Faculty Bibliography

The proportion of deceased donor kidneys recovered for transplantation that are not transplanted reached 28% in 2023. Past research demonstrated that >90% of the non-use rate increase in the 2000s could be explained by the broadening donor pool. We used OPTN data to study kidneys recovered 2010-2023, applying causal inference methods to assess the degree to which the recent, sharp rise in the non-use rate could be explained by changes in donor clinical characteristics. Unadjusted odds of kidney non-use were 63% higher (95% CI: 56%, 70%) in 2023 vs 2018. After adjusting for donor factors, odds of non-use were only 12% (9%, 15%) higher in 2023. Both regression and propensity weighting demonstrated that 75-80% of the recent non-use rate increase can be explained by a rapidly expanding donor pool. Encouragingly, the non-use rate has not increased and remains low for above-average quality kidneys. However, the unexplained risk of non-use for kidneys in the highest kidney donor risk index quartile increased by ∼30%, potentially due to residual confounding and/or system-level, exogenous factors such as allocation policy changes. To improve placement efficiency, allocation policy should adapt to the increasingly heterogeneous donor pool by allocating kidneys differently along the donor quality spectrum.

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE:In October 2018, the OPTN changed adult heart transplant (HT) allocation policy, increasing the number of adult candidates that had higher priority than pediatric candidates, potentially disadvantaging pediatric waitlist registrants. METHODS:To understand the impact of this policy change, we used SRTR data to identify 1469 pre-policy (7/2016-9/2018) and 2901 (10/2018-12/2022) post-policy pediatric (< 18 years) HT registrants. We quantified mortality and transplant risks using weighted cause-specific hazard models, and then using weighted competing risks regression. We further stratified these analyses by age to understand risks for those in direct competition with adults for organs (≥ 12 years). RESULTS:, p = 0.02). Post policy, 1-year transplant rate did not change in those < 12years (68.2%-71.0%, p = 0.77), but in those ≥ 12years, transplant rate increased (77.3%-81.0%, p = 0.003). CONCLUSIONS:Mortality on the waitlist decreased and access to HT for pediatric registrants did not decline following the 2018 policy change. The decreased mortality rate may reflect changes in patient casemix and/or improved patient care. Continued surveillance is important in ensuring equity in pediatric, and adult, HT.

Since 2021, the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network has reported a nearly 10-fold rise in out-of-sequence (OOS) kidney allocation, generating concern and halting development of continuous distribution policies. We report contemporary (2022-2023) practice patterns in OOS allocation using Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network data. We examined in sequence vs OOS donors with multivariable logistic regression and skipped vs OOS-accepting recipients with conditional logistic regression. Nearly 20% of kidney placements were OOS, varying from 0% to 43% acsoss organ procurement organizations; the 5 highest OOS-organ procurement organizations accounted for 29% of all OOS. Of OOS kidneys, 33% were declined ≥100 times in the standard allocation sequence and 51% were declined by ≥10 centers before OOS allocation began; 4.5% were made without any in-sequence declines. Nearly, all OOS offers were open offers. OOS kidneys were more likely to be from female, Black, older, donation after cardiac death, hypertensive, diabetic, and elevated creatinine donors. Candidates receiving OOS kidneys were more likely female, Asian, and older than skipped candidates. Higher-volume centers and centers with more White, fewer Hispanic, and more educated waiting list patients underwent transplantation disproportionately with more OOS kidneys. These findings suggest that the current, highly variable, discretionary use of OOS might exacerbate disparities, yet the impact of OOS on organ utilization cannot be determined with data now collected.

Graft failure and recipient death with functioning graft are important competing outcomes after kidney transplantation. Risk prediction models typically censor for the competing outcome thereby overestimating the cumulative incidence. The magnitude of this overestimation is not well described in real-world transplant data. This retrospective cohort study analyzed data from the European Collaborative Transplant Study (n = 125 250) and from the American Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients (n = 190 258). Separate cause-specific hazard models using donor and recipient age as continuous predictors were developed for graft failure and recipient death. The hazard of graft failure increased quadratically with increasing donor age and decreased decaying with increasing recipient age. The hazard of recipient death increased linearly with increasing donor and recipient age. The cumulative incidence overestimation due to competing risk-censoring was largest in high-risk populations for both outcomes (old donors/recipients), sometimes amounting to 8.4 and 18.8 percentage points for graft failure and recipient death, respectively. In our illustrative model for posttransplant risk prediction, the absolute risk of graft failure and death is overestimated when censoring for the competing event, mainly in older donors and recipients. Prediction models for absolute risks should treat graft failure and death as competing events.

BACKGROUND/UNASSIGNED:For patients with alpha-1 antitrypsin (AAT) deficiency, AAT augmentation therapy can be an important part of care. However, for those who require a lung transplant (LT), there is currently only limited information to guide the use of AAT augmentation therapy post-LT. METHODS/UNASSIGNED:We identified all LT recipients from 2011-2021 in the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients with an AAT deficiency diagnosis. We categorized recipients by use of AAT augmentation therapy post-LT and compared their baseline characteristics using Fisher's exact test and Wilcoxon rank-sum tests. We used Kaplan-Meier analyses and estimated the average treatment effect (ATE) of post-LT AAT augmentation therapy on mortality and all-cause graft failure (ACGF). The ATE measures the observed effect we would see if everyone in the population received the intervention as opposed to just a subset. RESULTS/UNASSIGNED: = 0.02, log-rank test). CONCLUSIONS/UNASSIGNED:In our study, the use of augmentation therapy post-LT was associated with improved survival. Confirmatory prospective studies should be considered to inform post-LT AAT therapy guidelines.

BACKGROUND:Highly effective modulator therapies (HEMT) including ivacaftor (IVA) and elexacaftor/tezacaftor/ivacaftor (ETI) have transformed treatment for people with cystic fibrosis (pwCF). However, non-HEMT-responsive mutations are more common in pwCF of non-White race/ethnicity; introduction of HEMT might have exacerbated racial/ethnic disparities in CF care. METHODS:Using the Scientific Registry of Transplant Recipients, we identified all lung transplant candidates and recipients 05/2005-12/2022 and categorized them by diagnosis (CF/non-CF), race/ethnicity (non-Hispanic White/Black/Hispanic) and era [Pre-HEMT (2005-1/30/2012), IVA (1/31/2012-10/30/2019), ETI (10/31/2019-12/31/2022)]. We compared the percentage of patients listed, delisted/died, or transplanted by race/ethnicity and era. RESULTS:34,659 lung transplants were performed: 10,521 pre-HEMT, 15,944 in IVA era, and 7,888 in ETI era. Over the three eras, the percentage of lung recipients with CF of White race decreased (94.5 % to 92.4 % to 78.4 %) and of Black race (1.7 % to 2.4 % to 5.7 %) or Hispanic ethnicity increased (3.5 % to 4.6 % to 14.2 %; p < 0.001). Similarly, among candidates listed for CF over the three eras, the percentage that were of White race decreased (82.0 % vs. 78.6 % vs. 71.0 %) and of Black race (9.2 % vs. 10.0 % vs. 10.3 %) or Hispanic ethnicity increased (6.4 % vs. 8.6 % vs. 13.6 %; p < 0.001). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:The introduction of HEMT appears to have benefitted CF lung transplant candidates and recipients of Black race or Hispanic ethnicity less than those of White race. This is likely due to the higher prevalence of HEMT-ineligible CFTR mutations among Black and Hispanic patients and underscores the need for therapies aimed at non-HEMT-responsive mutations prevalent in these racial/ethnic populations.

BACKGROUND:In recent years, changes to US organ allocation have aimed to improve equity and accessibility across regions. The Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network plans to adopt continuous liver distribution, prioritizing candidates based on a weighted composite allocation score (CAS) incorporating proximity, ABO types, medical urgency, and pediatric priority. The Liver Committee has requested research on CAS variations that account for geographical heterogenicity. METHODS:We describe a method for designing a geographically heterogeneous CAS with targeted broader sharing (CAS-TBS) to balance the highly variable geographic distributions of liver transplant listings and liver donations. CAS-TBS assigns each donor hospital to either broader sharing or nearby sharing, adjusting donor-candidate distance allocation points accordingly. RESULTS:We found that to reduce geographic disparity in the median Model for End-stage Liver Disease at transplant (MMaT), >75% of livers recovered in regions 2 and 10 should be distributed with broader sharing, whereas 95% of livers recovered in regions 5 and 1 should be distributed with nearby sharing. In a 3-y simulation of liver allocation, CAS-TBS decreased MMaT by 2.1 points in high-MMaT areas such as region 5 while increasing MMaT only by 0.65 points in low-MMaT areas such as region 3. CAS-TBS significantly decreased median transport distance from 202 to 167 nautical miles under acuity circles and decreased waitlist deaths. CONCLUSIONS:Our CAS-TBS design methodology could be applied to design geographically heterogeneous allocation scores that reflect transplant community values and priorities within the continuous distribution project of the Organ Procurement and Transplantation Network. In our simulations, the incremental benefit of CAS-TBS over CAS was modest.

INTRODUCTION/BACKGROUND:Some living organ donors will decide to donate again at a later date. Evidence has indicated that this practice may have increased in recent years. We evaluated the incidence and outcomes of this practice to inform counseling of potential repeat donors. METHODS:Using SRTR data from 1994 to 2023, we identified 220 repeat living donors and their 415 recipients. We constructed donor comparison groups using weighting by the odds. We described clinical and lab results at 6 months, 1 year, and 2 years post-donation separately for kidney-second donors and liver-second donors. We compared all-cause graft failure for their recipients with those of comparison donors. RESULTS:The annual count of repeat living donors increased from 5 in 2018 to 25 in 2019 (p < 0.001). Of 220 donors, 159 were liver-second donors (72.3%) and 55 were kidney-second donors (25.0). The percentage of nondirected donations increased from 30.5% at first donation to 53.2% at second donation (p < 0.001). Liver-second donors had one death approximately 2.5 years post-donation. Seventeen were re-admitted and 20 experienced complications requiring an interventional procedure or re-operation. Among kidney-second donors, no deaths, re-admissions, or post-donation complications were reported. Post-donation outcomes in both groups were comparable when evaluated against organ-specific comparison donors. Recipients of repeat living donors experienced graft survival similar to recipients of comparison donors. CONCLUSIONS:Repeat living donation may be a safe practice for carefully selected living donors in the short term; however, long term safety is unknown. Outcomes for recipients are similar to recipients of comparison donors.

Community-based longitudinal data on factors linked to bacterial vaginosis (BV) during and after pregnancy in Bangladesh are limited. Using data from a rural randomized trial of vitamin A and β-carotene supplementation, we examined factors associated with Nugent-score-assessed BV. Self-collected vaginal swabs from 1,812 participants were obtained in early pregnancy, late pregnancy, and 3 months postpartum for Nugent scoring. We analyzed associations between participant factors and Nugent-BV (scores 7-10 vs. 0-6; 4-10 vs. 0-3) at each time point. Bivariate associations were tested using chi-square and t-tests, and multivariable log-binomial regression was used to estimate adjusted prevalence ratios with 95% confidence intervals. In early pregnancy, consistent soap use during bathing (vs. never/sometimes) was associated with a decreased risk of Nugent-BV 7-10 (adjusted prevalence ratio (aPR): 0.64, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.96). In late pregnancy, Hindu religion (vs. Muslim) (aPR: 2.68, 95% CI: 1.52, 4.72) and higher gestational age (aPR: 1.18, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.35) were associated with increased risk of Nugent-BV 7-10 and 4-10. Furthermore, maternal underweight (BMI < 18.5 kg/m² vs. ≥ 18.5) (aPR: 0.62, 95% CI: 0.44, 0.87) and having ≥1 antenatal care visit (vs. none) (aPR: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.38, 0.91) were associated with reduced risk of Nugent-BV 4-10. Among multiparous individuals, a longer pregnancy interval of ≥18 months (vs. < 18 months) was protective against Nugent-BV 7-10 (aPR: 0.34, 95% CI: 0.14, 0.81). At 3-months postpartum, vitamin A supplementation (vs. placebo) was associated with a decreased risk of Nugent-BV 7-10, consistent with prior trial findings. Our findings indicate that Nugent-BV during pregnancy and postpartum is linked to modifiable factors, including hygiene, nutrition, birth spacing, and healthcare access. Rigorous randomized trials are needed to evaluate their ability to reduce BV, promote long-term vaginal health, and lower the risk of adverse pregnancy outcomes.

BACKGROUND:Pretransplant functional, motor, cognitive, and academic deficits are common in pediatric patients requiring heart transplantation (HT); some persist post-HT. We assessed the association between these quality of life (QoL) deficits and post-HT outcomes. METHODS:Using SRTR data 2008-2023, we evaluated the functional, motor, cognitive, and academic status of pediatric HT recipients from listing to 15 years post-HT. We compared all-cause graft survival among patients with vs. without pre-HT deficits using Cox regressions. Among patients with a functioning graft at 1 year, we assessed the association between deficits at that time and subsequent graft failure. RESULTS:, p < 0.001). CONCLUSION/CONCLUSIONS:Pediatric HT recipients with decreased functional status are at higher risk for graft failure and mortality. These patients may benefit from early intervention aimed at improving functional status.