for natural/semisynthetic opioid overdoses. CONCLUSIONS:PDMP must-query mandates are not uniformly protective across racial and ethnic groups. Increases in overdose mortality following adoption, particularly among Black and Hispanic populations, underscore the need to evaluate drug policies through an equity lens and consider broader structural determinants of health that shape their effectiveness.