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Improving Estimates of the Prevalence of Opioid Use Disorder in the United States: Revising Keyes et al

Lim, Tse Yang; Keyes, Katherine M; Caulkins, Jonathan P; Stringfellow, Erin J; Cerdá, Magdalena; Jalali, Mohammad S
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:The United States faces an ongoing drug overdose crisis, but accurate information on the prevalence of opioid use disorder (OUD) remains limited. A recent analysis by Keyes et al used a multiplier approach with drug poisoning mortality data to estimate OUD prevalence. Although insightful, this approach made stringent and partly inconsistent assumptions in interpreting mortality data, particularly synthetic opioid (SO)-involved and non-opioid-involved mortality. We revise that approach and resulting estimates to resolve inconsistencies and examine several alternative assumptions. METHODS:We examine 4 adjustments to Keyes and colleagues' estimation approach: (A) revising how the equations account for SO effects on mortality, (B) incorporating fentanyl prevalence data to inform estimates of SO lethality, (C) using opioid-involved drug poisoning data to estimate a plausible range for OUD prevalence, and (D) adjusting mortality data to account for underreporting of opioid involvement. RESULTS:Revising the estimation equation and SO lethality effect (adj. A and B) while using Keyes and colleagues' original assumption that people with OUD account for all fatal drug poisonings yields slightly higher estimates, with OUD population reaching 9.3 million in 2016 before declining to 7.6 million by 2019. Using only opioid-involved drug poisoning data (adj. C and D) provides a lower range, peaking at 6.4 million in 2014-2015 and declining to 3.8 million in 2019. CONCLUSIONS:The revised estimation equation presented is feasible and addresses limitations of the earlier method and hence should be used in future estimations. Alternative assumptions around drug poisoning data can also provide a plausible range of estimates for OUD population.
PMID: 39221814
ISSN: 1935-3227
CID: 5687612

Comparative effectiveness of extended-release naltrexone and sublingual buprenorphine for treatment of opioid use disorder among Medicaid patients

Ross, Rachael K; Nunes, Edward V; Olfson, Mark; Shulman, Matisyahu; Krawczyk, Noa; Stuart, Elizabeth A; Rudolph, Kara E
BACKGROUND AND AIMS/OBJECTIVE:Extended-release naltrexone (XR-NTX) and sublingual buprenorphine (SL-BUP) are both approved for opioid use disorder (OUD) treatment in any medical setting. We aimed to compare the real-world effectiveness of XR-NTX and SL-BUP. DESIGN AND SETTING/METHODS:This was an observational active comparator, new user cohort study of Medicaid claims records for patients in New Jersey and California, USA, 2016-19. PARTICIPANTS/CASES/METHODS:The participants were adult Medicaid patients aged 18-64 years who initiated XR-NTX or SL-BUP for maintenance treatment of OUD and did not use medications for OUD in the 90 days before initiation. Our cohort included 1755 XR-NTX and 9886 SL-BUP patients. MEASUREMENTS/METHODS:We examined two outcomes up to 180 days after medication initiation: (1) composite of medication discontinuation and death and (2) composite of overdose and death. FINDINGS/RESULTS:In adjusted analyses, treatment with XR-NTX was more likely to result in discontinuation or death by the end of follow-up than treatment with SL-BUP: cumulative risk 75.9% [95% confidence interval (CI) = 73.9%, 77.9%] versus 62.2% (95% CI = 61.2%, 63.2%), respectively (risk difference = 13.7 percentage points, 95% CI = 11.4, 16.0). There was minimal difference in the cumulative risk of overdose or death by the end of follow-up: XR-NTX 3.9% (95% CI = 3.0%, 4.8%) versus SL-BUP 3.3% (95% CI = 2.9%, 3.7%); risk difference = 0.5 percentage points, 95% CI = -0.4, 1.5. Results were consistent across sensitivity analyses. CONCLUSIONS:Medicaid patients in California and New Jersey, USA, receiving treatment for opioid use disorder stayed in treatment longer on sublingual buprenorphine than on extended-release naltrexone, but the risk of overdose was similar. Most patients in this study discontinued medication within 6 months, regardless of which medication was initiated.
PMID: 39099417
ISSN: 1360-0443
CID: 5791942

Relationships Among COVID-19-Related Service Uptake, HIV Status, Drug Use, and COVID-19 Antibody Status Among HIV Testing Intervention Participants in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Williams, Leslie D; Memela, Phumlani; van Heerden, Alastair; Friedman, Samuel R; Joseph, Phillip; Chibi, Buyisile
People living with HIV (PLWH) and people who use drugs are vulnerable populations who may face barriers to accessing health services and may have irregularities in immune function. People with undiagnosed HIV infection may be particularly likely to have compromised immune function. However, research about whether/how HIV status is related to COVID-19-related health outcomes has been equivocal, and research on the predictors of COVID-19-related health service access/uptake has been limited in Sub-Saharan African settings. Among 470 participants of a peer-recruitment-based HIV-testing intervention in KwaZulu-Natal, we examined whether HIV status and/or hard drug use were associated with uptake of COVID-19 testing and vaccination, and whether they moderated the relationship between COVID-19 vaccination status and COVID-19 IgG antibody status. Women were significantly more likely than men to report testing for COVID-19 (OR = 1.84; p = 0.002) and being vaccinated (OR = 1.79; p = 0.002). Neither HIV status nor drug use was associated with likelihood of getting tested or vaccinated. Vaccinated participants (90% of whom obtained vaccines more than 6 months before the study) were significantly more likely to test positive for COVID-19 IgG antibodies (OR = 6.86; p < 0.0005). This relationship held true for subgroups of PLWH and participants with previously undiagnosed/uncontrolled HIV infection, and was not moderated by HIV status or hard drug use. These findings may suggest that both people who use drugs and PLWH were served as well as other people by KwaZulu-Natal's COVID-19 response. However, gender-based disparities in COVID-19 service uptake suggest that special care should be taken during future COVID-19 outbreaks or other new epidemics to improve access to related healthcare services among men in this region.
PMCID:11593625
PMID: 39595678
ISSN: 1660-4601
CID: 5763492

Client and program-level factors associated with planned use of medications for opioid use disorder in specialty substance use treatment programs: Evidence from linked administrative data and survey data

Feder, Kenneth A; Li, Yuzhong; Burke, Kathryn N; Byrne, Lauren; Desai, Isha K; Saloner, Brendan; Krawczyk, Noa
BACKGROUND:Most patients in specialty drug treatment programs that are not federally licensed Opioid Treatment Programs (OTPs) programs do not receive medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD). METHODS:We linked results from a survey of non-OTP treatment program directors in New Jersey (n = 81) to statewide administrative records of admissions for opioid use to those programs between July 2021-June 2022. Using multi-level regression, we examined the association of three types of factors with planned MOUD use: program survey responses, client-level factors, and program-level client characteristic mix. RESULTS:Of 9583 opioid treatment admissions in non-OTP settings, 41 % included treatment plans involving MOUD. Programs where directors reported staff concerns about buprenorphine's efficacy or diversion had a lower proportion of clients with planned MOUD, as did programs reporting too little physical space to prescribe. Being self-referred to treatment, unemployed and not looking for work, aged 30-49, heroin use (vs. prescription opioid use), and stimulant use in addition to opioids, were positively associated with planned MOUD; while non-Medicaid insurance, and Black and Hispanic race/ethnicity, were negatively associated with planned MOUD. Clients were more likely to have planned MOUD if their programs had a higher proportion of clients aged 30 or older, heroin as primary "drug of abuse," stimulant use, and not working but actively looking for work. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Findings suggest addressing program staff attitudes toward buprenorphine could help increase planned MOUD. There is also a need to improve access for clients with non-Medicaid insurance, address within-program race and ethnic disparities, and address employment-related barriers to medication.
PMID: 39442630
ISSN: 2949-8759
CID: 5739982

Historical and theoretical roots of the big events framework

Friedman, Samuel R; Rossi, Diana; Perlman, David C
This article traces the evolution of the Big Events framework since it began as an attempt to understand why sociopolitical transitions in the Former Soviet Union, South Africa, and Indonesia were followed by HIV outbreaks. Big Events frameworks have evolved over time, but all versions try to concretize how macrosocial changes lead to social, personal and environmental changes that shape risk environments and drug use or other behavioral patterns in ways that may lead to epidemics. Important stages in the evolution of the Big Events framework included understanding that the sequelae of Big Events were contingent rather than deterministic, and the development of new survey measures to understand pathways through which Big Events affect social and epidemiologic outcomes. On a broader level, the Big Events framework is a useful crystallization and application of more abstract sociological, social epidemiologic and Marxist frameworks about upstream/downstream relationships and how major social changes are related to epidemics. As such, they raise issues of how to conduct research on dialectical interaction processes. On another level, this article traces the Big Events "style of thought" as Mannheim (Mannheim, 1971) termed it, within the historical context of changes in public health and social science theory, particularly during and after the 1960s.
PMID: 39378779
ISSN: 1873-4758
CID: 5705992

Trends in Nonfatal Overdose Rates Due to Alcohol and Prescription and Illegal Substances in Colombia, 2010-2021

Santaella-Tenorio, Julian; Zapata-López, Jhoan S; Fidalgo, Thiago M; Tardelli, Vítor S; Segura, Luis E; Cerda, Magdalena; Martins, Silvia S
PMID: 39265125
ISSN: 1541-0048
CID: 5690602

Barriers and facilitators to implementing treatment for opioid use disorder in community hospitals

Shearer, Riley; Hagedorn, Hildi; Englander, Honora; Siegler, Tracy; Kibben, Roxanne; Fawole, Adetayo; Patten, Alisa; Fitzpatrick, Amy; Laes, JoAn; Fernando, Jasmine; Appleton, Noa; Oot, Emily; Titus, Hope; Krawczyk, Noa; Weinstein, Zoe; McNeely, Jennifer; Baukol, Paulette; Ghitza, Udi; Gustafson, Dave; Bart, Gavin; Bazzi, Angela
INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:Methadone and buprenorphine are effective treatment for opioid use disorder (OUD), yet they are vastly under-utilized across US hospitals. To inform a national trial assessing the effectiveness of implementation strategies to increase adoption of an inpatient hospital-based opioid treatment (HBOT) model (NCT04921787), we explored barriers and facilitators to expanding medication for opioid use disorder (MOUD) within community hospitals across the United States. METHODS:From November 2021 to March 2022, we used purposeful and snowball sampling to identify and interview participants involved in inpatient care of patients with OUD from twelve community hospitals. We conducted semi-structured interviews on providers' experiences and perspectives on current treatment approaches as well as potential influences on MOUD expansion in their hospitals. We used thematic analysis to identify key barriers and facilitators that could impact implementation of an HBOT model, and organized these findings based on the Consolidated Framework for Implementation Research (CFIR). RESULTS:From qualitative interviews with 57 participants (30 physicians, 7 pharmacists, 6 nurses, and 14 professionals involved in the care of patients with OUD), we identified key barriers and facilitators mapped to CFIR's internal and outer settings. The most salient inner setting domains included tension for change and relative priority, compatibility, available resources, organizational culture, access to knowledge and information, relational connections and communications, and information technology infrastructure. Outer setting domains included policies and laws, financing, and partnerships and connections. CONCLUSIONS:Identifying potential barriers and facilitators can inform hospital-specific strategies to support implementation of HBOT. Implementation strategies that address barriers such as staff availability, knowledge, and attitudes may support increased HBOT adoption. On a broader scale, national policy changes such as increased financing and public reporting of quality metrics would address other barriers we identified and may also encourage hospitals to adopt HBOT models.
PMID: 39265915
ISSN: 2949-8759
CID: 5690642

Medicaid Expansion-An Important Policy Lever to Improve Health Among Justice-Involved Populations

Cerdá, Magdalena
PMID: 39287952
ISSN: 2574-3805
CID: 5720422

Transitions of care between jail-based medications for opioid use disorder and ongoing treatment in the community: A retrospective cohort study

Krawczyk, Noa; Lim, Sungwoo; Cherian, Teena; Goldfeld, Keith S; Katyal, Monica; Rivera, Bianca D; McDonald, Ryan; Khan, Maria; Wiewel, Ellen; Braunstein, Sarah; Murphy, Sean M; Jalali, Ali; Jeng, Philip J; Kutscher, Eric; Khatri, Utsha G; Rosner, Zachary; Vail, William L; MacDonald, Ross; Lee, Joshua D
BACKGROUND:Offering medications for opioid use disorder (MOUD) in carceral settings significantly reduces overdose. However, it is unknown to what extent individuals in jails continue MOUD once they leave incarceration. We aimed to assess the relationship between in-jail MOUD and MOUD continuity in the month following release. METHODS:We conducted a retrospective cohort study of linked NYC jail-based electronic health records and community Medicaid OUD treatment claims for individuals with OUD discharged from jail between 2011 and 2017. We compared receipt of MOUD within 30 days of release, among those with and without MOUD at release from jail. We tested for effect modification based on MOUD receipt prior to incarceration and assessed factors associated with treatment discontinuation. RESULTS:Of 28,298 eligible incarcerations, 52.8 % received MOUD at release. 30 % of incarcerations with MOUD at release received community-based MOUD within 30 days, compared to 7 % of incarcerations without MOUD (Risk Ratio: 2.62 (2.44-2.82)). Most (69 %) with MOUD claims prior to incarceration who received in-jail MOUD continued treatment in the community, compared to 9 % of those without prior MOUD. Those who received methadone (vs. buprenorphine), were younger, Non-Hispanic Black and with no history of MOUD were less likely to continue MOUD following release. CONCLUSIONS:MOUD maintenance in jail is strongly associated with MOUD continuity upon release. Still, findings highlight a gap in treatment continuity upon-reentry, especially among those who initiate MOUD in jail. In the wake of worsening overdose deaths and troubling disparities, improving MOUD continuity among this population remains an urgent priority.
PMCID:11249039
PMID: 38924958
ISSN: 1879-0046
CID: 5732182

Too Many Deaths, Too Many Left Behind: A People's External Review of the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's COVID-19 Pandemic Response

Jirmanus, Lara Z; Valenti, Rita M; Griest Schwartzman, Eiryn A; Simon-Ortiz, Sophia A; Frey, Lauren I; Friedman, Samuel R; Fullilove, Mindy T
The U.S. population has suffered worse health consequences owing to COVID-19 than comparable wealthy nations. COVID-19 had caused more than 1.1 million deaths in the U.S. as of May 2023 and contributed to a 3-year decline in life expectancy. A coalition of public health workers and community activists launched an external review of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's pandemic management from January 2021 to May 2023. The authors used a modified Delphi process to identify core pandemic management areas, which formed the basis for a survey and literature review. Their analysis yields 3 overarching shortcomings of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention's pandemic management: (1) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention leadership downplays the serious impacts and aerosol transmission risks of COVID-19, (2) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention leadership has aligned public guidance with commercial and political interests over scientific evidence, and (3) Centers for Disease Control and Prevention guidance focuses on individual choice rather than emphasizing prevention and equity. Instead, the agency must partner with communities most impacted by the pandemic and encourage people to protect one another using layered protections to decrease COVID-19 transmission. Because emerging variants can already evade existing vaccines and treatments and Long COVID can be disabling and lacks definitive treatment, multifaceted, sustainable approaches to the COVID-19 pandemic are essential to protect people, the economy, and future generations.
PMCID:11103433
PMID: 38770235
ISSN: 2773-0654
CID: 5654322