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Alterations in Magnitude and Shape of Thoracic Kyphosis Following Surgical Correction for Adult Spinal Deformity

Lafage, Renaud; Song, Junho; Diebo, Bassel; Daniels, Alan H; Passias, Peter G; Ames, Christopher P; Bess, Shay; Eastlack, Robert; Gupta, Munish C; Hostin, Richard; Kebaish, Khaled; Kim, Han Jo; Klineberg, Eric; Mundis, Gregory M; Smith, Justin S; Shaffrey, Christopher; Schwab, Frank; Lafage, Virginie; Burton, Douglas; ,
STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Retrospective review of prospective multicenter data. OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:This study aimed to investigate the shape of TK before and after fusion in ASD patients treated with long fusion. METHODS:test. RESULTS:= .032). CONCLUSIONS:Posterior spinal fusion for ASD alters the magnitude and shape of thoracic kyphosis. While 60% of patients had a normal TK at baseline, 30% of those patients developed iatrogenic hyperkyphosis postoperatively. Patients with baseline hypokyphosis were more likely to be corrected to normal TK than hyperkyphotic patients. Future research should investigate TK restoration in ASD and its impact on clinical outcomes and complications.
PMID: 38031967
ISSN: 2192-5682
CID: 5616912

The Benefit of Addressing Malalignment In Revision Surgery for Proximal Junctional Kyphosis Following ASD Surgery

Passias, Peter G; Krol, Oscar; Williamson, Tyler K; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Smith, Justin S; Line, Breton; Vira, Shaleen; Lipa, Shaina; Daniels, Alan; Diebo, Bassel; Schoenfeld, Andrew; Gum, Jeffrey; Kebaish, Khaled; Park, Paul; Mundis, Gregory; Hostin, Richard; Gupta, Manush; Eastlack, Robert; Anand, Neel; Ames, Christopher; Hart, Robert; Burton, Douglas; Schwab, Frank J; Shaffrey, Christopher; Klineberg, Eric; Bess, Shay
STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Retrospective cohort study. OBJECTIVE:Understand the benefit of addressing malalignment in revision surgery for PJK. SUMMARY OF BACKGROUND DATA/BACKGROUND:Proximal junctional kyphosis(PJK) is a common cause of revision surgery for ASD patients. During a revision, surgeons may elect to perform a proximal extension of the fusion, or also correct the source of the lumbo-pelvic mismatch. METHODS:Recurrent PJK following revision surgery was the primary outcome. Revision surgical strategy was the primary predictor(proximal extension of fusion alone compared to combined sagittal correction and proximal extension). Multivariable logistic regression determined rates of recurrent PJK between the two surgical groups with lumbo-pelvic surgical correction assessed through improving ideal alignment in one or more alignment criteria(Global Alignment and Proportionality[GAP],Roussouly-type, and Sagittal Age-Adjusted Score[SAAS]). RESULTS:151 patients underwent revision surgery for PJK. PJK occurred at a rate of 43.0%, and PJF at 12.6%. Patients proportioned in GAP post-revision had lower rates of recurrent PJK(23% vs. 42%;OR: 0.3,95% CI:[0.1-0.8];P=0.024). Following adjusted analysis, patients who were ideally aligned in 1 of 3 criteria (Matching in SAAS and/or Roussouly matched and/or achieved GAP proportionality) had lower rates of recurrent PJK (36% vs. 53%;OR: 0.4,95% CI:[0.1-0.9];P=0.035) and recurrent PJF(OR: 0.1,95% CI:[0.02-0.7];P=0.015). Patients ideally aligned in 2 of 3 criteria avoid any development of PJF(0% vs. 16%, P<0.001). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Following revision surgery for proximal junctional kyphosis, patients with persistent poor sagittal alignment showed increased rates of recurrent proximal junctional kyphosis compared with patients who had abnormal lumbo-pelvic alignment corrected during the revision. These findings suggest addressing the root cause of surgical failure in addition to proximal extension of the fusion may be beneficial.
PMID: 36083599
ISSN: 1528-1159
CID: 5337302

Adult Cervical Deformity Patients Have Higher Baseline Frailty, Disability, and Comorbidities Compared With Complex Adult Thoracolumbar Deformity Patients: A Comparative Cohort Study of 616 Patients

Smith, Justin S; Kelly, Michael P; Buell, Thomas J; Ben-Israel, David; Diebo, Bassel; Scheer, Justin K; Line, Breton; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Klineberg, Eric; Kim, Han Jo; Passias, Peter; Gum, Jeffrey L; Kebaish, Khal; Mullin, Jeffrey P; Eastlack, Robert; Daniels, Alan; Soroceanu, Alex; Mundis, Gregory; Hostin, Richard; Protopsaltis, Themistocles S; Hamilton, D Kojo; Gupta, Munish; Lewis, Stephen J; Schwab, Frank J; Lenke, Lawrence G; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Burton, Douglas; Ames, Christopher P; Bess, Shay; ,
STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Multicenter comparative cohort. OBJECTIVE:Studies have shown markedly higher rates of complications and all-cause mortality following surgery for adult cervical deformity (ACD) compared with adult thoracolumbar deformity (ATLD), though the reasons for these differences remain unclear. Our objectives were to compare baseline frailty, disability, and comorbidities between ACD and complex ATLD patients undergoing surgery. METHODS:Two multicenter prospective adult spinal deformity registries were queried, one ATLD and one ACD. Baseline clinical and frailty measures were compared between the cohorts. RESULTS:< .001). CONCLUSIONS:Compared with ATLD patients, ACD patients had worse baseline characteristics on all measures assessed (comorbidities/disability/frailty). These differences may help account for greater risk of complications and all-cause mortality previously observed in ACD patients and facilitate strategies for better preoperative optimization.
PMID: 37948666
ISSN: 2192-5682
CID: 5736772

Are we improving in the optimization of surgery for high-risk adult cervical spine deformity patients over time?

Passias, Peter G; Tretiakov, Peter S; Smith, Justin S; Lafage, Renaud; Diebo, Bassel; Scheer, Justin K; Eastlack, Robert K; Daniels, Alan H; Klineberg, Eric O; Khabeish, Khaled M; Mundis, Gregory M; Turner, Jay D; Gupta, Munish C; Kim, Han Jo; Schwab, Frank; Bess, Shay; Lafage, Virginie; Ames, Christopher P; Shaffrey, Christopher I
OBJECTIVE:The aim of this study was to investigate whether surgery for high-risk patients is being optimized over time and if poor outcomes are being minimized. METHODS:Patients who underwent surgery for cervical deformity (CD) and were ≥ 18 years with baseline and 2-year data were stratified by year of surgery from 2013 to 2018. The cohort was divided into two groups based on when the surgery was performed. Patients in the early cohort underwent surgery between 2013 and 2015 and those in the recent cohort underwent surgery between 2016 and 2018. High-risk patients met at least 2 of the following criteria: 1) baseline C2-7 Cobb angle > 15°, mismatch between T1 slope and cervical lordosis ≥ 35°, C2-7 sagittal vertical axis > 4 cm, or chin-brow vertical angle > 25°; 2) age ≥ 70 years; 3) severe baseline frailty (Miller index); 4) Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) ≥ 1 SD above the mean; 5) three-column osteotomy as treatment; and 6) fusion > 10 levels or > 7 levels for elderly patients. The mean comparison analysis assessed differences between groups. Stepwise multivariable linear regression described associations between increasing year of surgery and complications. RESULTS:Eighty-two CD patients met high-risk criteria (mean age 62.11 ± 10.87 years, 63.7% female, mean BMI 29.70 ± 8.16 kg/m2, and mean CCI 1.07 ± 1.45). The proportion of high-risk patients increased with time, with 41.8% of patients in the early cohort classified as high risk compared with 47.6% of patients in the recent cohort (p > 0.05). Recent high-risk patients were more likely to be female (p = 0.008), have a lower BMI (p = 0.038), and have a higher baseline CCI (p = 0.013). Surgically, high-risk patients in the recent cohort were more likely to undergo low-grade osteotomy (p = 0.003). By postoperative complications, recent high-risk patients were less likely to experience any postoperative adverse events overall (p = 0.020) or complications such as dysphagia (p = 0.045) at 2 years. Regression analysis revealed increasing year of surgery to be correlated with decreasing minor complication rates (p = 0.030), as well as lowered rates of distal junctional kyphosis by 2 years (p = 0.048). CONCLUSIONS:Over time, high-risk CD patients have an increase in frequency and comorbidity rates but have demonstrated improved postoperative outcomes. These findings suggest that spine surgeons have improved over time in optimizing selection and reducing potential adverse events in high-risk patients.
PMID: 37548546
ISSN: 1547-5646
CID: 5613992

Should realignment goals vary based on patient frailty status in adult spinal deformity?

Passias, Peter G; Mir, Jamshaid M; Williamson, Tyler K; Tretiakov, Peter S; Dave, Pooja; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Schoenfeld, Andrew J
OBJECTIVE:The objective of this study was to adjust the sagittal age-adjusted score (SAAS) to accommodate frailty in alignment considerations and thereby increase the predictability of clinical outcomes and junctional failure. METHODS:Surgical adult spinal deformity (ASD) patients with 2-year data were included. Frailty was assessed with the continuous ASD modified frailty index (ASD-mFI). Two-year outcomes were proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK), proximal junctional failure (PJF), major mechanical complications, and best clinical outcome (BCO), defined as Oswestry Disability Index (ODI) score < 15 and Scoliosis Research Society outcomes questionnaire total score > 4.5 by 2 years. Linear regression analysis established a 6-week score based on the component scores of SAAS, frailty, and US normal values for ODI score. Logistic regression analysis followed by conditional inference tree run forest analysis generated categorical thresholds. Multivariate analysis, controlling for age, baseline deformity, and history of revision, was used to compare outcome rates, and logistic regression generated odds ratios for the continuous score. Thirty percent of the cohort was used as a random sample for internal validation. RESULTS:In total, 412 patients were included (mean ± SD age 60.1 ± 14.2 years, 80% female, BMI 26.9 ± 5.4 kg/m2). Baseline frailty categories were as follows: 57% not frail, 30% frail, and 14% severely frail. Overall, by 2 years, 39% of patients had developed PJK, 8% PJF, and 21% mechanical complications; 22% had undergone a reoperation; and 15% met BCO. When the cohort as a whole was assessed, the 6-week SAAS had a correlation with the development of PJK and PJF, but not mechanical complications, reoperation, or BCO. Development of mechanical complications, PJF, reoperation, and BCO demonstrated correlations with ASD-mFI (all p < 0.05). Regression analysis modifying SAAS on the basis of ODI norms and frailty generated the following equation: frailty-adjusted SAAS (FAS) = 0.108 × T1 pelvic angle + 0.162 × pelvic tilt - 0.39 × pelvic incidence - lumbar lordosis - 0.03 × ASD-mFI - 1.6771. With conditional inference tree analysis, thresholds were derived for FAS: aligned < 1.7, offset 1.7-2.2, and severely offset > 2.2. Significance between FAS categories was found for PJK, PJF, mechanical complications, reoperation, and BCO by 2 years. Binary logistic regression, controlling for baseline deformity and revision status, demonstrated significance between FAS and all 5 outcome variables (all p < 0.01). Internal validation saw each outcome variable maintain significance between categories, with even greater odds for PJF (OR 13.4, 95% CI 4.7-38.3, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS:Consideration of physiological age, in addition to chronological age, may be beneficial in the management of operative goals to maximize clinical outcomes while minimizing junctional failure. This combination enables the spine surgeon to fortify a surgical plan for even the most challenging patients undergoing ASD corrective surgery.
PMID: 37728390
ISSN: 1547-5646
CID: 5590922

When Not to Operate in Spinal Deformity: Identifying Subsets of Patients with Simultaneous Clinical Deterioration, Major Complications, and Reoperation

Passias, Peter G; Pierce, Katherine E; Dave, Pooja; Lafage, Renaud; Lafage, Virginie; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; Line, Breton; Uribe, Juan; Hostin, Richard; Daniels, Alan; Hart, Robert; Burton, Douglas; Kim, Han Jo; Mundis, Gregory M; Eastlack, Robert; Diebo, Bassel G; Gum, Jeffrey L; Shaffrey, Christopher; Schwab, Frank; Ames, Christopher P; Smith, Justin S; Bess, Shay; Klineberg, Eric; Gupta, Munish C; Hamilton, D Kojo
STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Retrospective review of a prospectively enrolled adult spinal deformity (ASD) database. OBJECTIVE:To investigate what patient factors elevate the risk of sub-optimal outcomes after deformity correction. BACKGROUND:Currently, it is unknown what factors predict a poor outcome after adult spinal deformity surgery, which may require increased pre-operative consideration and counseling. METHODS:Patients >18yrs undergoing surgery for ASD(scoliosis≥20°, SVA≥5 cm, PT≥25°, or TK≥60°). An unsatisfactory outcome was defined by the following categories met at 2Y: (1) clinical: deteriorating in ODI at 2Y f/u (2) complications/reop: having a reoperation and major complication were deemed high risk for poor outcomes postoperatively (HR). Multivariate analyses assessed predictive factors of HR patients in adult spinal deformity patients. RESULTS:633 ASD (59.9 years, 79%F, 27.7 kg/m2, CCI: 1.74) were included. Baseline severe Schwab modifier incidence (++): 39.2% PI-LL, 28.8% SVA, 28.9% PT. 15.5% of patients deteriorated in ODI by 2 years, while 7.6% underwent a reoperation and had a major complication. This categorized 11 (1.7%) as HR. HR were more comorbid in terms of arthritis (73%) heart disease (36%) and kidney disease (18%), P<0.001. Surgically, HR had greater EBL (4431ccs), underwent more osteotomies (91%), specifically Ponte(36%) and Three Column Osteotomies(55%), which occurred more at L2(91%). HR underwent more PLIFs (45%) and had more blood transfusion units (2641ccs), all P<0.050. The multivariate regression determined a combination of a baseline DRAM score in the 75th percentile, having arthritis and kidney disease, a baseline right lower extremity motor score ≤3, cSVA >65 mm, C2 slope >30.2°, CTPA >5.5° for an R2 value of 0.535 (P<0.001). CONCLUSIONS:When addressing adult spine deformities, poor outcomes tends to occur in severely comorbid patients with major baseline psychological distress scores, poor neurologic function, and concomitant cervical malalignment.
PMID: 37470375
ISSN: 1528-1159
CID: 5535942

Impact of Frailty on the Development of Proximal Junctional Failure: Does Frailty Supersede Achieving Optimal Realignment?

Krol, Oscar; McFarland, Kimberly; Owusu-Sarpong, Stephane; Sagoo, Navraj; Williamson, Tyler; Joujon-Roche, Rachel; Tretiakov, Peter; Imbo, Bailey; Dave, Pooja; Mir, Jamshaid; Lebovic, Jordan; Onafowokan, Oluwatobi O; Schoenfeld, Andrew J; De la Garza Ramos, Rafael; Janjua, Muhammad Burhan; Sciubba, Daniel M; Diebo, Bassel G; Vira, Shaleen; Smith, Justin S; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Passias, Peter G
BACKGROUND:Patients undergoing surgery for adult spinal deformity (ASD) are often elderly, frail, and at elevated risk of adverse events perioperatively, with proximal junctional failure (PJF) occurring relatively frequently. Currently, the specific role of frailty in potentiating this outcome is poorly defined. PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:To determine if the benefits of optimal realignment in ASD, with respect to the development of PJF, can be offset by increasing frailty. STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Retrospective cohort. METHODS:Operative ASD patients (scoliosis >20°, SVA>5 cm, PT>25°, or TK>60°) fused to pelvis or below with available baseline (BL) and 2-year (2Y) radiographic and HRQL data were included. The Miller Frailty Index (FI) was used to stratify patients into 2 categories: Not Frail (FI <3) and Frail (>3). Proximal Junctional Failure (PJF) was defined using the Lafage criteria. "Matched" and "unmatched" refers to ideal age-adjusted alignment post-operatively. Multivariable regression determined impact of frailty on development of PJF. RESULTS:284 ASD patients met inclusion criteria (62.2yrs±9.9, 81%F, BMI: 27.5 kg/m2±5.3, ASD-FI: 3.4±1.5, CCI: 1.7±1.6). 43% of patients were characterized as Not Frail (NF) and 57% were characterized as Frail (F). PJF development was lower in the NF group compared to the F group, (7% vs. 18%; P=0.002). F patients had 3.2X higher risk of PJF development compared to NF patients (OR: 3.2, 95% CI: 1.3-7.3, P=0.009). Controlling for baseline factors, F unmatched patients had a higher degree of PJF (OR: 1.4, 95% CI:1.02-1.8, P=0.03), however, with prophylaxis there was no increased risk. Adjusted analysis shows F patients when matched post-operatively in PI-LL had no significantly higher risk of PJF. CONCLUSIONS:An increasingly frail state is significantly associated with the development of PJF after corrective surgery for ASD. Optimal realignment may mitigate the impact of frailty on eventual PJF. Prophylaxis should be considered in frail patients who do not reach ideal alignment goals.
PMID: 37199421
ISSN: 1528-1159
CID: 5508062

Height Gain Following Correction of Adult Spinal Deformity

Diebo, Bassel G; Tataryn, Zachary; Alsoof, Daniel; Lafage, Renaud; Hart, Robert A; Passias, Peter G; Ames, Christopher P; Scheer, Justin K; Lewis, Stephen J; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Burton, Douglas C; Deviren, Vedat; Line, Breton G; Soroceanu, Alex; Hamilton, D Kojo; Klineberg, Eric O; Mundis, Gregory M; Kim, Han Jo; Gum, Jeffrey L; Smith, Justin S; Uribe, Juan S; Kelly, Michael P; Kebaish, Khaled M; Gupta, Munish C; Nunley, Pierce D; Eastlack, Robert K; Hostin, Richard; Protopsaltis, Themistocles S; Lenke, Lawrence G; Schwab, Frank J; Bess, Shay; Lafage, Virginie; Daniels, Alan H
BACKGROUND:Height gain following a surgical procedure for patients with adult spinal deformity (ASD) is incompletely understood, and it is unknown if height gain correlates with patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs). METHODS:This was a retrospective cohort study of patients undergoing ASD surgery. Patients with baseline, 6-week, and subanalysis of 1-year postoperative full-body radiographic and PROM data were examined. Correlation analysis examined relationships between vertical height differences and PROMs. Regression analysis was utilized to preoperatively estimate T1-S1 and S1-ankle height changes. RESULTS:This study included 198 patients (mean age, 57 years; 69% female); 147 patients (74%) gained height. Patients with height loss, compared with those who gained height, experienced greater increases in thoracolumbar kyphosis (2.81° compared with -7.37°; p < 0.001) and thoracic kyphosis (12.96° compared with 4.42°; p = 0.003). For patients with height gain, sagittal and coronal alignment improved from baseline to postoperatively: 25° to 21° for pelvic tilt (PT), 14° to 3° for pelvic incidence - lumbar lordosis (PI-LL), and 60 mm to 17 mm for sagittal vertical axis (SVA) (all p < 0.001). The full-body mean height gain was 7.6 cm, distributed as follows: sella turcica-C2, 2.9 mm; C2-T1, 2.8 mm; T1-S1 (trunk gain), 3.8 cm; and S1-ankle (lower-extremity gain), 3.3 cm (p < 0.001). T1-S1 height gain correlated with the thoracic Cobb angle correction and the maximum Cobb angle correction (p = 0.002). S1-ankle height gain correlated with the corrections in PT, PI-LL, and SVA (p < 0.001). T1-ankle height gain correlated with the corrections in PT (p < 0.001) and SVA (p = 0.03). Trunk height gain correlated with improved Scoliosis Research Society (SRS-22r) Appearance scores (r = 0.20; p = 0.02). Patient-Reported Outcomes Measurement Information System (PROMIS) Depression scores correlated with S1-ankle height gain (r = -0.19; p = 0.03) and C2-T1 height gain (r = -0.18; p = 0.04). A 1° correction in a thoracic scoliosis Cobb angle corresponded to a 0.2-mm height gain, and a 1° correction in a thoracolumbar scoliosis Cobb angle resulted in a 0.25-mm height gain. A 1° improvement in PI-LL resulted in a 0.2-mm height gain. CONCLUSIONS:Most patients undergoing ASD surgery experienced height gain following deformity correction, with a mean full-body height gain of 7.6 cm. Height gain can be estimated preoperatively with predictive ratios, and height gain was correlated with improvements in reported SRS-22r appearance and PROMIS scores. LEVEL OF EVIDENCE/METHODS:Therapeutic Level III. See Instructions for Authors for a complete description of levels of evidence.
PMID: 37478308
ISSN: 1535-1386
CID: 5536182

The ISSG-AO Complication Intervention Score, but Not Major/Minor Designation, is Correlated With Length of Stay Following Adult Spinal Deformity Surgery

Wick, Joseph B; Blandino, Andrew; Smith, Justin S; Line, Breton G; Lafage, Virginie; Lafage, Renaud; Kim, Han Jo; Passias, Peter G; Gum, Jeffrey L; Kebaish, Khaled M; Eastlack, Robert K; Daniels, Alan; Mundis, Gregory; Hostin, Richard; Protopsaltis, Themistocles; Hamilton, D Kojo; Kelly, Michael P; Gupta, Munish; Hart, Robert A; Schwab, Frank J; Burton, Douglas C; Ames, Christopher P; Lenke, Lawrence G; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Bess, Shay; Klineberg, Eric; ,
STUDY DESIGN/METHODS:Retrospective review. OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:The International Spine Study Group-AO (ISSG-AO) Adult Spinal Deformity (ASD) Complication Classification System was developed to improve classification, reporting, and study of complications among patients undergoing ASD surgery. The ISSG-AO system classifies interventions to address complications by level of invasiveness: grade zero (none); grade 1, mild (e.g., medication change); grade 2, moderate (e.g., ICU admission); grade 3, severe (e.g., reoperation related to surgery of interest). To evaluate the efficacy of the ISSG-AO ASD Complication Classification System, we aimed to compare correlations between postoperative length of stay (LOS) and complication severity as classified by the ISSG-AO ASD and traditional major/minor complication classification systems. METHODS:Patients age ≥18 in a multicenter ASD database who sustained in-hospital complications were identified. Complications were classified with the major/minor and ISSG-AO systems and correlated with LOS using an ensemble-based machine learning algorithm (conditional random forest) and a generalized linear mixed model. RESULTS:490 patients at 19 sites were included. 64.9% of complications were major, and 35.1% were minor. By ISSG-AO classification, 20.4%, 66.1%, 6.7%, and 6.7% were grades 0-3, respectively. ISSG-AO complication grading demonstrated significant correlation with LOS, whereas major/minor complication classification demonstrated inverse correlation with LOS. In conditional random forest analysis, ISSG-AO classification had the greatest relative importance when assessing correlations across multiple variables with LOS. CONCLUSIONS:The ISSG-AO system may help identify specific complications associated with prolonged LOS. Targeted interventions to avoid or reduce these complications may improve ASD surgical quality and resource utilization.
PMID: 37725904
ISSN: 2192-5682
CID: 5735272

Calibration of a comprehensive predictive model for the development of proximal junctional kyphosis and failure in adult spinal deformity patients with consideration of contemporary goals and techniques

Tretiakov, Peter S; Lafage, Renaud; Smith, Justin S; Line, Breton G; Diebo, Bassel G; Daniels, Alan H; Gum, Jeffrey; Protopsaltis, Themistocles; Hamilton, D Kojo; Soroceanu, Alex; Scheer, Justin K; Eastlack, Robert K; Mundis, Gregory; Nunley, Pierce D; Klineberg, Eric O; Kebaish, Khaled; Lewis, Stephen; Lenke, Lawrence; Hostin, Richard; Gupta, Munish C; Ames, Christopher P; Hart, Robert A; Burton, Douglas; Shaffrey, Christopher I; Schwab, Frank; Bess, Shay; Kim, Han Jo; Lafage, Virginie; Passias, Peter G
OBJECTIVE:The objective of this study was to calibrate an updated predictive model incorporating novel clinical, radiographic, and prophylactic measures to assess the risk of proximal junctional kyphosis (PJK) and failure (PJF). METHODS:Operative patients with adult spinal deformity (ASD) and baseline and 2-year postoperative data were included. PJK was defined as ≥ 10° in sagittal Cobb angle between the inferior uppermost instrumented vertebra (UIV) endplate and superior endplate of the UIV + 2 vertebrae. PJF was radiographically defined as a proximal junctional sagittal Cobb angle ≥ 15° with the presence of structural failure and/or mechanical instability, or PJK with reoperation. Backstep conditional binary supervised learning models assessed baseline demographic, clinical, and surgical information to predict the occurrence of PJK and PJF. Internal cross validation of the model was performed via a 70%/30% cohort split. Conditional inference tree analysis determined thresholds at an alpha level of 0.05. RESULTS:Seven hundred seventy-nine patients with ASD (mean 59.87 ± 14.24 years, 78% female, mean BMI 27.78 ± 6.02 kg/m2, mean Charlson Comorbidity Index 1.74 ± 1.71) were included. PJK developed in 50.2% of patients, and 10.5% developed PJF by their last recorded visit. The six most significant demographic, radiographic, surgical, and postoperative predictors of PJK/PJF were baseline age ≥ 74 years, baseline sagittal age-adjusted score (SAAS) T1 pelvic angle modifier > 1, baseline SAAS pelvic tilt modifier > 0, levels fused > 10, nonuse of prophylaxis measures, and 6-week SAAS pelvic incidence minus lumbar lordosis modifier > 1 (all p < 0.015). Overall, the model was deemed significant (p < 0.001), and internally validated receiver operating characteristic analysis returned an area under the curve of 0.923, indicating robust model fit. CONCLUSIONS:PJK and PJF remain critical concerns in ASD surgery, and efforts to reduce the occurrence of PJK and PJF have resulted in the development of novel prophylactic techniques and enhanced clinical and radiographic selection criteria. This study demonstrates a validated model incorporating such techniques that may allow for the prediction of clinically significant PJK and PJF, and thus assist in optimizing patient selection, enhancing intraoperative decision making, and reducing postoperative complications in ASD surgery.
PMID: 37310039
ISSN: 1547-5646
CID: 5728252