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Artificial Intelligence Screening of Medical School Applications: Development and Validation of a Machine-Learning Algorithm

Triola, Marc M; Reinstein, Ilan; Marin, Marina; Gillespie, Colleen; Abramson, Steven; Grossman, Robert I; Rivera, Rafael
PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:To explore whether a machine-learning algorithm could accurately perform the initial screening of medical school applications. METHOD/METHODS:Using application data and faculty screening outcomes from the 2013 to 2017 application cycles (n = 14,555 applications), the authors created a virtual faculty screener algorithm. A retrospective validation using 2,910 applications from the 2013 to 2017 cycles and a prospective validation using 2,715 applications during the 2018 application cycle were performed. To test the validated algorithm, a randomized trial was performed in the 2019 cycle, with 1,827 eligible applications being reviewed by faculty and 1,873 by algorithm. RESULTS:The retrospective validation yielded area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) values of 0.83, 0.64, and 0.83 and area under the precision-recall curve (AUPRC) values of 0.61, 0.54, and 0.65 for the invite for interview, hold for review, and reject groups, respectively. The prospective validation yielded AUROC values of 0.83, 0.62, and 0.82 and AUPRC values of 0.66, 0.47, and 0.65 for the invite for interview, hold for review, and reject groups, respectively. The randomized trial found no significant differences in overall interview recommendation rates according to faculty or algorithm and among female or underrepresented in medicine applicants. In underrepresented in medicine applicants, there were no significant differences in the rates at which the admissions committee offered an interview (70 of 71 in the faculty reviewer arm and 61 of 65 in the algorithm arm; P = .14). No difference in the rate of the committee agreeing with the recommended interview was found among female applicants (224 of 229 in the faculty reviewer arm and 220 of 227 in the algorithm arm; P = .55). CONCLUSIONS:The virtual faculty screener algorithm successfully replicated faculty screening of medical school applications and may aid in the consistent and reliable review of medical school applicants.
PMID: 36888969
ISSN: 1938-808x
CID: 5432762

Role of Intestinal Dysbiosis and Nutrition in Rheumatoid Arthritis

Attur, Malavikalakshmi; Scher, Jose U; Abramson, Steven B; Attur, Mukundan
Rheumatoid arthritis is a chronic systemic immune-mediated disease caused by genetic and environmental factors. It is often characterized by the generation of autoantibodies that lead to synovial inflammation and eventual multi-joint destruction. A growing number of studies have shown significant differences in the gut microbiota composition of rheumatoid arthritis (RA) patients compared to healthy controls. Environmental factors, and changes in diet and nutrition are thought to play a role in developing this dysbiosis. This review aims to summarize the current knowledge of intestinal dysbiosis, the role of nutritional factors, and its implications in the pathogenesis of rheumatoid arthritis and autoimmunity. The future direction focuses on developing microbiome manipulation therapeutics for RA disease management.
PMID: 35954278
ISSN: 2073-4409
CID: 5287212

Interferon pathway lupus risk alleles modulate risk of death from acute COVID-19

Nln, Ilona; Fernandez-Ruiz, Ruth; Muskardin, Theresa L Wampler; Paredes, Jacqueline L; Blazer, Ashira D; Tuminello, Stephanie; Attur, Mukundan; Iturrate, Eduardo; Petrilli, Christopher M; Abramson, Steven B; Chakravarti, Aravinda; Niewold, Timothy B
Type I interferon (IFN) is critical in our defense against viral infections. Increased type I IFN pathway activation is a genetic risk factor for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and a number of common risk alleles contribute to the high IFN trait. We hypothesized that these common gain-of-function IFN pathway alleles may be associated with protection from mortality in acute COVID-19. We studied patients admitted with acute COVID-19 (756 European-American and 398 African-American ancestry). Ancestral backgrounds were analyzed separately, and mortality after acute COVID-19 was the primary outcome. In European-American ancestry, we found that a haplotype of interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) and alleles of protein kinase cGMP-dependent 1 (PRKG1) were associated with mortality from COVID-19. Interestingly, these were much stronger risk factors in younger patients (OR=29.2 for PRKG1 in ages 45-54). Variants in the IRF7 and IRF8 genes were associated with mortality from COVID-19 in African-American subjects, and these genetic effects were more pronounced in older subjects. Combining genetic information with blood biomarker data such as C-reactive protein, troponin, and D-dimer resulted in significantly improved predictive capacity, and in both ancestral backgrounds the risk genotypes were most relevant in those with positive biomarkers (OR for death between 14 and 111 in high risk genetic/biomarker groups). This study confirms the critical role of the IFN pathway in defense against COVID-19 and viral infections, and supports the idea that some common SLE risk alleles exert protective effects in anti-viral immunity. BACKGROUND: We find that a number of IFN pathway lupus risk alleles significantly impact mortality following COVID-19 infection. These data support the idea that type I IFN pathway risk alleles for autoimmune disease may persist in high frequency in modern human populations due to a benefit in our defense against viral infections. TRANSLATIONAL SIGNIFICANCE: We develop multivariate prediction models which combine genetics and known biomarkers of severity to result in greatly improved prediction of mortality in acute COVID-19. The specific associated alleles provide some clues about key points in our defense against COVID-19.
PMID: 35114420
ISSN: 1878-1810
CID: 5153812

A Preliminary Evaluation of Students' Learning and Performance Outcomes in an Accelerated 3-Year MD Pathway Program

Cangiarella, Joan; Eliasz, Kinga; Kalet, Adina; Cohen, Elisabeth; Abramson, Steven; Gillespie, Colleen
Background/UNASSIGNED:Little outcome data exist on 3-year MD (3YMD) programs to guide residency program directors (PDs) in deciding whether to select these graduates for their programs. Objective/UNASSIGNED:To compare performance outcomes of 3YMD and 4-year MD (4YMD) students at New York University Grossman School of Medicine. Methods/UNASSIGNED:In 2020, using the Kirkpatrick 4-level evaluation model, outcomes from 3 graduating cohorts of 3YMD students (2016-2018) were compared with the 4YMD counterparts. Results/UNASSIGNED:=.03), other metrics and overall intern ratings did not differ by pathway. Conclusions/UNASSIGNED:Exploratory findings from a single institution suggest that 3YMD students performed similarly to 4YMD students in medical school and the first year of residency.
PMCID:8848877
PMID: 35222827
ISSN: 1949-8357
CID: 5174042

Interferon pathway lupus risk alleles modulate risk of death from acute COVID-19

Nln, Ilona; Fernandez-Ruiz, Ruth; Wampler Muskardin, Theresa L; Paredes, Jacqueline L; Blazer, Ashira D; Tuminello, Stephanie; Attur, Mukundan; Iturrate, Eduardo; Petrilli, Christopher M; Abramson, Steven B; Chakravarti, Aravinda; Niewold, Timothy B
Type I interferon (IFN) is critical in our defense against viral infections. Increased type I IFN pathway activation is a genetic risk factor for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and a number of common risk alleles contribute to the high IFN trait. We hypothesized that these common gain-of-function IFN pathway alleles may be associated with protection from mortality in acute COVID-19. We studied patients admitted with acute COVID-19 (756 European-American and 398 African-American ancestry). Ancestral backgrounds were analyzed separately, and mortality after acute COVID-19 was the primary outcome. In European-American ancestry, we found that a haplotype of interferon regulatory factor 5 (IRF5) and alleles of protein kinase cGMP-dependent 1 (PRKG1) were associated with mortality from COVID-19. Interestingly, these were much stronger risk factors in younger patients (OR=29.2 for PRKG1 in ages 45-54). Variants in the IRF7 and IRF8 genes were associated with mortality from COVID-19 in African-American subjects, and these genetic effects were more pronounced in older subjects. Combining genetic information with blood biomarker data such as C-reactive protein, troponin, and D-dimer resulted in significantly improved predictive capacity, and in both ancestral backgrounds the risk genotypes were most relevant in those with positive biomarkers (OR for death between 14 and 111 in high risk genetic/biomarker groups). This study confirms the critical role of the IFN pathway in defense against COVID-19 and viral infections, and supports the idea that some common SLE risk alleles exert protective effects in anti-viral immunity.
PMID: 34751274
ISSN: n/a
CID: 5362212

Methotrexate hampers immunogenicity to BNT162b2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in immune-mediated inflammatory disease

Haberman, Rebecca H; Herati, Ramin; Simon, David; Samanovic, Marie; Blank, Rebecca B; Tuen, Michael; Koralov, Sergei; Atreya, Raja; Tascilar, Koray; Allen, Joseph; Castillo, Rochelle; Cornelius, Amber; Rackoff, Paula; Solomon, Gary; Adhikari, Samrachana; Azar, Natalie; Rosenthal, Pamela; Izmirly, Peter; Samuels, Jonathan; Golden, Brian; Reddy, Soumya M; Neurath, Markus; Abramson, Steven B; Schett, Georg; Mulligan, Mark; Scher, Jose U
PMID: 34035003
ISSN: 1468-2060
CID: 4888812

Interferon pathway lupus risk alleles modulate risk of death from acute covid-19 [Meeting Abstract]

Nln, I; Ruiz, R F; Muskardin, T W; Tuminello, S; Attur, M; Itturate, E; Petrilli, C; Abramson, S B; Chakravarti, A; Niewold, T
Background/Purpose: Type I interferon (IFN) is critical in our defense against viral infections. Increased type I IFN pathway activation is a genetic risk factor for systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and a number of common alleles contribute to the genetic high IFN trait. In this study, we examine whether these common gain-of-function alleles in the type I IFN pathway are associated with protection from mortality in acute COVID-19.
Method(s): We studied IFN pathway SLE risk genes in patients with acute COVID-19 admitted to NYU Langone hospitals (751 European-American and 398 African-American ancestry). The samples were genotyped using low depth sequencing and imputation, and we analyzed data from the following SNPs: IRF5 (rs2004640, rs3807306, rs10488631, rs2280714), IRF7/PHRF (rs1131665, rs4963128), IRF8 (rs17445836, rs12444486), and PRKG1 (rs7897633). Ancestral backgrounds were analyzed separately, and mortality after acute COVID-19 was the primary outcome.
Result(s): We observed specific IRF5 haplotypes that are protective against SLE risk were associated with increased risk of mortality in acute COVID-19 patients in European-American ancestry (OR=3.74, p=0.015). Alleles of PRKG1 were also associated with mortality from COVID-19 in the European-American ancestry cohort (OR=1.80, p=0.0057), and this risk factor was particularly strong in younger patients (OR=29.2, p=0.01 in ages 45-54). IRF8 genotype at rs1244486 was associated with protection from mortality in COVID-19 in African-American subjects aged 65 and older (OR=0.34, p=0.04).
Conclusion(s): We find that a number of type I IFN pathway genes associated with risk of SLE also modulate risk of death during acute COVID-19. Similar to their associations with SLE, these alleles are variably associated with COVID-19 mortality across ancestral backgrounds, suggesting ancestral differences in the genetic regulation of the IFN pathway. These data confirm the critical role of the IFN pathway in our defense against viral infections, and support the idea that some common SLE risk alleles exert protective effects in anti-viral immunity
PMCID:
EMBASE:637275920
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 5164662

Methotrexate hampers immunogenicity to BNT162B2 mRNA COVID-19 vaccine in immune-mediated inflammatory disease [Meeting Abstract]

Haberman, R; Herati, R; Simon, D; Samanovic, M; Tuen, M; Blank, R; Koralov, S; Atreya, R; Tascilar, K; Allen, J; Castillo, R; Cornelius, A; Rackoff, P; Solomon, G; Adhikari, S; Azar, N; Rosenthal, P; Izmirly, P; Samuels, J; Golden, B; Reddy, S; Neurath, M; Abramson, S B; Schett, G; Mulligan, M; Scher, J
Background/Purpose: Patients with immune mediated inflammatory disorders (IMIDs) have an inherently heightened susceptibility to infection and may be considered high risk for developing COVID-19. While data regarding the COVID-19 vaccine's immunogenicity in an immunocompetent adult population is rapidly emerging, the ability of IMID patients to adequately respond to these vaccines is not known. Here, we investigate the humoral and cellular immune response to mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in patients with IMIDs on immunomodulatory treatment Methods: Patients with immune mediated inflammatory disorders (IMIDs) have an inherently heightened susceptibility to infection and may be considered high risk for developing COVID-19. While data regarding the COVID-19 vaccine's immunogenicity in an immunocompetent adult population is rapidly emerging, the ability of IMID patients to adequately respond to these vaccines is not known. Here, we investigate the humoral and cellular immune response to mRNA COVID-19 vaccines in patients with IMIDs on immunomodulatory treatment.
Result(s): The NY cohort baseline characteristics are found in Table 1. The Erlangen cohort consisted of 182 healthy subjects, 11 subjects with IMID receiving TNFi monotherapy, and 20 subjects with IMID on MTX monotherapy. In both cohorts, healthy individuals and those with IMID not on MTX were similar in age, while those IMID patients receiving MTX were generally older. In the NY cohort, of the healthy participants, 96.3% demonstrated adequate humoral immune response. Patients with IMID not on MTX achieved a similar rate of high antibody response rate (91.8%), while those on MTX had a lower rate of adequate humoral response (75.0%) (Figure 1A). This remains true even after the exclusion of patients who had evidence of prior COVID-19 infection (P= 0.014). Of note, 3 out of the 4 IMID patients receiving rituximab did not produce an adequate response. Similarly, in the Erlangen validation cohort, 98.3% of healthy controls, 90.9% of patients with IMID receiving TNFi monotherapy, and 50.0% receiving MTX monotherapy achieved adequate immunogenicity (Figure 1B). These differences remain significant when combining the cohorts, using a stricter definition of adequate response, and in a subgroup analysis by age. Cellular response was also analyzed in a subgroup of the NY cohort before and after second vaccination. Activated CD8+ T cells (CD8+ T cells expressing Ki67 and CD38) and the granzyme B-producing subset of these activated CD8+ T cells, were induced in immunocompetent adults and those with IMID not on MTX, but not induced in patients receiving MTX (Figure 2).
Conclusion(s): In two independent cohorts of IMID patients, MTX, a widely used immunomodulator for the treatment of several IMIDs, adversely affected humoral and cellular immune response to COVID-19 mRNA vaccines. Although precise cut offs for immunogenicity that correlate with vaccine efficacy are yet to be established, our findings suggest that different strategies may need to be explored in patients with IMID taking MTX to increase the chances of immunization efficacy against SARS-CoV-2, as has been demonstrated for other viral vaccines
PMCID:
EMBASE:637275567
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 5164692

The Pre-treatment Gut Microbiome is Associated with Lack of Response to Methotrexate in New Onset Rheumatoid Arthritis

Artacho, Alejandro; Isaac, Sandrine; Nayak, Renuka; Flor-Duro, Alejandra; Alexander, Margaret; Koo, Imhoi; Manasson, Julia; Smith, Philip B; Rosenthal, Pamela; Homsi, Yamen; Gulko, Percio; Pons, Javier; Puchades-Carrasco, Leonor; Izmirly, Peter; Patterson, Andrew; Abramson, Steven B; Pineda-Lucena, Antonio; Turnbaugh, Peter J; Ubeda, Carles; Scher, Jose U
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:Although oral methotrexate (MTX) remains the anchor drug for RA, up to 50% of patients do not achieve a clinically adequate outcome. Concomitantly, there is a lack of prognostic tools for treatment response prior to drug initiation. Here we study whether inter-individual differences in the human gut microbiome can aid in the prediction of MTX efficacy in new-onset RA (NORA). METHODS:16S rRNA gene and shotgun metagenomic sequencing were performed on the baseline gut microbiomes of drug-naïve, NORA patients (n=26). Results were validated in an additional independent cohort (n=21). To gain insight into potential microbial mechanisms, ex vivo experiments coupled with metabolomics analysis evaluated the association between microbiome-driven MTX depletion and clinical response. RESULTS:Our analysis revealed significant associations between the abundance of gut bacterial taxa and their genes with future clinical response, including orthologs related to purine and methotrexate metabolism. Machine learning techniques were applied to the metagenomic data, resulting in a microbiome-based model that predicts lack of response to MTX in an independent group of patients. Finally, MTX levels remaining after ex vivo incubation with distal gut samples from pre-treatment RA patients significantly correlated with the magnitude of future clinical response, suggesting a possible direct effect of the gut microbiome on MTX metabolism and treatment outcomes. CONCLUSIONS:Together, these results provide the first step towards predicting lack of response to oral MTX in NORA patients and support the value of the gut microbiome as a possible prognostic tool and as a potential target in RA therapeutics.
PMID: 33314800
ISSN: 2326-5205
CID: 4717542

Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI): Past, present and future

Mobasheri, Ali; Im, Gun-Il; Katz, Jeffrey N; Loughlin, John; Kraus, Virginia B; Sandell, Linda J; Berenbaum, Francis; Abramson, Steve; Lotz, Martin; Hochberg, Marc; Pelletier, Jean-Pierre; Madry, Henning; Block, Joel A; Lohmander, L Stefan; Altman, Roy D
We provide a detailed account of the origin and establishment of the Osteoarthritis Research Society International (OARSI) and celebrate its history from inception to the current day. We discuss the mission, vision and strategic objectives of OARSI and how these have developed and evolved over the last 3 decades. We celebrate the achievements of the society as we approach its 30th birthday, honor the entire presidential line and respectfully pay tribute to the past presidents who are no longer with us. We reflect on the strong foundations of our society, OARSI's efforts to disseminate understanding of the health, disability and economic burdens of osteoarthritis (OA) to policymakers, and the exciting initiatives to make the society inclusive and international. We thank our corporate and industrial sponsors, who have supported us over many years, without whom our annual congresses would not have been possible. We celebrate our longstanding strategic partnership with our publisher, Elsevier, and the successful launch of our new journal Osteoarthritis and Cartilage Open, the most significant new development in our dissemination toolbox. For the first time in the history of the organization, our annual congress was cancelled in April 2020 and the 2021 meeting will be virtual. Despite the numerous challenges posed by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic and the need to adapt quickly to a rapidly changing landscape, we must remain optimistic about the future. We will take advantage of new exciting opportunities to advance our mission and vision to enhance the quality of life of persons with OA.
PMCID:9718339
PMID: 36474983
ISSN: 2665-9131
CID: 5386792