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Microbial risk score for capturing microbial characteristics, integrating multi-omics data, and predicting disease risk

Wang, Chan; Segal, Leopoldo N; Hu, Jiyuan; Zhou, Boyan; Hayes, Richard B; Ahn, Jiyoung; Li, Huilin
BACKGROUND:With the rapid accumulation of microbiome-wide association studies, a great amount of microbiome data are available to study the microbiome's role in human disease and advance the microbiome's potential use for disease prediction. However, the unique features of microbiome data hinder its utility for disease prediction. METHODS:Motivated from the polygenic risk score framework, we propose a microbial risk score (MRS) framework to aggregate the complicated microbial profile into a summarized risk score that can be used to measure and predict disease susceptibility. Specifically, the MRS algorithm involves two steps: (1) identifying a sub-community consisting of the signature microbial taxa associated with disease and (2) integrating the identified microbial taxa into a continuous score. The first step is carried out using the existing sophisticated microbial association tests and pruning and thresholding method in the discovery samples. The second step constructs a community-based MRS by calculating alpha diversity on the identified sub-community in the validation samples. Moreover, we propose a multi-omics data integration method by jointly modeling the proposed MRS and other risk scores constructed from other omics data in disease prediction. RESULTS:Through three comprehensive real-data analyses using the NYU Langone Health COVID-19 cohort, the gut microbiome health index (GMHI) multi-study cohort, and a large type 1 diabetes cohort separately, we exhibit and evaluate the utility of the proposed MRS framework for disease prediction and multi-omics data integration. In addition, the disease-specific MRSs for colorectal adenoma, colorectal cancer, Crohn's disease, and rheumatoid arthritis based on the relative abundances of 5, 6, 12, and 6 microbial taxa, respectively, are created and validated using the GMHI multi-study cohort. Especially, Crohn's disease MRS achieves AUCs of 0.88 (0.85-0.91) and 0.86 (0.78-0.95) in the discovery and validation cohorts, respectively. CONCLUSIONS:The proposed MRS framework sheds light on the utility of the microbiome data for disease prediction and multi-omics integration and provides a great potential in understanding the microbiome's role in disease diagnosis and prognosis. Video Abstract.
PMID: 35932029
ISSN: 2049-2618
CID: 5286432

Risk Stratification for Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer Using a Combination of Genetic and Environmental Risk Scores: An International Multi-Center Study

Archambault, Alexi N; Jeon, Jihyoun; Lin, Yi; Thomas, Minta; Harrison, Tabitha A; Bishop, D Timothy; Brenner, Hermann; Casey, Graham; Chan, Andrew T; Chang-Claude, Jenny; Figueiredo, Jane C; Gallinger, Steven; Gruber, Stephen B; Gunter, Marc J; Guo, Feng; Hoffmeister, Michael; Jenkins, Mark A; Keku, Temitope O; Le Marchand, Loïc; Li, Li; Moreno, Victor; Newcomb, Polly A; Pai, Rish; Parfrey, Patrick S; Rennert, Gad; Sakoda, Lori C; Lee, Jeffrey K; Slattery, Martha L; Song, Mingyang; Ko Win, Aung; Woods, Michael O; Murphy, Neil; Campbell, Peter T; Su, Yu-Ru; Lansdorp-Vogelaar, Iris; Peterse, Elisabeth Fp; Cao, Yin; Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Anne; Liang, Peter S; Du, Mengmeng; Corley, Douglas A; Hsu, Li; Peters, Ulrike; Hayes, Richard B
BACKGROUND:Incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC) among individuals aged less than 50 years has been increasing. As screening guidelines lower the recommended age of screening initiation, concerns including the burden on screening capacity and costs have been recognized, suggesting that an individualized approach may be warranted. We developed risk prediction models for early-onset CRC that incorporate an environmental risk score (ERS), including 16 lifestyle and environmental factors, and a polygenic risk score (PRS), of 141 variants. METHODS:Relying on risk score weights for ERS and PRS derived from studies of CRC at all ages, we evaluated risks for early-onset CRC in 3,486 cases and 3,890 controls aged less than 50 years. Relative and absolute risks for early-onset CRC were assessed according to values of the ERS and PRS. The discriminatory performance of these scores was estimated using the covariate-adjusted area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. RESULTS:Increasing values of ERS and PRS were associated with increasing relative risks for early-onset CRC (odds ratio per standard deviation of ERS = 1.14, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.08, 1.20; odds ratio per standard deviation of PRS = 1.59, 95% CI = 1.51, 1.68), both contributing to case-control discrimination (area under the curve = 0.631, 95% CI = 0.615, 0.647). Based on absolute risks, we can expect 26 excess cases per 10,000 men and 21 per 10,000 women, among those scoring at the 90th percentile for both risk scores. CONCLUSIONS:Personal risk scores have the potential to identify individuals at differential relative and absolute risk for early-onset CRC. Improved discrimination may aid in targeted CRC screening of younger, high-risk individuals, potentially improving outcomes.
PMID: 35026030
ISSN: 1460-2105
CID: 5118962

Benzene exposure and risk of benzene poisoning in Chinese workers

Vermeulen, Roel; Portengen, Lützen; Li, Guilan; Gilbert, Ethel S; Dores, Graça M; Ji, Bu-Tian; Hayes, Richard; Yin, Sognian; Rothman, Nathaniel; Linet, Martha S; Lan, Qing
OBJECTIVES/OBJECTIVE:Benzene is a known haematoxin and leukemogen that can cause benzene poisoning (BP), that is, a persistent reduction in white cell counts that is strongly associated with increased risk of lymphohaematopoietic malignancies. Data are needed on the exposure-response, particularly at low doses and susceptible populations for clinical and regulatory purposes. METHODS:In a case-cohort study among 110 631 Chinese workers first employed 1949-1987 and followed up during 1972-1999, we evaluated BP risk according to benzene exposure level and investigated risk modification by subject (sex, attained age) and exposure-related factors (latency, exposure windows, age at first benzene exposure, coexposure to toluene) using excess relative risk and excess absolute risk models. RESULTS:There were 538 BP cases and 909 benzene-exposed referents. The exposure metric with best model fit was cumulative benzene exposure during a 5-year risk window, followed by a 9-month lag period before BP diagnosis. Estimated excess absolute risk of BP at age 60 increased from 0.5% for subjects in the lowest benzene exposure category (>0 to 10 ppm-years) to 5.0% for those in the highest category (>100 ppm-years) compared with unexposed subjects. Increased risks were apparent at low cumulative exposure levels and for workers who were first exposed at <30 years of age. CONCLUSIONS:Our data show a clear association between benzene exposure and BP, beginning at low cumulative benzene exposure levels with no threshold, and with higher risks for workers exposed at younger ages. These findings are important because BP has been linked to a strongly increased development of lymphohaematopoietic malignancies.
PMID: 35273074
ISSN: 1470-7926
CID: 5394042

Bacteroides vulgatus and Bacteroides dorei predict immune-related adverse events in immune checkpoint blockade treatment of metastatic melanoma

Usyk, Mykhaylo; Pandey, Abhishek; Hayes, Richard B; Moran, Una; Pavlick, Anna; Osman, Iman; Weber, Jeffrey S; Ahn, Jiyoung
BACKGROUND:Immune checkpoint blockade (ICB) shows lasting benefits in advanced melanoma; however, not all patients respond to this treatment and many develop potentially life-threatening immune-related adverse events (irAEs). Identifying individuals who will develop irAEs is critical in order to improve the quality of care. Here, we prospectively demonstrate that the gut microbiome predicts irAEs in melanoma patients undergoing ICB. METHODS:Pre-, during, and post-treatment stool samples were collected from 27 patients with advanced stage melanoma treated with IPI (anti-CTLA-4) and NIVO (anti-PD1) ICB inhibitors at NYU Langone Health. We completed 16S rRNA gene amplicon sequencing, DNA deep shotgun metagenomic, and RNA-seq metatranscriptomic sequencing. The divisive amplicon denoising algorithm (DADA2) was used to process 16S data. Taxonomy for shotgun sequencing data was assigned using MetaPhlAn2, and gene pathways were assigned using HUMAnN 2.0. Compositionally aware differential expression analysis was performed using ANCOM. The Cox-proportional hazard model was used to assess the prospective role of the gut microbiome (GMB) in irAES, with adjustment for age, sex, BMI, immune ICB treatment type, and sequencing batch. RESULTS:= 0.88, p < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS:We identified two distinct fecal bacterial community clusters which are associated differentially with irAEs in ICB-treated advanced melanoma patients.
PMCID:8513370
PMID: 34641962
ISSN: 1756-994x
CID: 5046112

Smoking Behavior and Prognosis After Colorectal Cancer Diagnosis: A Pooled Analysis of 11 Studies

Alwers, Elizabeth; Carr, Prudence R; Banbury, Barbara; Walter, Viola; Chang-Claude, Jenny; Jansen, Lina; Drew, David A; Giovannucci, Edward; Nan, Hongmei; Berndt, Sonja I; Huang, Wen-Yi; Prizment, Anna; Hayes, Richard B; Sakoda, Lori C; White, Emily; Labadie, Julia; Slattery, Martha; Schoen, Robert E; Diergaarde, Brenda; van Guelpen, Bethany; Campbell, Peter T; Peters, Ulrike; Chan, Andrew T; Newcomb, Polly A; Hoffmeister, Michael; Brenner, Hermann
Background/UNASSIGNED:Smoking has been associated with colorectal cancer (CRC) incidence and mortality in previous studies, but current evidence on smoking in association with survival after CRC diagnosis is limited. Methods/UNASSIGNED:We pooled data from 12 345 patients with stage I-IV CRC from 11 epidemiologic studies in the International Survival Analysis in Colorectal Cancer Consortium. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to evaluate the associations of prediagnostic smoking behavior with overall, CRC-specific, and non-CRC-specific survival. Results/UNASSIGNED:Among 12 345 patients with CRC, 4379 (35.5%) died (2515 from CRC) over a median follow-up time of 7.5 years. Smoking was strongly associated with worse survival in stage I-III patients, whereas no association was observed among stage IV patients. Among stage I-III patients, clear dose-response relationships with all survival outcomes were seen for current smokers. For example, current smokers with 40 or more pack-years had statistically significantly worse overall, CRC-specific, and non-CRC-specific survival compared with never smokers (hazard ratio [HR] =1.94, 95% confidence interval [CI] =1.68 to 2.25; HR = 1.41, 95% CI = 1.12 to 1.78; and HR = 2.67, 95% CI = 2.19 to 3.26, respectively). Similar associations with all survival outcomes were observed for former smokers who had quit for less than 10 years, but only a weak association with non-CRC-specific survival was seen among former smokers who had quit for more than 10 years. Conclusions/UNASSIGNED:This large consortium of CRC patient studies provides compelling evidence that smoking is strongly associated with worse survival of stage I-III CRC patients in a clear dose-response manner. The detrimental effect of smoking was primarily related to noncolorectal cancer events, but current heavy smoking also showed an association with CRC-specific survival.
PMCID:8561259
PMID: 34738070
ISSN: 2515-5091
CID: 5038442

Advances in Understanding Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer [Comment]

Hayes, Richard B
Since the 1990s, the incidence of early-onset colorectal cancer (at <50 years of age) in the US has increased by more than 50%; similar increases have also been observed internationally. These increases are found particularly among individuals born during and after the 1960s, raising the possibility that the increased rates of early-onset colorectal cancer are attributable to changes in risk-factor patterns throughout successive generations. The reasons for these alarming epidemiologic patterns for early-onset colorectal cancer worldwide are only recently being investigated and major gaps in our knowledge remain. In the current issue of this journal, Arif and colleagues differentiated characteristics and outcomes of early-onset colorectal cancer in patients with the predisposing conditions of inflammatory bowel disease or hereditary genetic syndromes, compared with patients who have sporadic disease. Also, in this issue, Schumacher and colleagues investigated risk factors for early-onset colorectal adenocarcinoma in a nested case-control study among Kaiser Permanente Southern California (KPSC) health plan members. The research presented on characteristics and outcomes points to the importance of sporadic disease in the rise of early-onset colorectal cancer, while the research presented on risk factors points to the importance of obesity as a potential explanatory factor for this rise.See related articles by Arif et al., p. 1785 and by Schumacher et al., p. 1792.
PMID: 34607882
ISSN: 1538-7755
CID: 5061822

Tobacco smoking and the fecal microbiome in a large, multi-ethnic cohort

Prakash, Ajay; Peters, Brandilyn A; Cobbs, Emilia; Beggs, Dia; Choi, Heesun; Li, Huilin; Hayes, Richard B; Ahn, Jiyoung
BACKGROUND:Increasing evidence suggests that tobacco smoking, a well-known driver of carcinogenesis, influences the gut microbiome; however, these relationships remain understudied in diverse populations. Thus, we performed an analysis of smoking and the gut microbiome in a subset of 803 adults from the multi-ethnic NYU FAMiLI study. METHODS:We assessed fecal microbiota using 16S rRNA gene sequencing, and clustered samples into Amplicon Sequence Variants using QIIME2. We evaluated inferred microbial pathway abundance using PICRUSt. We compared population beta diversity, and relative taxonomic and functional pathway abundance, between never smokers, former smokers, and current smokers. RESULTS:We found that the overall composition of the fecal microbiome in former and current smokers differs significantly from that of never smokers. The taxa Prevotella and Veillonellaceae were enriched in current and former smokers, while the taxa Lachnospira and Tenericutes were depleted, relative to never smokers. These shifts were consistent across racial and ethnic subgroups. Relative to never smokers, the abundance of taxa enriched in current smokers were positively correlated with the imputed abundance of pathways involving smoking-associated toxin breakdown and response to reactive oxygen species (ROS). CONCLUSIONS:Our findings suggest common mechanisms of smoking associated microbial change across racial subgroups, regardless of initial microbiome composition. The correlation of these differentials with ROS exposure pathways may suggest a role for these taxa in the known association between smoking, ROS and carcinogenesis. IMPACT/CONCLUSIONS:Smoking shifts in the microbiome may be independent of initial composition, stimulating further studies on the microbiome in carcinogenesis and cancer prevention.
PMID: 34020999
ISSN: 1538-7755
CID: 4888752

Genetic architectures of proximal and distal colorectal cancer are partly distinct

Huyghe, Jeroen R; Harrison, Tabitha A; Bien, Stephanie A; Hampel, Heather; Figueiredo, Jane C; Schmit, Stephanie L; Conti, David V; Chen, Sai; Qu, Conghui; Lin, Yi; Barfield, Richard; Baron, John A; Cross, Amanda J; Diergaarde, Brenda; Duggan, David; Harlid, Sophia; Imaz, Liher; Kang, Hyun Min; Levine, David M; Perduca, Vittorio; Perez-Cornago, Aurora; Sakoda, Lori C; Schumacher, Fredrick R; Slattery, Martha L; Toland, Amanda E; van Duijnhoven, Fränzel J B; Van Guelpen, Bethany; Agudo, Antonio; Albanes, Demetrius; Alonso, M Henar; Anderson, Kristin; Arnau-Collell, Coral; Arndt, Volker; Banbury, Barbara L; Bassik, Michael C; Berndt, Sonja I; Bézieau, Stéphane; Bishop, D Timothy; Boehm, Juergen; Boeing, Heiner; Boutron-Ruault, Marie-Christine; Brenner, Hermann; Brezina, Stefanie; Buch, Stephan; Buchanan, Daniel D; Burnett-Hartman, Andrea; Caan, Bette J; Campbell, Peter T; Carr, Prudence R; Castells, Antoni; Castellví-Bel, Sergi; Chan, Andrew T; Chang-Claude, Jenny; Chanock, Stephen J; Curtis, Keith R; de la Chapelle, Albert; Easton, Douglas F; English, Dallas R; Feskens, Edith J M; Gala, Manish; Gallinger, Steven J; Gauderman, W James; Giles, Graham G; Goodman, Phyllis J; Grady, William M; Grove, John S; Gsur, Andrea; Gunter, Marc J; Haile, Robert W; Hampe, Jochen; Hoffmeister, Michael; Hopper, John L; Hsu, Wan-Ling; Huang, Wen-Yi; Hudson, Thomas J; Jenab, Mazda; Jenkins, Mark A; Joshi, Amit D; Keku, Temitope O; Kooperberg, Charles; Kühn, Tilman; Küry, Sébastien; Le Marchand, Loic; Lejbkowicz, Flavio; Li, Christopher I; Li, Li; Lieb, Wolfgang; Lindblom, Annika; Lindor, Noralane M; Männistö, Satu; Markowitz, Sanford D; Milne, Roger L; Moreno, Lorena; Murphy, Neil; Nassir, Rami; Offit, Kenneth; Ogino, Shuji; Panico, Salvatore; Parfrey, Patrick S; Pearlman, Rachel; Pharoah, Paul D P; Phipps, Amanda I; Platz, Elizabeth A; Potter, John D; Prentice, Ross L; Qi, Lihong; Raskin, Leon; Rennert, Gad; Rennert, Hedy S; Riboli, Elio; Schafmayer, Clemens; Schoen, Robert E; Seminara, Daniela; Song, Mingyang; Su, Yu-Ru; Tangen, Catherine M; Thibodeau, Stephen N; Thomas, Duncan C; Trichopoulou, Antonia; Ulrich, Cornelia M; Visvanathan, Kala; Vodicka, Pavel; Vodickova, Ludmila; Vymetalkova, Veronika; Weigl, Korbinian; Weinstein, Stephanie J; White, Emily; Wolk, Alicja; Woods, Michael O; Wu, Anna H; Abecasis, Goncalo R; Nickerson, Deborah A; Scacheri, Peter C; Kundaje, Anshul; Casey, Graham; Gruber, Stephen B; Hsu, Li; Moreno, Victor; Hayes, Richard B; Newcomb, Polly A; Peters, Ulrike
OBJECTIVE:An understanding of the etiologic heterogeneity of colorectal cancer (CRC) is critical for improving precision prevention, including individualized screening recommendations and the discovery of novel drug targets and repurposable drug candidates for chemoprevention. Known differences in molecular characteristics and environmental risk factors among tumors arising in different locations of the colorectum suggest partly distinct mechanisms of carcinogenesis. The extent to which the contribution of inherited genetic risk factors for CRC differs by anatomical subsite of the primary tumor has not been examined. DESIGN/METHODS:To identify new anatomical subsite-specific risk loci, we performed genome-wide association study (GWAS) meta-analyses including data of 48 214 CRC cases and 64 159 controls of European ancestry. We characterised effect heterogeneity at CRC risk loci using multinomial modelling. RESULTS:) and that were not reported by previous GWASs for overall CRC risk. Multiple lines of evidence support candidate genes at several of these loci. We detected substantial heterogeneity between anatomical subsites. Just over half (61) of 109 known and new risk variants showed no evidence for heterogeneity. In contrast, 22 variants showed association with distal CRC (including rectal cancer), but no evidence for association or an attenuated association with proximal CRC. For two loci, there was strong evidence for effects confined to proximal colon cancer. CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Genetic architectures of proximal and distal CRC are partly distinct. Studies of risk factors and mechanisms of carcinogenesis, and precision prevention strategies should take into consideration the anatomical subsite of the tumour.
PMID: 33632709
ISSN: 1468-3288
CID: 4794922

Nongenetic Determinants of Risk for Early-Onset Colorectal Cancer

Archambault, Alexi N; Lin, Yi; Jeon, Jihyoun; Harrison, Tabitha A; Bishop, D Timothy; Brenner, Hermann; Casey, Graham; Chan, Andrew T; Chang-Claude, Jenny; Figueiredo, Jane C; Gallinger, Steven; Gruber, Stephen B; Gunter, Marc J; Hoffmeister, Michael; Jenkins, Mark A; Keku, Temitope O; Marchand, Loïc Le; Li, Li; Moreno, Victor; Newcomb, Polly A; Pai, Rish; Parfrey, Patrick S; Rennert, Gad; Sakoda, Lori C; Sandler, Robert S; Slattery, Martha L; Song, Mingyang; Win, Aung Ko; Woods, Michael O; Murphy, Neil; Campbell, Peter T; Su, Yu-Ru; Zeleniuch-Jacquotte, Anne; Liang, Peter S; Du, Mengmeng; Hsu, Li; Peters, Ulrike; Hayes, Richard B
Background/UNASSIGNED:Incidence of early-onset (younger than 50 years of age) colorectal cancer (CRC) is increasing in many countries. Thus, elucidating the role of traditional CRC risk factors in early-onset CRC is a high priority. We sought to determine whether risk factors associated with late-onset CRC were also linked to early-onset CRC and whether association patterns differed by anatomic subsite. Methods/UNASSIGNED:Using data pooled from 13 population-based studies, we studied 3767 CRC cases and 4049 controls aged younger than 50 years and 23 437 CRC cases and 35 311 controls aged 50 years and older. Using multivariable and multinomial logistic regression, we estimated odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) to assess the association between risk factors and early-onset CRC and by anatomic subsite. Results/UNASSIGNED: = .04). Conclusion/UNASSIGNED:In this large study, we identified several nongenetic risk factors associated with early-onset CRC, providing a basis for targeted identification of those most at risk, which is imperative in mitigating the rising burden of this disease.
PMCID:8134523
PMID: 34041438
ISSN: 2515-5091
CID: 4888152

Environmental Influences on the Human Microbiome and Implications for Noncommunicable Disease

Ahn, Jiyoung; Hayes, Richard B
The human microbiome contributes metabolic functions, protects against pathogens, educates the immune system, and through these basic functions, directly or indirectly, affects most of our physiologic functions. Here, we consider the human microbiome and its relationship to several major noncommunicable human conditions, including orodigestive tract cancers, neurologic diseases, diabetes, and obesity. We also highlight the scope of contextual macroenvironmental factors (toxicological and chemical environment, built environment, and socioeconomic environment) and individual microenvironmental factors (smoking, alcohol, and diet) that may push the microbiota toward less healthy or more healthy conditions, influencing the development of these diseases. Last, we highlight current uncertainties and challenges in the study of environmental influences on the human microbiome and implications for understanding noncommunicable disease, suggesting a research agenda to strengthen the scientific evidence base.
PMID: 33798404
ISSN: 1545-2093
CID: 4862382